Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th

[Aidymac]

[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617]

[TR=class: row1] [TD=class: firstColumn]Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain (19:45 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.99[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.14 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[kevshat]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th 4pts Chelsea to beat PSG 17/20 Ladbrokes Chelsea have no option but to give it a go in this match and while that could play into PSG’s advantage with them having room to counter I thought the Paris defence was all over the shop in the first leg and I’m not convinced they will hold up to the waves of pressure I expect Chelsea to deliver in this match. I’m not going to be as bold as to say Chelsea will win the tie but I do think they’ll win this second leg. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/chelsea-vs-psg-betting-chelsea-can-win-second-leg-at-stamford-bridge

[MPLouis]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th (Score from first leg: PSG lead 3-1) I think overs is good value here. Listening to the radio commentary of the first leg, it sounded as though both defences were struggling. I find it hard to imagine PSG locking out Chelsea for a 0-0 or something like that. More likely I think is either several Chelsea goals or several PSG goals - and quite possibly some from each side. I much prefer backing teams to backing goals, but the odds here seem a bit too high - Over 2.5 2.02 sbobet Stake: 5 points

[Aidymac]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Paris St Germain are now unbeaten in their last 15 games in a row and when Chelsea travelled to Paris for the first leg of this Champions League quarter final they could not cope with the French side. PSG won the game 3-1 and that has put Chelsea's chances of progressing further in this competiton in massive jeopardy. The only positive Chelsea can take from the game is they got that all important away goal so if they were to win the home leg 2-0 they would go through. They have to be at their very best though as this French side under Laurent Blanc are a serious outfit. Traditionally you would associate a team under Jose Mourinho as being extremely difficult to beat at home and to be fair even though Chelsea have not been very impressive this season, they have a brilliant home record. Their only home defeat of the season came to the hands of Basle in a shock 2-1 loss but the Champions League is a different ball game to the league. I think PSG have what it takes to come to Stamford Bridge and get a result, they already demolished Leverkusen and Olympiakos away from home and although this is tougher, the value is PSG +1 EH @ 19/20 with Bet365. Nemanja Matic has been a sublime player for Chelsea this season but he is unable to play in the Champions League as he is cup tied. He was extremely impressive in Chelsea's 3-0 win at home to Stoke at the weekend. PSG are going to more than likely without the services of Zlatan Ibrahimovic which is a blow to them but they still have plenty of quality going forward with Lavezzi and Cavani. Zlatan was quite poor in the first leg before he came off so he might not be a huge loss. I think PSG will set themselves up for the draw here and they have the quality to get it. Paris St Germain +1 EH @ 19/20 Bet365 - Also Get a £200 Free Bet when you Register!

[g.popa89]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th On one hand, Chelsea has no other option than to attack. On the other hand, PSG will try to score at least one goal which would make them huge favourites to qualify. I don't see Chelsea scoring 4 goals if PSG scores, however I see them winning them 2-1. My bet for this game is BTTS & over 2.5 goals @ 2.2 at bet365

[ExpectTheUnexpected]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Due to the fact that Chelsea could get themselves 1-0 up, and then quite easily concede while chasing the game late on looking for a goal to qualify, the one result in this game I was completely unprepared to touch was Chelsea in 90 minutes. As such, i've taken a more optimistic option of Chelsea to qualify at 3/1 VC. That away goal could prove crucial, and while they may have struggled away from home defensively, I feel they should cope better at home. A lot has been made of the impact no Ibrahimovic will have on the PSG side. Admittedly, he was poor in the first leg. However, Ibra has a talisman role for that club. I don't have the stats to hand, but i'd love to see a win percentage with him, and a win percentage without him. He's their rock, key man, and where the play goes through. Undoubtedly they have a number of match winners in their team, I just don't feel that they'll play as well. A 2 goal lead is a dangerous one, and should Chelsea score in the first half, I can't see PSG surviving 45 minutes of bombardment, especially when Jose plays his 'if you're 6'4 or taller, go upfront' card as he always does when losing late in games.

[TotoSchillaci]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Like MPLouis, I prefer team markets to goal markets and rarely bet on them. Unless there is a need for goals like in this one. I took over 2 goals @ 1.525 at bet365 some days ago where I get my stake pushed if there are only 2 goals. That's pretty decent value especially in a double. It's now 1.45 but still value in my opinion as the over 2 markets can usually be found as low as 1.20 in matches where goals are expected. For some reason goals aren't expected here judging by the markets... However Chelsea will not need Matic here because they are going to attack from the start (maybe like we haven't seen them do this season) with all the numbers 10's on at once probably. The crowd will be thrusting Chelsea forward for 90 mins (not that they need the hint). PSG are prone to a silly error at the back and going forward they have world class players that will thrive in counter attacking opportunities. Lavezzi, Moura, Pastore, Veratti etc are all quick, intelligent and technically gifted. And these guys are gonna get spaces to attack tomorrow. Cavani especially I think will thrive without the shadow of Ibra there. He has a lot in his locker, he's not just a great finisher, and he looked happy on the weekend scoring and playing in that central channel. So pretty much Torres is the only player on the field who can't help us here :D. This match is set up perfectly for goals and the over 2 protects our stake against only 2 going in where sometimes strange things happen in CL with refs etc. Good luck :ok

[TotoSchillaci]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Words from Blanc supporting on open match: "We can't just be content with sitting back and letting Chelsea come on to us," Blanc said. "Our ambition is to go out and try to cause them problems. We're used to taking the game to the opposition. "Look at our statistics in the Champions League - we've always scored. "That's a significant statistic. Chelsea are going to try to score, but Paris St Germain will as well. That's our mentality. "We've not come here to suffer, we've not come here to have Chelsea just dictate the game to us and to dominate us. "We know that the best approach to take is to have the ball and to create chances. "That's the role of a top team, to be able to dominate the game away from home. Ultimately the game will come down to who has the ball and how well they're able to use it."

[discipline]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Ibrahimovic isn't build for these kind of games anyway. As good as he is, but he is not what I would classify as "hard worker" on the pitch.

[MPLouis]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th

Yes both teams were a bit suspect defensively in the first leg. But I wouldn't count on the same happening again tonight ... If I was to play the goal markets' date=' I'd definitely take Under 2.5 goals at 2.04 on Betfair.[/quote'] I think it's useful to try to look at both sides of a situation (or 'market') :ok Here, you could argue that Chelsea will attack from the start and PSG's skilful attackers will hit them on the counter, resulting in lots of goals, or you could argue that both sides will be cautious, wary of conceding the first goal tonight and there won't be many goals. Odds have dropped quite a bit on the 'over 2.5' meaning that the weight of opinion is swinging towards overs, but there's not that much in it, meaning roughly half the people think it will be overs and half think it will be unders. If Chelsea get a 2-0 lead with about 15 minutes to go, then I certainly could imagine it ending 2-0, as Chelsea would concentrate mainly on defence. And these games often change dramatically after a goal. For example I could imagine it being 0-0 after 60 minutes with defences on top. Then Chelsea get a penalty, and the game opens up dramatically.

[MPLouis]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th

They definitely know how to defend. And they don't need to score here.

Knowing the defensive strength of both sides, I thought the first leg would be likely to be unders - but it wasn't of course. If PSG's defence is at its' best, I suppose they could, say, get a 1-0 lead tonight, putting them 4-1 up on aggregate, and then manage to defend for the rest of the game, perhaps conceding one goal or scoring one more.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th I do think Chelsea will win this one. I fully agree with everyone who says that PSG always know how to score and usually defend really well. But first of all, let's split the cake. PSG faced a really low-sided Bayer Leverkusen, that hasn't been playing a sh*t since December. PSG usually have some trouble in defending away from home, and against such a strong home side as it is Chelsea, I can see them conceding twice, at least. So, they will have to score. And which such players at the front (Lavezzi, Cavana, Lucas Moura), I also can't see them scoring. Which means that Chelsea will have to score 3 to take it to ET or 4 to win it (while only conceding 1). While playing against bigger and better teams at home, Chelsea doesn't fail at all in winning or reaching their objectives. They won at home against harder current opposition, IMO, such as Liverpool (2-1) and Manchester City (2-1). They also employed good wins against Man Utd (3-1), Tottenham (4-0) and Schalke (3-0) and Galatasaray (2-0) for the CL. Chelsea are on a 8-game streak of not conceding at home, which points out that they are rock solid and know how to play their game at home. Mourinho is playing mind-games since that Verratti handshake after the 3-1 scored by Pastore, yesterday on the press conference the same, and I do feel it will have an impact on his players and PSG players. Mourinho always shows why he is the best. And I think it will happen today. They are missing main strikers, Schurrle still in doubt and Salah and Matic not available. But I still feel Chelsea can score 2 or more, set pieces can be a factor in that. Therefore, and considering that Chelsea have to win, even though PSG will most probably score, the best bet is Chelsea to win @ 1.80, 1.85 on some bookies. I actually think Chelsea will score quite soon, around the 10-15' minute mark. However, you just can't ignore the value on Chelsea to Qualify at @ 3.80. That's big odds! Especially if Hazard is in a "yes day". For those glory hunters, on betfair (yeah I know it's good for trading, but you can just punt it if you wish), Chelsea to qualify on ET and Chelsea to qualify on penalties are at 40 and 70, respectively. I threw a coin, you never know :)

[neilovan]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th

(Score from first leg: PSG lead 3-1) I think overs is good value here. Listening to the radio commentary of the first leg, it sounded as though both defences were struggling. I find it hard to imagine PSG locking out Chelsea for a 0-0 or something like that. More likely I think is either several Chelsea goals or several PSG goals - and quite possibly some from each side. I much prefer backing teams to backing goals, but the odds here seem a bit too high - Over 2.5 2.02 sbobet Stake: 5 points

I watched that game and it was a strange match. Chelsea gave up that 1st goal, but from about the 20th minute to at least the 55th minute they were in control. I actually took an in-play bet on Chelsea to win it, they were that dominant. The weird stuff happened, It's like they lost their legs and flatted after about 55 minutes. PSG picked it up and started to control the game. Mourinho after the game said some very interesting .... Basically he said that a team will concede goals against quality opponents. But they should be quality goals. Great shots, fantastic passing, slick moves, with incredible finishes. ie. Something special. He said that the sloppiness of the 2nd and 3rd PSG goals was unacceptable at this level. And both goals were awful defending. AWFUL ! One from a set-piece delivered onto the penalty spot, Every defender ducked under it, ball hit someone and own-goal. The other an idiotic goal, where the attacker beat three players from an impossible position, before beating Czech at his near post. Chelsea won't concede 2 worse goals all season !!!! FOr them to go through they need to win this 2-0. I have a feeling they will do it. That's plan A, plan B is to win it 3-1 and go to extra time. I think CHelsea will win this game, and I like the 2-0 option Home win is 1.8 bet365 for 3 units Chelsea to win 2-0 is 9-1 on stanjames for 2 units

[discipline]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Funny that this is the 2nd time for Cavani and Lavezzi were they play a return leg at Stamford Bridge after winning the first leg 3-1. No doubt though that PSG is better than 2011/12 Napoli.

[yousafafzal]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Chelsea cannot afford to concede and i think chelsea will be firing in the last part of the game ... So i think more goals in the second half at a rate of evens is a good option as so often is the case in high profile matches where two big teams play....very rarely this fails

[senk]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Chelsea at HOME in the CL with MOURINHO = a win for sure! Zlatan is a huge miss (people really underestimate this fact), his presence makes teams stumble and nervous at the back. Because of him being that good in the centre he distracts atleast 2 defenders and there for his wingers always get a lot more space. I think Mou and his side will lock cavani tonight. Chelsea over 1.5 goals also tempting but will only go for that if Eto'o starts! This is the stage where experience plays a huge factor. Psg a great team on the rise and maybe they will qualify due that wonder away goal by Pastore but they will loose tonight. European nights in England are just amazing and I will continue my winning streak here!

[SgtTr]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Therefore, and considering that Chelsea have to win, even though PSG will most probably score, the best bet is Chelsea to win @ 1.80, 1.85 on some bookies. I actually think Chelsea will score quite soon, around the 10-15' minute mark. However, you just can't ignore the value on Chelsea to Qualify at @ 3.80. That's big odds! Especially if Hazard is in a "yes day". Above from JUMESYN: Don't have time at the mo to check odds so I borrowed the above form Mr Jumesyn as I'm going to have the same punts as him. Reasoning: Who will score goals for PSG ? Cavani ? I've watched Cavani play in Italy a fair amount of times and he has not really impressed me a s a technically gifted player. Even against teams like Cagliari he scored just through sheer persistence, missing great chances and scoring eventually. Here I don't think he will get more than one or two good chances therefore he seems unlikely to score. Lavezzi ? Good player who plays well on the counter but I think Mourinho will devise a plan to shackle him. Silva or Alex on a corner or free kick ? Chelsea have enough to deal with any threat these two can pose. My conclusion is therefore that Chelsea wiil keep a clean sheet cause I can't see Verrati or Motta scoring. Now on to qualification: I'm of the view that PSG won't be able to live up with the pace that Chelsea is going to impose today. I'm not sure they will be desperate to score early. They will be happy to keep it at 0-0 up to half time and then turn the screw on a tired PSG in the last 30 Minutes. I can imagine a scoreline like 3-0 or even 4-0.

[KavkaZ]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Chelsea - PSG One factor I believe very much in favor of the picks. Is the referee who will be the Portuguese Pedro Proenca , gives pretty much cards, and I think quite controversial a portuguese referee at a match where plays a team of Mourinho. I think there may be controversy, and would not surprise me that at one time favored Chelsea red (PSG) or any penalty for the Londoners. As I say , it's a pretty "weird" referee. This season takes 5 meetings of European competitions averaging more than 6 cards per game. I do not understand UEFA may appoint Proenca for this match knowing these facts , but it is. Therefore , taking into account that is a referee for the home side , go with a larger number of cards for the visiting team. We seek a card for Thiago Motta , who will be busy today and certainly to the maximum will play. His expulsion is 20 , but will be a little more serious because Proenca try get not noticed that much favoritism to the home team. To get a card, Thiago Motta (PSG) at 2.50 Unibet 9/10 Will Blaise Matuidi (PSG) get a yellow card? Yes at 4.00 Betsson 6/10 -------------- First match - 1:3 . We dare to play passage of the London club in the next round , because believe that this couple has nothing at all clear. In the first game Parisians outplayed their British competitors , but missed an important own goal. It is this goal and allows Mourinho realistic look at his semifinalist. Sure that in England the french club will get hard times , the more that will not play in guest Ibrahimovic. Perhaps it will only benefit the defense of Chelsea. Generally , Chelsea at home playing very powerfully. In the championship team in 17 home games won 15 times , and the goal difference is - 42:9 ! In other words , the team scored an average of nearly 2.5 goals per game. Chelsea won at home against all giants of English football , and guys like Arsenal and Tottenham they underclass in particularly rough shape. In the Champions League in the last three matches Chelsea missed. Of course, PSG is not a gift , and will try to score , but Chelsea could easily have scored three goals in the opponent's net. If there is extra time , the balance of power there and the coefficients will be quite different. I think that in such a "juicy" factor passage Chelsea's worth a try definitely. Chelsea to advance 3.50 - Chelsea win by min 2 goals difference 3.10, we set for the second option, of course. Chelsea (-1.5) AH at 3.10 Bet365 6/10

[discipline]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th I don't think Cavani had a single (good) chance when he played at Stamford Bridge with Napoli. But different team, different playing style...

[senk]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Mou did it again! Expected Chelsea to win but what a finish in the end ;-)

[neilovan]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th

I watched that game and it was a strange match. Chelsea gave up that 1st goal, but from about the 20th minute to at least the 55th minute they were in control. I actually took an in-play bet on Chelsea to win it, they were that dominant. The weird stuff happened, It's like they lost their legs and flatted after about 55 minutes. PSG picked it up and started to control the game. Mourinho after the game said some very interesting .... Basically he said that a team will concede goals against quality opponents. But they should be quality goals. Great shots, fantastic passing, slick moves, with incredible finishes. ie. Something special. He said that the sloppiness of the 2nd and 3rd PSG goals was unacceptable at this level. And both goals were awful defending. AWFUL ! One from a set-piece delivered onto the penalty spot, Every defender ducked under it, ball hit someone and own-goal. The other an idiotic goal, where the attacker beat three players from an impossible position, before beating Czech at his near post. Chelsea won't concede 2 worse goals all season !!!! FOr them to go through they need to win this 2-0. I have a feeling they will do it. That's plan A, plan B is to win it 3-1 and go to extra time. I think CHelsea will win this game, and I like the 2-0 option Home win is 1.8 bet365 for 3 units Chelsea to win 2-0 is 9-1 on stanjames for 2 units

SHow me da moneee !

[MPLouis]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th

(Score from first leg: PSG lead 3-1) I think overs is good value here. Listening to the radio commentary of the first leg, it sounded as though both defences were struggling. I find it hard to imagine PSG locking out Chelsea for a 0-0 or something like that. More likely I think is either several Chelsea goals or several PSG goals - and quite possibly some from each side. I much prefer backing teams to backing goals, but the odds here seem a bit too high - Over 2.5 2.02 sbobet Stake: 5 points

Result: Chelsea 2 PSG 0 Bet lost Stake: 5 points Return: 0 points

[TotoSchillaci]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th One of the more disappointing pushes I've had, but the other leg of the double won so not that bad. Crossbar rattled twice and some good saves... the more they shot the more they missed oh well

[TotoSchillaci]

Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday April 8th Whose laughing now? Beating a superior team with a 2 goal advantage... Special is correct!