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thespecial1

Australian Open 2015

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back S.Johnson/K.Nishikori - Over 32.5 games for a 8/10 stake at 1.89 with Pinnacle Nishikori looked really average against Dodig yesterday, should've gone to five sets that one. Johnson has been good so far and he played a reasonably tight match against Kei a few weeks ago, so I fancy this line to be covered more often than not. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/johnson-vs-nishikori-betting-steve-johnson-can-hang-in-there-for-a-while-against-nishikori

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back J.Nieminen/S.Wawrinka - Over 32.5 games for a 8/10 stake at 1.93 with Unibet I didn't like Wawrinka's performance against Copil at all, he should feel lucky to have won in three. Nieminen has more skills and experience, so I think that he'll give Wawrinka a good fight tomorrow. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/nieminen-vs-wawrinka-betting-a-tough-match-might-be-on-the-cards-for-the-defending-champion

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back M.Keys/P.Kvitova - Over 20.5 games for a 8/10 stake at 2.00 with Pinnacle Two big hitters in good form, so this should have some mileage. Kvitova went unpunished for her blips against Hogenkamp and Barthel, but Keys should be better than them in the tight spots and take this to the distance. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/keys-vs-kvitova-betting-the-match-between-two-big-hitters-should-have-some-mileage

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Re: Australian Open 2015 leading 42 and retired....haha, oh come on man, give me a break up there!!! Eden Silva to beat Shiho Akita (Sharm el Sheikh 10k)@2.62, bet365, 5/10 Silva is enjoying a nice luittle run, while Akita is trying to come back to her ex top300 ranking. Silva has dispatched two opponents int he previous rounds, by a score of 1,1 and 2,2, while Akita already almost lost in the first round when Stephenson was up a set and 51 when she got injured (how bad is that), then beat an ailing Rosatello so imo thats really nothing special. Silva has the potential to beat her easily and at thsi price its a must take! GL Aleksandra Naydenova to beat Katherina Lehnert (Sharm el Sheikh 10k)@1.83, bet365, 5/10 Lehnert beat Naydenova in 3 sets last week, Naydenova clearly beaing the more experienced player, I think this is a great revenge spot imo as Naydenova does have much more match routine and results than Lehnert. This is a pure revenge spot playwith Naydenova being the better player imo. GL Sandra Samir to beat Dejana Radanovic (El Kantaoui 10k)@1.83, bet365, 5/10 Samir once again for me, although I think I have lost couple of times with her, I think she has never beaten two good opponents in a row, so that must be a sign of growing up, rising to the occasion. Radanovic had some nice win in the past but hard court is not her favourite (neither is Samir's but she has been playing on it for quite some time). My bet is based on samirs win over Pacquet, who is a very solid 409 ranked player who just was in the quarters of a 25k in India at teh end of last week.I believe this is Samirs biggest win of her career and she will build on it today! Radanovic is decent but definitely beatable! GL

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back Fernando Verdasco (+2.5 sets) to beat Novak Djokovic for a 6/10 stake at 3.62 with Pinnacle Not very likely, but the odds make it worth a punt in my opinion. Verdasco has never been the best match-up for Djokovic and I believe that he can still play some vintage stuff against the big guys, so I'm happy to take this at a price this big. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/verdasco-vs-djokovic-betting-fernando-verdasco-looks-value-to-steal-a-set-off-the-world-s-number-one

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Murray v Dimitrov - thoughts on betting strategies? Murray v Dimitrov match is scheduled for Sunday(time not known yet). I am looking at trading the match on Betfair, but in terms of pre-match punts, what are your thoughts? I think Dimitrov will start better than Murray and hopefully Murray will make a come back for some greening :)

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Re: Murray v Dimitrov - thoughts on betting strategies?

Murray v Dimitrov match is scheduled for Sunday(time not known yet). I am looking at trading the match on Betfair, but in terms of pre-match punts, what are your thoughts? I think Dimitrov will start better than Murray and hopefully Murray will make a come back for some greening :)
Not sure about that at all - for one, Dimitrov started poorly today, while Murray was incisive from the get-go. I can see the Scot winning very comfortably actually if he plays like he did today.

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Milos Raonic minus 5.5 verses Becker at 4-6 with 888sports. Becker lost the first 2 sets against Hewitt 6-1 and 6-2 before Hewitt blew it really (granted Becker’s game improved as the match went on). I don’t expect Raonic to be quite as charitable here. Raonic only beatMarchenko by 5 games and Young by 7 but it’s getting serious now and I expecthim to raise his game here. Becker makes too many unforced errors from the back of the court so I can't quite see him manage to keep this match to 3 tight sets. He’s too inconsistent not to lose at least one set 6-1 or 6-2 for me and even if he doesn’t , I can still see Raonic covering the handicap because I’d be verysurprised if Becker makes much in-roads on Raonic’s serve or if he managed totake 2 of the sets to tie-breaks. Even if he won a set, I wouldn’t lose hope of the handicap being covered though it would be worrying I guess. I wouldn’t advise big stakes but it seems like the stand out handicap bet of tonight’s action to me J

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Re: Australian Open 2015

Becoming a bit of a torture now, but I'll hang on. Five for me tomorrow actually. Back Coco Vandeweghe (-2.5) to beat Madison Brengle for a 8/10 stake at 1.95 with Pinnacle Vandeweghe crushed Stosur surprisingly easily and I think that she'll have no problems against Brengle either. She's just a bad match-up for Brengle with her big serve and the H2H record shows that as well, so I can't see an upset in this one really.
Really like this bet Czech. Tempted by the -4.5 but best not to be too greedy. A few good bets tonight I like the look of... Raonic vs Becker under 35.5 games @1.83 sporting bet(7/10) Johnson vs Nishikori over 32.5 games @1.92 Pinnacle(5/10) Should be an straight sets win for Raonic tonight + Johnson can keep it tight vs KN + see the line being beat in close 3 or 4 sets. Good Luck all

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Anyone knows what happened to the odd between Vasek Pospisil and Garcia-Lopez? Pospisil was orignially priced as the favoriate around 1.53 yesterday but now the Garcia-Lopez becomes the favorite with only 1.57 @ bet365. Is there any physical problem for Pospisil?

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Re: Australian Open 2015

Anyone knows what happened to the odd between Vasek Pospisil and Garcia-Lopez? Pospisil was orignially priced as the favoriate around 1.53 yesterday but now the Garcia-Lopez becomes the favorite with only 1.57 @ bet365. Is there any physical problem for Pospisil?
In the last round against Lorenzi, Pospisil received treatment for a back or hip injury (I am not too certain which exactly) He also recently resigned from doubles in relation to that. We will just have to see how that affects the outcome of his next match.

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Feliciano Lopez vs Jerzy Janowicz over 41.5 games 4/5 paddy power 5 sets 12/5 skybet This has got five sets written all over it as they seem to play a lot these tight matches They wont be many breaks of serve so this could last a long time maybe fours Vacek Pospisil vs Guillermo Garcia Lopez over 40.5 games 8/11 paddy power 5 sets 2/1 skybet Two tough opponents here and so evenly matched the you cant pick a winner so dont expect a straight sets match more like four or five sets it could be an absolute classic

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Steve Johnson (+2.5 sets) to beat Kei Nishikori @ 2.179 Pinnacle Steve Johnson (+7 games) to beat Kei Nishikori @ 1.970 Pinnacle Johnson should have plenty of gas left in the tank after two straight sets wins so far, whilst Nishikori had a tougher match than he probably expected in the last round against Dodig and so I think the American can cause the Japanese some problems. He looks quite strong on serve at the moment which should give him a chance of nicking a set and keeping this close. Elina Svitolina (+1.5 sets) to beat Serena Williams @ 4.180 Pinnacle Elina Svitolina (+6.5 games) to beat Serena Williams @ 2.050 Pinnacle It took Williams some time to get into her last match against Zvonareva, and if she starts slowly here then I think Svitolina just might be able to push this to three sets. The Ukrainian got through the first two rounds without too much fuss, and she has enough talent to give Williams something to think about if she plays to her potential.

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Dominica Cibulkova was impressive in her last match and i'm expecting her to continue where she left off.After a rusty first set she came storming back to dominate and looked good.Bet 365 4/7 to win the match.

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Dinitrov to beat Murray @3.50 offered by bet365. I extremely fancy Grigor in this tournament. He already reached top form, and his performance against Baghdatis was astronomical in last two sets. Very very strong first serve, massive forehand, and an excellent backhand which looks highly improved this year! Grigor was looking equal to Djokovic in my eyes in last two sets He should beat ANY, and i expect him to continue his amazing game tomorrow against Murray Time has arrived for Grigor, to take Federer's place in the circuit. For me the final will be : Djokovic/ Dimitrov Important note: Tip is NOT against Murray, Tip is only favouring Dimitrov to beat Murray. The Scot looks excellent too. ciao!

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Vandeweghe completely flopped for some reason, she was nowhere near her level from the Stosur match. Back Tomas Berdych (-4.5) to beat Bernard Tomic for a 8/10 stake at 1.85 with Unibet Berdych in cruise control so far and I can't see that changing tomorrow. Tomic is talented, but I'd say that Berdych is much better than him at the moment. Can see Tomic winning a tight set, but not more. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/berdych-vs-tomic-betting-tomas-berdych-to-get-yet-another-grand-slam-win-against-bernard-tomic

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back Rafael Nadal (-5) to beat Kevin Anderson for a 8/10 stake at 1.88 with Pinnacle Nadal should be fine here in my opinion, Anderson is just way too one-dimensional and tends to go missing in the key moments whenever he's up against a big name. Unless health problems resurface for Rafa, he should be able to win with ease. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/nadal-vs-anderson-betting-rafael-nadal-to-outplay-kevin-anderson-in-melbourne

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back Andy Murray (-5) to beat Grigor Dimitrov for a 8/10 stake at 1.81 with Pinnacle The price for Dimitrov might look attractive, but I don't fancy his chances at all. He had problems against Lacko and he had problems against Baghdatis - and what's with all those shoes changes? Murray looks determined and in-form, so I expect him to get his revenge for that Wimbledon fiasco. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/murray-vs-dimitrov-betting-andy-murray-should-have-no-problems-against-the-bulgarian-tomorrow

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Back Yanina Wickmayer (+1.5 sets) to beat Simona Halep for a 5/10 stake at 3.20 with Paddy Power Back Yanina Wickmayer to beat Simona Halep for a 2/10 stake at 9.05 with Pinnacle Wickmayer is my underdog pick for tomorrow. If she plays like she did against Errani, she should have a chance of getting something tangible from this one. Moreover, I haven't really been impressed by Halep so far (although, considering my recent picks, I might've as well been hallucinating). Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/wickmayer-vs-halep-betting-yanina-wickmayer-could-provide-the-big-upset-on-sunday

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Irina-Camelia Begu (+1.5 sets) to beat Eugenie Bouchard @ 2.770 Pinnacle Irina-Camelia Begu (+6 games) to beat Eugenie Bouchard @ 1.862 Pinnacle Bouchard has looked pretty good so far and there's little doubt she is in some good form, but I don't think Begu is without a chance here. The Romanian has backed up her surprise win over Kerber in the first round with two routine wins to make the last 16, which suggests that she is playing well. If she could beat Kerber I don't see why she can't at least stay competitive against Bouchard, and so the set and game lines appeal.

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Peng Shuai to beat Maria Sharapova Peng Shuai to win a set Like a well bred race horse who has run his race under a lot of cover thus far, I strongly believe Peng looks prepared to be switched out wide for a winning run, and there are many positive vibes behind this suggestion. One only has to look back to her 2014 US Open form where she unfortunately had to pull out injured. For anyone who had the chance to see her play then, there would have been no doubt in your mind that it certainly was grand slam winning form on display. She looks like she has continued here where she left off and is yet to drop a set so far. Whilst her record against Sharapova may not look encouraging, I still have to feel super confident about her chances of winning considering that Sharapova herself is seemingly struggling and there to be shot at. The consistency and weight behind the refurbished ground strokes of Peng will surely give Sharapova all sorts of problems. All my analysis is based on the belief that Peng has a realistic chance of winning. I am more than happy to take it for granted that she will win a set. Good luck all!!!

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Australian Open 2015 3/3 yesterday! Finally!! Tamara Korpatsch to beat Katerina Vankova(10k Kaarst)@2.25,bet365, 4/10 Korpatsch has been on fire lately. Datumg back to november her last two tournaments she had wins over players like Lizarazo, Bacquie, and wta 100ish ranked Pfizenmaier and only lost to De Vroome and an in form Coin in three sets. I think she mist have had a nice offseason becausr she came back eith unbelievable fast game and high confidence as I had the chance to watch her play today against Lottner and yesterday win over newcomer Rueffeer. She has won 7 matches here, winnin 14 sets in a row and only 1 set was close yesterday 75 the rest 13 was 63s and 62s. She was serving around 80% success rate with her first serve the past two games, she was almost faultless today as Lottner was another inform player (beaing Vankova last week btw) but Korpatsxh easily dispatched her, being better in every aspect of the game. I think Vankova is a good player and also think she will play better and better and this is a final that usually I dont touch, but she was struggling vs Daniels and also Morderger 64 in the third and I think she is not in a great form looking at her results. I firmly believe looking at the numbers and the way Korpatsch has been playing (beat Pozhnikirenko, Grammatikopolou and Lottner as good players imo). Go easy on it its a final! GL! I will update my units and a hell of a shit january first 2 weeks will come to an end, but hopefully I can finish it with a nice run! Next week with full throttle, we have enough ITF to announce the real start of the betting season for me! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Czech usually I agree with your tips! But today I will be on Halep 2-0 in a combo, and also think Dimitrov can beat Murray! But what do I know about atp or wta ?!? ;) Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Nick Kyrgios vs Andreas Seppi over 40.5 games 10/11 paddy power 5 sets 21/10 skybet This looks like five setter to me I could be wrong but these two are playing well and there is not much between them his opponent had a great win over Federer but im worried he may not do it again but i still think it will be a tough match for Kyrgios Yanina Wickmayer vs Simona Halep over 18.5 games 8/11 paddy power over 2.5 sets 11/4 paddy power Halep is favourite for this match but opponent has a good record against her so maybe the first set might be a bit tight but Halep has improved a lot since they last played against each other so expect her come through but her opponent is playing well so it wont be easy

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Re: Australian Open 2015 Ralina Kalimullina to beat Aida Kalimullina (Aktobe 10k Q)@1.72, bet365, 5/10 How low can we go right? 10k kazah qualification.... BUT when there are sisters playing eachother (twins!) that are pretty much the same level, I always start digging. I have found that Ralina might be a tad better by her results. She actually has wins over Cepelyte and Prograbnyek 300 and 200 itf junior, so that means that she can play some. Her younger sister has shown almost that as well, but, and this is the main reason Im betting on Ralina here, Aida has won their only h2h last september. Speaking also from personal experience, it is very likely that this record will go to 2-0 for Aida, as sisterly and brotherly love becomes an even bigger rivalization factor and when there is some revenge to be done, especially imo on the slightly better sister's side, than I will bet on that! Go easy coz these girls are pretty low level....

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