June 10 - June 16

[CzechPunter]

:ok

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Re: June 10 - June 16 Berdych to win ATP Aegon EW - StanJames @ 7 This bet features Tomas Berdych ranked 6th in the world to win the ATP Aegon Championships. Firstly Berdych's draw here looks very favourable, he will avoid big favourite Andy Murray until he reaches the final and the only threat to Berdych on his side of the draw in my opinion is Del Potro. However Del Potro is in pretty poor form and is recovering from injury. Before he got injured he had only won 2 of his last 5 matches. If Del Potro and Berdych were to face each other in the semi's id certainly fancy Berdych. Despite losing in the first round to Monfils, Berdych has been in good form reaching the quarter final in Rome and the Semi final in Madrid. Berdych has beaten Djokovic very recently which really shows what a good player he is. Berdych has also beat Murray recently in Madrid in straight sets, obviously Murray is better than Berdych on clay however I would not be shocked if Berdych can beat Murray again if he was to face him in the final. Murray is just coming back from injury after missing the French Open and he may not even reach the final. He was also playing pretty poor tennis before his injury. The toughest player in Berdych's quarter is Cilic, I don't really see Cilic as a threat to Berdych as he has been in such poor form recently. Berdych's first couple of rounds seem relatively easy and I expect him to get through his opening few rounds without breaking a sweat.

[CzechPunter]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Back Tomas Berdych to win ATP London for a 1/10 stake at 6.52 with Pinnacle Who else really? I do not think that Murray can be trusted straight away and Berdych should not have to worry about Marin Cilic and Juan Martin del Potro that much. In fact, the Argentinian should be the only real challenge on the Czech's way to the finals - and this price just doesn't make much sense given that. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-london-betting-tomas-berdych-can-shine-in-london-after-the-disappointing-showing-in-paris-20130609 Back Phillip Kohlschreiber to win ATP Halle for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 with BetVictor The first half of the draw is almost impossible to call, but Kohli should enjoy his part of the draw and do well. He has always done well in Halle and he is coming into the event on the back of a decent performance against Djokovic, so I can see him overcoming the likes of Youzhny, Nishikori, and Gasquet this week. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-halle-betting-phillip-kohlschreiber-looks-like-the-value-bet-over-in-halle-this-week-20130609

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Re: June 10 - June 16 I was torn between Youzhny, Gasquet and Kohlschreiber in Halle. One of them should get to the final!

[Torque]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Back Tatsuma Ito to beat Igor Sijsling @ 3.95 >Betfair I wouldn't have Ito as long as this, especially in a match where I think he may have a slight advantage. He played on grass last week at the Nottingham Challenger, and although he lost in his first match to Ebden, it gave him the chance to get used to match conditions on the surface. Sijsling, on the other hand, has been playing exclusively on clay during the last month. He had a good run in Dusseldorf, and won a match at the French Open, and so he should be full of confidence right now. Despite this, it may take him some time to adjust to a different surface, and in a best of three set match he isn't guaranteed to get that time. Ito has won a few matches recently at Challenger level on clay and hard, and he showed he is capable on grass when he beat Melzer at the UNICEF Open this time last year. I think he can make this match far more interesting than the prices suggest, particularly if Sijsling makes a slow start.

[Lawrance0831]

Re: June 10 - June 16 J. Hampton (-1.5 Sets) V.S. S-W. Hsieh @ 2.1 Pinnacle Hsieh caught a cold in Paris and hasn’t recovered from it. In fact, she feels uncomfortable most of this year. Also Hsieh does not play well recently. By contrast, Jamie is final 16 in Paris and plays pretty well in Brussels. Although it’s grass season now (Hsieh plays better on grass than on clay), I still think Jamie can make to the next round in straight set.

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Re: June 10 - June 16 5pts E/W T.Berdych to win ATP Aregon 7.00 Stan James Agree completely with the Berdych call. Will have a safe passage to the final here and with the pay-out on the each-way here will have a 6/1 shot against a potential injured Murray. Murray may even withdraw by this time if he feels anything and wants to hold out for Wimbledon so very nice price here. 2pts G.Monfils to win ATP Halle 29/1 Bet365 I think this has good value in it. I really don't rate Raonic and if he beats him he would have Brands and Haase and then Federer so not the easiest of draws but Monfils is the in-form player of the year for me right now. The only worry is that was all on clay and this is his first grass court tournament in a long-time after missing Wimbledon through injury. We will see how he goes.

[Fader]

Re: June 10 - June 16 2pts S.Giraldo to beat J.Levine 2.20 Bet365 Giraldo has the upper hand in the head to heads whilst Levine has a small advantage in the way that he recently played a grass event so will have more of a "feel" for the surface. I think Giraldo is the better player though, overall. He had a decent clay event in Paris where he should of beat Monfils and that was a Monfils who went on to beat Berdych.

[Fader]

Re: June 10 - June 16 1pt J.Hampton to win WTA Birmingham 24.00 Bet365 1pt Mladenovic to win WTA Birmingham 21.00 Bet365 I think the lack of big names here could push through a big priced winner. Both these players have been excellent as of late. Hampton tore Kvitova to pieces recently on clay and Mlad got a tough first round at Roland. She looks a promising player with a huge serve. Both of these could make the last 8 and then touch wood one might see themselves through to a final.

[RuleBritaniaa]

Re: June 10 - June 16

2pts G.Monfils to win ATP Halle 29/1 Bet365 I think this has good value in it. I really don't rate Raonic and if he beats him he would have Brands and Haase and then Federer so not the easiest of draws but Monfils is the in-form player of the year for me right now. The only worry is that was all on clay and this is his first grass court tournament in a long-time after missing Wimbledon through injury. We will see how he goes.

Alright, there's a possibility that Monfils wins, but, you really don't rate Raonic? A player that takes the racquet out of your hand and booms aces which not anyone can do anything about? Remember with grass the ball skids and stays low, so your backswing needs to be more compact. Gael has just come from playing on clay, getting used to the change in speed the ball has after making it's contact with the surface is not going to happen over night. I understand it's a value play though, but why do you not rate Raonic?

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Re: June 10 - June 16 No, I really don't because time after time he loses matches he should win. You say Monfils has just come from clay, but so has Raonic. If this were clay Monfils would win. Raonic yes, is a favourite to win the match but if Monfils DOES win and then beat Hernych he goes from 29s to maybe 14-16s so there is definitely some value there. Also some of these players like Raonic/Federer may be thinking of Wimbledon in this event. But going back to Raonic it just seems to me like people rate him as a top 10 player when he isn't. He is more of a top 50 player. All he has is his serve. Lost to anderson in straight sets at Garros. Lost to Verdasco in Spain. Lost to Kohlschreiber in Rome. Both below his ranking. Id be curious last time he beat a player in the top 20!? and I mean a true top 20 player. He has a decent year last year where he beat Berdych and Murray but meh! doesn't excite me. Maybe now he is hitting grass he will ignite eh?

[joeblitz]

Re: June 10 - June 16 I think Monfils is a different more motivated player at Roland Garros. This is grass and we will see but I agree with Rule Britaniaa that you are underestimating Raonic on grass. Monfils over the years has disappointed year in year out on grass and even though he has had a week off he must be tired having played so much tennis before and during the french open. This is as I see it. Good luck with your bet though.

[Fader]

Re: June 10 - June 16

I think Monfils is a different more motivated player at Roland Garros. This is grass and we will see but I agree with Rule Britaniaa that you are underestimating Raonic on grass. Monfils over the years has disappointed year in year out on grass and even though he has had a week off he must be tired having played so much tennis before and during the french open. This is as I see it. Good luck with your bet though.

erm, the Nice tournament previous he also got to the final. Monfils has been injured for the majority previous to these two events so which year has he disappointed? oh yeah, he won the bordeaux event before it too. He has won 9 in a row before that final he lost to Montanes. He then beat Berdych and Gulbis before losing to Robredo where he had match points x 4 and ended up limping around lol. Only worry for this bet is that the tournament is not held in France so no massive support for him, which he thrives on.

[joeblitz]

Re: June 10 - June 16 He has disappointed on grass over the years

[joeblitz]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Brilliant pick on Giraldo Fader

[Fader]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Thanks, Monfils on grass "over the years" 2010 - Wimbledon out to Hewitt in the last 32 then ranked 26th and class on grass 2011 - Wimbledon out to Kubot which is a poor result, again last 32 though. Also played the Halle event in this year and got to the semi-finals. 2012 - Did not play due to injury I wouldn't say that's any more disappointing then any other player really. Shows he likes this tournament too, reason a semi-final last time out. Let's look at Raonic 2010 - went out in second round to Bubka in a newport event. Bubka ranked 335th beat him 6-1. 6-2 2011 - Retired in second round of Wimbledon. Got to Quarters in this Halle event losing to Petzschner 2012 - His best year. Out in Olympics though in Round 2 vs Tsonga. Out in Newport event in Round 2 to Becker ranked 112th. Out in Round 2 of Wimbledon against Querrey. Again got to Quarters of Halle event (by beating ranked 144th and 217th) ... impressive :\

[joeblitz]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Are you backing him against Raonic? I'm not but I will be the first to congratulate you if he wins. I love to see people making money and as I am not involved I hope he wins for you. I gave my opinion but I admit I can be wrong sometimes and made two major mistakes at the french!

[Fader]

Re: June 10 - June 16 I will be backing him yeah. I would say it's at very worst for me a 60/40 swing to Raonic so Id say there is value in the pick. Even if he lost tomorrow and then they played again down the line, I'd back him. Maybe it's just a dislike for Raonic :P

[joeblitz]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Well I hope he does the business for you;).

[Fader]

Re: June 10 - June 16 2pts M.Rybarikova -6.5 to beat M.South 2.20 Bet365 Slight gamble on this one as the line looks about right. These two played eachother in 2008 and Ryb won then in straight sets 6-3 / 7-5 to cover a -4.5 handicap. Now, Id say Ryb is a much better player getting in the top 50 this year. South has gone ... well south and is in the low regions of the rankings and I think this could be a 6-3 / 6-2 job.

[RuleBritaniaa]

Re: June 10 - June 16

No, I really don't because time after time he loses matches he should win. You say Monfils has just come from clay, but so has Raonic. If this were clay Monfils would win. Raonic yes, is a favourite to win the match but if Monfils DOES win and then beat Hernych he goes from 29s to maybe 14-16s so there is definitely some value there. Also some of these players like Raonic/Federer may be thinking of Wimbledon in this event. But going back to Raonic it just seems to me like people rate him as a top 10 player when he isn't. He is more of a top 50 player. All he has is his serve. Lost to anderson in straight sets at Garros. Lost to Verdasco in Spain. Lost to Kohlschreiber in Rome. Both below his ranking. Id be curious last time he beat a player in the top 20!? and I mean a true top 20 player. He has a decent year last year where he beat Berdych and Murray but meh! doesn't excite me. Maybe now he is hitting grass he will ignite eh?

I've never really noted many matches this season where Raonic has lost where he should have won. The only real one I can think of was Jack Sock and even during the match, he had like 50 bps and took 1 whereas Sock had 2 and took them both. He lost to Anderson on his weakest surface (Raonic's) and Anderson had played a lot of matches on clay this season so went into that match well prepared. He'd reached the final of Casa narrowly losing out to Robredo in the final and on two occasions pushed Berdych close and made him sweat. So Kevin was the marginal favourite against Raonic at the French IMO. Raonic's return of serve has come on leaps and bounds and as has his backhand. You can tell he's not comfortable on clay, but he;s self aware of this and almost gives half hearted efforts. When he knows the surface really suits his game and is feeling confident, he's a different player. For me he sort of tanks on surfaces he doesn't suit. The tennis season is long and player's often lose to lesser player's but I would say is there is no disgrace in losing to Nando on clay in Spain, Nando's a very streaky player and he was just on that day. Kohlschreiber is another streaky player, but very talented and very capable. We all know rankings in tennis mean very little, they mean nothing as far as I am concerned. Tipsarevic isn't the 10th best player in the world for example. I just find it hard to imagine Raonic won't boom a bunch of aces and serve well overall on grass, where he will be really motivated to do well. Raonic and Federer may be thinking about wimbledon, but they obviously want to get a good hit in on the surface before the big event.

[fishy25]

Re: June 10 - June 16 For what it's worth, I've taken Monfils and Kohlschreiber over in Germany whilst I'm backing Dimitrov and Anderson at Queen's, just think the draws for both guys look pretty decent considering the prices. Missed today so should be back tomorrow with some match bets in what is one of my favourite tournaments.

[fishy25]

Re: June 10 - June 16 I will just take one actually which looks pretty decent. Grigor Dimitrov (-4.5 games) vs Dudi Sela- 10/11 Bet365- (5/10) Depending on who serves first here, Dimitrov may just need one break a set which is the minimum I expect of him in this one. There could be an argument that Sela has had a bit more preparation on the grass than Dimitov, but considering he was hammered by Bobby Reynolds in Nottingham last week I wouldn't say he is in any better shape than Dimitrov. The Bulgarian has had some time off since Paris, and should have had time to practice on the grass and recently, the only guys capable of beating have been those in the top 30 or so. Dudi Sela is very far from that, and whenever Sela has played anyone decent this season, he's been well beaten. Very rarely has he ventured outside the challenger circuit and without any real weapons for the grass, it's hard to see him really pushing Dimitrov here.

[RuleBritaniaa]

Re: June 10 - June 16 ^I like that. Mind you, didn't Sela do well here a couple of seasons ago? He recorded some impressive wins. None-the-less, that handicap is very realistic.

[paul21144]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Baghdatis to beat Gulbis for me. Just been on Oddschecker, Gulbis shortening up everywhere, Baghdatis drifting doesn't worry me either. Baghdatis always has a decent year on grass, granted he's in terrible form, however he cannot play on clay! Gulbis, as good a player he is, I certainly couldn't back him at 2/5 v a good grasscourter. Gulbis is such a frustrating player, a major talent and one of my favourites, however I certainly feel Baghdatis is worth a small ££££ tomorrow. Also, B.Becker 11/10 to beat Tomic stands out. Becker ALWAYS is a nightmare to play on grass, worth a punt I feel. F.Lopez 4/7 to beat Barankis is another I like the looks of. Another quality grass courter, big serve, will be a nightmare to break.

[RuleBritaniaa]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Tomic to beat B, Becker 1.81 with 188bet (4/5 points) I watched his match against Ebden in that Notts challenger final and it's clear he struggles low balls that skid off the grass. Beranrd uses a lot of slice and has a really awkward style to play against on grass. Benjamin has been struggling for victories and was on an incredible losing run before the grass season, hardcourts and claycourts, he lost around 9 in a row or something, so he must naturally be struggling for confidence. Bernard as we know has been as far as the quarter finals of Wimbledon and managed to take a set off Djokovic when he got there. He gets a lot of balls back and his shot selection can drive opponents mad. Becker will be frustrated and fall apart, I can see it happening. Becker's also been making a lot of double faults all season and they have not been because of pressure, there is definitely some sort of technical problem he is having with his serve. Tomic's serve on grass if tricky also and Becker isn't the greatest of returners.

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Re: June 10 - June 16 2pts G.Monfils to beat M.Raonic 2.75 Bet365 I think everything I've said above really says it all. Id put this more at a 50/50 or 60/40 best for Raonic and that's only due to his serve. Monfils has been immense since returning from injury and I expect him to follow it to the grass and make this close.

[paul21144]

Re: June 10 - June 16 Raonic is a very strange player. MASSIVE serve, however, not the best mover, and the backhand can be a massive weakness at times. I'm surprised how odds on Raonic is to win this, will be a lot closer than the odds suggest.

[Simmo]

60% probability= 100/60= 1.67 odds 40% probability= 100/40= 2.5 odds

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Re: June 10 - June 16 Kohlschreiber v Berlocq Under 21 games - Pinnacle @ 1.75 This match features Kohlschreiber from Germany ranked 18th in the world and Berlocq ranked 72nd in the world. Firstly Kohlschreiber is from Germany so he will be comfortable here and is bound to have a good crowd supporting him. Kohlschreiber has been great here over the years and is clearly here to win and not just to warm up for Wimbledon. Kohlschreiber has been knocked out in the first round once, reached the quarter final 2 times, semi final 3 times, final once and won it recently in 2011. On the other hand Berlocq has played here once this was last year and he got knocked out in the first round against Stebe. Berlocq is certainly not a grass court specialist winning just 21.43% of his games on grass. Where as Kohlschreiber has won 66.66% of his grass court matches so he is obviously alot more comfortable on this surface. The last 4 times these two have played each other Kohlschreiber has retired once then in the previous 3 meetings he has beat Berlocq, however these were on surfaces Berlocq were much more confident on. Kohlschreiber was playing some great tennis in the French Open losing in the 4th round against Djokovic. He beat Hanescu in straight sets in the 3rd round and got a good win against Vesely in the first round. He also played some really good tennis against Djokovic, winning a set against him. He looked to be in great form and im sure he would of beaten Berlocq with ease on that day. Berlocq isnt in the best of form winning just 3 of his last 9 games, and these were all on his favoured surface of clay. He was only able to beat some very weak players. Im relativley confident Kohlschreiber will win comfortably today. Also these odds dont seem to make much sense. Kohlschreiber is odds of 1.33 to win 2-0. Where as the odds are 1.75 for under 21 Games. If he was to avoid a tie break this handicap should be covered.