Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

[Aidymac]

[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617] [TR] [TH=class: firstColumn]Monday 3 February 2014[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Genoa v Sampdoria (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.92[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.87[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.80 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 8 February 2014[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Fiorentina v Atalanta (17:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.7[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.05 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Udinese v Chievo (17:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.92[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.2[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.89 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Napoli v AC Milan (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.2[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.37 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 9 February 2014[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Torino v Bologna (11:30 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.79[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.19 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Hellas Verona v Juventus (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.55[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.49[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.59 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Lazio v AS Roma (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.55[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.1[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.43 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Livorno v Genoa (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.72[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.55 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Parma v Catania (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.61[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]6.9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.40 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Sampdoria v Cagliari (14:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.05[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.56 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Internazionale v Sassuolo (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]11[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.52 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[thecurlyone1]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Genoa v Sampdoria Genoa are the underdogs for this and i cant for the life of me see why Genoa last lost at home 8 games ago Sampdoria have only won 3 of last 20 away games Genoa WIN @ 2.90 based on those above seem like a gift , or am i missing something ????

[KavkaZ]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Genoa - Sampdoria If take the statistics only on personal meetings , the odds can be justified , but if push from the current situation , the clubs have to show a very entertaining game. Just last fights show that both teams began to hammer in the attack. This match would move , and may have suffered on Monday, as feared provocation by the fans. Support for both clubs expected hot. Based on the standings , points need more Sampdoria and will do anything to get them. Genoa is in the middle of the table , keeping a respectable distance of 10 points from the relegation zone. Matches between these two teams are always hard , which is not surprising , because it is a derby. Home team had a great last two games , taking four points in games against strong clubs - Inter and Fiorentina. Especially liked the game against viola in which Genoa has arranged a real battle with challenger for one of the trips in the Champions League. Sampdoria with the arrival of Sinisa Mihajlovic changed. Of course, against the giants it is difficult to play, but in these matches Samp does not look poor , and does not hesitate to attack. Even in Torino with genoese scored two goals. In the match against middle placed teams Samp already imposes its conditions. So , at home v Udinese "broke" - 3:0 , and in the match against Bologna bit unlucky - 1:1. In any case, it is clear that both teams are on the move and the match will be fighting. Sit in the defense , no one will , but a draw is very likely , so it's best to take both to score. Odds 2.0 with William Hill

[neilovan]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th As a general fan I am not crazy about Italian Football. I find it slow, and sometimes it resembles pantomime and Italian tragedy :cry but It is delivering some absolute great games , performances and betting opportunities. IMO Juventus and Man City are the two top performing teams in Europe. Juventus are playing stunning football. Their shape, dominance, game control, playing pattern is a thing of beauty. They have a truly talented squad, with Pogba, Pirlo, Llorente, Tevez all playing fantastically well. And the star of the show is Arturo Vidal. He is fantastic. His workrate and running power is phenomenal (Moyes should have moved heaven and earth for this guy in Jan). Juventus are away to Verona this weekend and should win. They are not a great 1st half team away from home winning just 2 halves and drawing 7. 2nd half they are the BEST team in Europe on the road. 9 wins in 11 games, 16 goals for and 5 against. I like them to win the 2nd half in this game , for 6 units at odds of 1.8 on paddypower, 1.73 various this is my 'banker' :hope bet for the week

[Lavezzi]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Why are Juventus dropping? In my opinion they were way, waaaaay too big favourites to begin with. Verona has something like 8-0-3 at home and I think that it's time for a draw at home and that is my only bet so far to 4.9. Verona hasn't done much in their transfer window and have only had a few loan deals in both directions and even if they have played badly in their last few home games I think they have a great chance at taking a point. If I was to lay the odds then I would have had Juve at something like 1.65-1.70, I think they will win rougly 3 out of 5 games away at Verona. Do Verona have any injuries that could justify the odds?

[MPLouis]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

As a general fan I am not crazy about Italian Football. I find it slow, and sometimes it resembles pantomime and Italian tragedy :cry but It is delivering some absolute great games , performances and betting opportunities. IMO Juventus and Man City are the two top performing teams in Europe. Juventus are playing stunning football. Their shape, dominance, game control, playing pattern is a thing of beauty. They have a truly talented squad, with Pogba, Pirlo, Llorente, Tevez all playing fantastically well. And the star of the show is Arturo Vidal. He is fantastic. His workrate and running power is phenomenal (Moyes should have moved heaven and earth for this guy in Jan). Juventus are away to Verona this weekend and should win. They are not a great 1st half team away from home winning just 2 halves and drawing 7. 2nd half they are the BEST team in Europe on the road. 9 wins in 11 games, 16 goals for and 5 against. I like them to win the 2nd half in this game , for 6 units at odds of 1.8 on paddypower, 1.73 various this is my 'banker' :hope bet for the week

I haven't studied the value of your bet, but I've noticed Juventus have steadily improved since moving into their new ground a few years ago. They seem to be remarkably consistent these days, often not settling for narrow wins, and often coming back if they are behind in a game.

[andypaps28]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th [h=1]Source :william hill opta stats Serie A Opta Facts 8-9 February[/h] Fiorentina - Atalanta

• Fiorentina and Atalanta have met 101 times in Serie A: the Tuscans lead by 43 wins to 26.
• Fiorentina have won six of their last nine league games against Atalanta, including the last three.
• The Viola have scored in 12 of their last 13 Serie A games against Atalanta (on average two goals per game).
• Atalanta's last win in Florence was in January 1993 - since then the hosts have won seven times, with five draws.
• Losing to Cagliari last weekend, Fiorentina ended their six-game unbeaten run in Serie A (W4, D2).
• Vincenzo Montella's side remain unbeaten at home in their last five Serie A games (W4 D1).
• Atalanta have not drawn any of their last six fixtures in Serie A (W3 L3).
• Atalanta have picked up only one point from their last seven games on the road, scoring only two goals in the process.
• Only Catania (one) have accumalated fewer points than Atalanta (four) away from home in this season's Serie A.
• German Denis has scored nine goals in this campaign, but only two away from home.
• Atalanta's last seven goals have seen the involvement (goal or assist) of either Denis and/or Maxi Moralez.

Inter - Sassuolo

• Inter's 7-0 win in the reverse fixture is the Nerazzurri's biggest away win in their Serie A history.
• Inter have picked up only two points from their last five match-days, and scored only two goals in the process.
• Overall, Inter have won only one of their last 10 Serie A fixtures, picking up eight points - the Nerazzurri would be 17th in the table taking into account only this period.
• Inter are unbeaten in their last seven home games, though they've drawn four of the last five at the Meazza.
• Sassuolo have lost seven of their last eight Serie A fixtures, winning the other 4-3 against AC Milan.
• Sassuolo have failed to keep a clean sheet over their last nine league games.
• Sassuolo are winless in their last five away games (two draws, followed by three losses).
• Inter have already scored seven goals following corner situations - a league-high.
• Only one of Inter's last six goals in the league has been scored by a striker, while Sassuolo's strikers have netted 21 of the 23 total goals of their team this season.
• Rodrigo Palacio is yet to score his first goal in 2014 (six appearances).
• Sassuolo have already conceded four own goals - a league-high.

Lazio - Roma

• This will be the 140th derby between Roma and Lazio: the Giallorossi lead by 48 wins to 36.
• However, the most frequent result between these two sides in Serie A is the draw (55 so far).
• Roma's 2-0 win in the reverse fixture ended a run of four derbies in which Lazio had remained unbeaten (previously three wins for the Biancocelesti and a draw).
• These two sides haven't shared any draws in their last nine meetings in Serie A played with Lazio as the hosts (six wins for the Biancocelesti, three for the Giallorossi).
• The last 11 derbies of Rome have seen 16 red cards in total, nine for Lazio, and seven for Roma.
• Francesco Totti is the all-time best scored in this fixture: he has already scored nine goals in Serie A against Lazio.
• Lazio are unbeaten under Edy Reja (W3, D2).
• After losing against Juventus, Roma have notched up three wins in a row, scoring 10 goals and conceding only one.
• Before beating Verona at the Bentegodi, Roma had failed to win in four games away from home (D3, L1).
• Roma remain the only side yet to concede a goal in the opening 15 minutes of play in this season in Serie A.
• Roma and Lazio feature the oldest and the youngest goal scorers of this competition: Francesco Totti and Keita.
• Antonio Candreva was directly involved in six of Lazio's last eight goals in the league, scoring three and making three assists too.
• With his goal against Chievo, last weekend Candreva reached seven goals in this campaign, his best ever scoring tally in the league.

Livorno - Genoa

• This will be the 28th meeting between Livorno and Genoa in Serie A - the Grifone lead by 10 wins to four.
• Nine of the last 11 meetings have seen these two sides share the points.
• Genoa's last win at Livorno was back in March 1938 - since then the Tuscans have beaten Genoa at home twice, with seven draws.
• The last six meetings at the Picchi have seen both sides scoring.
• Livorno have scored six goals over the two games played since the appointment of Domenico Di Carlo. Previously, they had scored three in nine games.
• Livorno have conceded goals in each of their last 11 league games (2.2 per game).
• Over the last nine match-days of Serie A, Genoa have never repeated the same result in two consecutive games; they've lost their last game on Monday against Samp (1-0).
• Genoa have taken only two points from their last five rounds of Serie A.
• 20 of the 40 goals conceded by Livorno in this campaign have come in the last 30 minutes of play.
• Alberto Gilardino has already scored seven goals in nine Serie A appearances against Livorno.
• Innocent Emeghara scored last Sunday, ending a run of 17 games without finding the net.
• Livorno have already had 67 yellow cards, more than any other side, but are the only one yet to have a player sent off in this Serie A season.

Napoli - AC Milan

• Napoli and AC Milan have met 131 times in the top-flight: the Rossoneri lead by 53 wins to 35.
• However, Napoli are unbeaten in their last five meetings against AC Milan (W2, D3).
• AC Milan have won only one of their last seven games against the Partenopei.
• The Rossoneri had a player sent off in three of their last four games against Napoli.
• Losing against Atalanta last weekend, Napoli's unbeaten run came to an end after eight rounds (W4, D4).
• AC Milan are unbeaten in Serie A under Clarence Seedorf (W2, D1).
• The Rossoneri have kept a clean sheet only once in 11 games away from home, conceding on average two goals per game on the road.
• Napoli have scored the most goals in the first 15 minutes of play (nine), AC Milan have the record of goals scored in the last 15 minutes (13).
• Napoli have scored the joint-most goals from a fast break, eight, alongside Torino.
• Adil Rami became AC Milan's 15th goal scorer in this campaign - the most of any side this term.
• Keisuke Honda is yet to score his first Serie A goal after four appearances - he has attempted 13 shots so far, seven of which were blocked.

Parma - Catania

• This will be the 14th Serie A game between these two sides - Parma have won only twice so far, while Catania had the better five times.
• Catania are unbeaten in their last five league meetings against Parma (W2, D3).
• However, Parma have lost only once at home against Catania in the top-flight, however that came in their last meeting at the Tardini back in February 2013.
• Catania have never kept a clean sheet away to Parma in Serie A, but have also failed to score only once at the Tardini.
• Roberto Donadoni's side are unbeaten in their last 10 league fixtures (W5, D5), winning the last four.
• Over the last 10 rounds instead, Catania have won only once, losing six games.
• The last team to score more than a single goal at Parma's ground was AC Milan back in October.
• Catania have taken only one point from their away games this season - a European-low.
• Before drawing 0-0 at Inter's ground, Catania had always conceded at least two goals in each of the previous 10 away games of this campaign.
• Parma have scored 12 goals from a cross, a league-joint best.
• Antonio Cassano has created 55 goal scoring chances (incl. five assists) - more than any other player in this competition.

Sampdoria - Cagliari

• Sampdoria have won only nine of the 57 meetings played against Cagliari in Serie A, the Sardinians had the better 22 times.
• Cagliari are unbeaten in their last 10 meetings against Samp, whose last win in this fixture was back in November 2007.
• Sampdoria have failed to beat Cagliari at the Marassi in their last nine games (seven draws followed by two wins for the Sardinians).
• Sampdoria have failed to score only in one of their last 12 league games.
• The Blucerchiati are unbeaten in the league at home since the appointment of Sinisa Mihajlovic (W2, D3).
• Before beating Fiorentina last weekend, Cagliari hadn't won in Serie A for six games (D3, L3).
• Cagliari's last away win in Serie A was almost a year ago (2-0 against Pescara, February 17th 2013).
• Cagliari's last four away games saw only one goal scored in total.
• Cagliari have conceded nine headed goals - more than any other side in this competition.
• Daniele Conti has already scored four goals in Serie A against Sampdoria; only against Roma he has bagged more so far (five).

Torino - Bologna

• Torino and Bologna have met 113 times in the top-flight - the Felsinei lead by 40 wins to 39.
• Torino have lost only one of their last eight league games against Bologna, scoring in each of these.
• Over the last 18 meetings between these two sides, the same result never accrued twice in a row - the Granata won in the reverse fixture at the Dall'Ara.
• Torino are unbeaten in their last eight games at home against Bologna (W5, D3).
• The Granata have collected 21 points from their last 10 league games, only Juventus (28) have taken more in the same time frame.
• Torino have lost only one of their last 13 home games between this and last season.
• Bologna are winless in their last five league fixtures (D3, L2), and failed to score in three of these.
• Torino and Bologna have both shared nine draws this campaign - no sides have drawn more games in Serie A this term.
• Torino have lost possession only 2545 times so far - fewer than any other Serie A side.
• Ciro Immobile is the Serie A top-scorer this season excluding penalties (11 goals).
• Alessio Cerci has already scored three goals against Bologna in Serie A - his favourite target to date.

Udinese - Chievo

• Udinese lead by nine wins to six against Chievo in Serie A, with eight draws.
• Chievo's win in the reverse fixture ended Udinese's unbeaten run in this fixture (previously five wins for the Friulani and four draws).
• Udinese have won the last three meetings at the Friuli against Chievo, scoring on average 2.3 goals per game.
• Udinese got back to winning ways last weekend against Bologna, after losing four games in a row in Serie A.
• After beating Fiorentina in the Coppa Italia this week, Udinese have now won back-to-back games in all competition for the first time this season.
• Udinese have lost five of their last six home games, prior to that they had remained unbeaten for 22 league games at the Friuli.
• Chievo are winless in their last seven games in the league (D3, L4) - currently the longest winless run in Serie A.
• However, Chievo have lost only one of their last six league games away from home (W2, D3).
• Chievo have never scored more than a single goal over their last 11 away games in Serie A.
• Udinese and Chievo are the two teams that have scored the fewest headed goals so far in this campaign (one apiece).
• Chievo's last seven league goals have seen the involvement of at least one of either (or both) Alberto Paloschi or Cyril Théréau (three goals each and an assist for the Frenchman).

Verona - Juventus

• Juventus and Verona will face for the 50th time next weekend - the Old Lady currently lead by 28 wins to nine.
• Verona have won only one of their last 14 games against Juventus (2-0 in April 2000).
• Verona have won only one of their last six games against Juventus, losing three.
• Verona won last Sunday against Sassuolo, after losing three Serie A games in a row.
• Verona are yet to draw their first home game of the season (W8, L3).
• Juventus are unbeaten in their last 14 match-days (W13, D1).
• The Bianconeri have scored in each of their last 35 league games.
• Juventus have picked up 59 points so far, only Inter in 2006/07 (60) were able to do better after 22 match-days in the history of the Serie A.
• Juventus have conceded only three goals over their last six league games away from home.
• Luca Toni has been directly involved in seven of Verona's last 10 goals in the league, scoring five and claiming two assists.
• With the goal against Inter, Artuto Vidal took his tally for this season to 11, making this his most prolific campaign so far.

[neilovan]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

I haven't studied the value of your bet' date=' but I've noticed Juventus have steadily improved since moving into their new ground a few years ago. They seem to be remarkably consistent these days, often not settling for narrow wins, and often coming back if they are behind in a game.[/quote'] I watched Juv the last 2 weeks. Against Lazio they had Buffon sent off early and went 1-0 down with the penalty. Their 10 men played Lazio off the park in the second half for a 1-1 draw. Last week they beat Inter convincingly, 3-0 up and cruising. They have a seriously good squad, and deserve to be grouped with Chelsea, Man City, Real Madrid, Bayern, PSG in performance and play. If Vidal is not the best workhorse attacking midfielder in Europe at the moment who is ? IMO they have the best balanced midfield in Europe (Vidal, Pirlo, Pogba, Marchisio) Their attacking options are also excellent with Tevez and Llorente. I would not be surprised to see them go to the final of the Champions League, they are that good at the moment. Verona played two of the top 3 at home last 2 home games. They lost 1-3 to Roma losing HT 0-1 They last 0-3 to Napoli losing HT 0-1 IMO Juventus are better than Napoli and Roma and the 1.91 for HT/FT Juventus maybe represents better value than the now 1.73 for Juv to win the second half.

[Mindfulness]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

I would not be surprised to see them go to the final of the Champions League, they are that good at the moment.

LOL, Somehow I don't think Juventus will be making the final of the Champions League. Even if they hadn't managed to bungle their way out of that tournament they are still not good enough to compete with the best teams in Europe, the system they play can be exploited very easily outside of Italy. Still, I agree with everyone's comments about how good they are in this division, no-one can compete with them in Serie A, but that's been the status quo for some time now.

[ultravires]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th I like goals in Napoli-Milan. I favour the home team in this quite heavily, but given that neither team can defend capably at the moment, goals is a shoe in IMO. I'll have to look at the home side for the win or on a handicap as I'm undecided at the moment. Milan have looked lost and if Napoli play like they did against Roma mid-week they will take Milan apart.

[neilovan]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

LOL, Somehow I don't think Juventus will be making the final of the Champions League. Even if they hadn't managed to bungle their way out of that tournament they are still not good enough to compete with the best teams in Europe, the system they play can be exploited very easily outside of Italy. Still, I agree with everyone's comments about how good they are in this division, no-one can compete with them in Serie A, but that's been the status quo for some time now.

:\ That gaff about sums up my week so far . I managed to get Man City wrong on Monday Tues I jumped in with Fulham, who played crapo against Sheffield United. Wednesday NEC and NAC (over 2.5 finished 1-1) , and Vitesse v Twente fcked me up and Vitesse went scoreless . Thursday I went for Ajax v Grongigen , Ajax to win to nil and No BTTS (both got reamed, score 2-1) Two green-peas and a scrambled egg for a brain at the moment :ok I had'nt been following CHampions league much and just assumed they had made it. Not possible for this team on current form not to qualify from their group

[ultravires]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Torino and Parma both interest me on a handicap given that they are both in fine form at the moment and their opponents are both down in the dumps.

[HastGill1]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th I watched Verona at home to Roma the other week and wasn't very impressed by them, Roma were playing quite conservatively for much of the game but when Roma stepped it up for periods of the game they were unable to live with them and it was a comfortable victory in the end, even looking at their most recent results at home they obviously struggle against the better sides with that 3-1 against Roma and a 3-0 defeat to Napoli, they lost Jorginho to Napoli and that seems to have had an effect on them as he was an important player, Luca Toni will cause problems as usual. I already had a punt of Juve -1.0AH earlier in the week, 1.66 sbobet.

[Mindfulness]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

:\ That gaff about sums up my week so far .

Don't worry about it mate, the good times will be back before you know it. You've done a lot of good work on the lounge and it hasn't gone unnoticed.

[senk]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Big news regarding the captain of Bologna! He signed a mega deal for Lippi's team in China. Huge blow for Bologna cause he was one of the few players who could actually create something.. Kone is also suspended who scored 4 goals so far, Moscardelli is also suspended. I already wanted to back Torino but now I'll be looking at win to nil and Torino -1 for sure. Great home team and I expect a strong performance. Odds will drop fast so be quick!!!! http://www.bolognafc.it/news.asp?id=6371#.UvSVls7pH6Q

[Duuude]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Torino FC - Bologna Pick: home win @ 1,70. I'm a torino's fan and I go to the stadium every week, so I see nearly what's happening to my team. Bologna losts its best football player, Diamanti Who will go to play in China. Cerci will be part of the match with Immobile, 21 goals Togheter. This match will be end 1-0 or 2-0, even if Bologna needs points to save itself, but we are more team than theme. good luck

[Duuude]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th And sorry for my english. You can put Torino home win and Juventus handicap away win together.

[sajtion]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th i think if napoli lose another game benitez maybe out and as for parma they don't have good history against catania

[Duuude]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Napoli will not lose this match

[sajtion]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

Napoli will not lose this match

what reason do you give for that? i thought they wouldn't lose last week against atlanta but they did so their form is not good

[keta82]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th What about udinese,can they beat chievo? i saw that Allan and Pinzzi are suspended for this match,how important are they? Udinese have 6 points more then first team in relegation zone and playing against direct competitor for staying in seria a and with win they will make their situation a little easier...They simply don't deserve place where they are now.Chievo with Catania scores least goals in league and they have 2-4-5 score in away games...This is something that shouldn't scare home team,but i don't see why odds rising on home win?

[Mindfulness]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

What about udinese' date='can they beat chievo? i saw that Allan and Pinzzi are suspended for this match,how important are they? Udinese have 6 points more then first team in relegation zone and playing against direct competitor for staying in seria a and with win they will make their situation a little easier...They simply don't deserve place where they are now.Chievo with Catania scores least goals in league and they have 2-4-5 score in away games...This is something that shouldn't scare home team,but i don't see why odds rising on home win?[/quote'] Allan is Udinese's star performer and key central midfielder.

[Duuude]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Atalanta last week was very aggressive because they lost against Napoli in Coppa Italia not because Napoli's stronger but there was a referee's mistake. Atalanta at home it's a very difficult team. Milan is a poor team, they were lucky to get the 1-1 with Torino FC, and they will go to San Paolo that will seem The Hell. Higuain & co. are very angry because they lost with Rome also, in Coppa Italia. I Think that Napoli will win 2-1 or 3-1, Higuain anytime scorer.

[dylanphan]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

I like them to win the 2nd half in this game , for 6 units at odds of 1.8 on paddypower, 1.73 various

Neilovan, I'm a big fan of your work, your writeups are solid and for the most part, I find your thinking sound. But, of late, I have found you making a lot more bets of this nature rather than full game bets. Now, please take no offense, but I do not like these bets one bit. You are making a big bet on a second half bet before the game begins. Why not rather wait and wager in-game? I watch almost all of Juve games, and agree that they are a stronger second half side. Reason being, they usually dominate possession so much in the first half, teams tire against them. However, it is very easy for them to take the foot off the gas pedal if they are ahead 1-0, 2-0 at ht. Further, what happens if they get a red in the first half or an injury to a key player? I've read a lot of punters on this forum and have quite a bit of respect for a few of them, but why are everyone making their biggest plays with only partial information available to them? Before lineups. Weather reports. Making second half plays without seeing the flow of play. I dunno. When I try to formulate my plays, I attempt to handicap the game with probable information. If I feel I have an edge, I'll play it, and when I have fuller information, I will add to my play (or not). Please don't take offense to this post. I wish you luck with your bet. I will more than likely be on Juve in some fashion this weekend too. :ok

[neilovan]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th I bet mostly on stats. I don't really care which players are in or out of teams unless they are major players. Rooney and van Persie for United, Aguero and Negrado for City, Suarez for Liverpool, Messi for Barcelona Ronaldo for Real, Zlatan for PSG. Otherwise my feeling is that the importance of one individual in a team sport is somewhat overdone. The loss or inclusion of these 'lesser' players is not massively important. Football is such a weird betting game. Your side can dominate the game and draw or lose. This does'nt really happen in rugby. There is an element of luck in this game that is undeniable.... If I see situations where the bookies implied odds are out of synch with the stats I am interested. I can't afford to wait until Friday or game time with my picks, as people come to my websites looking for info and an edge every day of the week. If I am making 50 3-legged bets a week, I need to win about 1/3 of them to be breaking even or just winning. If I win 2/5th's I am in the money, and anything more , the big bucks are coming. To me the forum is terrific, because it gives people such an easy platform to interact, express opinions, different betting styles and strategy's. There is a very diverse group of bettors, and everyone falls back to what works for them when it comes to betting. I was doing a lot of over/under 2.5 betting but the odds are getting worse and worse as the bookies diminish that market (Eredivise is almost unbettable) I also have no ability to bet in game, other than win/draw/loss which is slim pickings. To me if you find the form teams (either the very good or the very bad) you are already on track. How many of them are there at any period of a season . Maybe 15 in Europe at any time... Real Madrid, PSG, Man City , Chelsea, Ath Madrid, Ath Bilbao (home) Arsenal, Bayern Munich, Juventus, Roma (with Totti), Barcelona (with Messi), or the bad teams Ajaccio, SOchaux, Catania, Pacos Ferrera,Betis Sevilla The first group is going to win and score goals consistently, and the second group will struggle and get beat more often than not. I am looking for bets , based on stats , and very good odds. Your win rate does go down, but you do win more when you win. It's a delicate trade-off for me 2 units is a standard bet when I am betting 6 units, everything is in place for this to be a winner. I have only ever posted 10 units twice on this forum and both times the team won. I am pretty confident on Juv here.

[malabgd]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Fiorentina v Atalanta Fiorentina: Gomez (3/2 f), Tomovic (15/0 d), Hegazi (0/0 d), Rossi (18/14 top scorer), Ambrosini (14/0 m), Aquilani (19/4 m) Atalanta: Scaloni (5/0 d), Bellini (5/0 d), Livaja (14/2 f) Udinese v Chievo Udinese: Brkic (11/0 first goalkeeper), Pinzi (12/0 m) , Allan (19/0 m) Chievo: Paredes (0/0 m), Calello (0/0 m), Frey (18/0 d), Radovanovic (19/0 m) Information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[Teodore]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Any opinions about Sampdoria today ? Odds on home win looks good.

[nicko]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th With Torino odds dropping below 1,72 I see a better choice in Torino Over 1,5 Team Goals at 1,83 with bet365. Enough attacking power with the hosts to score 2 or more. Medium stake... GL P.S. Can't resist at HT - Over 4,5 Goals at 2,20 with medium stake and Over 5,5 at 5,00 with small stake. Game looks open enough, should be more goals, FINGERS CROSSED!

[neilovan]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th

Any opinions about Sampdoria today ? Odds on home win looks good.

I tell you what I love about Sampdoria (nothing springs to mind :D) Seriously though... They are the best team in Europe for more 2nd half goals than 1st half goals at home in Europe. In 11 games at home they have more 2nd half goals in 10 games. They have the biggest 2nd half - 1st half differential in Europe of 19 goals. 5 1st half match goals and 24 second half. Their 5 1st half match goals is the 3rd lowest in Europe. Add to these unreal stats is a crazy 1st half scoring record from Cagliari. They have just 1 1st half goal away this season in 10 away games, and just 3 match goals in 9 away 1st halves. CAG:LIARI have not scored a goal in an away 1st half in 9 games. NOT 1 :eek This game is pointing to very low 1st half goal numbers, and a stronger second half. HT draw FT Sampdoria is 5.25 on betvictor (1 unit) highest scoring half :2nd is 2.25 on bwin and 2.2 various (6 units for me) 0-0 1st half is 2.45 williamhill 1 unit under 2.5 goals in the match is very low odds of 1.53 bet365 (which is best left alone) Amazingly when Juv whip Verona and Sampdoria go more 2nd hlf goals, I shall be a winner this week (seemed like mission impossible on Thurs). The birds shall sing again, and the sun shall restore warmth and brightness. Life will return to it's beautiful state ... but I digress :notworthy

[BattleMcStruggle]

Re: Serie A > February 3rd - 9th Could someone please explain the odds of the Parma-Catania-Match today? 3-Way it´s about 1.5-4-6.50. To be honest i didn´t watch a game of both teams for a while, but stats are telling that Catania earned 1(!) point the whole season away. It was the last away-game at a struggling inter. Also they didn´t lose the last 2 games. But Parma won their last 4 and should beat Catania maybe in 8 of 10 occasions here, shouldn´t they? So, is the pure 3-Way-bet value in your oppinions? Did i miss some important team-news? If not i will play this big i think.