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CzechPunter

March 4 - March 17

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Yeah two great picks there Slider, wish I'd seen them earlier!

Stosur to beat Peng and Anderson to beat Nieminen 2.08 at Stan James (3 units) :ok
The double came in after a little scare from Stosur. Up to +18.81 units. One more taken for the evening Leyton Hewitt vs Stan Wawrinka Just a quick one before I grab some shut eye. Wawrinka is someone who never makes things easy for himself so often he loses focus in a match and when he does it can be quite easy for any half decent opponent to force their way back into things. We saw that with Odesnik in Stan’s opening game where a slow start soon saw him drop the opening set and Hewitt fresh from two good victories will be keen to oppose himself early one. The Aussie seems to be fit and healthy at the moment and when he’s in good condition he still has the game and the belief to test someone like Wawrinka. Their most recent match up in a Davies Cup tie at the back end of 2011 went to 5 sets, and I can see a similarly tough match for Wawrinka if he is to progress here. Hewitt +1.5 sets 1.92 at 188bet (3 units) Hewitt to win 3.4 at bet365 (1.5 units)

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back Carlos Berlocq (+1.5 sets) to beat Kei Nishikori for a 2/10 stake at 3.18 with Pinnacle Well, I am still not convinced about Nishikori. Petzschner was playing rather poorly and still had plenty of chances against him, so one has to wonder whether the Japanese number one really deserves to be such a massive favourite here. For me, he does not - and the set handicap looks like a really good selection to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/berlocq-vs-nishikori-betting-the-consistent-argentinian-might-be-able-to-take-a-set-off-kei-nishikori Back Nicolas Almagro to beat Tommy Haas for a 2/10 stake at 1.72 with Ladbrokes Fancy Almagro to finally defeat the German (the H2H currently stands at 0-2), as he has been playing really well in recent weeks and has more quality overall. Haas is on a good run results-wise, but his performances have not been that special in all fairness and I can't see him handling such a tough opponent today. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/almagro-vs-haas-betting-nicolas-almagro-should-enjoy-a-nice-edge-against-the-german

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back Klara Zakopalova to bt Kvitova @4.35 Pinnacle (3/10) First - these two met twice on challenger level in 2007 (in Czech Rep), and Klara won both matches. Second - Klara is a streaky player, did defend round 4 here in IW, and certainly would be pleased to go further. On the road, she defeated quality opponents Cibulkova and Peer. Third - Kvitova is known to never play well on US hard courts. She has problems with asthma, and Florida/Miami hot conditions do not suit her. Her past results in IW: 2010 - Lost to Pennetta in R2, 2011 - Lost to Zahlavova-Strycova in R1, 2012: Lost to McHale in R3. This year is exceptional in that she got to R4, but she made it by beating two low-rated opponents Govortsova and Tsurenko, and she had big troubles with both. Today's match is scheduled shortly after noon (second match on court 7), and it should be a hot day today - near 30 degrees centigrade, no wind. IMO Klara should capitalize. I have been considering overs, too, but chances are good Petra is going to collapse and I would hate going for O20.5 with Petra losing 3-6 4-6.

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Angelique Kerber vs Garbine Mugurzu After her run at Miami last year I had hoped that the young Spaniard would really kick on but she sort of fell off the scene until last month In Brazil where she popped up again to take a set off Venus Williams. She’s now followed that up with a great run from the qualifiers here to tonights last 16 match. She’s beaten some strong opponents in this run and whilst she still has improvements to make in her game she already possess a couple of great strengths most particularly her serve (particular confident on the second serve), which allows here to normally get a decent foothold within a match and games on the board. She also has a decent array of shots from both sides which should keep Kerber more on the defensive than the German would probably like. This allied with the slower surfaces at Indian Wells may play more into Muguruzu’s hands than Kerbers . As with Burdette the other night, there is an unknown about Mugurzu’s temperament in these big occasions but they are only on court 3 with again no tv coverage so pressure may be lifted a little and she certainly showed no sign of nerves in her last round. Mugurzu to win a set 2.10 at Paddy Power (3 units) Mugurzu to win 4.0 at bet465 (1.5 units) :hope

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Some good calls guys. Big thanks to Dylan, CzechPunter and slider24 for great analysis. Regardless of the results I love to read valuable information. I wonder where Regnavetto is, he's got some good insight in the sport as well. I've watched some of the matches involving Sharapova, Djokovic and Azarenka. Sharapova looked a bit lost in the first set but after a few games she gained her momentum and trashed the Spaniard in the second set. Djoko has some minor issues in the first set as well but from 1-4 to Dimitrov he showed a lot of quality and proven that he'll be capable of winning the whole tournament. In terms of Azarenka I have to admit that she has been very consistent. Regardless of whether I like her or not I have to admit that she was playing very well without any major errors the only concern I have is that she seemed to be in some pain at the end of the first set but still managed to take advantage of the younger of the Radwanska sisters. I think that if she manages to get over the pain or the injury she seemed to pick up, she could trash Wozniacki easily but if she is struggling a bit with her health the Pole/Dane could take the full advantage of the situation and may win against the Belarusian. Cheers, Mark

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Re: March 4 - March 17 2 PICKS FOR INDIAN WELLS: SHARAPOVA TO DEFEAT ERRANI BY 2:0 SETS @ 1.57 on pinnaclesports QUERREY+6 GAMES HANDICAP TO DEFEAT DJOKOVIC @ 1.79 on pinnaclesports Should be an easy match from Sharapova as she loves playing those defensive players. Should just hit winner after winner. Surely Djokovic is a clear favorite but he has not been at his best and Querrey has a big game. Should be able to hold such a big handicap.

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back Maria Kirilenko to beat Petra Kvitova for a 2/10 stake at 3.25 with Pinnacle Kirilenko knows how to play against Kvitova (the H2H stands at 3-3) and will be full of confidence, so I fancy her chances to get yet another massive victory here. The Czech has not played against anyone strong so far in Indian Wells, so it might be hard for her to adapt to the quality the Russian will bring to the table today and I wouldn't be surprised by seeing her struggle throughout the entire match. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/kirilenko-vs-kvitova-betting-petra-kvitova-might-be-set-to-struggle-against-the-russian- Back Ernests Gulbis to beat Rafael Nadal for a 2/10 stake at 3.62 with Pinnacle Well, this should be the highlight of the day, right? And I do indeed think that we will be in for an exciting clash - and one that might easily have a surprising winner. Nadal has only played one match here so far, so we don't know much about where he is at and Gulbis has a playing style that will put the Spaniard under plenty of pressure, which is something that he simply isn't going to like today. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/gulbis-vs-nadal-betting-ernests-gulbis-looks-value-against-rafael-nadal-in-indian-wells

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Strange match between Kvitova and Zako yesterday. Played on non-televised court, Kvitova billion times 0-30 down, then won the game by 4 straight points. Zako was due to bagel in the 2nd set, but won 3 love (at least I think they all were love) games in a row from 0-5... That smels big time. I second Czech in Makiri to bt Kvitova

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Dallas Challenger - Tatsumo Ito to beat Bobby Reynolds @ 13/8 BET 365 Strength (5/10) Good time to fade Reynolds here. He's had a pretty gruelling couple of weeks in Delray Beach and Indian Wells where he won alot of close matches and was on the verge of knocking out Mardy Fish but choked a bit in the third set. He would have expended alot of energy and intensity over the last couple of weeks so we might see a little dip from him here. He's not defending any ranking points in Dallas(after losing heavily to Lacko in the first round last year) and he's schedule to play in Canada next week so he might look at this as an opportunity to rest up for that. Reynolds is a grinder though and attitude is his strong point so we won't see a blatant tank but his game relies on hussle and if he's not 100% then he's beatable, especially if Ito turns up. The Japanese lost heavily to a hot Donskoy last week but he's good player on his day, not a big server but very good off the ground and I think he's got good chance of knocking off the American. He's also not scheduled to play anywhere next week so his full focus should be on this tournament. :hope

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back Tomas Berdych (-4) to beat Kevin Anderson for a 2/10 stake at 2.00 with Pinnacle There is no doubt who is the favourite in this match - after all, Berdych leads the H2H record between the two by five wins to none. And, since he has been playing really well so far this week, it is really hard to see past him here. The handicap might look quite high, but there is a decent gap between the two at the moment and I expect Berdych to cover it today. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/berdych-vs-anderson-betting-tomas-berdych-to-demolish-kevin-anderson-in-indian-wells Back Rafael Nadal to beat Roger Federer for a 1/10 stake at 2.20 with Ladbrokes Not a match to take with higher stakes, but I feel that there is some value in Nadal at this price. Both guys have been pretty average so far in Indian Wells, but Federer is the man who has been struggling more in recent weeks and I certainly would not be surprised by seeing him lose today. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/nadal-vs-federer-betting-rafael-nadal-can-build-on-his-yesterday-s-performance-against-gulbis

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Re: March 4 - March 17 I've gone back into one of the Indian Wells outright markets, as this price seems out of line to me. Back Caroline Wozniacki to win WTA BNP Paribas Open @ 34.00 Betfair I considered backing Wozniacki prior to the start of this tournament, but was put off by her early exit in Kuala Lumpur. Apparently she was suffering from some sort of illness, but whatever it was she seems to be over it now. Her form so far in Indian Wells has been good, and after a three set win against Cornet she has seen off Vesnina and Petrova in straight sets. She will now play Azarenka in the quarter-finals, a player that she has a good record against. Although Azarenka is the favourite to win this tournament, she has said that her ankle has been causing her some problems. If that continues to be the case, then I think Wozniacki is in good enough form to progress to the semi-final where she would play either Kerber or Stosur. Stosur hasn't looked convincing to me so far in this tournament, and Kerber's recent form has been patchy. If Wozniacki can find a way into the final, she would play Sharapova or Kirilenko. She has a great record against Kirilenko, and although she hasn't done so well in the past against Sharapova, the fact that Wozniacki has plenty of experience of playing and winning finals gives me some confidence that she could cause an upset if they met in the title match.

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Thanks for popping in TopJimmy. I requested the price and had a small amount matched. I'm not the sort to make prices up, and I'm sure others on this thread can confirm that.

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Re: March 4 - March 17

OK I tried backing Caroline at 34.0 as per the instructions in your post but the best available was 17.0. Disappointed is not the word!
means u were a little too late to join the party.

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Re: March 4 - March 17

means u were a little too late to join the party.
Me and everyone else. Don't worry I got on Kerber just after Stosur retired. And now Azarenka has retired too.

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back Juan Martin del Potro to beat Andy Murray for a 2/10 stake at 2.94 with Pinnacle I certainly do fancy del Potro at this price, as he has been playing the better tennis of the two so far in this event. Murray is obviously the classier guy when he is on the top of his game, but his recent performances are nothing he should be happy about and you would expect the Argentinian to win unless Murray takes his game to another level today (which is obviously something that he is fully capable of). Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/del-potro-vs-murray-betting-juan-martin-del-potro-to-defeat-the-struggling-scot Back Novak Djokovic (-4.5) to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga for a 2/10 stake at 1.90 with Ladbrokes Neither guy has been particularly impressive so far, but I can see Novak Djokovic upping his game today, while I cannot see Tsonga doing the same. The conditions won't allow him to just go out and hit big, so he will have to build points carefully and that simply is not his style. The games handicap therefore looks like the right choice here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/djokovic-vs-tsonga-betting-novak-djokovic-can-bounce-back-to-form-with-a-nice-win-over-the-frenchman

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Djokovic (-5 games) to beat Tsonga. 2.36 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Looking forward to this one. I really think Djokovic is going to win this match quite comfortably. Nole is growing in the tournament and is showing some great tennis at times. If you compare his three matches, the amount of average tennis is getting limited more and more as the tournament proceeds. With Tsonga I've highly doubted all week if he would progress to this stage of the tournament. He was lucky to beat Fish and wasn't impressing either against Raonic. Djokovic' tennis is far too solid at the moment for the Frenchman. I believe he can maybe keep one set tight but surely not two, especially because the surface suits Djokovic much more than Tsonga. As the match progresses I believe Tsonga will get more and more frustrated leading to more unforced errors.

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back C.Wozniacki/A.Kerber - Over 21.5 games for a 2/10 stake at 1.95 with Pinnacle One more for me, as I really cannot pick between the two and like the overs. Kerber should be able to dictate play when on fire, but her forehand will be up against Wozniacki's consistent backhand and she is going to lose quite a few games due to unforced errors, so this should really have some distance. On the top of that, nerves might also play a small role given that this is a semi-final. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/wozniacki-vs-kerber-betting-caroline-wozniacki-and-angelique-kerber-might-be-in-for-a-tense-match

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Del Potro to beat Murray and over 25.5 games. 2.90/2.34 (5/10;7/10) Pinnacle Should be a cracker tonight. Murray has been showing some good stuff at times but in general he's been average at best. Delpo will also be his first real test this tournament. Del Potro however, has shown some good and aggressive play and I expect him to come out blazing tonight. I think he has a real shot against Murray aslong as he keeps Murray behind the baseline with deep shots. The odds are quite ridiculous, Andy isn't showing top notch tennis and Del Potro is playing with real confidence. Murray however, has a mental issue with this tournament, not really achieving results in the past few years and his erraticness could be a result from that. I expect this to be a match that surely won't be decided in straight sets and 2.90 is just too much value to not take.

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Re: March 4 - March 17 What do you think of today's match between Rafa and Berdych? Should Nadal really be such s favourite? I do understand that he won against Federer and his comeback has been quite impressive but he hasn't played anyone special up to now (Federer seems to be out of form and far from being his best so the win cannot count as a real reflection of Rafa's momentum). I do not feel that Berdych has been at his best neither but he's been quite consistent in recent weeks so anything around 3.00 and over would be a reasonable bet on the Czech, don't you think? Cheers, Mark

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Re: March 4 - March 17 Back Tomas Berdych to beat Rafael Nadal for a 2/10 stake at 2.83 with Pinnacle The H2H record might be horrible, but the circumstances are all in Berdych's favour this time around and I fancy his chances to get a win over the Spaniard today. After all, his serve and his big shots are working well and Gulbis showed that it is possible to trouble Nadal with those weapons. Good price I would say. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/berdych-vs-nadal-betting-tomas-berdych-to-improve-his-h2h-record-against-rafael-nadal Back Juan Martin del Potro (+4.5) to beat Novak Djokovic for a 2/10 stake at 1.81 with Pinnacle Djokovic was awesome yesterday, but the main reason for that was that Tsonga simply opened the floodgates early on and then self-destructed completely. I don't believe that the same is going to happen with the Argentinian, who will be full of confidence after that brilliant comeback against Murray, so the handicap line looks like a good option to me here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/djokovic-vs-del-potro-betting-the-argentinian-can-cover-the-handicap-line-against-djokovic-this-time-around

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