Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st

[Aidymac]

[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617] [TR] [TH=class: firstColumn]Friday 29 November 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [TH] [/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Olympique Marseille v Montpellier HSC (19:30 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.85[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.3[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.49 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 30 November 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [TH] [/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]AS Monaco v Stade Rennais (16:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.53[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.52 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]En Avant Guingamp v FC Nantes (19:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.7[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.05[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.59 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]FC Lorient v OGC Nice (19:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.46 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Saint-Étienne v Stade Reims (19:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.85[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.7[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.26 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Toulouse FC v Sochaux-Montbéliard (19:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.59 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Valenciennes FC v Lille OSC (19:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.56 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 1 December 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [TH] [/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Girondins de Bordeaux v AC Ajaccio (13:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.57[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]8[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.39 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]SC Bastia v Evian TG (16:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.31 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings, align: center][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Paris Saint-Germain v Olympique Lyonnais (20:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5.8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]10[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]98.67 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Marseille – Montpellier OM just have Rod Fanni and Andre Ayew injured. They played only 3 nights ago away against Arsenal in the CL, but a number of players were rested to the bench in that contest so fitness and fatigue shouldn’t be too much of an issue. Montpellier don’t have any new injuries to worry about, their most notable absentee is probably LB Yassine Jebbour, along with Gary Bocaly who’s been out of action long term. Some might say Montpellier have an advantage because of OMs CL commitments, but the Arsenal game meant nothing to them at all. There shouldn’t be any mental problems following that loss and only a minimal physical impact. OM finally started to play some decent football again last week. Ok, it was ‘only’ against Ajaccio, but nevertheless Corsica is never an easy place to go and OM had many unfavourable factors against them last, yet still managed to prevail convincingly. If they can pick up where they left off then they’ll have no problems beating Montpellier, because the visitors aren’t actually that good. They have drawn a lot of matches but in general their performances have been pretty poor this season, there is an air of frustration around the club at the moment. MHSC aren’t that bad but OM are at least 2 classes better than them and I can’t see them picking up any points if OM play anywhere near close to their best. The odds are too generous on OM here for me to refuse. The correct price should be something like 1.60-1.65 and the proper asian line closer to -1. Instead, there is terrific value on this -0.5 line, now its just a question of OM delivering the goods. They’ve not performed consistently well this season and have lost a staggering 50% of their home matches (not including another couple in the CL!). I just hope they keep up their momentum from last week and don’t produce one of their mysteriously flat displays. But this is a nice price, so I’ll hit them for 5 units, its not too often there is decent value odds on OM at home these days, so I’m going to take advantage of that fact. Prediction: Marseille 3-1 Montpellier Recommended bet: Marseille -0.5 @ 1.94 5/10

[Abd El Kader french]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Montpellier have a lot of draw result and their coach is an master for low scoring and slow match (boring games) ... i'm gone wait tomorrow to bet maybe an under 2.5 but not convincing me GL All

[Sm0k3rZ]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st followed u again meatman...great stuff!

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st St Etienne – Reims (15:00 cet) The hosts hardly have any squad problems here and their only notable absentee is defender Kurt Zouma who is serving his 10 match ban. They have a sprinkling of injuries but none are to any important players. Les Verts welcome back striker key Brandao from injury and he should start upfront. Reims are also in a good position injury wise and apart from a couple of longer term absentees, they’ll line up at full strength here. Something to note about this match is that it’s been moved forward to a 16:00 (local) kick off time because of possible bad weather this evening. Temperatures have been very cold in St Etienne this week and with a forecast of snow later, there was a risk that the pitch might freeze over. As it is, I don’t think the fixture will be affected too badly, unless of course the heavens open with a ton of snow during actual gametime. Amazingly, Reims travel here still unbeaten away from home since the opening day of the season! But I’ve no idea how they’ve managed to achieve this because they’ve been extremely lucky to avoid defeats in a number of matches. Fortune has been on their side but this wont be maintained forever and sooner or later they’ll come unstuck on the road. Reims aren’t a natural away side and are much better suited to their own stadium. Ironically, last season they managed to pick up a 0-0 draw here which was an unbelievably lucky result because St Etienne dominated them from start to finish, but missed countless chances. I think the home team will be motivated to avenge their frustration of last season and as long as they actually take their opportunities this time, should be able to win the match comfortably. Sainte only have a 3-2-2 home record but arguably should’ve won all 7 matches here at Le Stade Geoffroy Guichard. Its inexplicable how they’ve managed to let some many points slip through their fingers! Twice they blew 2-0 leads that turned into draws. Even their defeats probably should’ve been wins. They lost to Toulouse but on another day would’ve been about 5-0 up at HT in that game, and then of course there was the freak loss to Lyon in a derby match a couple of weeks ago which was completely unjust. The point I’m making is that they’ve dominated virtually all of their home fixtures but dropped stupid points in an unusual way. If they just play normally here and don’t do dumb things then they should be able to win easily. As I said before, Reims are an overrated team away from home and are nowhere near as good as their results suggest. Unless the weather puts a spanner in the works I’m very confident St Etienne will deliver here and there’s nice value on the hosts. An Asian line of -0.75 is pretty generous and I’ll take Christophe Galtier’s men without hesitation. Prediction: St Etienne 3-0 Reims Recommended bet: St Etienne -0.75 @ 1.95 6/10 Monaco – Rennes (17:00 cet) Probably the biggest injury news of the day in Ligue 1 is that Falcao is injured. This was expected though and they’ve had a whole week to prepare without him. Monaco’s other injury is to winger Ferreira Carrasco who also missed last week’s match. He started the season in great form, but that’s tailed off recently so he shouldn’t be missed too much. Monaco aren’t the only team without attacking injuries here. Rennes miss playmaker Romain Alessandrini who has just been getting back into good form recently. Arguably, a more important loss is AMID Foued Kadir, who’s been playing great for them this season. He’s an unsung hero of this Rennes team and I think his absence will be really felt. Midfielder Vincent Pajot remains on the sidelines, so some of the younger players like Bakayoko, Honou and Kondradsen will once again be featuring in the middle of the park. I think Monaco have been a disappointment in recent weeks. In all honestly, they haven’t really played that well since they beat Bastia 3-0 almost two months ago. Apart from a good first half against Lyon, they’ve done few eye catching things since, and their form has been a worry for coach Claudio Ranieri. But at least they managed to return to winning ways last week, beating Nantes 1-0 in ugly fashion. The most important thing was that they got 3 points out of that contest, a victory which can perhaps now restart their engine. Rennes meanwhile, have been gradually slipping down the table and have only won 1 of their last 8 games. Even that was the freak 5-0 at Toulouse in which Ali Ahamada virtually gifted them all 5 goals! They haven’t been playing too badly recently but have shown themselves to be nothing more than mediocre during the last couple of months. The public is undecided about Monaco this week. Usually, Les Monegasques are a top public play and everyone loves to bet on them because of their reputation. But no Falcao this week means they are surely fucked right? Thats what some people will be thinking but I predict the opposite effect might happen. Falcao is a mega star at Monaco and all of the focus and attention is usually on him. This is now a chance for some other players to shine in the spotlight and I think the whole team will play harder in his absence. Some attacking players could be especially motivated and want to prove a point they can still score goals and create chances without Falcao. Besides, the Columbian actually hasn’t actually been playing very well recently, only scoring 2 goals in 7 games. Bizarrely, from a certain point of view, you could argue he won’t be missed as much as anticipated. Rennes’ meanwhile, have to cope without Alessandrini and Kadir which is huge, who is going to create and score goals for them now? I don’t think the visitors will trouble the scorers today and I see Monaco keeping a clean sheet. I like the idea of backing the hosts -1 here. I think they’ll go out there and prove a point that they aren’t a one man team and can still win without their main striker. Prediction: Monaco 2-0 Rennes Recommended bet: Monaco -1 (asian) @ 1.98 4/10

[malabgd]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st AS Monaco v Stade Rennais AS Monaco: Falcao, Ferreira-Carrasco Stade Rennais: Boye, Alessandrini, Kadir, Pajot AS Saint-Étienne v Stade Reims AS Saint-Étienne: Mignot, Baysse, Saadi, Saint-Maximim, Sissoko, Zouma Stade Reims: Diego, Conte, Bastien Information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions on: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Guingamp – Nantes Mustapha Yatabare is still injured for Guingamp which severely reduces their strikepower. Many people (including myself) have taken the piss out of him a few times this season, but it can’t be argued he’s scored key goals and is a threat upfront, even though he can sometimes act like a donkey! In midfield, Mustapha Diallo is still suspended but the hosts don’t have any other absences to worry about. Nantes have CB Gabriel Cichero injured, but he probably wouldn’t have started anyway with key man Papy Djilobodji returning from a ban. The only other Nantes injury is in midfield where Lucas Deaux misses out. He’s started every ligue match this season apart from the opening day when he was suspended, so could be missed. Nantes are elsewhere at full strength and generally have a squad in pretty good condition. This is a Brittany derby, albeit one of the less important ones. Both teams have more bitter rivals they would prefer to beat, but nevertheless this should still be a spicy and heated encounter with regional pride at stake. It must be said that both teams have performed really well since their promotion and are much higher in the table than most people would’ve predicted. Nantes are shockingly still as high as 5th, whilst Guingamp aren’t far behind them in 8th. I was thinking about backing Guingamp here but in the end decided to refrain. They have a great home record if you exclude their opening day loss to Marseille and have also performed really well in both of their Breton derbies this season (beaten both Lorient and Rennes 2-0). Nantes also haven’t won at Le Stade Roudourou for 13 years so this isn’t a happy hunting ground for them. But they have always bounced back strongly after a loss this season and coach Michel De Zakarian will have them well prepared for this fixture. I sense that not much will separate these two sides come the final whistle and a draw is probably the most likely outcome. Neither side will want to lose. Prediction: Guingamp 1-1 Nantes Recommended bet: None Lorient – Nice For once, Lorient aren’t as badly affected with injuries and suspensions, although they still have a few absences. Some good news at the back is that no1 GK Fabien Audard is fit again and should start here. CB Gregory Bourillon also returns from injury, although it’s likely he’ll only start from the bench. Fellow CB Lamine Kone is still not deemed fit enough to return but should be in contention for the midweek match. Left winger Maxime Barthelme is still suspended and key striker Jeremie Aliadiere remains injured, but apart form this Lorient don’t have any other worries. Nice meanwhile, have a nightmare injury situation to contend with. I’ll start with the good news. Important midfielder Nampalys Mendy and key striker Dario Cvitanich both return from suspension, but they have little else to cheer. Les Aiglons have a total of 10 injured players, at least half of whom would’ve started here if fit. Nice have some good players, are well managed and are typically a decent team, but they are so massively injury ravaged right now and its clearly affecting them. They’ve lost their last 4 consecutive matches and are going to have to work really hard tonight to halt their bad run. Obviously, Claude Puel isn’t going to be able to field anything close to his strongest side. The starting XI won’t be too bad but they have virtually no bench strength at all. The other problems they’re going to have here are adapting to Lorient’s artificial surface, in addition to facing a Les Merlus side who are sure to now have their mojo back. Coach Christian Gourcuff was a man under pressure but the superb 4-0 away win at Evian last week will have worked wonders for everyone at the club. Nice are such a wounded animal at the moment and should be there for the taking. The price is nothing special but I’m going ot have to back Lorient here such is the extent of Nice’s problems. In addition I’m going to back over 2.25 goals. Lorient home games are typically open fixtures and the hosts will attack hard. Nice can’t defend at the moment so will probably be forced to ‘go for it’ as well. I’m surprised the price is odds-against for this line and needs to be taken IMO. Prediction: Lorient 2-1 Nice Recommended bets: Lorient -0.5 @ 2.07 4/10 & Over 2.25 goals @ 2.06 4/10 Toulouse – Sochaux TFC have creative midfielder Oscar Trejo suspended for this contest, but don’t have any other new worries to contend with. Etienne Didot will likely slot into the midfield and he’s hardly much of a downgrade, if any. Sochaux don’t have any new worries either. They have a few players on the sidelines, but most of their injuries are to players who’ve been out of action for a while now so their absences should be less of a factor. I don’t like the idea of betting in this match, I just don’t have a feel for the contest. Toulouse home games are usually quite boring with most sides setting themselves up defensively against them. That shouldn’t happen here though because Sochaux just don’t know how to defend, they are incapable of it. Herve Renard is an attack minded manager anyway and he’ll look to score a few goals on the counter attack, utilising the strength of his team.. I’m just not sure about this contest and don’t have an awful lot to say about it. Maybe it smells like a typical 1-0 Toulouse home win, but at the same time I can definitely see Sochaux scoring. I’m going to leave this contest alone anyway, its a clear no bet situation for me. Prediction; Toulouse 2-1 Sochaux Recommended bet: None Valenciennes – Lille VA have one new injury of note with key striker Gregory Pujol ruled out. He’s one of the most injury prone strikers in Ligue 1 so it’s hardly much of a surprise, but they do lack some firepower without him in the side. The hosts don’t really have anyone else important ruled out except for CB Lindsay Rose who’s now been out of action for a number of weeks. Lille have a favourable situation ahead of this match, their only new problem is that young attacker John Jairo Ruiz is ruled out for 4-6 weeks, but he’s not an important player anyway. Their most important absentee is midfielder Marvin Martin, but his return is close following a number of weeks out. Lille have now kept a remarkable 9 clean sheets in a row and their defence has simply been impenetrable in recent weeks. They are so strong at the back with the likes of Basa and Kjaer dominating opposition attackers. But Lille aren’t as good as their statistics might suggest. They have been lucky in a number of matches and of course rely on clean sheets, winning by small 1-0 margins etc. What is going to happen when they finally concede a goal again, will they be able to respond? This is a derby game which means more to Valenciennes so they should be fired up here. But whether or not they can be the team who finally beats this Lille defence I’m not so sure. Without Pujol they’ll struggle even more to score, so LOSC may well keep yet another clean sheet. I think what will probably happen is Valenciennes play a very competitive game and create chances, but ultimately won’t hit the back of the net. Vincent Enyeama will probably make a number of saves for Lille again, as he always does. At the other end on the counter attack Lille will likely score a goal or two and that should be enough for them to win here. But I’m not going to back them. VA have looked decent under the management of Ariel Jacobs and could potentially get something out of the fixture. Prediction: Valenciennes 0-2 Lille Recommended bet: None

[senk]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st good call on St etienne, they really deliverd well in the 2th half. Reims unbeaten ended! :-) Monaco already leading, hope for a nice weekend in ligue 1.

[wongseefu]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st GO ONNNNNNNNNNNNN MEATMAN, GOOOOOO ON MY SON !!!!!

[FCNA]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Bastia vs Evian HW at 1,9 on betclic Evian is disabled with too many injuries again, to make something in Corsica where Bastia is very strong as each year (5W,1D,0D). Berigaud, Barbosa, Erhet, Bertoglio, Blanc and now Benezet are out. Their away record is balanced (2W,1D,3D) but this will not enough again a strong home side and we have already seen the impact of injuries last week-end with a defeat at home against awfull away side Lorient. For the brave, I recommand also a clean sheet at 2,9 on betclic which is quite good. VA vs Lille AW at 1,9 on betclic / Clean Sheet at 2,9 The derby is clear for me this year. Some statistics to begin : VA didn't win since 6 matches at home Lille didn't lost away since 6 matches Lille is the best defense in Ligue 1. 12/14 clean sheets ! Add that the current difficulties of VA even if they've changed their coach and the good form of Lille (their solidity if I can say), the result is clear for me.

[Sm0k3rZ]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st great call on st etienne meat man! followed u again...hope monaco gets the job done..:cigar

[ivan-ikonomov]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Based on meatman's previews, I have also taken three one unit bets: Toulouse to win by one goal 3.50 Lille to win to nil 2.90 Guingamp - Nantes draw & under 2.5 3.25 Good luck! :ok

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Cheers. Yeh a good start to the day with both St Etienne and Monaco covering fully. Hoping for a full house with Lorient and the overs later. Good luck to everyone with their bets in the later games

[allin808]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st just joined for Lorient and the Over . lets go MEATMAN ! GL

[100percenthit]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Lille to beat Vallenciennes @ 1.97 Betfair The home team comes into the derby with a big and important missing in the squad. Key central defender Gary Kagelmatcher is out, defensive Midfielder Rudy Mater and key wingback Tongo Doumbia and defender Lindsay Rose are out as well. Going to review their attack they will miss young speedy attacking winger Opa Nguette. However, the most unpleasant for Valenciennes is the injury of the key striker – Gregory Pujol who contributed to the team the most benefit scoring 3 goals and 1 assist was recorded in his name as well. Attacking midfielder (temp-maker) Marvin Martin will be out for the guests. The strengths of Valenciennes in past matches it is the possession of the ball and attacking down the wings. Moreover, they love to play with a lot of width. Valenciennes will play Anthony Le Tallec as a main forward who possess good heading. At full strength Valenciennes can deliver the ball to him through attacks down the wings, but today it will be difficult to do. Valenciennes is also weak when defending against attack down the wings and defending through ball attacks. This is matches the main strength of Lille team. For example they have Salamon Kalou from the left flank and Valenciennes have some problems in this department. A lot of these factors can be found in this game. I expect too much misses and playing style of opponents denied any chances for Valenciennes. Lille will win today. Good luck.

[wongseefu]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st HOLD IT LORIENT, DON@T LET NICE SCORE !!! GO ON MY SON MEATMAN.

[ivan-ikonomov]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st full house! :cow

[Petar_Gal]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Meatman, thank you for all your great tips again!

[seven986]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st I love you!

[Paggy]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Days like these make be think that one could live on sports betting alone :) If only I didn't know better...Congratz Meatman.

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st I was out so didn't see the Lorient match, but a 94th min goal to secure a full house is a very sweet moment! I am pleased with my comeback after going a shocking 0-7 and -19 units last week in ligue 1. So far I'm 5/5 and +23 for this round, so a much better performance.

[allin808]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st bring the crown for Meatman !

[senk]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Great job again. Looking forward to tomorrow games. I fancy bastia to keep the points at home against a tough evian side. They desperately failed at home against lorient last week and they will miss their playmaker Ehret for this game due suspension. That's a blow cause they already missed some really important midfielders with barbosa, bertoglio, benezet and berigaud. Not totally sure if some of these guys will return but they are crippled. meatman will add some teamnews ! Difficult one to predict cause a team like evian can bounce back on any day but since bastia is like a fortress at home I'll give them the advantage. Squallici returns and thats a big boost in defence. Their defense is rock solid conceded only 1 goal in the last 5 home games. Odds around 2.00 are good enough to pull the trigger and ill go for the home win with medium stakes.

[Sm0k3rZ]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st a great weekend when meat man hits a full house! awesome stuff meatmean...followed you on all ur tips! thanks!

[allin808]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Bring the Royal Flush Meatman :nana

[smooth]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st MEATMAN, SIMPLY THE BEST...!!!! :clap

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Bordeaux – Ajaccio Bordeaux have a couple of new injuries here. CB Marc Planus is ruled out with a thigh problem, whilst midfielder Abdou Traore is another casualty. Neither are whom you’d call important players though so their absences shouldn’t be felt too much. Bordeaux rested about half a dozen players on Thursday night in the Europa League. They were also at home so fitness and fatigue is unlikely to be as much of an issue for them compared to normal. The visitors have a few injured players, most of whom have been out for a while. They do however have a couple of fresh injury concerns with defender Tonucci ruled out along with striker Tallo. There’s still no sign of Adrian Mutu, Ronald Zubar or Benoit Pedretti and those 3 guys are their most important absentees for this contest. Usually a good tactic with Bordeaux is to bet against them following a European match. But they’ve only actually lost 1 game after playing a EL fixture this season, so perhaps they’re now better equipped at dealing with midweek encounters. This isn’t going to be much of a factor here anyway because as I previously mentioned, they rested a number of players on Thursday night. Les Girondins have only lost 1 of their last 9 games, but as per usual they have drawn too many times. This has been a familiar pattern for them during the last couple of years and they fail to kill teams off enough. Mind you, Francois Gillot will fancy his chances of picking up an easy 3 points today, because Ajaccio are one of the worst sides in the division. Heading into this round of fixtures ACA were situated 19th, and only avoided being bottom by virtue of goal difference. The Corsicans have picked up just 1 win all season and have encountered all sorts of problems. I think they need to appoint a new permanent coach because Christian Bracconi isn’t going be able to save them IMO, they need an experienced and proven tactician. Bracconi has at least been an improvement on the hopeless Ravanelli, but players are still being played out of position and a lot of dumb tactical decision have been made during his 2 games in charge. The simple fact is that Ajaccio aren’t a good team and are right there for the taking on current form. But I don’t like taking Bordeaux on a – 1.25 asian line. I feel the bookies are about right here and there’s no value. Bordeaux just aren’t the sort of team I ever like to back -1, they prefer being underdogs and this is the sort of game they’ll probably win by 1 goal. Overall I prefer to swerve this contest. It should end up as a home win but I’m not totally sure how comfortable it’ll be for Bordeaux. Prediction: Bordeaux 1-0 Ajaccio Recommended bet: None

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st Bastia – Evian Bastia have no injuries or suspensions for this match, its as simple as that. They have a complete bill of health and coach Frederic Hantz has a luxury of options from which to choose. Evian on the other hand, aren’t so fortunate. Left winger Fabrice Ehret is suspended and they still miss a quartet of other attacking players to injury. Key striker Kevin Berigaud remains on the sidelines, as does playmaker Cedric Barbosa. To make matters worse Nicolas Benezet still isnt fit either and now the likes of Bertoglio and Blanc are missing in action as well. Evian aren’t in a bad state defensively or the middle of the park, but they’ll once again lack creative options. On the positive side, at least striker Modou Sougou returns from suspension, but he’s known for missing chances. Bastia are one of the most popular picks of the day, every man and their dog seems to fancy them to win this match. Well, sometimes this can be a trap but I also fall into this group, logically they should win comfortably. What you’ve got to remember is that Le Stade Furiani is one of the biggest fortresses in Ligue 1, Bastia have been awesome here this season and won every game bar one in front of their own fans. Look at who they’ve beaten too, a number of decent sides have travelled here and left with nothing. Only Marseille managed to pick up a point, but even they were fortunate not to avoid defeat. Evian looked so bad last weekend that its difficult to see how they bounce back so quickly. Lorient tore them apart at home, but the biggest worry was in the offensive department where they just looked disjointed going forwards. Evian are an attacking team who like to ‘go for it’ but this presents a real problem when a lot of their key offensive players are ruled out. I’m sure they’ll create a few chances here but will they take them? I’m not convinced and they’ll probably lack a ruthless edge in front of goal. Normally I’d fancy the overs in a game like this but my worry is that Evian wont score. Just one goal might be enough for Bastia to prevail, and they’ve been no strangers to 1-0 home wins this season, winning their last 2 by this margin. I think they’ll probably win even more comfortably than that today though. There’s already been a number of easy home victories in this round, but a scoreline of something like 3-0 is probably the most likely outcome. I’m already +23 units for this round so I should probably protect that, but I’m staking a fairly 6/10 here because I’m pretty confident. The price should be something like 1.80 and you can still get them odds-against in some places. Prediction: Bastia 3-0 Evian Recommended bet: Bastia -0.5 @ 2.03 6/10

[meatman]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st PSG – Lyon The hosts have no injuries or suspensions to worry about. There is a slight doubt over the participation of Blaise Matuidi because of a virus, but he should be fine to suit up and start here. Lyon have 3 confirmed injuries and a couple of other doubts. Fullback Mouhamadou Dabo is definitely out along with winger Jimmy Briand. There was major doubt over the participation of stud CB Samuel Umtiti but he does make the squad eventually. Whether or not he’ll start is a different matter because he’s carrying a groin strain. Striker Bafetimbi Gomis is another doubt with a back problem, but he’s usually fairly tough and will likely start in this fixture, albeit he might not be running at full capacity. Both teams fielded fairly strong XIs in their respective midweek home European games so neither side is likely to have an edge in this department. This used to be one of the flagship blue ribband fixtures in Ligue 1, but its probably not so important these days. PSG are in a different class to Lyon and the visitors aren’t what they once were. Nevertheless, it should still be a fairly big occasion because there’s plenty of history between the two sides. PSG have looked awesome really and its difficult to see where their next dropped points will come from. They’ve bulldozed opposition in recent weeks and been really impressive going forwards, the likes of Cavani and Ibrahimovic have been on fire. I’d like to bet on PSG here but I think the asian line of -1.5 is quite fair. If this line was -1 or -1.25 then I’d probably jump on it, but there’s a risk PSG will just be content winning by one goal. Thats all that matters to them here, making sure they get the 3 points. Besides, there’s a chance they could be flat following an emotional midweek win against Olympiakos, especially as they had to play all of the 2nd half with 10 men. Lyon aren’t that good but will fight really hard here, this is a fixture which means more to them. I’ll swerve this game but I’m still expecting PSG to prevail. Prediction; PSG 2-1 Lyon Recommended bet: None

[Betallica]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > November 29th - December 1st

Bastia are one of the most popular picks of the day, every man and their dog seems to fancy them to win this match.

And still, odds are rising, @Pinny ML is now 2.20, -0.25 @1.87... gonna wait to see what will happen in next few hours, and would be glad taking -0.25 @1.9+ btw., astonishing job in Ligue 1 yesterday, that Lorient goal 15 seconds after injury time just had to come. :)