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Flat Racing > Monday 6th May


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*Cougar Ridge > Curragh 4:20 > WIN @ 7/2 VC BOG* Won on debut at Leopardstown in good fashion, and then went on to contest a Group 3 at the Curragh where he lost out by a short head to Leitir Mor. Did not go too well in a Group 2 at Newbury when a well beat 6th and last time out was fairly well beat in a Listed race at Dundalk, but tomorrow's race looks a bit weaker than the races he has contested and he should go close. *Viztoria > Curragh 4:50 > WIN @ 11/10 Bet365 BOG* Course winner that has the best form in the book by a longshot, beating Snow Queen by over 7 lengths in a Listed race here at the Curragh. Snow Queen ran very well in the 1000 Guineas today at Newmarket, finishing 5th of 15, just over 2 lengths behind the winner Sky Lantern. Was 2nd in a French Group 2 when last seen and is the one to beat. The only horse I see troubling the favourite is Moonstone Magic who has won a Group 3 very easily.

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Re: Flat Racing > Monday 6th May

14:45 Kempton
Mark Johnston's
Storm Moon
is the one I'm going to side with in this 5 runner handicap. Although his form doesn't look the most aspiring, he has been running in much better races so the drop down to a class 4 handicap for the first time should give him a chance to land his third victory. As a 2 year old he won his first two races both over today's minimum trip. He won on his debut at Musselburgh before going on to win on the all weather at Southwell. Possibly a bit out his depth in his next two races at Sandown and Ascot where he competed in a race at listed level and in a group 2. After a month and a half off the track he was sent to Thirsk for his handicap debut in a class 3 nursery race off a mark of 90 where he was only beaten a quarter of a length. The winner of this race hasn't really boosted the form as such but has only raced exclusively in races at listed and group level since so the horse is clearly high regarded.
Storm Moon's
next two races both came at Chester in class 3 nursery races over 5 and 6 furloungs where he was fairly well beaten in both races off marks of 93 and 92 respectively. Chester is a bit of a specialist track so in my opinion both those races can be excused. His final race of 2012 came at Redcar in a listed race over 6 furlongs where he finished 10/21, again he was well beaten but he wasn't fancied at all that day going off at 50/1 and probably a bit out his depth like his previous efforts in class 1 races. He made his reappearance last month at Newmarket, again over the 6 furlong trip in a class 2 handicap off a mark of 87. Once again he was well beaten finishing 9/15. I'm not totally certain he gets the six furlong trip considering his best form is clearly over the minimum trip where has won both his races over and he is dropped back down to that trip today, along with a fair drop in class which gives him a great opportunity to win this race. He is also dropped 2lbs down to a mark of 85 which is the lowest handicap mark he will have raced off of. His only other all weather run was at Southwell which is a different surface to Kempton but I'm fairly confident he won't have any trouble handling the conditions at this track.
3pt win Storm Moon @ 10/3 (
Bet365
- BOG)

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