French Open 2013

[keepsakes]

Re: French Open 2013 Folks I think Edouard RV can beat Almagro @ 5ish. What are your thoughts please?

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Re: French Open 2013

Folks I think Edouard RV can beat Almagro @ 5ish. What are your thoughts please?

I was thinking the same. RV had a great Nice tournament but if you look at who he beat there he was favourite in every match to win bar the Querrey match. Almagro was immense in Barcelona. He won 4 matches in a row in straight sets and although he would of been favourite in all the manner of the wins against capable players such as Kohlschreiber, Monaco and Granollers was impressive. That and the crowd firmly in the frenchmans favour swayed me away. Total games would be a good market to look at though...

[Pensioner65]

Re: French Open 2013

Folks I think Edouard RV can beat Almagro @ 5ish. What are your thoughts please?

Should be a close encounter & its a very tempting price but I see Almagro prevailing again today. The overs line looks good at PaddyPower@1.73 at 33.5 games & also like the look of tie break in the match at [email protected] looks good.

[homunculus]

Re: French Open 2013

+9.20 pts Hit rate is irrelevant to me to be honest. You will see majority of my tips are well over evens. I'd rather hit 4-5 of them then tip everyone "10 pts federer win" at 1.01. Not sure where the sarcasm stems from to be honest.

3pts M,Raonic vs X.Malisse - Over 33.5 games 2.00 Bet365 +3 1pt X.Malisse to beat M.Raonic 8.00 Bet365 -1 3pts R.Bautista-Agut vs G.Muller - Over 36.5 games 1.80 Bet365 -3 1pt G.Muller to beat Agut 4.00 Bet365 -1 3pts U.Radwanska to beat V.Williams 2.50 Bet365 +4.5 3pts L.Robson to beat C.Wozniacki 2.25 Bet365 -3 1pt L.Robson to win 2-1 5.00 Bet365 -1 2pts P.H.Mathieu to beat J.Nieminen 2.50 Bet365 -2 2pts E.Makarova to beat Kuznetsova 2.50 Bet365 -2 3pts Over 21.5 games F.Pennetta vs K.Flipkens 2.00 Bet365 +3 1.5pts Tursurnov to beat Dolgopolov 4.50 Bet365 +5.25 3pts over 35.5 games 1.75 Bet365 +2.25 2.5pts Pella to beat Dodig 2.50 Bet365 +3,75 2pts D.Istomin to beat F.Mayer 2.37 Bet365 0

I made it for you and I calculated it as +8,75, but that's OK, say within rounding error (or I missed something). The reason why I asked is that often people wait till they get some good hits and then they make a self-cheer post, completely ignoring their (sometimes long) losing streak. Which is unfair. I hope you understand me that this is not meant to offend you in any way. Your serie looks quite good :-)

[Pensioner65]

Re: French Open 2013 Igor Sijsling vs Tommy Robredo French Open over 35.5 games Pinnacle @1.97(7/10) See a very close & drawn out game between these two & overs looks the way to go on this match.Robredo has the edge on clay but no way should Sijsling be an 3.90 underdog in this match.I keep it simple & stick with the overs.

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Re: French Open 2013

I made it for you and I calculated it as +8,75, but that's OK, say within rounding error (or I missed something). The reason why I asked is that often people wait till they get some good hits and then they make a self-cheer post, completely ignoring their (sometimes long) losing streak. Which is unfair. I hope you understand me that this is not meant to offend you in any way. Your serie looks quite good :-)

It was a quick tote-up in bed, on my tab. I don't really see the point you're making as I only quoted due to a withdraw which would of made the day a perfect 4/4. If that was the case I'd of mentioned the Radwanska win too.. Like i say before, I rarely bet on anything below evens so my "streaks" will be sometimes long loses and all I'd need to get in profit are a few wins. I don't feel the need to explain myself any further mate.

[homunculus]

Re: French Open 2013

It was a quick tote-up in bed, on my tab. I don't really see the point you're making as I only quoted due to a withdraw which would of made the day a perfect 4/4. If that was the case I'd of mentioned the Radwanska win too.. Like i say before, I rarely bet on anything below evens so my "streaks" will be sometimes long loses and all I'd need to get in profit are a few wins. I don't feel the need to explain myself any further mate.

It's OK mate, it's OK. I said the serie is fine, I know well how series look like. I just had to check it myself, didn't meant to offend you and if it did hurt you, pls accept apology.

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Re: French Open 2013

It's OK mate, it's OK. I said the serie is fine, I know well how series look like. I just had to check it myself, didn't meant to offend you and if it did hurt you, pls accept apology.

No worries. Apology accepted.

[homunculus]

Re: French Open 2013 Puig to bt Keys @2.08 Pinnacle (3/10) I watched Keys during her match with Flipkens last week and I did not like what I saw - too many unforced errors, no gameplan. She lost. I did not watch her match vs Misaki Doi, but Misaki Doi is by far the worst player in the draw, and the win (63 62) was mandatory. On the other hand, Monica Puig did just beat Nadia Petrova, which is very good result. The opening odds were around 2.3, so I missed the best odds, but still I rate Monica big fav here and anything above 2 is value to me.

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Re: French Open 2013 1.5pts G.Monfils to win 1st set AND win match 2.87 Bet365 No real value on Monfils now as there was yesterday but I think he will win this 3-1. I think he is such a fit player that he will run Gulbis off the court. He has won 9 out of the last 10 on clay since arriving back from injury and is on fire. I have him to win the quarter ofcourse so I won't pledge too many pts on this, but if he can get past Gulbis here and stay fresh he has a great chance.

[fishy25]

Re: French Open 2013 Full house for me yesterday with the 2 pending women's bets coming through this morning. Some good calls in here as well. Taking just the 3 today and in a rush so I'll do this quickly. Sam Querrey (-4.5 games) to beat Jan Hajek- 4/5 Bet365- (4/10) With Czech on this one and I expected the handicap to be a tad higher. Hajek has done well to make the second round of a slam really but he should struggle here given the quality difference of the two players. Querrey isn't at his best on the clay but he shouldn't need to be in all honesty. Hajek doesn't possess any real weapons that can hurt Querrey and even if there's a couple of tight sets along the way, I expect the American to cover the handicap. Giles Simon vs Pablo Cuevas- Over 31.5 games- 4/5 Bet365- (3/10) I wouldn't be going backing Simon all of a sudden given the performance against Hewitt. He was 2 sets down in that one as well as almost chocking massively in the final set. Cuevas is a decent clay courter but has struggled a lot with injuries over the past couple of years but he overcame the crowd in the first round in beating Mannarino and that should give him confidence. Simon is still prone to going missing at times in the slams as shown in the first round and I think Cuevas can keep this closer than many expect. One for the women. Caroline Wozniacki (-4.5 games) to beat Bojana Jovanovski- 5/6 Bet365- (3/10) A bit tongue in cheek in taking this one as Jovanovski is one of my favourite players to watch on the women's tour. Although she managed to beat Wozniacki a couple of weeks back, it was more down to the Dane throwing it away as she was cruising in the third set before somehow losing the match. Wozniacki played well against Robson in the first round and with that defeat to the Serb a couple of weeks ago, I think she'll win this a bit with a bit to spare in all honesty.

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Re: French Open 2013 2pts B.Jovanovski to beat C.Wozniacki 3.75 Bet365 I wasn't impressed much with Woz in the first round. The match was practically given to her by a player with no manager who was giving error after error away. Wozniacki, before her round 1 win was on dreadful form and Jovanovski is on very good form. I don't see her as a near 3/1 shot atall and the value is with her.

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Re: French Open 2013 Jovanovski isnt in good form?

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Re: French Open 2013

Jovanovski isnt in good form?

She has gained points recently. She's lost a few games recently but that was against better players. Lepchenko, Jankovic & Georges recently (all ranked in top 30) She beat 9th seed Wozniacki. It's not like she has lost to 100/200 seed players. I wouldn't expect her to beat them 3.

[IAmGooner]

Re: French Open 2013 Got my stakes wrong today and so a patchy day. Almagro and Cirstea were dominant throughout so nothing there....Monfils and Hampton did come thru to limit my loss and Puig still to come later. Edit: Puig came through very well against Keys....so ever so slightly hovering in the green which I'll take at this stage. Tomorrow's card doesnt look too appealing to me at first glance.

[Fader]

Re: French Open 2013 A typical day for me. Predict the Monfils correct score yet lose because I bet on him to win the first set lol. Too greedy. Atleast he is through and I fancy him to beat Robredo next round too. Kavcic done well to get back to 2-2 from 2-0 down but then gave up. Agut was pathetic but Hampton is my little star. Never gives up, my new favourite player. Donksoy done his trick of winning first set and losing and Jovanovski done the business too to set-up a tie with Kuznetsova. +4.17 for the day [+12.92 for French]

[amareshcs]

Re: French Open 2013 Rafa Nadal vs. M Klizan Selection - Klizan +10.5 Games@10/11 with Paddy Power Nadal started slowly and showed signs of rust in his first round game against Brands, albeit Brands possesses a bigger serve compared to Klizan. Klizan however is no mug and has a decent serve accompanying a good back court game, he also has notable victories against the likes of Tsonga and Chardy, although they came on hard courts. The line is a bit too high on this one and in reality Klizan will have to win a total of 8 games over 3 sets to cover this handicap, which I think is highly probable. As we saw yesterday Djokovic came through in 3 tight sets and we might see something similar tomorrow. Djokovic vs. Pella Selection - Pella+10.5 Games@8/11 with Paddy Power Djokovic plays a classic clay courter tomorrow in the form of Pella, who's coming into this game on the back of a strong win against Dodig and a good recent showing in Dusseldorf where he beat Tipsa, although Tipsa's been woeful recently. Once again, I think the lines are a bit too high on this one and Pella is capable of holding his own for a set at least. The good thing about these handicaps is that they're likely to be a winner even if 1 of the sets is closely fought, which is what I'll be banking on tomorrow.

[piggott96]

Re: French Open 2013 Think there is very little value around tomorrow, lots of ridiculous prices around, but I don't really see a major upset anywhere.. I'll be having the 2 bets: Ryan Harrison vs John Isner * Two American's duel for a place in the 3rd round, and I just feel that Harrison has been priced up rather large at 11/4. Only 21, he is regarded as one of the brighter prospects of the game, and he comes here on the back off a superb straight set victory over Andrey Kuznetsov. John Isner, did me a big favour the other day when he was also impressive in ousting thriving Argie Carlos Berlocq, and with his serve, he is a dangerous opponent. That said, if you look at the last 15 games he was favourite to win, he has only won 8, in contrast to the last 15 games where he was underdog where he has won 10 (3 of 5 losses were in Davis Cup rubbers). Isner has a 3-1 record in his favour against Harrison, but all 4 games have been closely contested, and I just feel that if Harrison can produce his A game, he could rustle Isner's feathers. Harrison can be inconsistent, but as long as he gets off to a good start again Isner, he could take some pulling back. 11/4 is too big in my opinion. Benoit Paire v Lukas Kubot (Not for value seekers) Benoit Paire at 2/9 is the best bet of the day, he is an improving player, who reached the semi's in Rome before this tournament, and he has won 10 of his last 12 games on French ground. Paire played superbly to beat Baghdatis in Round One, who is no easy opponent, and he should have a much more comfortable afternoon against Polish player Kubot, who he has a 3-0 record against including a win 3 months ago in Indian Wells (2 sets to 1)..Kubot was unimpressive in a win against French qualifer Maxime Teixeira (hopeless player- watched him on Challenger Tour), and now taking on a player with more class, he is definitely biting off more then he can chew.. will put the big money on this one today.. My big money was on Benneteau today, what a game, nearly had a heart attack after the brave comeback by Kamke but thankfully Benneteau prevailed.. If your one for stats, Janowicz has won 11 of his last 12 games against Dutch players which stands him in good stead for his 2nd round match against Robin Haase.. Good luck all ;)

[MikeTonmmo]

Re: French Open 2013 Hello peeps, First post here. Obviously been following these threads for years now and thank you all for your tips and brilliant insight. Beniot Paire @ 2/9 with BET365 vs Kubot ... This guy is easily a top 20 player for the future, literally has NO forehand and makes insane amounts of errors as a result, but his double handed backhand is in the top 5 in the men's game. Big serve aswell and someone i rate highly for the future. Kubot is average at best, has poor returning stats on clay and longs for the changing rooms after losing the first set. 2/9 is obviously not for the value hunters but for sure the bet of the day. Jerzy Janowicz @ 1/3 with BET365 vs Haase ... Been following this guy over the clay court season, announced himself properly in Rome. Huge first serve with monster forehands backing it up, needs to come in more and finish points off but seriously a top player for the future also. Passionate is an understatement for his on court antics, i hope going forward this doesn't take too much out of him and he starts to beat himself, (Murray/Gulbis etc). Haase is average again, will be happy with his second round check, big Jerzy will have no problems dispatching Robin. 10pts double Dennis Istomin @ 7/4 with BET365 vs Davydenko ... Davy leads the H2H 2-0, with a 2-1 sets victory coming in Nice 2012. Istomin took the second set very easily that day and had Nikolay beat, until twisting his ankle, resulting in Nikolay finding his feet to take the 3rd. Nikolay is 32 now, lost in the 2nd round at Dussledorf last week.. albeit to the fast improving Pella. This could easily be a dog fight and go 13-11 in the 5th, but surely Nikolay's belief he can win matches is really starting to wain. Going ahead in this match and being pegged back by a dogged Istomin will get to Nikolay and i honestly see this as decent value. 5pts win Lastly a 5/2 4 fold with BET365 consists of the womens draw Zie Zheng - should have too much for Oudin who has a poor record on clay. Jamie Hampton - a little fighter, went a break down twice in the 3rd vs Safarova and fought back to win. (1st rnd) Dominika Cibulkova - her opponent beat a back from injury Baltacha, Cibulkova has a good recent record at the FO Kaia Kanepi - in fantastic form at the moment, had a brilliant clay court season.. will surely continue here. 5pts win Good luck to all, and thanks for any comments or welcomes :)

[CFCWatson]

Re: French Open 2013 Bravo to all who tipped Monfils to get up. Some excellent write ups and convincing arguments got me on board and I made quite a profit myself (the 5 set refund with sportsbet helped convince me aswell). Thanks lads. I'm not a tennis expert or a value hunter either, so I've been sticking to the short priced favs and combining them for a few winning multi's. Not too many upsets yet. Tennis matchstat is a brilliant site for research if anybody needs somewhere to look.

[Lawrance0831]

Re: French Open 2013 B. Mattek-Sands (+1.5 Sets) @ 2.22 (Pinnacle) v.s Li Na Li has been unstable in recent matches with a lot of UEs, including her first round match against Garrigues. Although Mattek-Sands lost in straight sets to Li in Stuttgart, she defeated big names like Errani and Lisicki. I think this time it will be a closer match and Mattek-Sands can get one set or even win it. M. Bartoli to beat M. Duque-Marino @ 1.72 (Pinnacle) V.S M. Duque-Marino

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Re: French Open 2013 Have to agree on there being very little today. 2.75pts Na Li vs Mattek-Sands - Under 19.5 games 1.90 Bet365 Na Li looked very good in Round 1. She beat Garrigues easily [6-3 / 6-4] in straight sets and that wasn't easy. She had lost all her previous clashes with Garrigues before that. She now faces Mattek-Sands. Beth has been excellent recently. She had a good Madrid eventually losing to Ivanovic and she had an even better Stuttgart beating Errani (very impressive) but she then went out in the semi-final of that tournament, to Na Li, in straight sets and I think it will be the same this morning.

[CzechPunter]

Re: French Open 2013 Back Yen-Hsun Lu (+2.5 sets) to beat Philipp Kohlschreiber for a 2.5/10 stake at 3.30 with Paddy Power Back Yen-Hsun Lu to beat Philipp Kohlschreiber for a 0.5/10 stake at 12.25 with Pinnacle Come on, give Lu some credit. I know that he is not a clay court specialist, but he is not as hopeless as you might think. Kohli did not look that great against Vesely either, so I am not really sure where these odds are coming from. The outright win might be out of his range, but a set should be fully within it and these odds just look a bit off in all fairness. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/lu-vs-kohlschreiber-betting-yen-hsun-lu-could-go-well-against-philipp-kohlschreiber-today-20130530 Back Horatio Zeballos (+2.5 sets) to beat Stanislas Wawrinka for a 2.5/10 stake at 2.38 with Paddy Power Back Horatio Zeballos to beat Stanislas Wawrinka for a 0.5/10 stake at 10.25 with Pinnacle Zeballos will need to recover from his tough first round match, but I think that he will be able to do that - and, in that case, he might also have a shot at troubling Wawrinka, who couldn't do much on return against Thiemo de Bakker the other day, dropping a set out of nowhere in the process. Zeballos can also serve quite well and has more to his baseline game, so I can see him getting a set - or even more - as well. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/zeballos-vs-wawrinka-betting-horatio-zeballos-looks-value-against-the-swiss-number-two-20130530 Back Jack Sock (+2.5 sets) to beat Tommy Haas for a 2.5/10 stake at 2.05 with Pinnacle Back Jack Sock to beat Tommy Haas for a 0.5/10 stake at 6.55 with Pinnacle Jack Sock seems to be in a superb form right now, having won four matches here without even dropping a set. Over the longer format, I therefore expect him to get into some sort of hitting confidence at some point and take at least a set off Haas, who has already lost some of that aura that was surrounding him back in the United States. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/sock-vs-haas-betting-the-in-form-american-should-be-able-to-trouble-tommy-haas-20130530

[Lawrance0831]

Re: French Open 2013 Apparently You don't know Lu is seriously injured after his first round match. He sprained his ankle when he played Bolleli in first set. That's why he retired from double yesterday. Besides, he has decided to withdraw from today's match.

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Re: French Open 2013 2.5pts K.Nishikori Vs G.Zemlja - over 33.5 games 1.80 Bet365 1.5pts K.Nishikori to win 3-1 3.50 1pt G.Zemlja to win 1st AND lose match 6.00 I'm still not sure that Nishikori is a clay-court player. I think he much prefers the hard surface and the similar kind of bounce gives him success. To be honest, this could go either way. Nishikori could easily come out here and win 3-0 but I think Zemlja can get a set and I think that because, he can a) serve very well (46 aces on clay this year alone) and b) return well. (good placement on his return shots) Nishikori has a decent serve of his own but his second serve Zemlja can get a look in. He will have to be on-form today because Nish gets around the court well. Much more value in this though, then a Nish win at a ridiculous 1.12

[CzechPunter]

Re: French Open 2013

Apparently You don't know Lu is seriously injured after his first round match. He sprained his ankle when he played Bolleli in first set. That's why he retired from double yesterday. Besides, he has decided to withdraw from today's match.

I knew that there was some sort of injury, but did not know how serious it is/was. Just did a thorough check now that you have mentioned it and it is apparently a 50/50 for him to appear (perhaps you have a better source though). I am going to leave things as they stand nevertheless, if he decides to play and things go wrong, he will retire I suppose, leaving me just 0.5 pts behind. And if he plays and is reasonably well, he should still be in with a chance.

[Fader]

Re: French Open 2013 3pts D.Tursunov to beat V.Hanescu 2.37 Bet365 Tursunov the more impressive of the two in the first round. He beat Dolgo 3-0 and clay is not even, really, his favourite surface. Hanescu played an injured Tomic and struggled through it 7-5 / 7-6 before Tomic retired. Turs has a 3-1 head-to-head advantage (although this come years ago) Turs has the better serve here and beat Ferrer recently in a clay tournament. I like the odds here as it should be close.

[Lawrance0831]

Re: French Open 2013

I knew that there was some sort of injury' date=' but did not know how serious it is/was. Just did a thorough check now that you have mentioned it and it is apparently a 50/50 for him to appear (perhaps you have a better source though). I am going to leave things as they stand nevertheless, if he decides to play and things go wrong, he will retire I suppose, leaving me just 0.5 pts behind. And if he plays and is reasonably well, he should still be in with a chance.[/quote'] I saw it from a piece of news. The title says he has decided to withdraw whereas in that article it only mentions Lu is very likely to withdraw. So I am a little confused. Well, we are going to find out whether he will play in a few minutes.

[IAmGooner]

Re: French Open 2013

Have to agree on there being very little today. 2.75pts Na Li vs Mattek-Sands - Under 19.5 games 1.90 Bet365 Na Li looked very good in Round 1. She beat Garrigues easily [6-3 / 6-4] in straight sets and that wasn't easy. She had lost all her previous clashes with Garrigues before that. She now faces Mattek-Sands. Beth has been excellent recently. She had a good Madrid eventually losing to Ivanovic and she had an even better Stuttgart beating Errani (very impressive) but she then went out in the semi-final of that tournament, to Na Li, in straight sets and I think it will be the same this morning.

I was tempted to go the other way on this one. Both played well in that Stuttgart match but BMS seemed jaded after a long run that week..and the line was almost covered. Might have a look in-play....starts in about 10 mins.

[Banner]

Re: French Open 2013

I saw it from a piece of news. The title says he has decided to withdraw whereas in that article it only mentions Lu is very likely to withdraw. So I am a little confused. Well, we are going to find out whether he will play in a few minutes.

Just backed Lu :(