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McNasara

Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013

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Sunday 31 March 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif BK Häcken v IFK Göteborg (14:00 GMT) 2.65 3.25 2.9 102.99 %
maximize.gif Helsingborgs IF v Djurgårdens IF (16:30 GMT) 1.95 3.4 4.2 104.44 %
maximize.gif Syrianska FC v Kalmar FF (16:30 GMT) 2.8 3.3 2.75 102.38 %
Monday 1 April 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Gefle IF v Ã…tvidabergs FF (14:00 GMT) 2.7 3.3 2.8 103.05 %
maximize.gif Malmö FF v Halmstads BK (14:00 GMT) 1.5 4.33 7.25 103.54 %
maximize.gif Mjällby AIF v IFK Norrköping (14:00 GMT) 2.5 3.3 3 103.64 %
maximize.gif IF Brommapojkarna v Östers IF (16:30 GMT) 2.37 3.25 3.1 105.13 %
maximize.gif IF Elfsborg v AIK (16:30 GMT) 2.05 3.4 3.85 104.17 %

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Allsvenskan Preview

A few notes to help you understand the image below: Final Projected table - This table is based on a teams strike rate (W+(0.5*D)/P) over the past 2 seasons, after gameweek 1 the strike rate will revert to last seasons games plus this seasons games. Promoted teams use a set strike rate that will revert to this seasons strike rate at the 3/4 mark of the season. The projections are based on the % of points I expect a team to accumulate over the course of the season plus any points accumulated so far. eg. I expect a team with a 75% s/r to accumulate 75% of the points available, if they we're to play 10 games I would expect them to accumulate (30 (max points available)*0.75 (s/r)) 22 (rounded down) points. This would be added to any points already accumulated to produce a final projection. Index -The Statto Index values are based on an arbitrary scale with no maximum value (Chelsea reached a high in the 990s early in 2006). The important factor is the relative difference of a teams Index to that of its opponent. The greater the difference, the greater a team is expected to win. The index is based only on league matches but is also used to forecast cup matches. Trend - The Statto trend values indicate the direction that a teams Index is moving. This is a good pointer to the current form of a team and can indicate that a team may perform a little better/worse than their Index suggests. The magnitude of the trend indicates how quickly their Index is changing. 2nd Half Season tables exactly what it says on the tin Finishing positions for last 5 seasons and an average finishing position
Swe_zps6ccebe6d.jpg Starting with the Index ratings, as you can see only 7pts separates the top rated side Malmo and 5th rated side Hacken. Of the 5 teams only Malmo have a negative trend. I think everything is set for an exciting title race. My projections follow a similar pattern to the Index with only 4 points separating Helsingborg in 1st place with Hacken in 5th. Looking at the 2nd half of last season, AIK and Hacken are the teams who finished strongest averaging over 2pts per game. Given how tight I expect the league to be this season, I am going to take my opening positions on price. I expect both Helsingborg and Hacken to go close. Recommended Bet Helsingborg to win the league 7.0 @ Bet365 Hacken to win the league 11.0 @ Bet365

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Moving on AIK +0,5 at 1.87,5 (Bet365). AIK with a really good team this year, will go for the title. Elfsborg in my opinion a bit overrated and miss key players Bangura, Hult, Jönsson, Söderberg to this game. 187,5 for AIK +0,5 is too high!

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013

Friday 5 April 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Åtvidabergs FF v Malmö FF (18:00 BST) 3.25 3.25 2.15 108.05 %
Sunday 7 April 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif AIK v Syrianska FC (14:00 BST) 1.47 4 5.25 112.05 %
maximize.gif IFK Göteborg v IF Brommapojkarna (14:00 BST) 1.44 4 5.5 112.41 %
maximize.gif Halmstads BK v IF Elfsborg (16:30 BST) 3.5 3.2 1.9 112.20 %
maximize.gif Kalmar FF v BK Häcken (16:30 BST) 2.4 3.1 2.6 112.39 %
Monday 8 April 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Djurgårdens IF v Mjällby AIF (18:00 BST) 1.86 3.25 3.6 112.04 %
maximize.gif IFK Norrköping v Gefle IF (18:00 BST) 1.83 3.3 3.75 111.52 %
maximize.gif Östers IF v Helsingborgs IF (18:05 BST) 3.3 3.2 1.95 112.77 %

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Injuries and suspensions Kalmar FF v BK Häcken Kalmar FF: Israelsson (0/0 m), Azinovic (0/0 g), Eriksson (0/0 m), Skjelvik (0/0 d), Andersson (0/0 f), Nouri (1/0 d) (doubtful) BK Häcken: Lewicki (0/0 m), Bjurström (0/0 m) (doubtful)

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Im moving on Elfsborg against Göteborg at 2.10! Elfsborg really strong at home (undefeated 19 games) and star player Bangura back in play. They are 4 points behind Göteborg and I think they will go "all-in" for a win here! I may also move on Helsingborg against Mjällby. Helsingborg with no big injuries and Mjällby who misses some vital players (Ericsson, Pode etc).

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 May move on Halmstad tonight at 2.08, altough the odds has dropped a bit. Halmstad with all players healthy, Ã…tvidaberg with Marinho out. Ã…tvidaberg is alot better at home at artificiall grass and I think Halmstad will go for the win here. But it is an important game and I think it will be tight so also may move on result 0-0 at 10.00

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Goteborg a huge public favorite today, and games involving huge public favorites in this league tend to go over: 44-22 O/U when the handicap is 1 or 1.5 goals in my four-year database. I'm on the well-priced over 2.5 goals at 1.98 (5dimes).

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 After looking at confirmed lineups I think Gefle is too high tonight. No injuries and really good duo in-front (Dahlberg/Oremo). Mjällby with several injuries on key players (Pode, Ericsson m.m.). Ill go with Gefle +0.25 at 2.08 I also think Elfsborg will have problems in Kalmar. Elfsborg is a whole other team on away and especially on real grass. They were struggeling last season on real grass and I think they will do that this season too. I may go live on DNB Kalmar...

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 I think 0-0 in AIK-Halmstad at 10.00 is a good value-bet! AIK has a really strong defence (2 nationalplayers on the bench says it all) but are struggling to get goals. Halmstad will be satisfied with one point in this game and focus on the defence.

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013

Friday 10 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif IFK Norrköping v IF Elfsborg (18:00 BST) 3.35 3.4 2.34 102.00 %
Saturday 11 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif IFK Göteborg v Halmstads BK (15:00 BST) 1.45 4.55 10 100.94 %
Sunday 12 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Kalmar FF v AIK (14:00 BST) 3 3.35 2.58 101.94 %
maximize.gif Mjällby AIF v Syrianska FC (14:00 BST) 2.05 3.5 4.3 100.61 %
maximize.gif Djurgårdens IF v Malmö FF (16:30 BST) 4.95 3.6 1.9 100.36 %
Monday 13 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif IF Brommapojkarna v Gefle IF (18:00 BST) 2.75 3.3 2.85 101.75 %
maximize.gif Östers IF v Åtvidabergs FF (18:00 BST) 2.3 3.3 3.45 102.77 %
maximize.gif Helsingborgs IF v BK Häcken (18:05 BST) 1.8 3.7 5 102.58 %

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013

Friday 17 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Mjällby AIF v Malmö FF (18:00 BST) 4.2 3.5 2.05 101.16 %
Saturday 18 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif IF Brommapojkarna v Syrianska FC (15:00 BST) 2.48 3.3 3.3 100.93 %
Sunday 19 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif BK Häcken v Gefle IF (14:00 BST) 1.6 4.2 7.5 99.64 %
maximize.gif Östers IF v AIK (14:00 BST) 3.7 3.4 2.2 101.89 %
maximize.gif Djurgårdens IF v Halmstads BK (16:30 BST) 2.16 3.4 4 100.71 %
maximize.gif IFK Göteborg v Kalmar FF (16:30 BST) 1.76 3.7 5.8 101.09 %
maximize.gif IFK Norrköping v Åtvidabergs FF (16:30 BST) 2.25 3.5 3.75 99.68 %
Monday 20 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Helsingborgs IF v IF Elfsborg (18:07 BST) 2.1 3.6 4.05 100.09 %
Wednesday 22 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Gefle IF v IFK Göteborg (18:00 BST) 3.27 3.24 2.1 109.06 %
maximize.gif AIK v Djurgårdens IF (18:05 BST) 1.56 3.77 5.44 109.01 %
Thursday 23 May 2013 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Åtvidabergs FF v Mjällby AIF (18:00 BST) 2.25 3.22 2.98 109.06 %
maximize.gif Halmstads BK v IFK Norrköping (18:00 BST) 2.35 3.28 2.78 109.01 %
maximize.gif IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna (18:00 BST) 1.29 4.89 8.92 109.18 %
maximize.gif Syrianska FC v BK Häcken (18:00 BST) 3.13 3.27 2.15 109.04 %
maximize.gif Kalmar FF v Östers IF (18:05 BST) 1.76 3.47 4.3 108.89 %

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Im interested in Norrköping against Åtvidaberg. I think Norrköping have a really strong team, and they have had some bad luck the last games. Åtvidaberg on the other side have a pretty anonymous team this year. This is a derby and it will be a tight game though. If Norrköping get their attackers fit for fight, I think I will move on home-win at 2.15 and maybe small amount on 0-0 because its a derby...

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Any opinions on tonight's clash between Helsingborgs and Elfsborg.It seems that they are two teams in top form especially the home side winning 5:1 in their last 2 home games.Alsa they win almost everything on the road.Elfsborg is kind of the same but if we take a deeper look we will see that they have won mostly against teams in the bottom of the table,but still they are the only teams who is undefeated.I am listetening suggestions from the experts.

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Helsingborg won in last five meetings versus Elfsborg at home and away side will be without key midfielder S. Ishizaki (top scorer in 2012).

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Gefle -IFK Goteborg. The home team sits in 13th place, the away team is 2nd. Goteborg had only lost to mid-table AIK. Since then they have won two games. Gefle had failed to beat anyone above 6th place so far, and are winless in six games. With the home team in bad form, backing the away team for the below prices looks good: IFK Goteborg AH 0 @1.6 on betfair 6pts IFK Goteborg AH -0.5 @2.24 on betfair 4pts

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Halmstad vs Norrkoping For this game we there have been 28 similar games featuring either of these teams. The away team has won in 54% of these in the Draw no bet market. The odds should be below 2 based on these statistics. Bet Victor are offering 2.25. Great Value.

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Today 2 ideas in Atvidabergs and Hacken... but really do not know how to trust and whom of them... Any help? Atvidaberg should win they are usually strong at home; Myallby, some experts saying they have not a good team, but results are proven them wrong; they have 2 key missing today, so this can affect theyr gameplay, i am sure they will settle for a draw. In hacken we have the contrary, they were tipped as one of the gold candidate , they are making a bad championship, today they are at full force againsta a poor sirianska side Also Halmstad seems nice value, more of the other 2 for sure I will probably play a multiple , with covering... JFF

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Think Halmstad are a bit underrated at +0,5 at 2.00 Mjällby have taken way more points then they (and everyone else) would think at this stage of the season. I think they are really good against "better" teams, but I think they will struggle here. Halmstad may miss Baldvinsson, who is a key player, so Ill wait for start-XI!

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 Thinking of moving at 0-0 at halftime in Gefle-Öster at 2.62! Tight game to be expected as it is very important for both teams. Gefle strong at home, Öster not so good. Both teams in weak form, even though Öster beat Göteborg last game. Öster is strong and hard-working and I think they will have a defensive approach in this game!

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 17 Jun 2013 Monday Sweden » Allsvenskan » Kalmar - Norrkoping TIP: Kalmar (-0.5) @ 2.05 SBOBET Today two matches and give an end of the 12th round of the championship in Sweden. Consider one of the matches in which Kalmar will take Norrkoping. Clubs separated by only 2 points in the standings: Kalmar takes 6th place with 16 points recruited and Norrkoping - 9th place with 14 points. Play in the game, home side take victory. Head to heads: * season 2012 31.10.2012 Kalmar - Norrköping 0:2 08.07.2012 Norrköping - Kalmar 2:1 * season 2011 19.08.2011 Kalmar - Norrköping 5:0 27.06.2011 Norrköping - Kalmar 1:2 * season 2008 02.11.2008 Kalmar - Norrköping 6:0 13.07.2008 Norrköping - Kalmar 1:3 The last 6 games on the account of Kalmar 4 wins against 2 defeats the club suffered from Norrköping last season's 1-2 away and 0-2 at home. Surely the hosts crave revenge, and therefore should properly tune into the match and repay the guests for the 2 losses last season. Kalmar is strong in its defense (only 9 goals conceded in 11 games), which is the 3rd in the Allsvenskan (less missed only leaders: Helsingborg - 7 goals conceded and IFK - 8 goals). On home ground "Guldfogeln Arena", where the club this season is not lost: 2 wins and 3 draws, 6-3. As Norrköping, this team - the exact opposite. The fact that the club simply does not know how to play defense, conceding twice as many goals (18 goals!) thats awsome. In addition, they played poorly on the road - 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, both Norrkoping defeat suffered by outsiders - from the Sirianska and from Brommapojkarna. Referring to injuries. At the home team today, will not play injured goalkeeper Zlatan Azinovich, midfielders Tobias Eriksson, Jorgen Skjelvik and Erik Israelsson, but they are not regulars this season, the only loss is the lack of midfield Archiforda Gutu (5 games), which is in the location of the national team Zimbabwe, but in order strikers back Sebastian Andersson (1 game) and Daniel Mendes (5 games), which undoubtedly will strengthen his team's attacking potential. And, the loss is much more serious in Norrköping, before today's match. So, today, visitors were missing midfielders Imad Khalili (7 games, 4 goals - whos the 2nd scorer of the club), David Viklandera (8 games) and James Frempong (3 games).

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Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 SYRIANSKA - MALMO 20th June 19.00h Syrianska goes into this match with a lot of problems. Their form is far from ideal, and they could not take advantage oft he break for some sort of form improvement because and trainings are mostly all done with half team because the rest of the players suffered from virus and had to replace pitch with bed due to fever. Although in principle they all now "ready" for the game, the question is how they are able to provide on the ground after being absent for so long and exhausted from illness. Also, the performance of their by far best player and game organizer Sharbel Touma are in doubt due to injury which is another serious blow to their ineffective offensive part of the game. Only a modest 8 goals in total scored so far, and against Malmo they***8217;ve never scored in five matches. Malmo on the other hand needs to catch the leading Helsingborgs and can not afford a losing points here. Given that they are most effective visiting team with as many as 12 goals in six meetings with realization and scoring they obviously have no problem, especially not when standing in front of poorly organized defense like Syrianska***8217;s that is among the worst in the Allsvenskan. And yet the away coach said himself that Syrianska can sometimes provide resistance when playing at their best, but according to all the problems in this situation it will not be able to do so. TIP: away team wins Odds: @1.70

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