giraldi

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I have recently received VIP access to CGMBet and I am loving it. I am the first to admit that I am relatively new to the sports trading game but already I can see how useful this tool is going to be. I have only really touched the surface of what information the tool can provide as yet as I am still working my way though the tutorial and additional bits of information kindly provided by giraldi on this thread.

So far I have found it useful in looking for long term patterns relative to certain leagues. For example the number of goals scored in the first 5 mins of a game over the last few seasons. I can see that I could extract all sorts of long term data from the tool that I hope will give me an angle to use when approaching trading. As yet I have only taken a quick look at team specific data but I can see that there appears to be an incredible amount of information that could be filtered out.

The tool has performed well in general - at certain times I have to wait a minute or two for results to show but that may be down to volume of data. I guess in this modern world we often expect things to work instantly but at times that has not been the case -  I am not sure if this is normal behaviour or not as I have no other experience with software such as this that is sorting out such large volumes of data. In any case it doesn't detract from the usefulness of the tool - I am more than happy to wait for the data so that I can enter a trade with more confidence based on historic data.

Overall I am really pleased - I still have a lot to learn but the interface is slowly looking less overwhelming to me as I play around and go through the tutorials. This is a tool that I am certain will be used on a daily basis and is most definitely now a key part of my trading toolset.

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Anyone having issues with cgmbet tool? Or able to help me fix mine?
 

Tried to update it today but seems to have deleted a lot, if not all, of the files?

 

When I click on the icon now instead of loading up as normal it loads up in "Microsoft visual fox Pro" and just lists the files, all of which seem to be empty?

 

Just when I was going to use it for this weeks bets too........ Lol

 

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On 11/11/2018 at 10:02 AM, giraldi said:

I am sorry for the late response..

Jammo

Of course will not be possible to see the games where will not be goals in the first 15 minutes but we can see what happened in the past and to hope that there is a pattern

There are many possibilities to see that.

For example in UPCOMNG, I selected today-s games, then set the right side parameters like in the picture below and select to see only the games where both teams scored less than 0.5 in more than 80% of the games. Of course is just an example that will give you a few games, not necessary good to play but to check further.... then finally to make a decision.

GeLqWGj.jpg

 

johnnybravvo

I really do not know how are calculated the ELO values on PL. I use a classic formula you can find over the net.

DIF_H and DIF_A  means the difference between ELO before the game and ELO after the game. Can be very useful at some point.

If you are in TABLES then select a team on the right side will see the team-s games. Wll be highlighted the differences between ELO values before and after games where the values are over the value you can set on the button just below the table. It can show you very fast the good/bad results. 

QVgbK3x.jpg

 

 

Thanks for the explanation.

Can u pls kindly get me a VIP licence?  the temporary licence i got via the website contact page does not allow me export calculated ratings tables to excel and now it is no longer active after i updated.
i contacted support but no response since 3 days.
My user code = 39300-54738-65145-19838-22142

Any help will be appreciated. Thanks

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@giraldi

Can u pls kindly get me a VIP licence?  the temporary licence i got via the website contact page does not allow me export calculated ratings tables to excel and now it is no longer active after i updated.
i contacted support but no response since 3 days.
My user code = 39300-54738-65145-19838-22142

Any help will be appreciated. Thanks

 
  •  

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Every month are released at least 2 licenses for PL users. I think the last 2 months were released much more. The next 2 will be available after 1st of December. Just expected a correct feed-back, here or to my email adress. I would appreciate especially negative opinions and suggestions to improve.  

 

Now,  I would like to introduce a new add-on.

It is under constructions so any suggestion would be appreciated.
The bug reports will be appreciated also. There are a lot of data and calculations so unexpected results are still possible. Please play with it and report any error.


If you click on the Adv. Goals button on menu bar

DoG56VR.jpg

 

there will be 2 pages of stats.

First one will allow you to see the goals minutes, team by team or at league level. For now, there is stats only for top 5 leagues, first and second level. The results are for 15 seasons back. Next months will be added other leagues also.
Will be possible also to click on a cell in the first table then to see in the bottom table what happened next...
On the bottom control panel you can set a lot of parameters...

SBwCj0S.jpg


The second page will allow you to see, for a specific leagues what was the result in different markets for example if the home team scored in the first 15 minutes then score is still 1-0 in the 70 minutes...etc

del3vMJ.jpg

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thesage,

the odds are from Pinnacle. Probably there are no odds for this market. I checked and many games have odds but a lot of games have not indeed.  I will check anyway,

 

I introduced last time the new add-on. I managed to check and to add the goals minute for about 40 leagues since 2010 season. I remember that for the top 5 countries, first 2 leagues data is available since 2005 season. 

For example, in the picture you can see the first goal scored minute for all the leagues available for the last 5 years, in percent.  

Ln9rTVp.jpg

 

 

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Hello giraldi,

 

Would love to test your statistical tool with full access.

Looks very promising and read a lot of good things so quite excited to learn it myself.

If you would not mind to give me a VIP licence it would be awesome.

Thank you foryour answer in advance.

 

Regards,

 

Josy

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Hi giraldi, What a great program you have here and really appreciate for your effort. Have been played around with a temporary license and can I please have a VIP License to try out all the awesome functions. Cheers!

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Hi @giraldi

 

I purchased VIP (not sure why everyone is begging for a free licence, come on people reward honest hard work!) =

Just trying to find my way around, it is harder than anticipated. My main objective is finding a pattern, and then back testing it. So I think the 'rating maker' is my feature to go to. Now, whatever I do I can only select 'this season' for backtesting an advanced rating maker system.. I thought this could go at least 5 seasons?

thanks

liero

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21 hours ago, giraldi said:

johnnybravvo,Josy, DKY

install the software, click UPDATE then follow the instructions provided there.

 

Got it, thank you giraldi.

Will have some time after Xmas so will test it and give you a feedback.

Thanx, mate.

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The number of goals scored depends on period of the year? Probably I will study this.

Anyway, following a few suggestions I added two filters in order to see only the goals scored:

- between 2 months (for example winter months like in the picture )

- last 15, 30 or 60 days..etc

 

SqlBBsx.png

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Did not have the time to present a few new features created based on users requests.

I created a few new buttons that will allow you much more advanced filters. For example in the picture below I want to see what happened in Premier League after the underdog, playing away, scored first before 20 minutes, then still lead in  the 70th minute.

We can see on the bottom table that the system found 91 games since 2005.
The underdog managed to won just around 62% games.  It seems a low value to me for just 20 minutes remained.

As a bouns, I added a button to see the odds instead of percents. Need to click CALCULATE button if you want to change that

vWp5N3X.png

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You will think I went too far, unless you are a statistic freak, like me. 1f642.png:)

Added up to 5 goals + minutes intervals
Top 5 leagues.
Underdog, away, scored in 1-15 then scored again until 55 (for 0-2)
The favourite scored fast until 65 and had 25 minutes to win

63 games found. Underdog not lost in 74.6%

gRcxOFO.jpg

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Hello Giraldi, I recently came across your system while researching for historical data for an analysis project I am working on here in Kenya. But soon as I stumbled on your system, I need no more develop a different one since cgmbet captures all the relevant data that I needed. Thank you so much for such an awesome tool. (I actually think this is the best system in the world that I have personally come across.)

Now I have been reading this forum (this particular thread) from the start...I haven't read through every post and reply but you can be sure that I intend to do exactly that. My question (more of a request actually) is whether or not you still have any VIP Licenses to offer. I realized that I have no access to first leagues in my currently installed version (18.12.1605)....though interestingly, I did have those same access when I first did the installation and received my temporary license code.

Thank you in advance.

TH3PATAM.

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On 14.12.2018 at 6:26 PM, giraldi said:

You will think I went too far, unless you are a statistic freak, like me. 1f642.png:)

Added up to 5 goals + minutes intervals
Top 5 leagues.
Underdog, away, scored in 1-15 then scored again until 55 (for 0-2)
The favourite scored fast until 65 and had 25 minutes to win

63 games found. Underdog not lost in 74.6%

gRcxOFO.jpg

How great would it be to be able to set up alerts for live games, to define a situation as you described, get an inplay alert and compare offered odds for underdog win versus our probability forecast...

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Big improvements in Advanced Goals Stats.

I added the possibility to check not only the team but "similar teams". That means that will be considered in calculation not the team "Tottenham" but any team that have had similar ELO coefficient.
This is extremely good because maybe is less important what goals scored Man City 15 years ago then what goals scored teams that have had the relative value similar to today's City value.

Also added the possibility to select as opponent "teams like..." then choose a team from current league. The system will consider only the opponents that have had similar ELO (+/- selected value)

For example, in the picture, see how I set the buttons to see details about today-s game Tottenham-Utd.
In the last 15 years, there were 224 games between teams like Tottenham vs teams like Utd (ELO +/- 50 points)
We can see that home scored first in 115 games, and in the first 15 minutes in 38 games - that means around 17% - pretty good.

Then if click on 38 number will see that Tottenham scored the second goal, in 14 Utd scored the second goal (and probably in 4 cases ended 1-0)    Extremely often the second goals arrive in the next minutes after the goal scored in 1-15 minutes!

Rf6ORnG.jpg

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17 hours ago, giraldi said:

Big improvements in Advanced Goals Stats.

I added the possibility to check not only the team but "similar teams". That means that will be considered in calculation not the team "Tottenham" but any team that have had similar ELO coefficient.
This is extremely good because maybe is less important what goals scored Man City 15 years ago then what goals scored teams that have had the relative value similar to today's City value.

Also added the possibility to select as opponent "teams like..." then choose a team from current league. The system will consider only the opponents that have had similar ELO (+/- selected value)

For example, in the picture, see how I set the buttons to see details about today-s game Tottenham-Utd.
In the last 15 years, there were 224 games between teams like Tottenham vs teams like Utd (ELO +/- 50 points)
We can see that home scored first in 115 games, and in the first 15 minutes in 38 games - that means around 17% - pretty good.

Then if click on 38 number will see that Tottenham scored the second goal, in 14 Utd scored the second goal (and probably in 4 cases ended 1-0)    Extremely often the second goals arrive in the next minutes after the goal scored in 1-15 minutes!

Rf6ORnG.jpg

Hello Giraldi, do you still offer vip codes? If you indeed you do, I would gladly appreciate if you send one my way. Otherwise, THANKS! again for the great effort you have put into this.

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On 17.11.2014 at 16:39, giraldi said:

Эта нить одобрена Paul Ross Некоторые из вас уже знают меня из-за нескольких тем, что я начал на этом форуме, большинство связанных со статистикой. Будучи большим поклонником статистики и с некоторым опытом в ставках я создал небольшую программу, чтобы помочь мне в поиске хороших матчей. Несколько друзей видели его и хотели его и так далее. Теперь есть сотни пользователей по всему миру, которые находят мое программное обеспечение очень полезным. Небольшая программа превратилась в очень сложную программу, которая все еще развивается. Если бы я написал все варианты, я бы написал несколько дней, поэтому лучше поставить картину одного из разделов. Это раздел" недостатки", где будущие матчи могут быть изучены статистически. То, что вы видите, составляет около 5% функций, предлагаемых моим программным обеспечением. Также найдете бесплатно более 115 000 рекордов с результатами, с минутами, из более чем 30 лиг на протяжении более 5-10 лет (зависит от Лиги) Как я уже сказал, 90% программы бесплатно, включая Обновление базы данных. Остальные 10% зарезервированы для так называемых VIP-пользователей, тех, кто внес свой вклад на протяжении многих лет советами, предложениями, тестами и, конечно, пожертвованиями. Пол Росс предложил предложить 10 VIP-лицензий для участников PL. Я предлагаю 20 лицензий VIP для первых 20 пользователей, которые просят лицензию, но с просьбой, если это возможно, написать здесь краткий обзор программы. Просто скачайте программное обеспечение (подпись ссылка), установите его, нажмите кнопку обновить и отправить мне код пользователя. На поле для комментариев просто напишите - - - - - - - - - - - Я объявлю здесь, когда список будет заполнен В любом случае, обратите внимание, что пользователи, не являющиеся VIP, также имеют доступ к множеству мощных функций. Теперь, чтобы быть очень ясным-у меня достаточно опыта, чтобы знать, что любого вида программного обеспечения недостаточно, чтобы иметь успех, но наверняка это помогает много. Моя программа не является системой прогнозирования. Не буду ставить вместо тебя. Окончательное решение остается за вами после анализа всей информации. Я не буду писать здесь больше о программе, я уверен, что она будет говорить сама за себя. Я просто отвечу на Ваши вопросы. r3yxwA5.JPG

Hello How can I get a free vip for cgmbet. Thank.

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17.11.2014 в 16: 39, гиралди сказал:

Эта нить одобрена Paul Ross Некоторые из вас уже знают меня из-за нескольких тем, что я начал на этом форуме, большинство связанных со статистикой. Будучи большим поклонником статистики и с некоторым опытом в ставках я создал небольшую программу, чтобы помочь мне в поиске хороших матчей. Несколько друзей видели его и хотели его и так далее. Теперь есть сотни пользователей по всему миру, которые находят мое программное обеспечение очень полезным. Небольшая программа превратилась в очень сложную программу, которая все еще развивается. Если бы я написал все варианты, я бы написал несколько дней, поэтому лучше поставить картину одного из разделов. Это раздел" недостатки", где будущие матчи могут быть изучены статистически. То, что вы видите, составляет около 5% функций, предлагаемых моим программным обеспечением. Также найдете бесплатно более 115 000 рекордов с результатами, с минутами, из более чем 30 лиг на протяжении более 5-10 лет (зависит от Лиги) Как я уже сказал, 90% программы бесплатно, включая Обновление базы данных. Остальные 10% зарезервированы для так называемых VIP-пользователей, тех, кто внес свой вклад на протяжении многих лет советами, предложениями, тестами и, конечно, пожертвованиями. Пол Росс предложил предложить 10 VIP-лицензий для участников PL. Я предлагаю 20 лицензий VIP для первых 20 пользователей, которые просят лицензию, но с просьбой, если это возможно, написать здесь краткий обзор программы. Просто скачайте программное обеспечение (подпись ссылка), установите его, нажмите кнопку обновить и отправить мне код пользователя. На поле для комментариев просто напишите - - - - - - - - - - - Я объявлю здесь, когда список будет заполнен В любом случае, обратите внимание, что пользователи, не являющиеся VIP, также имеют доступ к множеству мощных функций. Теперь, чтобы быть очень ясным-у меня достаточно опыта, чтобы знать, что любого вида программного обеспечения недостаточно, чтобы иметь успех, но наверняка это помогает много. Моя программа не является системой прогнозирования. Не буду ставить вместо тебя. Окончательное решение остается за вами после анализа всей информации. Я не буду писать здесь больше о программе, я уверен, что она будет говорить сама за себя. Я просто отвечу на Ваши вопросы. r3yxwA5.JPG

Здравствуйте, как я могу получить бесплатный vip для cgmbet. Благодарить.

 

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