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Worst Tracks for short priced Favs...getting beat


Primevil
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Re: Worst Tracks for short priced Favs...getting beat [i'm only really interested in jumps] I have seen several ultra-shorties beaten at Fakenham (eg 1/4, 1/9). I would never bet serious odds-on in low value/ low profile races. That said, I consider 2/5, 1/3, etc can be OK, even value on ultra-high profile, eg Istabraq, Sprinter Sacre, etc at Cheltenham. Even then, I'd cut-off at 1/3.

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Re: Worst Tracks for short priced Favs...getting beat [TABLE=width: 772]

[TR] [TD]Track[/TD] [TD]WinStrike[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Track[/TD] [TD]WinStrike[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Track[/TD] [TD]WinStrike[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Track[/TD] [TD]WinStrike[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Thurles[/TD] [TD=align: right]44%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Wolverhampton[/TD] [TD=align: right]55%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Hamilton[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Hexham[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Listowel[/TD] [TD=align: right]49%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Chepstow[/TD] [TD=align: right]56%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Limerick[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Naas[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Newmarket (July)[/TD] [TD=align: right]49%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Exeter[/TD] [TD=align: right]56%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Ludlow[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Navan[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Curragh[/TD] [TD=align: right]50%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Kelso[/TD] [TD=align: right]56%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Pontefract[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Sandown[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ripon[/TD] [TD=align: right]50%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Newmarket (Rowley)[/TD] [TD=align: right]56%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Uttoxeter[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Warwick[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roscommon[/TD] [TD=align: right]51%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Stratford[/TD] [TD=align: right]56%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Wetherby[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Ballinrobe[/TD] [TD=align: right]62%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Tramore[/TD] [TD=align: right]51%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Aintree[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Bangor[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Bellewstown[/TD] [TD=align: right]62%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Great Leighs[/TD] [TD=align: right]52%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Beverley[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Cheltenham[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Carlisle[/TD] [TD=align: right]62%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Redcar[/TD] [TD=align: right]52%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Cartmel[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Fontwell[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Clonmel[/TD] [TD=align: right]62%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Tralee[/TD] [TD=align: right]52%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Catterick[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Lingfield[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Southwell[/TD] [TD=align: right]62%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]York[/TD] [TD=align: right]52%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Chester[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Market Rasen[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Wincanton[/TD] [TD=align: right]62%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Wexford[/TD] [TD=align: right]53%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Cork[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Newton Abbot[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Ayr[/TD] [TD=align: right]63%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fakenham[/TD] [TD=align: right]54%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Dundalk[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Perth[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Downpatrick[/TD] [TD=align: right]63%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Gowran Park[/TD] [TD=align: right]54%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Galway[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Taunton[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Folkestone[/TD] [TD=align: right]63%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Nottingham[/TD] [TD=align: right]54%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Kempton[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Yarmouth[/TD] [TD=align: right]59%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Haydock[/TD] [TD=align: right]63%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Towcester[/TD] [TD=align: right]54%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Kilbeggan[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Doncaster[/TD] [TD=align: right]60%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Punchestown[/TD] [TD=align: right]63%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Worcester[/TD] [TD=align: right]54%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Musselburgh[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD=align: right]60%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Hereford[/TD] [TD=align: right]64%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ffos Las[/TD] [TD=align: right]55%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Newcastle[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Leopardstown[/TD] [TD=align: right]60%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Plumpton[/TD] [TD=align: right]64%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Killarney[/TD] [TD=align: right]55%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Thirsk[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Sligo[/TD] [TD=align: right]60%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Goodwood[/TD] [TD=align: right]65%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Newbury[/TD] [TD=align: right]55%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Ascot[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Windsor[/TD] [TD=align: right]60%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Tipperary[/TD] [TD=align: right]66%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Salisbury[/TD] [TD=align: right]55%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Bath[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Epsom[/TD] [TD=align: right]67%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sedgefield[/TD] [TD=align: right]55%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Down Royal[/TD] [TD=align: right]58%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Fairyhouse[/TD] [TD=align: right]61%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Huntingdon[/TD] [TD=align: right]68%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Re: Worst Tracks for short priced Favs...getting beat For flat only I looked into the stats how favourites are doing on turf and AW tracks. Records shown below for the time of 1/09/2003 - today: rzra.jpg All Weather tracks: j1.jpg Source: Flatstats.co.uk Not backing favourites often myself, but overall I find it very hard to get a grip on tracks like Catterick, Pontefract and Beverly...

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Re: Worst Tracks for short priced Favs...getting beat

For flat only I looked into the stats how favourites are doing on turf and AW tracks. Records shown below for the time of 1/09/2003 - today: rzra.jpg All Weather tracks: j1.jpg Source: Flatstats.co.uk Not backing favourites often myself, but overall I find it very hard to get a grip on tracks like Catterick, Pontefract and Beverly...
Thanks for that m8...I knew Yarmouth was up there...ESPECIALLY IN HANDICAPS..in these races it is a true graveyard, There is a meeting today, and a Meeting at my other bug WORCESTER..again in Handicaps.....Many Many people dip their toes in short priced FAVS, and the track bias for winning and getting beat, has to come into a persons calculations....That's good stuff you put up here.:D
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