UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

In financial circles spreading the risk is usually considered prudent!

Sure - I just meant I tend to put too much energy in trying to look at every game instead of just a shortlist.

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th Group C Asteras Tripolis - Tottenham 18.00 Asteras have better shots on target stats than Tottenham in the early group games, but they are quoted at over 5.0 here. Those odds look too high, even though Tottenham beat Asteras 5-1 at home. Greek sides are often much stronger at home than away. UEFA's website says Asteras haven't lost at home in Europe for three seasons - won 4 and drawn 3. Asteras +0.5 2.1 Paddy Power Stake: 4 points Asteras AH0 3.65 Marathon Stake: 1 point Total stake: 5 points

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th Group J Dynamo Kiev - Aalborg 20.05 Aalborg's shots on target stats are only slightly worse than Dynamo's. Aalborg beat Dynamo 3-0 in Denmark last month. On the UEFA website, Aalborg's players say that Kiev's players were a level above them. Kiev are traditionally strong at home and it will be tough for AaB tonight. But bearing in mind the shots on target numbers and the fact tha AaB won the first game 3-0, odds of 1.4 on Kiev look too short to me. AaB or Draw 3.25 Marathon Stake: 5 points

[simobetting]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th My final choices for this evening: Zurich - Villareal X2+GG @2.08 (Planetwin) Rio Ave - Steaua Bucuresti X2&2+ @2,16 (Planetwin) GL to everybody

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th Group H Everton v Lille 20.05 These two sides drew 0-0 in Lille in October. The two sides' shots on target stats are similar. Reading message boards and newspapers, I haven't seen anyone tipping Lille - everyone is going for Everton. They should be favourites I think, but they look too short to me here at 1.8. Lille +0.5 2.08 188Bet Stake: 5 points

[capri]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th [h=2]Astra Giurgiu v Celtic Celtic at 1.90 for (draw no bet) is quite good value I feel. They top the group, and even though they played badly at home against Astra they still won 2-1. I don't think Celtic will lose, I am 85% sure they will win the match after looking at the lineup. Worse case scenario for them tonight is a draw, hence the value. You would never get these draw no bet odds if Celtic were playing any other SPL side, and at best I think Astra would be a midtable SPL side. Sort of like Celtic playing away to Kilmarnock or something. Captain Scott Brown is also included in the squad, Celtic are always more attacking and disciplined when he plays, and the very experienced ex premiership goalkeeper Craig Gordon is between the sticks. [/h]

[gameofthrones]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th Asteras had a good result at the weekend but with playing with 10 players for a good part of the game I think that will have tired a few players. Spurs have named a decent enough squad to inflict the first European defeat (at home) v Asteras. Away win

[HurlyBurlyMan]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

Astra Giurgiu v Celtic Celtic at 1.90 for (draw no bet) is quite good value I feel. They top the group, and even though they played badly at home against Astra they still won 2-1. I don't think Celtic will lose, I am 85% sure they will win the match after looking at the lineup. Worse case scenario for them tonight is a draw, hence the value. You would never get these draw no bet odds if Celtic were playing any other SPL side, and at best I think Astra would be a midtable SPL side. Sort of like Celtic playing away to Kilmarnock or something. Captain Scott Brown is also included in the squad, Celtic are always more attacking and disciplined when he plays, and the very experienced ex premiership goalkeeper Craig Gordon is between the sticks.

Good call, well done. But I don't think you've watched Killie lately ;)

[Masturbinho]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

You would never get these draw no bet odds if Celtic were playing any other SPL side' date= and at best I think Astra would be a midtable SPL side.

That's a very ignorant comment. Astra are one of the top teams in Romania and the Romanian league is better the SPL.

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

Group E Dinamo Moscow - Estoril 17.00 My shots on target stats for the group games so far rank Estoril just below Dynamo, but the odds are very different for this game. Estoril need the points here, whereas Dynamo lead the group and should qualify irrespective of the result today. Dinamo won the first game in Portugal 3-1 last month. The UEFA report says the teams were 'evenly matched' and reveals that Estoril missed a penalty in that game. Taking all information into account, Estoril's odds look a little on the high side, so they are worth backing I think - Estoril or Draw 2.7 Coral Stake: 5 points

Result: Dinamo Moscow 1 Estoril 0 Bet lost Stake: 5 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -5 points The stats on Bet365 suggested the game was fairly even, so this perhaps wasn't a bad bet, although it lost.

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

Group C Asteras Tripolis - Tottenham 18.00 Asteras have better shots on target stats than Tottenham in the early group games, but they are quoted at over 5.0 here. Those odds look too high, even though Tottenham beat Asteras 5-1 at home. Greek sides are often much stronger at home than away. UEFA's website says Asteras haven't lost at home in Europe for three seasons - won 4 and drawn 3. Asteras +0.5 2.1 Paddy Power Stake: 4 points Asteras AH0 3.65 Marathon Stake: 1 point Total stake: 5 points

Result: Asteras 1 Tottenham 2 Total stake: 5 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -5 points From what I saw, and from the BBC website and report, Tottenham dominated for most of the game, but Asteras threw a lot into attack in the last 10-15 minutes. Overall, it sounded as Spurs probably deserved to win.

[Neubs]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

Besiktas-Partizan For sure there is a HW tonight. Partizan are tired and had played 5 Games in last 15 Days. Partizan Coach said that the team is tired and he knows that he will be loosing tonight and so they will give some fresh Players the chance tonight. Also Partizan is missing 3 important players: CD - Ilic, RD - Vulicevic and DM - Brasanac. The last win away in EL was 2005 so you see Partizan is very bad away. Also Besiktas win the Game in Belgrad with 4:0. So for me here easy win. BUT i will take 1 or 2 stakes lower, because Besiktas MUST playing in Olimpic Stadium and at this ground Besiktas played not so good. Only God knows why. o.O. So for me: Besiktas AHC-1 @ 1.72 5/10 sbobet

FT 2:1 CashBack

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

Group J Dynamo Kiev - Aalborg 20.05 Aalborg's shots on target stats are only slightly worse than Dynamo's. Aalborg beat Dynamo 3-0 in Denmark last month. On the UEFA website, Aalborg's players say that Kiev's players were a level above them. Kiev are traditionally strong at home and it will be tough for AaB tonight. But bearing in mind the shots on target numbers and the fact tha AaB won the first game 3-0, odds of 1.4 on Kiev look too short to me. AaB or Draw 3.25 Marathon Stake: 5 points

Result: Dinamo Kiev 2 AaB 0 Bet lost Stake: 5 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -5 points The stats suggested that Kiev were well on top. This was a bad bet I think, given Kiev's strength especially at home.

[MPLouis]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

Group H Everton v Lille 20.05 These two sides drew 0-0 in Lille in October. The two sides' shots on target stats are similar. Reading message boards and newspapers, I haven't seen anyone tipping Lille - everyone is going for Everton. They should be favourites I think, but they look too short to me here at 1.8. Lille +0.5 2.08 188Bet Stake: 5 points

Result: Everton 3 Lille 0 Bet lost Stake: 5 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -5 points The stats and BBC website suggested Everton deserved to win.

[simobetting]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday November 6th

My final choices for this evening: Zurich - Villareal X2+GG @2.08 (Planetwin) Rio Ave - Steaua Bucuresti X2&2+ @2,16 (Planetwin) GL to everybody

One lost, Zurich - Villareal 3-2 for a memorable second half of NOTHING btw 2 teams apparently doing a training after scoring 5 goals in the first 45'. Second won thanks to a goal at 92' scored by Ionut Filip for Steaua Bucuresti. EL never easy.