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Another interesting round with Origin II having an impact on line-ups. It appears to me that the teams which are the least affected by Origin I & II and/or in good form should get the chocolates this weekend. Accordingly, am leaning to Souths over Wests Tigers, Penrith over Saints, Titans over the Storm, Bulldogs over the Eels and the Roosters over the Knights. All five are favourites, so the odds on offer are short, from 1.18 to 1.50 but, as mentioned previously, better to bank a 40% return, for example, than seek an unlikely 4.75 upset. GL all.

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