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Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th


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Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th

We saw the Benfica of old tonight playing a very attacking game but not surprisingly running out of steam just like last season. They started brilliantly ans were fantastic for most of the first half but Jorge Jesus also showed his tactical shortcomings which seemed to have disappeared over the season. I mentioned Juventus threat out wide with midfielders overloading the flanks but Jesus completely ignored this and allowed Pogba to boss the game in the second half. We saw the danger in the first half and nothing was done at half time. I was surprised Jesus stuck with his attacking 4-2-2-2 which should definitely have been ditched for a more defensive 4-5-1 especially after tiredness crept in to his side. Because of this two man midfield Benfica didn't have the extra man in midfield to cover the wide areas and left Pirlo in space to dictate play. Juventus looked very dodgy when Benfica managed to isolate their defence with their quick forwards and bringing a lead to Turin will be crucial because Juventus will have to attack. Juventus can be got at on the break and if you cover the flanks properly and prevent Pirlo dictating their attack they are very beatable. There's no way Jesus can ignore the 4-5-1 after seeing that second half performance and if they make some tactical changes to nullify Juventus I think they can win the tie with their threat on the counter.
Juve are surely hot favourites now with the away goal
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Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th

Juve are surely hot favourites now with the away goal
Wouldn't say hot favourites because Benfica will certainly get chances to score as we saw when they got their quick forwards running at the Juve defence. If Juve get an early goal things will be very tough for Benfica but they will have to push for that second goal to even the tie and the longer it stays that way the more chances Benfica will get on the break. If Jesus approaches the game the same way as today I can't see them qualifying but a few changes to their system to nullify Juventus and I feel they can get to the final.
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Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th

If Juve get an early goal things will be very tough for Benfica but they will have to push for that second goal to even the tie
Sorry I don't get that - if Juve score, they are ahead on the away goals rule, so they don't have to push for a second goal. That's why I think they have a big advantage.
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Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th

Sorry I don't get that - if Juve score' date=' they are ahead on the away goals rule, so they don't have to push for a second goal. That's why I think they have a big advantage.[/quote'] Sorry I mean Juve will have to push for a goal to even the tie on aggregate not push for a second if they score in Turin. I meant a second goal in the overall tie but I didn't make that clear.
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Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th

Category: Football - Europa League 24 picks +59 units profit +46% yield Win-Loss-Void: 16-8-0 Win rate: 67% Stake avg.: 5.4 Odd avg.: 3.57 Staked: 129 Returned: 187.77 I see value in this bet and I will explain why. Honestly I think Sevilla before his public is obligated to make a good game and I think they win, but have to analyse each team playing. Sevilla is specialist to counterattack with playmaker Rakitic and fast wings like Vitolo and up strikers Bacca and Gameiro. In contrast, the bats of Valencia are playing something else, like to have the ball, even with a double pivot Parejo and Keita leaves us clearly that are players that love to touch the ball mist fo time and passing. Instead presums Sevilla gets with Iborra and Mbia that are quite the opposite. If score Sevilla first no fear for the bet as I think they fall back a little and try to counterattack without risking to kill the tie, otherwise if Valencia take the lead then Sevilla at home would be forced to came above and press a lot more to get something positive. In league Valencia avg 53.18 % of possession and despite Sevilla go much higher on the table they are just 47.4 %. I think the line is overvalued since Seville has 60 % chance to get ahead and this almost certainly would give a green to this selection. Total ball possesion Sevilla (%) Under 52.5 at 2.20 Unibet 4 units
42 % :p
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