BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014

[Blazing Bailey]

:ok

[Blazing Bailey]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 Warwick 6.40 - Tidals Baby 16/1 William Hill EW BOG Im sure this horse is well enough treated to win off his mark of 78 but its just a case of whether tomorrow is the right day. He showed that he was a handicapper on the upgrade last season, winning and placing in some decent races before coming unstuck a little on soft at Windsor and Ayr either side of another good performance at Goodwood. He flopped on his return at Windsor this season but it doesnt really concern me too much because he has been beaten comfortably on his first start every season. My main concern comes from how he needs to be ridden as he is at his best when coming from off the pace but having said that he has still been very effective at sharp tracks (Goodwood, Windsor, Warwick and even Lingfield on the AW) and if he is fully fit for this I can easily see him coming with a late run. Normally I would go for the win only at these odds, but given the added risk of his running style on this type of track I will play EW another horse steals first run on him.

[Aidymac]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 Bath 2:40 A horse that looks way too big here is Comptonspirit, a horse that has won three times here already for the Brian Baugh yard. The 10 year old mare won here at Bath off a mark of 65 in July last year and is only 2 pounds higher in the weights tomorrow but has a 3 pound claimer on board. From her 12 runs here at Bath, she has only been out of the top 3 three times so she always seems to run very well here. The ground will be in her favour, the only question mark is if she is ready after a nice break, but there is no way she should be 33/1 here, I had her down as a 10/1 shot. Comptonspirit WIN @ 33/1 Bet365

[corky]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 1440 bath 0.5 ew dreams of glory 13/2 bet365 a course specialist, 5 wins over the sprint distance, and he hacked up on seasonal debut last time out after being of the track for nearly a year,ground conditions suit,and i hope he can try to make every post a winning one,as i feel he is better going all out from the off,

[calculus]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 2:30 Nottingham - Gold Club ?(6/1 Ladbrokes) 1pt Win Put this one in my tracker after a staying on third over a furlong shorter last time out. That looked a decent race for the grade and the first two home look like young sprinters who can win their connections some prize money this season. These big field three year old handicaps are very difficult to work out at the best of times and even more so at this stage of the season, but I think my selection looks guaranteed to run his race with Paul Mulrennan keeping the ride and the McMahon team beginning to look like they may be coming to hand in the last couple of weeks. It would be disappointing if he cannot go close here and I actually think he should be clear favourite.

[BillyHills]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 350 Newcastle: Memory Cloth 4/1 SJ/BV Three wins in a month for Memory Cloth when he has been teamed up with Megan Carberry and beaten in a much better race last time at York although still ran well. Carberry back on board and this horse is still below his mark of twelve months ago so may not have stopped winning yet. Apologies for the weak reasoning, don't think I've felt this bad all of my life!

[robertob]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 14.30 Nottingham: Quincel @ 25/1 Bet365 Quincel drops in trip down to 6f today, which I assume will suit extremely well. Since going handicapping, he always raced over further and seemed to me like a horse that simply ran out of steem towards the end. He showed loads of early pace on his two last All-Weather start over 7f, when on his last appearance in 2013 at Wolverhampton, he looked the winner over half a furlong out, but was caught at the line. I thought his seasonal reappearance was better than the bare result suggest, when over 7f at Wolver he showed gate speed again and took on the lead, travelling nicely but simply faded away from 2f out. He stepped up to a mile in his next start, which was never going to suit, as he was also held up. Now down in trip, with his good early speed, he should feature prominently and has every chance to win this race of a mark which is down to something he should be capable of running to. Interesting also to see him visored for the first time, which might ensure him staying focused in the closing stages.

[joeblitz]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 3.00 Nottingham Sir Frank Morgan 5/4 Coral BOG Sir Frank Morgan was just denied by Chocala in a better race than this at Ascot 10 days ago and if running to that level of form, should win. Encouraging too is the fact he ran to the line. 1 Point win for nap purposes Sir Frank Morgan 5/4 Coral BOG

[Trotter]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 Bath 3.10 - Starlight Symphony - win at 5/2 bog bet365 A few non runners here but even so I think it might be worth taking on the favourite. Johnston's horse, Kosika, is lightly raced and likely to go off in front in what is now a small field. is also dropping in class and has a decent claimer taking some weight off.......so deserves to be favourite and has a lot going for her. However she is beginning to look like a horse that was assessed too harshly on her maiden win and might need a few runs to get down to a more realistic mark. Mainly though, I'm not sure she'll be suited by this track and the firm going. She's had two long breaks in a short career which might signify some physical problems and firm ground doesn't normally suit horses who've had any physical problems. There's a bit of an uphill finish here and that might not suit.........she's had comments lie 'no extra final furlong' and 'headed final 100 yards' over shorter trips so I figure she might get caught here near the finish My selection looks handicapped to the height of her ability but might win despite that as the conditions look to be perfect for her, Both her wins have been on g/f ground and she's run well here over this CD before. Had a couple of runs on the AW so should be cherry ripe now.

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 2.00 Nottingham - Star Decision 1pt win @ 20/1 HIlls Godolphin saddle 3 here but any of them could come out on top. I always like to take on a short priced 2 year old horse that is odds on on their second run. Very little info to go on but this horse is well bred and cost a bit like most of their horses but it could spring a shock

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 Star Citizen sorry *

[Rainbow]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 sweetheart abbey 4.10 bath takes my eye today. ran a decent race in context with this race last time, and is capable of improving. on breeding

• (Dancing Spree (USA) (8.0f) — Hinton Pearl (Loch Pearl )) should be fine on this quick ground and the handicapper gives her a chance off a mark of 60, which although is 1lb higher for coming 4th last time, it still gives her every chance if she shows improvement as expected.

12/1 coral bog 1 point win

[kev2oo9]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 7.15 Warwick Royal Brave win 9/2 betvictor Had this done in my alerts for nto when only btn 1.5L by 78 rated Iftaar off levels and only a nk behind A legacy of love rated 72 , giving 5lbs. That was in a maiden and still rated 62 , of which it placed off on all weather as a 2yo. Back down to 5f will help and has a leading chance. Sent from my HTC One using Tapatalk

[Dund0n]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014 6.00 Yarmouth - Barnaby Brook win @ 11/1 Skybet I think this one looks interesting on this mark. He's been running (and struggling)off of marks of around 70+ so the fact that he's been dropped to 53 makes him interesting in this fairly weak race which shouldn't take much winning. He could potentially go well fresh as his only win has come from a break of over 100 days. He hasn't shown a right lot on turf so far but that could be down to the fact that he has run against horses which were a lot better. The trip will suit and this one could be worth a punt at this price. The favourite is definitely the key danger as he has been very consistent.

[Blazing Bailey]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 20th May 2014

Warwick 6.40 - Tidals Baby 16/1 William Hill EW BOG Im sure this horse is well enough treated to win off his mark of 78 but its just a case of whether tomorrow is the right day. He showed that he was a handicapper on the upgrade last season, winning and placing in some decent races before coming unstuck a little on soft at Windsor and Ayr either side of another good performance at Goodwood. He flopped on his return at Windsor this season but it doesnt really concern me too much because he has been beaten comfortably on his first start every season. My main concern comes from how he needs to be ridden as he is at his best when coming from off the pace but having said that he has still been very effective at sharp tracks (Goodwood, Windsor, Warwick and even Lingfield on the AW) and if he is fully fit for this I can easily see him coming with a late run. Normally I would go for the win only at these odds, but given the added risk of his running style on this type of track I will play EW another horse steals first run on him.

NR!