Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

[cambroia]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Skip it... Porto has improved a bit with the new coach but Benfica also has been playing great football. In previews seasons Benfica failed in the end of the season because Jorge Jesus is a crapy coach...they play 40 games at a high tempo and in the end they are tired and with a lot of injuries...after 4 seasons with this scenario Jesus finnally realised their players are not Supermans, and he has been playing a little more cautious, rotating the squad... Dont get fooled by Benfica´s last matches...they beat Nacional away 4-2 but one minute before de 4th goal, Nacional failed an incredible chance that would give them the 3-3...then with Tottenham at home, after the halftime winning by 1-0, Benfica relaxed to much and gut lucky again to draw the match after two Sigurdsson poor finishes... Porto still lacks quality, Benfica is favourite to reach the final, but this is only the first leg...Jesus usually screws things up in the big moments, so my advice is: NO BET. If you have the chance to watch the game live try to bet inplay...GL

[Hume]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

I watched Porto-Belenses last night and i can tell you that Porto are terrible at the moment.They look clueless upfront.The noly reason they beat Belenses was that Belenses got 1 man short at the end of the 1st half.Benfica is a team who can put Porto's defence on pressure and it won't stand a chance.I was hoping some of the Portugal League spacialists to give an opinion because i don't know about missing players but i can make a statement based on yesterday's drama.Porto was awful and i think that if Benfica are with their A squad they will win the game.

I was sweating on this result last night. I had a 10 game accumulator, with this as the 10th game. I cashed in another accumulator (at a £8 lose) which would have won had I left it because I thought Porto wasn't going to score. I couldn't find a stream for the game, so I am grateful to hear from someone who saw it.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 I would have to disagree with some of the views around here. You might just say that Benfica will win or at least qualify for the final (two legs), based on recent data and current season, but you truly have to consider other factors. First of all, you have to consider that Belenenses is a very hard team to crack. They have the 3rd best defense of the league when playing away, they know how to defend. Moreover, their coach was dismissed last week, new manager came in and there was a clear effect on the players motivation. Very hard to say that FC Porto was bad, especially in second half, it could have been 2 or 3. First half yes, they were poor, but IMO they were recovering from the emotional burst from the game against Napoli. Plus, Quaresma, Fernando and Danilo were out, 3 very important players. Second, Benfica is leading the league 7 points ahead of Sporting and 12 points ahead of FC Porto, FC Porto have absolutely no chance of winning the league, which might see them risk everything on the cups (Portugal Cup, League Cup and Europa League). Benfica have a great squad and are playing terrific football most of the times, but they usually stand with some mental issues against FC Porto. As we see Jorge Jesus steamrolling against other opponents, FC Porto is an opponent that already gave Jorge Jesus the biggest humiliations as a Benfica manager. For example, 5-0 (2010/2011), the 2-1 last season with a FC Porto goal on the 92' which gave them the league title, 1-3 in Estadio da Luz (after winning 0-2 on the first leg), 2-3 in Estadio da Luz (2011/2012)...Benfica players are full of confidence, that's true. But against FC Porto it's different. "Classicos" are a different kind of green, and it much different than most of you think. I think FC Porto will come in full pressure mode on and try to score early, scare Benfica and push them behind. FC Porto are not playing well for the most, however Luis Castro will surely know how to motivate the players enough to prove a point and win against Benfica. Based on the last game, I do feel Quintero will be on the X11, very creative and dangerous player, will give a lot of trouble alongside Quaresma (big form, just look up his goal against Napoli), Jackson Martinez and Varela. For me, the best bet for this game is a BTTS. FC Porto will want to win to throw all the pressure to Benfica for the second leg, while Benfica most probably will score because they ALWAYS score against everyone. I think that Jorge Jesus might only change Rodrigo for Cardozo, no rotation this time. Will also place a small bet on 2-1, as I feel it is the most possible result. BTTS @ 1.83 looks about right, and I would place half stake there because I think there will an early goal. If not, place another half stake when BTTS @ 2.00/2.10.

[arsenalfh]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Benfica are massively overpriced this weekend away at Braga I feel. Although Braga are usually strong in front of their own fans they've had a rough season and there's just not the same quality in their side compared to what we've seen in the past. Both sides played midweek in the cup with Rio Ave holding Braga to a goalless draw whilst Benfica lost 1-0 to a rejuvenated Porto side although they rested several key players which could be key to this fixture. Braga have a number of injury problems including key men Eder and Rafa who are doubtful for the encounter while Benfica on the other hand will likely reintroduce Lima, Gaitan, Markovic, Perez and Siqueira to the starting line up providing a big boost to their chances. Porto were excellent midweek and I was particularly impressed with the energy and desire to win the ball back shown throughout the game which was often lacking under Fonseca so the midweek defeat isn't worrying for me. They've been excellent since December and with Jesus seemingly learning from past mistakes by adopting a successful rotation system I don't see any signs of Benfica slowing. Jesus has also been clear that the league is priority and the away side will be eager to wrap up the title as soon as possible after the implosion we saw at the end of last season. The odds for Benfica here are huge compared to the 1.7 they were to beat Estoril away who are better than Braga and the 1.43 they were to beat Guimaraes away who are at a similar level to the home side which emphasises the value for me. Benfica are on another level to the other Portuguese sides at the moment and they are great value for the win. 4pts Benfica @ 1.91 PaddyPower

[Jase82]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

The odds for Benfica here are huge compared to the 1.7 they were to beat Estoril away who are better than Braga and the 1.43 they were to beat Guimaraes away who are at a similar level to the home side which emphasises the value for me. Benfica are on another level to the other Portuguese sides at the moment and they are great value for the win. 4pts Benfica @ 1.91 PaddyPower

They're not really though are they? Braga have historically been a top six side where as Estoril are relatively new to the upper echelons of Portuguese football. I'd personally suggest 1.9 is fairly respectable and wouldn't consider it "amazing" given both clubs respective league standings, the home away factor, head to heads and league form. It looks like a 1-1 type of fixture, maybe both to score. Benfica are seven points clear and don't seem to have any strong favourites given Porto and Sporting are underperforming.

[arsenalfh]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

They're not really though are they? Braga have historically been a top six side where as Estoril are relatively new to the upper echelons of Portuguese football. I'd personally suggest 1.9 is fairly respectable and wouldn't consider it "amazing" given both clubs respective league standings' date=' the home away factor, head to heads and league form. It looks like a 1-1 type of fixture, maybe both to score. Benfica are seven points clear and don't seem to have any strong favourites given Porto and Sporting are underperforming.[/quote'] I'm not saying Benfica should be 1.5 or 1.7 but given Braga's form this season I think the bookies are being generous on Benfica. Estoril have been the better than Braga this season with a terrific manager in charge and whilst Porto have been underperforming Benfica still have the stronger team and I would expect them to still be ahead in the league. I wouldn't say Sporting are underperforming though and with the quality Jardim has at his disposal he's doing a fantastic job. All in all I think Benfica have been brilliant since December and look a good price here.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Will probably say something about Braga - Benfica tomorrow or Sunday morning. Think you might be underrating Braga and Benfica is not on a big away form. H2H doesn't favour Benfica, referee is usually Benfica opponent-biased, games in Braga are always very though. I would personally go for a BTTS or O2.5, but will talk about it later. One very risky bet for today: Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira: Belenenses @ 2.62 for a 0.5 stake I consider this one as a very risky bet but I do believe it will happen. This is a very decisive game for Belenenses. Belenenses are the last on the league (16º), and have a very tough schedule to avoid relegation. After Paços Ferreira, they play against direct relegation battle rival Gil Vicente (a), play against bad-form Guimarães (h) and have some 3 last difficult matches: Sporting (h), Estoril (a) and direct rivals in the relegation battle Arouca (h). To avoid relegation, they have to catch Paços de Ferreira (14º), today's opponent, which has 22 points. 5 point distance is a big one with 6 matches left, so this game has crucial importance for Belenenses. They have a new manager since last match (loss against FC Porto away 1-0), and the team showed some positive signs. Team looked very secure in the back and had some bad luck in not scoring in the first half. Midfield has A LOT of quality, with Tiago Silva, Fernando Ferreira and Miguel Rosa being three very talented players, which made a good match against FC Porto. New manager Lito Vidigal is an experienced one and surely motivated them enough for this decisive match. Full team except João Afonso (CB) is available. Paços Ferreira was on a tough position and new manager has to be praised for his work so far. They still can't have Andre Leao, their XI defensive midfielder, although I feel they won't miss him that much. They usually have some trouble while playing away, and I do expect it to happen today. This will surely be a tight one, but I do believe Belenenses will have the edge due to home factor and decisive match. Usually, the teams that are trying to avoid relegation usually give 150% in these sort of matches and I do believe it will happen today.

[blueberry099]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 JuMeSyn, any info about today matches?

[bennyboyt]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 I hear Braga are missing a ton of players, is this correct?

[arsenalfh]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

I hear Braga are missing a ton of players' date=' is this correct?[/quote'] http://www.abola.pt/nnh/ver.aspx?id=468981 Rafa and Eder not in the squad along with Alan, Sasso, Kadu, Nuno Andre Coelho, Baiano and Custodio. Some big players out for Braga but Benfica are now 1.7 or even shorter in most places so the price is no longer attractive for me.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Académica x Olhanense: Académica & Under 2.5 @ 3.00 for a 0.35 stake (bet365) Académica are doing a good season after a rough start, and currently they are with their eyes on a possible entry on the Europa League. A win today is of much importance if they want to keep fighting for the european spot, which is at a distance of five points. Manager Sergio Conceição has to bounce back from a harsh loss at Benfica (0-3) for a team that is considered one of the best defensive performers of the league. However, they still lack something on the attack and prefer to play on the counter due to the speed on the wings (Salvador Agra, Marinho, Magique). Olhanense is last place on the league and even though they drew against Nacional on the last match (1-1 home), they are still not convincing enough and I just can't see another scenario than a relegation for them. Against some very consistent defensive performers, Olhanense scoring unless on a very lucky strike such as a 30-yard screamer or a penalty. They will possibly keep it tight at the back and try to play on the wings and grab some corners as it is their best chance, but on the wings there are the most dangerous Académica players... However, I feel that Académica might also have some trouble is scoring, and this all points out for an Under 2.5. As I think Académica will have the edge in scoring, this will be low-scoring, and Académica will win 1-0/2-0. Académica & Under 2.5 is available for 3.00 on bet365, with is some very good odds. Sporting Braga x Benfica: BTTS @ 2.00 for a 0.5 stake; Lima TSA @ 2.60 (bet365) for a 0.4 stake It is true that Braga are without some of the most important players. Nuno Andre Coelho, Baiano, Eder, Alan, Rafa, Custódio are all very important players that are out due to injuries. Benfica's odds completely steamed out, and someone pointed it out, and I think they will this match due to that. However, I don't think it will that easy an many are saying. SC Braga stadium is always a very difficult stadium for any team, and Benfica has had some trouble in the past years when playing here. Moreover, SC Braga is usually a team that wether they win, lose, or draw, knows how to score. They are scoring at home for 7 consecutives matches, and only failed to score in 2 of the 12 home matches. Braga is actually scoring in 13 consecutive matches! As they have all these injuries since the start of March, you can see that injuries are not stopping them for scoring. (but they are conceding a lot as well). Benfica's great form on the defense is falling apart from what I've seen against FC Porto, Nacional and Tottenham, they only managed some good stuff against Academica as Academica is not that great of a team on the attacking phase. I do feel Benfica will have the edge today and win, but SC Braga has a big scoring chance today, and BTTS @ 2.00 is available. Over 2.5 could also be considered @ 2.10. As a side-bet, I recommend you guys to do Lima TSA. A very good price for in-form striker, scored twiced against Académica and once against Tottenham and Nacional. Nacional x FC Porto: Over 2.5 @ 2.00 for a 0.5 stake (bet365) It is true that FC Porto's matches lately have been some Under 2.5 steamers, even against my opinion as I feel FC Porto are producing some good offensive stuff with the new manager. What is lacking is some good decisions in the final third. Nacional is one of the surprises of the season, with their counter-attacking 4-3-3 approach, producing some of the best counter-attacking moments in Europe since the start of the 13/14 season. The team is full of talented players (Miguel Rodrigues, Djaniny, Rondon, Goma, Candeias) as well, and has a good manager (Manuel Machado). This match has everything to pull itself wide open very quickly, specially if there is an early goal. FC Porto need to win to still believe in catching Sporting (now 8 points ahead after yesterday's win against Guimarães), and Nacional might create a bigger gap. Nacional has some good players upfront and knows how to counter-attack. They have some good defending processes, however they seem to lack the quality to sit deep and compact the players to avoid conceding, just as I've seen against Benfica. From the moment Benfica overloaded the Nacional final third with players, they conceded 3 in a row. FC Porto usually produces some good results against Nacional as well, so they might score once or twice. But their defense is still not at the desirable level, with the FC Porto CB's doing some terrible mistakes once in a while. Over 2.5 is my bet for this one.

[cambroia]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 A couple of days ago i would stick to Braga +0.5 simply because of the fact that i think Jorge Jesus will try to control the advantage of 7 points. If Benfica wins the 3 remaining mathces at home, which they probably will, they may loose 2 today in Braga, another 2 in Arouca and 3 in Porto in the last round...this would be the worst scenario but would give them the title. Benfica screwed things up in the past because of injuries and tireness of the players...it seems that Jesus finnally learned the lesson and that´s why i think that from now on Jesus will only play to get the job done. However given the fact that Braga has so many injuries i cant go against Benfica. Braga is a place with a lot of Benfica fans...the kind of fans that during the year support Braga and against Benfica they support Benfica... I think Benfica will control the match, try to get things done and relax...wont be surprised with a 0-0 draw but all depends on the approach Benfica has to the game... If Benfica go "gung-ho" which i dont think so for the reasons i stated before, Braga may well be smashed, because if they suffer and try to get back on the game, they will get bullied because today they miss crucial players.. If Benfica approaches it carefully the match may be boring and Benfica get´s the job done in the second half and go home happy with a 1-0 win. If you have the chance to watch the game, i advise you to wait for inplay...the match may be boring, but also become a goal fest if a goal is scored earlier. GL

[cambroia]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 As for the Nacional - Porto match, i agree with Jumesyn..Nacional has enough power to score, Porto is missing both CB, Mangala and Maicon. Porto also has improved lately with the new coach. I predict something like 1-2, 2-2, 1-3 GL

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 2/4 for the day not bad. Could have been so much better if Academica avoided that stupid conceded goal and Braga took his chances. Nevertheless...

[arsenalfh]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

2/4 for the day not bad. Could have been so much better if Academica avoided that stupid conceded goal and Braga took his chances. Nevertheless...

Braga were very good in the middle disrupting Benfica but they lacked a real threat going forward. I haven't seen Benfica play so many loose passes in a long time but they still remained solid at the back and missed one or two great chances to put the game to bed. Poor game but it could have been different if Braga had any decent forwards playing, unlucky with your bet.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Rusescu is a great striker, but he missed an easy header in the first half and could have done much better in the 2nd half, in one moment.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Vitória SC - Estoril Praia: BTTS @ 2.05 for a 0.50 stake (unibet) This week matchday on Portugal's Primeira Liga starts up with tough-battlers Vitória SC against 4th place Estoril Praia. Both teams are not in their best moment, and come from two defeats by 0-1. Vitória SC are facing some serious finishing problems, did enough to score in both games against Gil Vicente and Sporting Lisbon but didn't manage to make it by bad luck or clumsiness. Manager Rui Vitoria already revealed that they have been practising the finishing during the week, so we will surely see a goal from Vitória, who will want to win to get back on track with the Europa League dream, which is still possible but they have to win against Estoril Praia. Estoril Praia comes from a home loss (0-1) against Rio Ave, which are one of the best away teams in the league. Estoril did enough to score as well and draw the game at least, they even missed a penalty. Just like Rio Ave, Estoril works better away than at home, Estoril made 24 points away against 19 points at home. They scored at least once in 10 of the 12 away matches and actually won once against current Champions FC Porto (1-0) which is quite impressive. It is expected from them to bounce back since last loss, and I actually can't see them losing, but odds don't looks that great on Estoril or Draw. Vitória doesn't seem like the best team defending at home against teams with more talented players up front. However, they have been practising some finishing, which might see them score even against a solid Estoril. Estoril might slip a goal or two on the counter or due to corners. BTTS @ 2.05 on unibet looks great, and I would price it 1.83.

[luckotheoirish]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Estoril 0 AH @ 1.875....Guimaraes at home are 4-3-5 12/12 and Estoril away are 7-3-2 19/11.Guimaraes form of late hasn't been fab and maybe they've slipped into midtable mediocrity mode with 5 games left.Recently they've lost at home to Pacos(away form 2-3-8 13/29) and Vicente(away form 2-3-8 10/20).Estoril on the other hand have only lost twice away to Benfica(home form 10-2-0 23/5) and Braga(7-2-4 24/14) and they beat Porto(home form 10-1-1 27/4) away.Tonight Guimaraes will be missing their top scorer Matias(6 goals) a midfielder and 3 defenders.Away team in decent form not to lose for me...

[luckotheoirish]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14

Estoril 0 AH @ 1.875....Guimaraes at home are 4-3-5 12/12 and Estoril away are 7-3-2 19/11.Guimaraes form of late hasn't been fab and maybe they've slipped into midtable mediocrity mode with 5 games left.Recently they've lost at home to Pacos(away form 2-3-8 13/29) and Vicente(away form 2-3-8 10/20).Estoril on the other hand have only lost twice away to Benfica(home form 10-2-0 23/5) and Braga(7-2-4 24/14) and they beat Porto(home form 10-1-1 27/4) away.Tonight Guimaraes will be missing their top scorer Matias(6 goals) a midfielder and 3 defenders.Away team in decent form not to lose for me...

1-3,bet won....

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Paços Ferreira - Sporting: Slimani To Score Anytime @ 2.62 for a 0.40 stake (bet365) Once more, I'm going on with this one. But first, a little preview. Paços de Ferreira were last placed for relegation when new manager Jorge Costa came in. Now, they are extremely secure and possibly will stay in Primeira Liga after some impressive wins aganst Maritimo and Arouca (home) and Vitória Guimarães (away). With the ressurgence of Bebe and good transfer window movement (Del Valle, Boaventura) and Jorge's Costa motivation, the team stepped out and is now much more feared on the league. However, they face Sporting Lisbon, with need of points to secure the second spot and to reach the millions of Champions League. Sporting are 8 points away of securing the 2nd place, and I expect them once again to deliver an exhibition to win. However, this Paços Ferreira will give them a lot of work. Plus, Paços Ferreira home is not the best stadium for Sporting. They usually have a lot of trouble here, and games are usually very tough and won by the 1-0 margin. But I don't expect that to happen today. Paços Ferreira will be extremely motivated, and theie attacking line pace and agressiveness will push Sporting players behind, and they could possibly score one or two. But defensively, they have been very disappointing. They are conceding in 11 matches in a row, worst defense on the league and 2nd worst defense at home, which says a lot about their defensive abilities. While Overs and Over 1.5 Sporting could be considered due to this, simply no value there. Islam Slimani hasn't been scoring for a while now, but he has had the chances in both last games. I expect him to get some more chances today, and possibly score one or two, should he play on the XI.

[blueberry099]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 how to you think on Olhanense vs Braga tonight?

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Life decision match for both team's objectives. Olhanense need to win to push Belenenses below and have a lifeline chance for the play-offs. (yes, 15th placed gets to face the 3rd place in Segunda Liga because the Primeira Liga is going from 16 teams to 18 teams). So a draw or win is needed. Braga need to get closer to the 5th place. Wouldn't touch simply anything, although I can't see Olhanense winning here. Would only jump on red card/penalty taken due to Olhanense penalty conceded record and Duarte Gomes (today's ref) awful penalty (0.3 per game) and red card (0.5 per game) records. No markets for it though.

[cambroia]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 I see no value on Braga..they have a lot of influent players injured, Eder, Alan, Rafa, Micael...ridiculous odds...but i have the feeling they will beat Olhanense. Anyway..skip it. As for Paços, they are very motivated, as Sporting is. Bebe is in such an amazing moment and still dreaming with the World Cup and the return to Man Utd or a jump to a big team. Both teams motivated but i think both will be happy with a draw. Sporting will try to win but Jorge Costa know´s how to get a team organised and defend well. I advise you to skip it or bet inplay if you have the chance to follow the match. Gun to my head: Olhanense 0 - Braga 1 Paços 0 - Sporting 0 Regards

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Too bad there weren't any markets for red card penalty in the Olhanense game. Would have some real kaching with that. Oh, and bad betting from my behalf on the Slimani one. Although Sporting played really well and he assisted twice, didn't get to score. Tomorrow we have some crazy betting days, I hope. Have a feeling that everything might go wrong or right: Maritimo x FC Arouca: Maritimo Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.20 for a 0.40 stake ; Derley TSA @ 2.75 for a 0.20 stake (bet365) Marítimo are 10th placed with 31 points and will be facing relegation battlers Arouca (12th place, 25 points). Marítimo comes from a draw in Gil Vicente (1-1) and Arouca won against Setúbal at home in a very hard fought game (1-0). Marítimo still wants Europa League, but they have to win tomorrow. Arouca haven't been that great on defending while playing away, and they are conceding for 5 consecutives matches. Against top tiers on attack, they seem to have trouble in not conceding, and Maritimo has some very creative and fast players up on the attack (Sami, Weeks, Danilo Dias and especially Derley). Marítimo has always scored at home at least once, and few teams can do that. Actually, Marítimo is the 5th best attack on the league. However, their defensive abilities are really bad, home and away, and I'm expecting one goal from Arouca at least. BTTS @ 2.00 is good odds, IMO. But I'm going the extra mile and risking the Over 1.5 Maritimo @ 2.10. Can't see Arouca holding Maritimo, when Maritimo know that this game is decisive to still reach the Europa League. For Arouca, this one isn't so decisive, which might see them relax a bit, even if they fight enough. Also splitting some stake in Derley TSA @ 2.75, great odds! Scored 3 of the 5 goals of Maritimo in the past 5 games, clearly an outstanding striker and also takes penalties, should there be one. Vitória FC x Nacional: DNB Vitória @ 2.00 for a 0.60 stake (bet365) This one is the bet of the day for me, therefore the higher stake. Always a risk, though. Vitória FC still dream with the Europa League and this game is extremely decisive. They come from a loss against Arouca (0-1), but have been outstanding at home in 2014. They still haven't lost at home in 2014 and they have been playing some extraordinary football in ponctual moments, with some very young creative players upfront. Nacional come from a great win against FC Porto (2-1) in a game that they weren't expected to win and therefore, the 5th places looks more secure now, they can relax a bit against Vitória. The biggest absent from Nacional is Aly Ghazal, egyptian defensive midfielder which is extremely important in the team's defensive process and attack-defense transition. Without him, Nacional has had some trouble in sustaining teams with high attacking flows, and Vitória FC are just in that kind of form. In conclusion, I just can't see Vitória FC losing here. A draw might be possible, as Nacional also have quality players up-front and now how to efficiently counter-attack, but I believe Vitória FC will have the edge here, due to home factor and importance in winning today. FC Porto x Académica: Under 2.5 @ 1.90 for a 0.50 stake; Draw or Académica @ 4.50 for a 0.15 stake (bet365) Well, this one goes just against everyone. After Sporting winning against Paços yesterday (3-1), FC Porto have absolutely no theoretical chance to reach the second place for the direct CL qualification, IMO. Therefore, it is important to secure the third place, at least, and they still have plenty of games for that. Today's match could just be that one, but after that hard-fought game against Sevilla and full focus on Europa League and Portugal and League Cups, I don't expect full commitment from FC Porto players tomorrow. Helton and Maicon are still unavailable, and Luis Castro might rotate on the right-back and central midfielders. However, I expect Académica to pull a surprise. They are dreaming with the Europa League and draw or win against FC Porto might just pull the team spirits up ahead to reach the "impossible". Even if they can't have Djavan (important left-back) and Cleyton (creative midfielder), they still have their weapons and I expect them to keep it tight at the back. They conceded 3 against Benfica and 1 at home (bad defensive error) against Olhanense, but I think they be will great again on defensive processes. I'm splitting some stakes on Under 2.5, as I feel it will be a low-scoring match. Academica away games are usually low-scoring and FC Porto with new manager has had some 1-0 wins. I do think there might be a draw here, and I'm going for a fun Double Chance on Académica or Draw @ 4.50.

[KavkaZ]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 6.04.2014 Gil Vicente - Belenenses So, close the end of the season , ladies and gentlemen , and in such crisis countries like Italy, Portugal, Spain middle placed teams begin to earn money and begin work miracles performed by outsiders. Lets try to catch the first "miracle". Gil Vicente - Belenenses Home team settled on the 12th place +9 points off the relegation zone. In the last 6 meetings in their own stadium Gil Vicente won only one vs Vitoria Setubal, who finish the long season. Belenenses from saving place behind by 5 points with this meeting in hand , of course, that the defeat or even draw 99% send team in the 2nd division. And let the team lost 5 of the last 6 outreach meetings today backstage factors may intervene. In general, Gil Vicente special "friends" in the Premier League not have , remember last season , when miraculously managed to avoid relegation , having suffered three defeats in a row to end the stock spectacled enough. Why not get a first real "friend" who, if saved , then certainly a shoulder at the right time next season. Well excuses for losing the coach will have , as Gill Vicente will be without: Bruno Moraes (7 games 2 goals), Joao Vilela (18 games , 3 goals), Cláudio Pitbull (2 games), Vitor Goncalves (11 games , 1 goal), Luan (19 games , 1 goal), Luis Silva (9 games) , and participation in match of Cesar Peixoto (16 games , 3 goals) in question. Note that more than 3 goals no one scored , so that a potentially two best sniper team out. Guests have no losses. In general, statistically tip looks doomed to failure , but considering the loss of hosts before this meeting and motivation guests, all is not so obvious. Away win on level ball, works here. Belenenses (0) at 2.25 Pinnacle

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Oh, just placed a 0.15 stake on Vitória FC & BTTS @ 6.00 (bet365). Great odds, think it might happen.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 completely misjudged the unders in FC Porto x Academica. Really bad luck with Nacional, they had 3 clear chances between 80th and 90th, and could have scored in the first half. meh...well, -0.15 for the day.

[blueberry099]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 nice pick on Vitoria , JuMeSyn. i'm gonna on Benfica , how do you think on it?

[JuMeSyn]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 Will avoid that one, but I think Benfica will murder Rio Ave.

[blueberry099]

Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2013/14 KavKaZ, what's your opinion on Benfica vs Rio Ave?