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West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa > Saturday December 13th


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[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617] [TR=class: row1] [TD=class: firstColumn]West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.87 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

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Re: West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa > Saturday December 13th Can anyone tell me why West Brom are 2.15 for this? I dont get it. I've taken Villa +0.5 AH at 1.83. After that terrible run of 6 defeats they are un-beaten in 5 and certainly wont want to lose this local derby. West Brom haven't won in 5 and only scored once in that time. Maybe they were slightly more difficult fixtures with Chelsea and Arsenal in there but confidence must be low. Do bookies factor in some sort of season-long projection when pricing games like this? Some stats that might tempt a small punt on HT/FT 2/X in a fixture that has seen a lot of draws in recent times...

  • Villa have scored the highest percentage of first half goals in the Premier League this season (80%).
  • West Brom have conceded the highest percentage of first half goals in the top flight this season (60%).

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Re: West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa > Saturday December 13th

Can anyone tell me why West Brom are 2.15 for this? I dont get it. I've taken Villa +0.5 AH at 1.83. After that terrible run of 6 defeats they are un-beaten in 5 and certainly wont want to lose this local derby. West Brom haven't won in 5 and only scored once in that time. Maybe they were slightly more difficult fixtures with Chelsea and Arsenal in there but confidence must be low. Do bookies factor in some sort of season-long projection when pricing games like this? Some stats that might tempt a small punt on HT/FT 2/X in a fixture that has seen a lot of draws in recent times...
  • Villa have scored the highest percentage of first half goals in the Premier League this season (80%).
  • West Brom have conceded the highest percentage of first half goals in the top flight this season (60%).

Aston Villa have some players injured, but WB's coach are happy because injured players are recovered and now out only Olsson (D 4/0) and Brunt (M 14/0) are doubtful. Aston Villa will be without: Vlaar (D 7/0) Westwood (M 14/0), , Senderos (D 8/0), Baker (D 7/0), Cole (M 4/1) and Cleverley (M 12/0) are doutful. my bet: bts at odds 2.00 bet365 2/10 and 1st half over 1 at odds 2.10 10bet 2/10. In APL teams have played 16 games and 13 times was bts
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Re: West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa > Saturday December 13th Villa have been playing much better than any of the other teams at the bottom or near the bottom of the league. They lost to SPurs but were leading the game before Benteke got sent off. With him in the team they have more than enough to win this game. They are undefeated in 5 games while WBA have not won in 5 games. WBA have also scored just 1 goal in their last 5. Villa to win this one in a close game for 2 units at odds of 3.9 (betvictor)

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Re: West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa > Saturday December 13th 2pts Aston Villa +0 @ 2.7 Unibet Sort of fancy both the draw and Villa based on odds so taking Villa on the DNB makes a lot of sense. For mine they are a better team away from home and with Benteke fit and playing again that could prove decisive. Vlaar should be back in defence and whilst they are missing some strength in midfield I feel the Baggies will equally miss Brunt, particularly from dead ball situations. 0.5pts Correct Score 2-2 @21 Betfair As I said I can make a case for the draw and West Brom already have two 2-2 home draws this season. The last two times Villa have travelled here it has also ended 2-2 and I'm never one to shy away from such a nice trend at juicy odds. The 2-2 is often under 20 so at 21s it's worth a dabble.

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Re: West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa > Saturday December 13th

2pts Aston Villa +0 @ 2.7 Unibet Sort of fancy both the draw and Villa based on odds so taking Villa on the DNB makes a lot of sense. For mine they are a better team away from home and with Benteke fit and playing again that could prove decisive. Vlaar should be back in defence and whilst they are missing some strength in midfield I feel the Baggies will equally miss Brunt, particularly from dead ball situations. 0.5pts Correct Score 2-2 @21 Betfair As I said I can make a case for the draw and West Brom already have two 2-2 home draws this season. The last two times Villa have travelled here it has also ended 2-2 and I'm never one to shy away from such a nice trend at juicy odds. The 2-2 is often under 20 so at 21s it's worth a dabble.
Never much of a chance after stupidity from Richardson. -2.5pts
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