MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 [TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 616] [TR] [TH=class: firstColumn]Tuesday 4 November 2014[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Zenit St Petersburg U19 v Bayer 04 Leverkusen U19 (10:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.83[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.55 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Juventus U19 v Olympiacos U19 (13:30 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.37[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.94[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.51 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Arsenal U19 v Anderlecht U19 (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.33[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]8.8[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]104.55 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FC Basel U19 v Ludogorets Razgrad U19 (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.08[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]13.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]29[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.16 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Malmö FF U19 v Atlético de Madrid U19 (14:30 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.37[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.67 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Benfica U19 v AS Monaco U19 (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.40 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Borussia Dortmund U19 v Galatasaray SK U19 (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]104.37 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Real Madrid CF U19 v Liverpool U19 (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.49[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]6.4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.57 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Ajax U19 v FC Barcelona U19 (18:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.44[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.25 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Wednesday 5 November 2014[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Athletic Bilbao U19 v FC Porto U19 (11:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]268.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]NK Maribor U19 v Chelsea U19 (12:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.08[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]137.39 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Shakhtar Donetsk U19 v FC BATE Borisov U19 (12:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]268.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FC Bayern München U19 v AS Roma U19 (13:30 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]268.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Manchester City U19 v CSKA Moscow U19 (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.03[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.03[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]273.54 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Paris Saint-Germain U19 v APOEL U19 (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]268.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Sporting CP U19 v FC Schalke 04 U19 (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.06[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]268.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Youth competition for Under 19 sides, runs parallel to main Champions League. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Main UEFA site: http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/index.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group D Arsenal U19 - Anderlecht U19 1st v 2nd in the group. Anderlecht beat Arsenal 4-3 in Belgium in October. Anderlecht's overall shots on target stats are better than Arsenal's. Anderlecht's odds look a bit too big here at over 8.0. I think they are worth backing on the handicap - Anderlecht U19 +1AH 2.56 Marathon Stake: 3 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group C Benfica U19 - Monaco U19 1st v 2nd in this group. Both are favourites to qualify. The UEFA website report suggests Monaco dominated the first game in France last month, but they lost 1-0. A draw would probably suit both sides here. I think Monaco's odds look a bit high and they are worth backing Monaco U19 or draw 1.7 Marathon Stake: 3 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jase82 Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group D Arsenal U19 - Anderlecht U19 1st v 2nd in the group. Anderlecht beat Arsenal 4-3 in Belgium in October. Anderlecht's overall shots on target stats are better than Arsenal's. Anderlecht's odds look a bit too big here at over 8.0. I think they are worth backing on the handicap - Anderlecht U19 +1AH 2.56 Marathon Stake: 3 points Not to reign on your parade :) but shots on target data is hard to read just on its own because on the flip side one team might need half as many shots on goal to score twice as many, or something similar. The conversion rate is important and here Arsenal have scored one more goal overall than Anderlecht but as you say, have more shots on target. They didn't look like doing much against Galatasaray but won comfortably. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Not to reign on your parade :) but shots on target data is hard to read just on its own because on the flip side one team might need half as many shots on goal to score twice as many' date=' or something similar. The conversion rate is important and here Arsenal have scored one more goal overall than Anderlecht but as you say, have more shots on target. They didn't look like doing much against Galatasaray but won comfortably.[/quote'] I actually use shots on target FOR and AGAINST and it's on that measure that Anderlecht are superior :) I don't take account of conversion rate, which as you say is important. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group D Arsenal U19 - Anderlecht U19 1st v 2nd in the group. Anderlecht beat Arsenal 4-3 in Belgium in October. Anderlecht's overall shots on target stats are better than Arsenal's. Anderlecht's odds look a bit too big here at over 8.0. I think they are worth backing on the handicap - Anderlecht U19 +1AH 2.56 Marathon Stake: 3 points Result: Arsenal U19 1 Anderlecht U19 2 Bet won :ok Stake: 3 points Return: 7.68 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group C Benfica U19 - Monaco U19 1st v 2nd in this group. Both are favourites to qualify. The UEFA website report suggests Monaco dominated the first game in France last month, but they lost 1-0. A draw would probably suit both sides here. I think Monaco's odds look a bit high and they are worth backing Monaco U19 or draw 1.7 Marathon Stake: 3 points Result: Benfica U19 3 Monaco U19 0 Bet lost Stake: 3 points Return: nil Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 5, 2014 Author Share Posted November 5, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group H Weds 5th Nov 11.00 Athletic Bilbao U19 - Porto U19 3rd v 2nd in the group. Bilbao really need a win here. Porto won the reverse game last month 2-0, but Bilbao's shots stats are around the same and they are at home here so I would make them favourites. They are priced as outsiders on the 2-way markets, so I think they are worth backing Athletic Bilbao U19 AH0 2.2 188Bet Stake: 5 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted November 5, 2014 Author Share Posted November 5, 2014 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Group H Weds 5th Nov 11.00 Athletic Bilbao U19 - Porto U19 3rd v 2nd in the group. Bilbao really need a win here. Porto won the reverse game last month 2-0, but Bilbao's shots stats are around the same and they are at home here so I would make them favourites. They are priced as outsiders on the 2-way markets, so I think they are worth backing Athletic Bilbao U19 AH0 2.2 188Bet Stake: 5 points Result: Athletic Bilbao U19 3 Porto U19 1 Bet won :ok Stake: 5 points Return: 11 points Profit/Loss: +6 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 16, 2015 Author Share Posted March 16, 2015 Re: UEFA Youth League 2014/2015 - 4th group games Tues 4th/Weds 5th Nov 2014 Performance summary My bets on this thread Stake/Return 3/7.68 3/nil 5/11 Total stake: 11 points Total return: 18.68 points Profit/loss = +7.68 points Yield = +69.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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