Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
*** August Competition Winners: Well done to Bymatrix (NAPS), Daisychain (KO Cup), YSM (York Festival), Saddlesore (Doncaster Festival) & Like2Fish (Poker) ***
Sign in to follow this  
Aidymac

World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

Recommended Posts

Bookmaker Betting Exchange
chart_off.gif Brazil

4.5

4.4

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Argentina

6

6

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Germany

7

7.2

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Spain

8.6

6303.gif

9

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Belgium

15.5

6303.gif

17

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Colombia

23

22

6005.gif

chart_off.gif France

23

24

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Italy

29

31

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Netherlands

29

31

6005.gif

chart_off.gif England

34

6122.gif

31

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Uruguay

34

29

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Portugal

36

6303.gif

40

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Chile

67

58

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Russia

81

86

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Switzerland

101

112

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Ecuador

151

150

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Mexico

151

6122.gif

146

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Bosnia-Herzegovina

201

235

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Ivory Coast

201

184

6005.gif

chart_off.gif Japan

201

182

6005.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Bet Brazil To Reach Semifinal 1.83 bet365 9/10. This is my main bet for the tournament. Brazil are hosts they have very good squad like every time. We must remember that there is no european team who win the title when World Cup were in South America. Brazil have very good lot for the group stage and further on eliminations carioc's are in leighter stream and hardest game will be against Holland or Chile on 1/8 finals. I think that there will be no problem for Brazil to reach ate least the semifinals. Bet Brazil to win the title 4.10 betfair 4/10. Home advantage is one of the biggest priority of Brazil. Other is that european team have problems to play in South America. There is no team who have much better team list than Brazil. Odds like 4.10 have good value for me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting I think Brazil are being talked up too much personally. I also think being the favourites and on home soil they will crack under pressure. I think Argentina, to win it on Brazils turf is a bigger incentive enough, plus with the squad, and even more so the attacking options they have, I can see them blitzing teams away. Spain are ones to watch also, they finally have a world class striker in Costa and the heat will suit them. Spanish teams have dominated both European comps this year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

I think Brazil are being talked up too much personally. I also think being the favourites and on home soil they will crack under pressure. I think Argentina' date=' to win it on Brazils turf is a bigger incentive enough, plus with the squad, and even more so the attacking options they have, I can see them blitzing teams away. Spain are ones to watch also, they finally have a world class striker in Costa and the heat will suit them. Spanish teams have dominated both European comps this year.[/quote'] Costa pulled his hamstring in the last game against Barca, came off after 13 minutes. Looked pretty serious as he was crying for an hour on the bench. He will deffo miss the Champions League final, and is 50/50 for the World Cup. Without him I think Spain might struggle.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting To be fair they haven't had Costa at any other tournament and they usually do pretty well! I've got my copy of the 'Racing Posts' World Cup guide today which I'm currently digesting, I've had a pretty good idea of how I'm going to play anyway but always good to read their opinions..will post up some outright group and tournament bets shortly.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

To be fair they haven't had Costa at any other tournament and they usually do pretty well! I've got my copy of the 'Racing Posts' World Cup guide today which I'm currently digesting' date=' I've had a pretty good idea of how I'm going to play anyway but always good to read their opinions..will post up some outright group and tournament bets shortly.[/quote'] Hi mate, is that in the Racing Post paper or online? Must get one myself. Costa was not there 4 years ago, but Spain were at their peak back then, Villa was at the top of his game, as was Iniesta, Xavi etc. Their main players are much older now, Xavi 34, Alonso 32, Iniesta 30, Villa 32, Torres 30. They still are a top side, but nowhere near the side they were 4 years ago. I thought Costa was vital to the squad considering Villa is a fringe player for Atletico these days and Torres has gone off the boil.. Negredo is a good player though. They still should be tough to beat, I was considering having a bet on them if Costa was fit.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Great value on Italy, from what I see. They usually tend to push through to the knock-out stage, and I see some value in Italy reaching semis. Need to check out the friendlies before WC, to get a feel for their game, but in their group Im confident they will cruise past.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

Hi mate' date=' [b']is that in the Racing Post paper or online? Must get one myself. Costa was not there 4 years ago, but Spain were at their peak back then, Villa was at the top of his game, as was Iniesta, Xavi etc. Their main players are much older now, Xavi 34, Alonso 32, Iniesta 30, Villa 32, Torres 30. They still are a top side, but nowhere near the side they were 4 years ago. I thought Costa was vital to the squad considering Villa is a fringe player for Atletico these days and Torres has gone off the boil.. Negredo is a good player though. They still should be tough to beat, I was considering having a bet on them if Costa was fit.
It's a A5 size book, I bought it through amazon, £6 inc postage I think from one of their sellers. It is very comprehensive and offers opinions without sitting on the fence too much which I like.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Im curious to read more news about Argentina...No Tevez and a defense with Rojo and Demichelis? Easy lay... The portuguese squad is a joke...i hope Portugal doesn´t need to make too much subs...get the starting XIX playing the whole match, otherwise they will get beat by Iran if they face each other! If the starting XIX is fit, with Ronaldo, Pepe, Coentrao in good shape, Portugal might be hard to crack...they will defend, defend, defend, and defend a bit more against Germany...Germany wont be bored with a draw aswell, cause both teams now that winning the group means they might face Brasil in order to reach the final...will be interesting to see how Low and Bento will approach the match. I rate Brasil as top favourites...they won the Confed Cup, they finnally have "magic" in the squad again, with Neymar...Thiago Silva is the CB they missed in the last big tournaments, Paulinho and Willian have an amazing pace and europe experience...big quality, playing at home...i hope they loose cause i hate Scolari, but i think they are favourites. German and Spain should have a word to say...Uruguai, Portugal and Belgium will be tough to break. If both German and Brasil wins the group, only one can reach the final...if Belgium wins the group, they will most probably face Germany or Portugal...interesting to watch this.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Brazil will be very hard to eliminate,i dont think they will fail to deliver and with some flair sprinkled on top.The way they beat Spain in last years Confed Cup will have given them added confidence (not that they need it).The pressure on Neymar to deliver will be huge,but i see him doing something memorable now that hes back on home soil.Europe has not seen the best of Neymar but he will deliver some special moments on the biggest of all stages.Hulk is sure to play a big part as long as he stays fit,i wouldnt want to rely too much on Jo or Fred.Fred gets his share of goals,but he misses his fair share too.Jo please no.A centre back pairing of Luiz and Thiago Silva would keep me happy along with Marcelo and Danny Alves,not too shabby.Plenty of options in midfield but i like Ramires as he never runs out of steam.Its a fine squad on home soil and they will bust a gut to deliver the trophy for an expectant public.Bet 365 11/4.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Jo is the kind of player which might get the boot at the end :) with Neymar and Hulk providing wings, Jo (should he be a starter instead of Fred) will tuck a couple of goals surely. Considering their first match with Croatia (who could be contenders for the worst defensive line of european teams) and the motivation which should be above the clouds for the opening match, im sure it can bolster his confidence and provide a couple more during the group stage. Odds for Jo - top goalscorer are @ 51.00 (bet365), and its a chance worth taking for a few units, while Brazil winning the cup is a low value bet at current odds, and shouldnt be taken IMO, as there are plenty of markets to look at.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

Jo is the kind of player which might get the boot at the end :) with Neymar and Hulk providing wings, Jo (should he be a starter instead of Fred) will tuck a couple of goals surely. Considering their first match with Croatia (who could be contenders for the worst defensive line of european teams) and the motivation which should be above the clouds for the opening match, im sure it can bolster his confidence and provide a couple more during the group stage. Odds for Jo - top goalscorer are @ 51.00 (bet365), and its a chance worth taking for a few units, while Brazil winning the cup is a low value bet at current odds, and shouldnt be taken IMO, as there are plenty of markets to look at.
I will be stunned if Jo starts ahead of Fred.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Please for the love of god do not put any money on Jo to score 1 goal,let alone be the top goalscorer.He can hold the ball up well enough but he would drive you barmy at the amount of times he fails to score an easy chance.I hope the only time he gets a game is when Brazil are up by several goals and he comes on for the last 10 minutes.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting I think there is some money to be made on backing teams at larger odds who can nick second in their group then cashing out when their equity increases. Like croatia and Bosnia for example.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

I think Brazil are being talked up too much personally. I also think being the favourites and on home soil they will crack under pressure. I think Argentina' date=' to win it on Brazils turf is a bigger incentive enough, plus with the squad, and even more so the attacking options they have, I can see them blitzing teams away. Spain are ones to watch also, they finally have a world class striker in Costa and the heat will suit them. Spanish teams have dominated both European comps this year.[/quote'] I think tbh cracking under pressure isn't a character trait I'd associate with Brazilians! Its more what we do quite well. If there was a world cup for curling up into a ball and crying the Brits would win.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

I think there is some money to be made on backing teams at larger odds who can nick second in their group then cashing out when their equity increases. Like croatia and Bosnia for example.
Portugal and Chile spring to mind. Both teams are solid and have two of the best if not the best players in their positions. Ronaldo and Vidal will be a handful.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Portugal - 32 - betfair - 3 Points Uruguay - 38 - betfair - 3 Points Colombia - 40 - betfair - 3 Points Chile - 50 - betfair - 3 Points All taken with a view to laying them - to some extent - if they can get through the groups, I think these represent a reasonable chance of turning profit. No coincidence 3 are South American, the climate and schedule might not take a toll at the start but playing in the high temperatures and high humidity takes it out of teams as you go through the tournament. There is no crystal ball regarding this but I feel the South Americans are better equipped to deal with it, some teams aren't playing group games in the North of the country - which is where the humidity and temperatures are a problem, Spain and Italy found this out in the Confed Cup last summer - but the contrasting traveling and logistic challenges some countries are going to experience have to be taken into consideration. The traditional European heavyweights are not as strong as in previous tournaments imo. Spain are on the decline but could still challenge depending on how Diego Costa adapts to International football if he is fit and if Iniesta and Xavi can re-find some old form, Germany have brought in a lot of youngsters and have a horrendous schedule with two group games kicking off at 1pm in the North-East of the country, when even the locals wouldn't consider playing a match, still relying on Klose at 36 is hardly encouraging either, not surprising Low is considering going with a false 9 up there. Brazil and Argentina are obvious favourites, but I think there is some value further down the list. Portugal will be massively reliant on Ronaldo - which he will love - but have reached at least the quarter finals in 8 of the last 11 major tournaments, they are strong at the back and enough quality in midfield, up front there are problems with little quality there but this has been the situation for a while and they find a way to cope. Uruguay don't have the strength in depth of other countries but continue to perform at a high level, Suarez will probably miss the tournament if recent reports are to be believed but we can't know for sure, he certainly won't be at 100% if he is there, Cavani is obviously a top level player, their midfield isn't that strong but still feel they could get to the quarters. Colombia look good to me, Falcao is probably not going to be there but Jackson Martinez isn't a poor replacement with 46 in 60 for Porto and 8 in 26 for the national side. They have other options in attack even if they decide to go with someone other than Martinez, in midfield they have Guarin is the engine room, Rodriguez and Cuadrado who are very good creative players, the central defence is ageing but should have another tournament in them, I think they have a good chance of getting to the quarters. Chile are probably the wildcard of the tournament, I get the feeling they could be really good but their attacking nature might get them found out against the more cynical sides, but then their recent results show they can more than match the big sides and I don't see them being overawed. Expect plenty of attacking play and pressing high up the pitch, it is vital Vidal makes the finals as he is a key player and I expect their qualification to come down to their last game against the Netherlands.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting I haven't studied the odds, but I thought France looked very good against Norway tonight. They looked as though they might go some way this time.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting

I haven't studied the odds' date=' but I thought France looked very good against Norway tonight. They looked as though they might go some way this time.[/quote'] Well if you look at all the squads, you would have to say that France are strong in defence, midfield and up front. Not many of the teams have an even distribution of talent, so France certainly can't be ruled out, nor can the Italians.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting Speaking of Portugal... As a portuguese, I really feel Portugal will have less trouble than most of the people think in getting to the second stage. First clash against Germany will surely be closer as it was in EURO 2012, where the draw was the fair result. Ghana and USA are good opposition, but just lack in the defensive moments of the match and that will surely cost them. Belgium might be the second round opposition if we get through in second place, or Russia if we get in first. Both are hard opposition, and we will struggle against both, but I think we will have enough to reach the quarters. Belgium has a golden generation, yes. But they are just too raw for the big stage. They will surely struggle to maintain their "A-game" is such stenuous climate differences and in coping with their dark horse status, and will surely fade against a much more experienced team on the big stage (probably Germany, Portugal or Argentina). In the quarter, possible opposition is Argentina, and if we can stop their amazing attack enough, if Messi isn't okay (which I predict it will happen) and we fully exploit their defensive weaknesses, we have a chance. Wishful thinking makes me say that we will reach the semis and lose to usual Spain or Italy, but we will probably collapse on the quarters against Argentina's powerful attack. Even though we are dependent on Ronaldo, the whole initial X11 is very strong, and IMO has no big weaknesses. We have a good GK, a great left-back (Coentrão) and an excellent centerpiece (Pepe and Bruno Alves). Midfield has Veloso, not your fastest player but very important in holding up the game and in set pieces, Meireles as box-to-box and Moutinho as your "he is everywhere". Nani and Ronaldo on the wings nuff said, and Postiga upfront. Only the right-back João Pereira opens up more space than he should, and Helder Postiga isn't the typical goalscorer but he is very important in holding up and creating spaces for Ronaldo to step up. Still some worries about Nani self-motivation, he seems to have eclipsed for a while now... Bench is not as strong, though, we only have as good options to create some impact, Varela, Vieirinha (if recovered) and future-Yaya William Carvalho. Ruben Amorim is also a solid midfielder which can do all the positions in the midfield with good quality. Beto might also step up if Rui Patricio gets injured. Other than that, the rest is just short to make ourselves candidates. But I think we will cause an impact in the competition, and go further than most people think. Took my time today to do my outright bettings for the WC2014. Although I only like to place all of my bets a week before the start in all of those big competitions, I feel there is some straight value to taken right now. Brazil @ 4.2 - betfair 10 stake Italy @ 28 - betfair 1 stake France @ 26 - betfair 1 stake Really do feel that Brazil is still value at 4.2. Even with some doubtful options in the Scolari call-up (leaving Lucas Moura out has no excuse), Scolari usually knows how to build a group of players who are ready to die for one another. Scolari isn't the best coach for smart tactical approaches or innovative strategies...but he certainly is one of the greatest motivators to coach the game. Brazil have an excellent squad even if some great players are not in the 23 call-up, look like playing for fun everytime I watch them and will be completely galvanized due to hosting the competition. All those problems outside football will have no impact in the team while playing, and the whole nation will unite to see Brazil grab their 6th World Cup. Seriously, I can only see a very inspired-Messi Argentina or a very pragmatic Italy stepping up to stop Brazil. Other teams I like with the perspective of doing a back-to-lay in the quarters are Italy and France. France are in a very easy group, and they are showing that when there is no ego-fights in the team, they just play some good football. Didier Deschamps knows what he is doing, and they were very impressive against Norway the other day. Also, turning around such a deficit against Ukraine isn't for your typical nation squad. They are young, talented, have solid options in every position, and will surely end up in first place. They get the 2nd place in group F, and they are strong enough to beat any of the contenders there, excluding Argentina which will surely win the group as well. On quarters, I will want to lay them as Germany might be too much to handle. Italy has a very tough group, but well, it is just Italy. Probably will struggle to reach the second stage as usual, but they have no mercy on knockout stages. They did a very bad WC 2010, but reached the finals in EURO 2012 and I expect them to rise up to the occasion once again. Having one of the best GK ever to play the game, a very solid backline, great midfield options and some serious talent upfront which joker Balotelli, they might be the "big outsider" for me. But with a view of laying them in the quarters.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this