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Aidymac

FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

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Friday 2 January 2015 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Cardiff City v Colchester United (19:45 GMT) 1.47 4.2 6.5 107.19 %
maximize.gif Milton Keynes Dons v Chesterfield (19:45 GMT) 1.72 3.6 4.75 106.73 %
Saturday 3 January 2015 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Barnsley v Middlesbrough (15:00 GMT) 3.6 3.4 2 107.19 %
maximize.gif Blyth Spartans v Birmingham City (15:00 GMT) 10 5.5 1.28 105.96 %
maximize.gif Bolton Wanderers v Wigan Athletic (15:00 GMT) 2.1 3.4 3.6 104.81 %
maximize.gif Brentford v Brighton & Hove Albion (15:00 GMT) 1.83 3.5 4 108.12 %
maximize.gif Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur (15:00 GMT) 3.25 3.4 1.9 112.56 %
maximize.gif Cambridge United v Luton Town (15:00 GMT) 2.6 3.25 2.6 107.69 %
maximize.gif Charlton Athletic v Blackburn Rovers (15:00 GMT) 2.5 3.3 2.62 108.40 %
maximize.gif Derby County v Southport (15:00 GMT) 1.22 6.5 10.5 106.73 %
maximize.gif Doncaster Rovers v Bristol City (15:00 GMT) 3 3.25 2.5 104.10 %
maximize.gif Everton v West Ham (15:00 GMT) 1.66 3.5 4.2 112.38 %
maximize.gif Fulham v Wolverhampton Wanderers (15:00 GMT) 2.2 3.3 3.4 105.17 %
maximize.gif Huddersfield Town v Reading (15:00 GMT) 2.3 3.4 3 106.22 %
maximize.gif Leicester City v Newcastle United (15:00 GMT) 2.75 3.4 2.5 105.78 %
maximize.gif Millwall v Bradford City (15:00 GMT) 1.83 3.5 4.1 107.51 %
maximize.gif Preston North End v Norwich City (15:00 GMT) 3 3.3 2.25 108.08 %
maximize.gif Rochdale v Nottingham Forest (15:00 GMT) 3.75 3.4 2 106.08 %
maximize.gif Rotherham United v AFC Bournemouth (15:00 GMT) 3.1 3.3 2.2 108.02 %
maximize.gif Tranmere Rovers v Swansea City (15:00 GMT) 7 4.2 1.47 106.10 %
maximize.gif West Bromwich Albion v Gateshead (15:00 GMT) 1.16 7 13 107.69 %
Sunday 4 January 2015 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Dover Athletic v Crystal Palace (13:00 GMT) 7.5 4.5 1.36 108.89 %
maximize.gif Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield United (13:00 GMT) 1.66 3.8 5.5 104.50 %
maximize.gif Sunderland v Leeds United (13:00 GMT) 1.57 3.8 6 106.62 %
maximize.gif Aston Villa v Blackpool (15:00 GMT) 1.44 4.2 8 105.54 %
maximize.gif Manchester City v Sheffield Wednesday (15:00 GMT) 1.16 7 15 106.67 %
maximize.gif Southampton v Ipswich Town (15:00 GMT) 1.4 4.33 7 108.79 %
maximize.gif Stoke City v Wrexham (15:00 GMT) 1.14 7.5 15 107.50 %
maximize.gif Yeovil Town v Manchester United (15:30 GMT) 8.5 6 1.28 106.21 %
maximize.gif Chelsea v Watford (16:00 GMT) 1.16 7.5 13 106.74 %
maximize.gif Arsenal v Hull City (17:30 GMT) 1.29 5 8.5 109.28 %
Monday 5 January 2015 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif AFC Wimbledon v Liverpool (19:55 GMT) 12 6 1.25 105.00 %

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Friday TV preview: 4pts Cardiff (-1) to beat Colchester 7/5 Spreadex Cardiff have got themselves a nice draw here and even though they may well rest a few players I think they have enough depth in their squad to come through this. Colchester have looked a pretty limited side whenever I’ve seen them and although they have nothing to lose on their travels against a side in a higher division I’m not sure they have the defensive ability to keep this Cardiff side at bay. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/cardiff-vs-colchester-betting-cardiff-can-sail-into-the-next-round

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Cardiff City v Colchester Utd (Cardiff City coach will make some changes.) Cardiff City: Peter Whittingham (24/5 m, 2nd top scorer), David Marshall (24/0 first goalkeeper)(both probably out), Aron Gunnarsson (23/2 m), Anthony Pilkington (16/1 m)(both doubtful), Kagisho Dikgacoi (2/0 m) Colchester Utd: Ben Gordon (14/0 d, doubtful), Rhys Healey (11/4 f, 2nd top scorer), Magnus Okuonghae (9/1 d), Drey Wright (5/0 m), Frankie Kent (10/0 d), David Wright (2/0 d), Will Packwood (1/0 d), Tosin Olufemi (0/0 m) Information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th MK Dons vs Chesterfield – Draw @ 4.00 Marathonbet This is a fixture for the 2nd round of the FA Cup between two teams of the same category, League One. MK Dons sits at the 4th spot of the table, meanwhile Chesterfield is at 7th position. Hosts are really strong at home, they rarely lose, this happened last Saturday, it would be a big surprise if they suffer a second straight home defeat. MK Dons will play with changes at the starting line up, so will Chesterfield. The visitors are undefeated at the last five away games at all competitions, I believe that tonight they will settle with another draw.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th On the basis of the teams recent shots on target stats, Colchester (7.0) are possible value at Cardiff tonight and Bradford (4.0), Wolves (3.1) and Rochdale (3.62) could be good value from Saturday's games.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Preston look a good play. I don't know the exact stats, but my team Norwich are simply pitiful when it comes to the cups in recent years, we were a Premier League side last season and we went out to a Conference team at home in the third round, which probably says it all :lol Preston are third in League One and form isn't too bad. We're doing OK, but our defence is a joke; in the last match against Reading away we played a very conservative line-up, four central midfielders, and we're still 2-0 down at half-time to Reading who are a poor team. I would expect rotation from our coach too, though best to wait for the line-ups. In the League Cup we made big changes and went out to Shrewsbury :lol

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Cardiff v Colchester As I menitioned above, Colchester's shots on target stats compare well with Cardiff's. Colchester's recent stats are better. Cardiff are mid-table in the Championship, and their manager Russell Slade has come under some pressure from the fans because of poor recent form. Colchester are near the bottom of League One. Cardiff are a division higher and should have better players. Russell Slade says he will be making a few changes for tonight's game. There is a bit of pressure on Cardiff to get a result here I think. Colchester look some value, and are worth backing at current odds. Colchester +1AH 1.98 Marathon Stake: 4 points

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

Cardiff v Colchester As I menitioned above, Colchester's shots on target stats compare well with Cardiff's. Colchester's recent stats are better. Cardiff are mid-table in the Championship, and their manager Russell Slade has come under some pressure from the fans because of poor recent form. Colchester are near the bottom of League One. Cardiff are a division higher and should have better players. Russell Slade says he will be making a few changes for tonight's game. There is a bit of pressure on Cardiff to get a result here I think. Colchester look some value, and are worth backing at current odds. Colchester +1AH 1.98 Marathon Stake: 4 points
I don't think that the shots on target stats are relevant because Cardiff are in a different league.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th 2-way 'Asian' bets on Wolves, Bradford and Rochdale for Saturday's games. As mentioned above, these teams' recent shots on target stats compare well with their opponents and the odds seem attractive - Fulham v Wolves Wolves AH0 2.24 Marathon Millwall v Bradford Bradford +0.25 2.12 188Bet Rochdale v Nott Forest Rochdale +0.25 2.06 188Bet Stake: 3 points on each Total stake: 9 points

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

I don't think that the shots on target stats are relevant because Cardiff are in a different league.
I respectfully disagree :). I've looked at each side's shots on target stats (shots for and against) for their last five league games. It's a reasonable indicator of a team's current effectiveness. The gap in divisions is another factor to take into account of course.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Small and downbeat crowd expected in Cardiff tonight, at least three reserves expected to start and poor form for the home side. They havent opened a couple of stands. Difficult to touch Cardiff at odds on. If there was something to get excited about with Colchester they could be value. But by all accounts they arent a great side either!

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Cardiff - Colchester Cardiff -1 AH 1.96 Betvictor I haven't followed Cardiff this season, but I remember that last season they had a fairly wide squad. While inevitably some important players left after Cardiff's relegation - Fraizer Campbell, Gary Medel, Steven Caulker and Jordon Mutch, more or less adequate replacements were brought in place - Anthony Pilkington, Bruno Ecuele Manga, Sean Morrison and Adam Le Fondre. Cardiff's coach has stated that he'll play a mixed squad, but Cardiff have strenght in depth so it shouldn't affect them that much. They have struggled so far in the Championship, but tonight's opponent is from a completely different level. 36 places separate the teams in the Football League, Colchester are second to last in League One. I rate the chance of Cardiff winning by two or more goals bigger than that of Colchester drawing or winning.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

I respectfully disagree :). I've looked at each side's shots on target stats (shots for and against) for their last five league games. It's a reasonable indicator of a team's current effectiveness. The gap in divisions is another factor to take into account of course.
Surely you need to look at the calibre of opponent they faced during that period? Colchester may have been playing weak league one opponents. Colchester's last five games, (assuming you mean home and away) were versus Crawley, Gillingham, Yeovil, Rochdale and MK Dons. Bar MK Dons (Maybe Rochdale too, even though they are only ten points above Colchester) are the only sides well above them in the league. The other three are down with them. Cardiff's stats on the other hand are a little harder to assess as the Championship is quite open, although you'd expect a few goals as they've scored eight in their last five.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

Surely you need to look at the calibre of opponent they faced during that period?
Yes that's true Jase ("it's all about context") I see four out five of Cardiff's last 5 league opponents were sides currently in the bottom half (Reading, Birmingham, Bolton and Leeds)

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

Cardiff v Colchester As I menitioned above, Colchester's shots on target stats compare well with Cardiff's. Colchester's recent stats are better. Cardiff are mid-table in the Championship, and their manager Russell Slade has come under some pressure from the fans because of poor recent form. Colchester are near the bottom of League One. Cardiff are a division higher and should have better players. Russell Slade says he will be making a few changes for tonight's game. There is a bit of pressure on Cardiff to get a result here I think. Colchester look some value, and are worth backing at current odds. Colchester +1AH 1.98 Marathon Stake: 4 points
Result: Cardiff 3 Colchester 1 A deserved win for Cardiff from what I saw. Their greater quality made the difference. Colchester could argue they were unlucky because Cardiff's first goal was heavily deflected. Colchester took the game to Cardiff for much of the match, but Cardiff's better quality was enough to see them home.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Sunday TV previews: 4pts C.Palace (-1.25AH) to beat Dover 21/20 Bet365 Had the managerial change not been made recently then I would have expected Palace to make a number of changes here but this is an ideal chance for Pardew to come in and spend time with his first team in a match they really should win. Dover are in fine form at the minute but they do concede goals and Palace have the firepower to take advantage. I’m expecting a comfortable enough away win here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/dover-vs-crystal-palace-betting-pardew-can-inspire-palace-to-comfortable-cup-win 4pts Man Utd to win to nil Evs Paddy Power This will be a tough task for Yeovil. They are really struggling in League One at the minute and are up against a quality side whichever 11 van Gaal puts out on the field. I’m not even convinced they have a pitch which can act as a leveller either so I am fully expecting United to win this game and I don’t really see Yeovil having the quality anywhere to even net a consolation. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/yeovil-vs-man-utd-betting-united-can-come-through-without-conceding 3pts Arsenal vs Hull - Over 3.5 goals 7/5 BetVictor I think there will be goals in this tie. Arsenal can’t defend and here is a perfect opportunity to attack while Hull have nothing to lose and can have a real go safe in the knowledge that if they do go out it doesn’t impact on their quest for survival but at the same time if they pull off an upset it will do wonders for morale. Neither side will want a replay with the schedules they’ve had recently so we should be treated to a few goals here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/arsenal-vs-hull-betting-emirates-can-play-host-to-a-few-goals-in-repeat-of-2014-final

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th I keep badgering people by saying that UTD defence is weak.De Gea is the one keeping them together and the main reason the team have not fallen apart yet.When they destroyed Lpool,it wasn't Rooney nor RVP who became MOTM,it was De Gea.That indicated that the things are just not going well for UTD.Than they failed to break Stoke down and i think it's fair to say they were lucky not to lose because the referee didn't give a clear penalty to the home side,before which De Gea had some great savings too.I know UTD had their moments too but all i am saying you cannot trust ''The Red Devils'' to keep a clean sheet against nobody.Saying that plus the fact that Van Gaal is going to do some rotation in the squad i think we have every chance to see another United upset here against a lower level team,or at least them concedeing.BTTS-Yes @ odds against with bet365.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th FA Cup : West Bromwich Albion- Gateshead I have not spent alot of time looking at the Conference National over the last 18 months or so, but did quite a bit of work on Gateshead ahead of their playoff campaign last season. They lost out in the final to Cambridge United after I felt they were fortunate to beat Grimsby Town in the semi finals, ahead of the second leg against the Mariners my notes included ...... First leg ended 1-1, with Gateshead taking an early lead, but Town largely dominating afterwards. The Mariners let the visitors dictate the pace through the opening quarter or so, but upped the tempo , started to press in the offensive half and took control, not allowing Heed playmaker John Oster (Everton, Sunderland , Wales), who has been pivotal in their upturn in fortune , any time to work his magic. He was influential early, but had little impact after the change was made by the Town coaching staff and with it, the hosts got on top. Gateshead have got a few other veteran players in their squad and despite a very good 2014, I have noticed that the few occasions they have struggled, have been with a quick turnaround and I am not sure another works in their favour this evening. The visitors are very similarly placed to the same stage last season and will be hoping for another late playoff push. You could argue that they were helped a little ahead of this game by their league game last Sunday being postponed, but I suspect they might have preferred to play, as it would have provided a distraction from what is the biggest game that many of the away squad will ever play. Visiting boss Gary Mills has already admitted he will not make any changes for Albion and he will stick with his tried and trusted 4-4-2 , not only is he pretty rigid with that, but he has only made three substitutions in total over the last two starts. That will have made it easier for the Premier league scouts to have done their job, I spoke to someone who watched their 3-2 defeat at Bristol Rovers just before Christmas and they said that the Heed were the best team to visit the Memorial Stadium this season. Star of the show was again John Oster ( see above) who assisted for both goals, he is the one quality PL player in their squad, but at 36yo he is not getting any better and his influence will not be the same against top level opponents. Rovers got on top there, after coming from behind twice, once they made a similar tactical switch to Grimby and pushed Stuart Sinclair further forward and used his energy to pressure the visitors backline. I assume the EPL side will already have worked that out and they have not just quality and better fitness levels ( they are higher the further up the football pyramid you go), but with a new boss to impress, with Tony Pulis in charge at the Hawthorns for the first time. He, and the team will be looking for a performance and surely to start the new era with a confidence boosting big win and not a hard fought one. I expect the visitors to come out strong, but definitely to tire and they are, like Colchester United yesterday, not the kind of team to sit back too long, they like to try and play football and get forward, all in all a good match up for West Brom and I do not feel the handicap is too onerous, with 86 league places between the two teams. 1.75 units West Bromwich Albion -1.75 goals 1.97 asian line/Sportmarket.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th I will keep this very short. West Brom should be able to win this convincingly. Tony Pulis will start his magic from this match to boost the morale and a kickstart back to winning ways and ensure the team stays in EPL Besides, their opponent Gateshead is really a lot of levels lower in the divisions

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Bolton for me today. Nice Form last weeks and okay they lost last game against Huddlersfield but today they are playing against huge struggling Wigan. Also Bolton have 2 days more off, since last game. Wigan also today without there best strikers MacManaman and Holt. On Bolton Side they are missing Lee Chung-Yong who are with his nation by the Asia Games. So i don´t know why the odds are so big on Bolton. Okay Wigan are unbeaten in last 13 FA Cup Games excluding Penaltys. But this team this year is not that team from last year and every streak comes to an end. Bolton @ 2.81 3/10 Pinn

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

Bolton for me today. Nice Form last weeks and okay they lost last game against Huddlersfield but today they are playing against huge struggling Wigan. Also Bolton have 2 days more off, since last game. Wigan also today without there best strikers MacManaman and Holt. On Bolton Side they are missing Lee Chung-Yong who are with his nation by the Asia Games. So i don´t know why the odds are so big on Bolton. Okay Wigan are unbeaten in last 13 FA Cup Games excluding Penaltys. But this team this year is not that team from last year and every streak comes to an end. Bolton @ 2.81 3/10 Pinn
FT 1:0 :nana

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

2-way 'Asian' bets on Wolves, Bradford and Rochdale for Saturday's games. As mentioned above, these teams' recent shots on target stats compare well with their opponents and the odds seem attractive - Fulham v Wolves Wolves AH0 2.24 Marathon Millwall v Bradford Bradford +0.25 2.12 188Bet Rochdale v Nott Forest Rochdale +0.25 2.06 188Bet Stake: 3 points on each Total stake: 9 points
Results: Void, returns 3 Half won/half void, returns 4.68 Won, returns 6.18 Total stake: 9 points Total return: 13.86 points Profit/loss = +4.86 points

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Both my bets will be based on the Dover Athletic v Crystal Palace game as this will be the match I will be watching tomorrow. Crystal Palace to win both halves 2/1 Part-time Dover are on an excellent run of form and are unbeaten in 16 games and with an extremely strong defence, do not concede many (particularly at home). Were it not for Pardew coming in, I would be reluctant to back Palace. I think Pardew will be desperate to ensure that he doesn't lose his first game in charge and the players will be eager to impress him. Add this to the massive gulf in class between the Conference and the Premier League (shown in Gateshead game), and I think the result will be 2 or 3-0 to Palace, and Palace to win both halves is extremely good value at 2/1. Draw/Crystal Palace HT/FT 4/1 As I mentioned above, Dover are extremely strong defensively and are on a strong run of form. I believe they are capable of holding Palace until half time, but I feel that their fitness will let them down in the second half as they are only part time. I will also have a small amount on Dover/Palace HT/FT @ 20/1 for the same reasons. Dover are capable of scoring given the opportunity.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

Both my bets will be based on the Dover Athletic v Crystal Palace game as this will be the match I will be watching tomorrow. Crystal Palace to win both halves 2/1 Part-time Dover are on an excellent run of form and are unbeaten in 16 games and with an extremely strong defence, do not concede many (particularly at home). Were it not for Pardew coming in, I would be reluctant to back Palace. I think Pardew will be desperate to ensure that he doesn't lose his first game in charge and the players will be eager to impress him. Add this to the massive gulf in class between the Conference and the Premier League (shown in Gateshead game), and I think the result will be 2 or 3-0 to Palace, and Palace to win both halves is extremely good value at 2/1. Draw/Crystal Palace HT/FT 4/1 As I mentioned above, Dover are extremely strong defensively and are on a strong run of form. I believe they are capable of holding Palace until half time, but I feel that their fitness will let them down in the second half as they are only part time. I will also have a small amount on Dover/Palace HT/FT @ 20/1 for the same reasons. Dover are capable of scoring given the opportunity.
Do you realise you have totally contradicted yourself In each of the three selections you have made? My conclusion from your post is that you think anything can happen in the first half. You have quoted Dover to win at half time, Palace to win at half time and a draw at half time. I think the best bet you should make is to 'lay' the match getting postponed, then as long as this happens one of your selections would be a winner.

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th

Do you realise you have totally contradicted yourself In each of the three selections you have made? My conclusion from your post is that you think anything can happen in the first half. You have quoted Dover to win at half time' date=' Palace to win at half time and a draw at half time. I think the best bet you should make is to 'lay' the match getting postponed, then as long as this happens one of your selections would be a winner.[/quote'] Well spotted. I placed the Palace HT/FT bet the other day and found the other two while looking today. The only way I can lose is if Palace don't win though, which as a Dover fan suits me

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th Sheffield Utd (5.0), Leeds (6.5), Blackpool (9.0), Ipswich (8.5),Yeovil (15.5) and Hull (9.8) could be some value on the basis of recent shots on target stats for both sides in their games. All are underdogs. Hull are at Arsenal in an all-Premier League game. The others are Championship or League One sides against Premier League ones. Watford are also shown as 'value' on my shots stats, but I am reluctant to back a lower division side at Chelsea, especially as I think Mourinho will be looking for a reaction after only getting 1 point from the last 2 games. QPR v Sheff Utd Sheff Utd +0.75 1.9 188Bet Sunderland v Leeds Leeds +1AH 1.92 Ladbrokes Aston Villa v Blackpool Blackpool +1.25 2.0 188Bet Southampton v Ipswich Ipswich +1AH 2.3 BetVictor Yeovil v Man Utd Yeovil +2AH 1.82 Marathon Arsenal v Hull Hull +1.5 1.92 188Bet Stake: 3 points on each Total stake: 18 points

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Re: FA Cup > January 2nd - 5th About Aston Villa, didnt Lambert say before last years FA Cup that he thought it was a unnessecary cup and "in the way" for Villa (or something similar) and thereafter they lost the match against at home against a lower league side (believe it was one of the Sheffield teams)?

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