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AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Tuesday 27th Jan 09.00 Australia v UAE My first thought is Australia look a good price against UAE. I saw UAE draw 1-1 with Japan, winning on penalties. After starting quietly, Japan dominated the game and were unlucky not to win I thought. UAE were mostly camped in their own half desperately defending in the second half. I think Australia should be too strong for them and are worth taking on the handicap - Australia -1.5 2.35 BetVictor Stake: 5 points

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015

Tuesday 27th Jan 09.00 Australia v UAE My first thought is Australia look a good price against UAE. I saw UAE draw 1-1 with Japan, winning on penalties. After starting quietly, Japan dominated the game and were unlucky not to win I thought. UAE were mostly camped in their own half desperately defending in the second half. I think Australia should be too strong for them and are worth taking on the handicap - Australia -1.5 2.35 BetVictor Stake: 5 points
Plus the coach of Australia has made a point to start every match at full tilt (unlike Japan) so hopefully it's Australia who net first and in that case, the -1.5 stands every chance. Stupid Japan.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Monday 26th Jan 09.00 South Korea v Iraq Something tells me Iraq look well priced here. The countries have met once before in the Asian Cup, which was 0-0, and once in the Asian Games, which was 1-0 to Iraq. Korea won two home friendlies 3-0 and 2-1. Korea are higher ranked and tend to play higher standard opposition. Looking at teams BOTH sides have played in the last 12 months, these are the results for comparison: Korea 1 Oman 0 Iraq 0 Oman 0 Iraq 1 Oman 1 Korea 1 Kuwait 0 Iraq 0 Kuwait 0 Iraq 1 Kuwait 1 Korea 2 Uzbekistan 0 (after extra time) Iraq 0 Uzbekistan 1 Iraq 0 Uzbekistan 0 Korea 0 Iran 1 Iraq 0 Iran 1 Iraq 3 Iran 3 (after extra time) Korea 1 Jordan 0 Iraq 1 Jordan 0 (source: soccerway) Korea's results are noticeably better against the same opposition. But I think it is worth taking Iraq on the handicap here. Iraq +1AH 1.72 Marathon Stake: 3 points

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 South Korea have a much better team and almost all players have had the opportunity to play a part in this tournament, which proves their high quality diversity. Iraq will be handicapped because their best midfielder Y. Kasim (from Swindon) is suspended for this game. Also, Koreans have a great advantage in the character of a much more experienced coach, Uli Stielike from German, so I wouldnt have believed in the Lions of Mesopotamia at that price.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Yeah honestly I was just expectantly waiting for Iran to go 1 goal up based on the play of that match and they did. Then from there, Iran were looking very confident and more likely to make it 2-0 rather than let Iraq back in. But of course the red card changed the match from the referee who had already sparked major controversy in the tournament prior to that. Korea are yet another level above Iran so it doesn't get easier for Iraq here, unless they get more miracles go their way. Honestly their build up play and technical aspects are very basic and easy to defend. There's no dangerous player for them that makes you take note when they are on the ball. Their no.10 is the captain and tall striker. He has heavy feet and scuppers millions of attacking opportunies with bad decision making and worse finishing. Son from Leverkusen will be the gem on the field here and Iraq have the sort of defense that can really be sliced open a few times. Iraq only lost 0-1 to Japan, but if you saw that match Japan missed sitter after sitter and it was yet another miracle they managed to only concede once. The big take away is how easily Japan were able to get in behind. Almost at will. I will just keep it simple as I think SK to win would have 1.40 - 1.50 as a fair price. South Korea to win in 90 mins 1.70 @ BetVictor

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015

Monday 26th Jan 09.00 South Korea v Iraq Something tells me Iraq look well priced here. The countries have met once before in the Asian Cup, which was 0-0, and once in the Asian Games, which was 1-0 to Iraq. Korea won two home friendlies 3-0 and 2-1. Korea are higher ranked and tend to play higher standard opposition. Looking at teams BOTH sides have played in the last 12 months, these are the results for comparison: Korea 1 Oman 0 Iraq 0 Oman 0 Iraq 1 Oman 1 Korea 1 Kuwait 0 Iraq 0 Kuwait 0 Iraq 1 Kuwait 1 Korea 2 Uzbekistan 0 (after extra time) Iraq 0 Uzbekistan 1 Iraq 0 Uzbekistan 0 Korea 0 Iran 1 Iraq 0 Iran 1 Iraq 3 Iran 3 (after extra time) Korea 1 Jordan 0 Iraq 1 Jordan 0 (source: soccerway) Korea's results are noticeably better against the same opposition. But I think it is worth taking Iraq on the handicap here. Iraq +1AH 1.72 Marathon Stake: 3 points
Result: South Korea 2 Iraq 0 Bet lost Stake: 3 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -3 points A deserved win for South Korea from what I saw.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 UAE held Japan to a 1-1 draw over 120 minutes, but as seen in the group stage matches, Japan is very wasteful in front of goal. Japan did not apply physical pressure, but relied on a lot of intricate passing which siuted UAE defensively. The Emiratis were put under intense physical pressure in the last 10 minutes of the match with Iran and succumbed to a 90 minute goal from a corner. Australia will put them under this sort of intense physical pressure for about 70 minutes of the match. UAE are a bit soft defensively and I think that they will have great trouble preventing the Socceroos from scoring a few goals. An interesting stat is that Tim Cahill has scored Australia's first goal in the last 8 out of 9 matches in which he has featured.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Also it will be raining all day and into the night at Hunter Stadium. It is now 10.00 am in nearby Sydney and has been raining constantly for a few hours. This could severely hamper UAE's nice passing style and play into the hand of Australia who love a blood and guts contest and the physical confrontation of it. Important central defender Spiranovic returns from suspension and Jedinak had the China match to get the rust out and should be sharper in this one. As long as Jedinak and Milligan can bully Omar Abdul Raman out of being so influential on the ball, I fancy the good forward options of Australia to score against the UAE defenders who may struggle against power and strength.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015

Tuesday 27th Jan 09.00 Australia v UAE My first thought is Australia look a good price against UAE. I saw UAE draw 1-1 with Japan, winning on penalties. After starting quietly, Japan dominated the game and were unlucky not to win I thought. UAE were mostly camped in their own half desperately defending in the second half. I think Australia should be too strong for them and are worth taking on the handicap - Australia -1.5 2.35 BetVictor Stake: 5 points
Result: Australia 2 UAE 0 Bet won :ok Stake: 5 points Return: 11.75 points Profit/loss = +6.75 points Well deserved win for Australia from what I saw.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 south korea 5/2 to beat the aussies again, thats gotta be worth a bet ? they are yet to conceed a goal too i think. aussies may not handle the pressure like 97 v iran ? uae should beat iraq in the other game, think their defeat of iran was the nadir.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 I've been working on some Aussie betting sites the past couple of weeks and surprised by odds on Korea for the final. Considering Korea bet Australia in the group stages, haven't conceded a single goal all tourney, am I missing something here? Bet: S. Korea in 90 mins: 3/1 Son Haeng-Min 1st scorer 17/2 Under 2.5 goals 2/5 0-0 5/1

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015

I've been working on some Aussie betting sites the past couple of weeks and surprised by odds on Korea for the final. Considering Korea bet Australia in the group stages, haven't conceded a single goal all tourney, am I missing something here? Bet: S. Korea in 90 mins: 3/1 Son Haeng-Min 1st scorer 17/2 Under 2.5 goals 2/5 0-0 5/1
Massive just massive home ground advantage.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Also in that third game against S Korea in the group, coach Postecoglu rested his first choice front three who play overseas and replaced them with three A-league based attackers who normally start from the bench. Captain and important midfield screener Jedinak didn't play either. Basically the coach chose to use the match to rotate the squad in a bid to stay fresh for the latter stages and overall you have to say it worked as Australia do look a fit side. Contrast this with Japan who played best 11 every match and looked burnt out by the end. So the bookies know this and it may affect the way they think. Also after the loss to Korea, all the talk in Australia was of how many chances Australia created and how unlucky they were not to convert at least one and how well they played. It was quite a positive reaction for a loss. Bookies have been taking note of this too. Personally I don't have an opinion on the result yet. PS Australia is sweating on the fitness of Franjic who is the only proper right-fullback we have. Who ever may come into that role would be a step down as Franjic is proficient at both attacking and defending down that right channel.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Imo, it's hard to beat a team twice in the same tournament. Taking into account that South Korea has yet to concede a goal yet in 90 mins, I'm backing Australia to win the game in extra time or pk @ 1.6.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 I believe in Australia's rematch mentality tomorrow. Key players Jason Davidson, Mile Jedinak, Matthew Leckie, Robbie Kruse and Tim Cahill will be back in the starting eleven as compared to the match with Korea in the group stage. Australia lost the final of the last edition of the tournament to the other East Asian powerhouse - Japan.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 Very well organised Korea won't be easy to break down. I'm impressed with their water tight defence and excellent work ethics. Korean are known as fine athletes and they also seem to enjoy the workload. OZ will face a tough task today. However, Korea don't offer much going forward and I expect the Kangaroo's defence to hold their line alright. It's difficult to pick a winner so I will go for Under 2 goal. Too much at stake, the 2 teams will be extremely prudent. Plus Korea strong defence and not so great strikeforce, so don't think there will be 3 goals or more in this match. Extra time looming.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015 It was an amazing tournament both for watching and betting. I don't think anyone who betted regularly could have finished without a profit. The fact that all 24 group stage matches finished without a draw was beyond staggering.

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Re: AFC Asian Cup (Australia) 2015

It was an amazing tournament both for watching and betting. I don't think anyone who betted regularly could have finished without a profit. The fact that all 24 group stage matches finished without a draw was beyond staggering.
Compare that to the ACN which virtually every game was a draw! I'm probably just going to blind bet draws in every game in the knockout stages, confident it'll turn a profit. Congrats to Australia, cracking final.

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