footbalfan Posted May 14, 2014 Share Posted May 14, 2014 Hello, guys! I want share my strategy on football predictions. It's was not easy, I spent enougth time and money to make my first profit on long distance. To show you example I took football match between Elche and Barcelona. If you look at last away matches Barcelona, we can notice that there are 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 loses! Then look at Elche stat(last 10 home matches). There are 4 wins, 5 draws and only 1 lose! Lets, do simple calculations: 1. Get possibilites by each team to win, lose and draw. Elche. Win: 4/10 = 0,4; Lose: 1/10=0,1; Draw: 5/10=0,5; Barcelona. Win: 5/10=0,5; Lose: 4/10=0,4; Draw: 1/10=0,1 2. Then calculate average possibilities and get next result: Elche win: 0,4 + 0,4 = 0,8 /2 = 0,4 * 100 = 40% Barcelona win: 0,1 + 0,5 = 0,6 / 2= 0,3 * 100 = 30% Draw:0,5 + 0,1 = 0,6 / 2 = 0,3 * 100 = 30% According to possibility you can do bet on 1X. But it's very difficult to make bet against Barcelona, I think you understand me ;). By similar calculation you can do prediction on match total. My bet was on total 2.5 under. Coefficient was 2,8. And you can see on graph that on 11 may people started to put money on this bet and odd moved from 3,5 to 2,8!!! It's my own strategy and don't belive only number, I feel my bet! I have done about 40 bets during two month and earn more than 7K $! Good luck guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted May 14, 2014 Share Posted May 14, 2014 Re: Sharing my football strategy! So you're going on recent form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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