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Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb


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[TR] [TH=class: firstColumn]Tuesday 29 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Barnsley v Millwall (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.97 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Bristol City v Watford (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.85[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.21 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Wednesday 30 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Huddersfield Town v Crystal Palace (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.94[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.25 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Thursday 31 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Leicester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.61[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]6.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.29 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 2 February 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Birmingham City v Nottingham Forest (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.45[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]107.48 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Blackburn Rovers v Bristol City (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.72[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]107.41 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Blackpool v Barnsley (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.72[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]105.67 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Crystal Palace v Charlton Athletic (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.33[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Derby County v Huddersfield Town (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.83[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.12 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Ipswich Town v Middlesbrough (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.62[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.40 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Leeds United v Cardiff City (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.4[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.33 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Millwall v Hull City (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.33 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Peterborough United v Burnley (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.62[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.40 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Sheffield Wednesday v Brighton & Hove Albion (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.62[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]108.40 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Watford v Bolton Wanderers (15:00 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.9[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]105.05 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Bristol City vs Watford Watford are on fire and are the hottest team in English football at the moment they have won 8 of the last 10 games and are scoring for absolute fun. Important stats : Watford highest scoring team in the championship scoring 56 goals at a staggering average of 2 a game. Bristol city worst defence in the championship conceding 56 goals at an average of 2 a game. Watford conceding a goal in 93% of games away from home. They have played once this season and played out a 2-2 draw. Not much more to add the stats are absolutely skewed in the favour of overs and the price is extremely good value. Over 2.5 goals @ $1.75 tab sportsbet 7 points

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb ​Barnsley vs Millwall I really like that price on Barnsley at home to Millwall. Barnsley are unbeaten in 4 since new manager David Flitcroft took the realms at the club. He has only conceded one goal in his tenure picking up an impressive 1-0 victory in the FA Cup at Hull on Saturday. Millwall may of beaten Aston Villa on Friday night however that is a side that we all know is in freefall and The Lions only picked the victory up in the latter stages of the match. They have just lost influencial striker Darius Henderson also which will be a certain loss in their attacking department and given how stubborn the Barnsley defence has been of late I see it hard for Millwall to break them down. Barnsley to Win - 2.87 BetVictor

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Bristol City-Watford over 2.5 @1.75 7/10 188bet The odds are way too high. I don't understand how the bookies offer such huge odds for the overs here. Bristol have 10 overs in 14 home matches. THey have a combined scoring of 26:34 goals in just 14 home matches which means there is an average goal line of 4,28 goals per home match. In total they have scored 40 goals so far while they conceded 56 which is far too much. They miss winger Adomah (5 goals / 9 assists) who is on international duty (AFC) plus striker Taylor (1 goal / 1 assist) who was injured against Ipswich on saturday, but the important strikers are available. Watford are the best in-form team right now. THey have destroyed Nottingham on their own ground with 3:0. Their young striking pair Vydra and Deeney are absolutely on fie with a combined goal amount of 27 goals so far. THe Hornets are the best away team with a 8-2-4 record and 32:22 goals. 12 out of 14 away fixtures finished with at least 3 goals. Bristol desperatley need points as they are already 7 points behind Ipswich despite beating them at the weekend. Their only way to get something out of this match is when they attack. Their defence is no way near being good while Watford will score for free. This match should have plenty goals inside and I will also back over 3.5 here. GL

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb **This is a preview - what comes to my mind 1st when I see these fixtures listed, my actual bet will be below** Tuesday 29th January 2013 Barnsley v Milwall Another championship fixture and another very tough call indeed. A good win against an out of confidence Aston Villa at a vociferous New Den on Friday night will no doubt egg Milwall on heading into this game against an on paper poor Barnsley side. I have to be honest, I am a big fan of Kenny Jackett and the way he goes about things at Milwall, they are a decent side in the Championship despite spending most of the last 10 years at league 1 level. Barnsley on the other hand themselves picked up a great win away at Hull in the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon, surprising most football fans and undoubtedly the bookies to. As you can imagine after the struggles of Keith Hill, Flitcroft has come in and rebuilt a little passion and drive as most new managers generally tend to do so. As for the result of this game, I'd be tempted for a little bit of money on Barnsley, purely down to the fact they are at home, they won away on Saturday to boost confidence and Milwall will have a long away journey to take into account before the game. Score Prediction Barnsley 2-1 Milwall Barnsley 2.87 @bet365 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tuesday 29th January 2013 Bristol City v Watford I am personally amazed at just how good Watford seem to be this season, I remember back in August time when Zola was appointed and an influx of the 'udinese experiements' started to appear from all corners that myself, fans and the press in general would be wary of a Watford implosion. INfact the opposite has happened and they are indeed starting to look a real threat as the season meanders along towards its latter 3rd. They have some very impressive goalscoring stats and in Troy Deeney and Vydra they look very dangerous upfront indeed. Bristol City on the other hand look cut adrift at the bottom before the arrival of Sean O'Driscoll but they themselves picked up a late win against Ipswich very late on, on Saturday. Both teams will be entering this game confident, though you do feel overall that the class of Watford should shine through and with the pace and goals they have in them, I'd imagine this one will be a step too far for Bristol City. I dont think City will lie down though, they will understand that they are in a must WIN situation from this point on in if they are to even have a sniff of staying up. Both teams to score and a Watford away win by the odd goal for me. Score Prediction Bristol City 1-2 Watford Watford to WIN 2.10 @bet365 Both teams to score 1.61 @bet365 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wednesday 30th January 2013 Huddersfield v Crystal Palace I have an incling or a feeling deep down that this game is going to be surprisingly close. I think Huddersfield have a top 12 squad on paper and have been under-performing under Grayson slightly, they have now sacked him and picked up a good draw against Leicester at home on Saturday, despite Leicester making a few changes. Palace arent in the promotion race for no reason, but something deep down says they will slowly fall away over this last 3rd of the season, I'm not sure what it is but despite the fact I like Holloway as a man I do think he struck lucky at Blackpool in the fact that he started with a very good bunch of players that were destined for a chance at promotion anyway. I dont think the Zaha sale will affect anyone bar Zaha, so the team shouldnt suffer too much in that sense. I'm going with by gut here and saying I fancy a draw at worst for Huddersfield. Score Prediction Huddersfield 2-2 Crystal Palace Draw 3.40 @bet365 Both teams to score 1.80 @bet365. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thursday 31st January 2013 Leicester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers Leicester have a brillant home record, the best in the chmpionship. Not only that, but they have an array of expensive lower league and impresive championship players on their books. Chris Wood is the in-form championship striker at the moment and alongside David Nugent and co Leicester look like scoring in every game they play. Wolves are certainly improved under Dean Saunders, although results may not suggest this. They were decent in the 1st half at home to Blackburn and drew 1-1, they ground out a solid point at improving Sheffield Wednesday and were very unlucky to lose on Saturday after a goalkeeping error and some questionable defending from Roger Johnson. Sadly for the Wolves I just cannot see past a comfortable home win here. There is far too much quality throughout the Leicester attacking line up to score the goals required to win the game and there is also enough quality at the back to suggest they wont conceding the bucket full that they could potentially score. Score Prediction Leiecester 2-0 Wolves Leicester 1.51 @bet365 Leicester to keep a clean sheet 2.10 @bet365 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Score Predictions Barnsley 2-1 Milwall Bristol City 1-2 Watford Leicester 2-0 Wolves Huddersfield 2-2 Crystal Palace ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ **MY BETS** Leicester @1.53 Watford @2.10 Barnsley/Milwall Both teams to score 5.56/1 £10 Treble Hope you all enjoy!

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Leicester vs Wolves Since Saunders has taken over us i wouldn't say there has been a vast improvement, there is talk coming out from the molineux that top goalscorer ebanks blake is on his way out to palace for 1 million. I personally am not too concerned with loosing blakey because i feel he can be a very negative voice within the dressing room and right now wolves need positivity. I am not a fan of Roger Johnson at all and i believe him getting banned will do the wolves a load of good, they will more than likely start with danny bath who i have seen a couple of times and i believe could become a quality player for the club. I believe Wolves have got the quality to cause leicester a few problems on the counter with the pace of Peszko and Sako. I think there will be goals in this one and will be backing Over 2.5 goals 8/11 bet365 10 points Cassidy first goalscorer 12/1 bet365 2 points Wolves 2-1 20/1 bet365 2 points Wolves 6/1 bet365 5 points

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb watford is currently the best team in the form of the championship, is in the middle of battling for the promotion and faces one of the worst teams in the league with the worst defense in the tournament in total (56 goals conceded) and the worst defense in the home (34 goals conceded ), but also one of the best home attack with 26 goals scored. Bristol has an average of 4.26 goals in house, watford away games in goal average of 3.86, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. Bristol city simply plays a football offensive movement but nothing about defending, watford is very strong front and will be a treat to play in counter ... I can not predict at least three goals in this match.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Barnsley +0 (AH) v Milwall @ 1.925 Bet365 (3 Points) I think the odds on Milwall are just too low. They have only won 1 in their last 5 on the road and their form of late has dipped. Barnsley have actually picked up in recent games and have only lost 1 of their last 5 games, winning their last 2 at home. The form seems to be with them and with the home advantage I think the better value lies with the Tykes. Bristol City +0.5 v Watford @ 2.050 Bet365 (3 Points) Ive looked to back Watford whenever possible recently and their record and goal scoring, particularly on the road, has been excellent. But their price is just too short tonight. Bristol have a new manager which should help things and a victory on the weekend will have helped confidence. They are horrible weather conditions tonight and you would have to think that would help the team fighting against relegation rather than the one playing champagne football after promotion. Yes on paper Watford should win this but the odds are well short and as we know anything can happen in the championship. I'm taking City to pick up at least a point.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Bristol City - Watford Watford & over 2,5 goals 2.75 bet 365 Worst defence vs Best attack in this game, weak home record vs best away record. City are without Kilkeny and Taylor, in Watford no new injury concerns. In last game Watford beat good team Forrest 0-3 away from home and think they will win today too. Watofrd concede 22 goals on their trips this season which means that City can score ot least once. Odds for this bet are very good for me.GL.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb

Bristol City-Watford over 2.5 @1.75 7/10 188bet The odds are way too high. I don't understand how the bookies offer such huge odds for the overs here. Bristol have 10 overs in 14 home matches. THey have a combined scoring of 26:34 goals in just 14 home matches which means there is an average goal line of 4,28 goals per home match. In total they have scored 40 goals so far while they conceded 56 which is far too much. They miss winger Adomah (5 goals / 9 assists) who is on international duty (AFC) plus striker Taylor (1 goal / 1 assist) who was injured against Ipswich on saturday, but the important strikers are available. Watford are the best in-form team right now. THey have destroyed Nottingham on their own ground with 3:0. Their young striking pair Vydra and Deeney are absolutely on fie with a combined goal amount of 27 goals so far. THe Hornets are the best away team with a 8-2-4 record and 32:22 goals. 12 out of 14 away fixtures finished with at least 3 goals. Bristol desperatley need points as they are already 7 points behind Ipswich despite beating them at the weekend. Their only way to get something out of this match is when they attack. Their defence is no way near being good while Watford will score for free. This match should have plenty goals inside and I will also back over 3.5 here. GL
2:0 bet lost
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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb 21:45 Huddersfield - Crystal Palace Tip: both to score Odd: 1,76 marathonbet Huddersfield has good team on paper but something is wrong and they are near the relegation zone. At home Huddersfield is better then away. In last 10 home matches they had lose 3 and win only 2 games and 5 draws. In 8/10 home matches they had scored 1 or more goals. Crystal Palace is good team but more points they take at home 29 from 48. In last 10 matches they had won in 3 games and 3 lose with 4 draws. In 9/10 away games they had concended 1 or more goals. In this game for boths team very important to get some points because i think will be DRAW but will be scored draw 1-1 or 2-2. Teams without: Huddersfield: Lynch (19/1 d), Gobern (0/0 m), Ward (21/1 m), Southern (24/1 m) Crystal Palace: McCarthy (0/0 d), Ward (19/0 d), Dikgacoi (24/4 m), Garvan (24/4 m), Nimely (2/0 f)

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb

​Barnsley vs Millwall I really like that price on Barnsley at home to Millwall. Barnsley are unbeaten in 4 since new manager David Flitcroft took the realms at the club. He has only conceded one goal in his tenure picking up an impressive 1-0 victory in the FA Cup at Hull on Saturday. Millwall may of beaten Aston Villa on Friday night however that is a side that we all know is in freefall and The Lions only picked the victory up in the latter stages of the match. They have just lost influencial striker Darius Henderson also which will be a certain loss in their attacking department and given how stubborn the Barnsley defence has been of late I see it hard for Millwall to break them down. Barnsley to Win - 2.87 BetVictor
2-0. Bet Won
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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Huddersfield vs Crystal Palace Ian Holloway takes his side to Huddersfield tonight without a win in 6 on their travels. The Eagles are also without a number of players for tonights trip to Yorkshire. Joel Ward, Owen Garvan, Alex Nimely and Kagisho Dikgacoi all miss tonights game for Palace. They have not got off to the best of starts in the new year despite their position in the league with them only beating Wolves in the new year. As for Huddersfield, The Terriers sacked their manager Simon Grayson after their 4-0 defeat at Watford and the players replied to this with a respectful 1-1 draw at home in the FA Cup to in-form Leicester City. Huddersfield have actually drawn their last 4 games infront of their home crowd and I see the same result occuring tonight with not many fireworks. It would be interesting to hear any Crystal Palace fans view on this game. Draw - 3.4 BetVictor

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Lay Crystal Palace @ 2.38 v Huddersfield (Betfair) 3 Points I like Palace a lot and think they are a good side but they are just too short tonight. They haven't won in their last 6 away matches and they've only won 1 match on the road under Holloway. Huddersfield are struggling badly but they've actually drawn their last 5 home matches in a row. So they may not be picking up the wins they need but they remain hard to beat at home. Danns and Beckford will be returning for them tonight which is a plus. The form certainly points towards a draw but I like having 2 results on my side so I will instead just lay Palace and back them not to win at a price which is just too short with the stats in mind.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb

Huddersfield vs Crystal Palace Ian Holloway takes his side to Huddersfield tonight without a win in 6 on their travels. The Eagles are also without a number of players for tonights trip to Yorkshire. Joel Ward, Owen Garvan, Alex Nimely and Kagisho Dikgacoi all miss tonights game for Palace. They have not got off to the best of starts in the new year despite their position in the league with them only beating Wolves in the new year. As for Huddersfield, The Terriers sacked their manager Simon Grayson after their 4-0 defeat at Watford and the players replied to this with a respectful 1-1 draw at home in the FA Cup to in-form Leicester City. Huddersfield have actually drawn their last 4 games infront of their home crowd and I see the same result occuring tonight with not many fireworks. It would be interesting to hear any Crystal Palace fans view on this game. Draw - 3.4 BetVictor
I support this bet.
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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb 5pts Leicester (-1AH) to beat Wolves 1.85 Ladbrokes I can’t see beyond a home win here. Leicester are absolutely flying at the minute and this Wolves side look like a bit of a shambles at the minute. They carry little threat in front of goal and their defence is perfectly capable of being opened up and that could be even more so without Roger Johnson. Leicester are lively in the middle of the park and they have plenty of clinical goal options and I expect them to win this and possibly win it quite comfortably too. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/leicester-vs-wolves-betting-leicester-can-open-up-a-gap-in-the-race-for-the-premier-league-with-wolves-win

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Leicester -Average goals scored at home – 2.36 Average goals conceded - 1.09 Wolves - Average goals scored on the road -1.14 Average goals conceded away – 1.36 Therefore, Leicester should score 1.86 with Wolves should score 1.115. A total of 2.975 Everton go overs at home 57% of times. Wolves away go over 50% of times. There is a 53% chance of overs Chance of Unders is 47% With Skybet overs is 1.70 (58% chance). No Value here Unders is 2.05 (48%) no value here Not much value here on overs/unders. BTTS - Leicester score in the game at home 93% of the time. West Brom score away 72%. Everton keep clean sheet 57% of the time. West Brom 27% clean sheets on travels. LEICESTER to score - 83%. West Brom to score - (1/3 x 4/5) = 57% chance. 70% chance of Btts Both teams to score is 1.91 with Skybet (representing a 52% chance) - value here. 5 points on the BTTS Market - yes Skybet. However, I will be backing Leicester to win @1.53 with William Hill Leicester win 71% of matches at home Wolves loose 53% of matches away. 62% chance of Leicster win. odds of 1.53 imply 65% of leicster win. Not much value much probably most likely outcome

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Leicester -Average goals scored at home – 2.36 Average goals conceded - 1.09 Wolves - Average goals scored on the road -1.14 Average goals conceded away – 1.36 Therefore, Leicester should score 1.86 with Wolves should score 1.115. A total of 2.975 Leicester go overs at home 57% of times. Wolves away go over 50% of times. There is a 53% chance of overs Chance of Unders is 47% With Skybet overs is 1.70 (58% chance). No Value here Unders is 2.05 (48%) no value here Not much value here on overs/unders. BTTS - Leicester score in the game at home 93% of the time. wolves score away 72%. leicester keep clean sheet 57% of the time. Wolves 27% clean sheets on travels. LEICESTER to score - 83%. West Brom to score - (1/3 x 4/5) = 57% chance. 70% chance of Btts Both teams to score is 1.91 with Skybet (representing a 52% chance) - value here. 5 points on the BTTS Market - yes Skybet. However, I will be backing Leicester to win @1.53 with William Hill Leicester win 71% of matches at home Wolves loose 53% of matches away. 62% chance of Leicster win. odds of 1.53 imply 65% of leicster win. Not much value much probably most likely outcome

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb what do you think guys of [TABLE=class: team]

[TR] [TD=class: tname-home logo-enable]Sheffield Wed[/TD] [TD=class: current-result]-[/TD] [TD=class: tname-away logo-enable]Brighton[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] over 2.5 goals? Brihton has bought José Leonardo Ulloa (argentinian )from UD Almeria (Spain 2e div) to score goals ;)
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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb

Huddersfield vs Crystal Palace Ian Holloway takes his side to Huddersfield tonight without a win in 6 on their travels. The Eagles are also without a number of players for tonights trip to Yorkshire. Joel Ward, Owen Garvan, Alex Nimely and Kagisho Dikgacoi all miss tonights game for Palace. They have not got off to the best of starts in the new year despite their position in the league with them only beating Wolves in the new year. As for Huddersfield, The Terriers sacked their manager Simon Grayson after their 4-0 defeat at Watford and the players replied to this with a respectful 1-1 draw at home in the FA Cup to in-form Leicester City. Huddersfield have actually drawn their last 4 games infront of their home crowd and I see the same result occuring tonight with not many fireworks. It would be interesting to hear any Crystal Palace fans view on this game. Draw - 3.4 BetVictor
0-1 FT. BET LOST Dont see any value in backing Leicester tonight. They're now as short as 1.45, Wolves are a little mystery under the moment as new manager Dean Saunders tries to get his insight on his team. No Bet for me. Two away teams interest me this Saturday who are possibly a little overpriced. Barnsley at Blackpool: Barnsley are now undefeated in 5 since Keith Hill's sacking and David Flitcroft's appointment. More importantly they are not conceding goals, only concededing one in those 5 games away at Ipswich. Managerless Blackpool got their 1st victory of the year at Wolves last time out. That day they were not the best capatilsing on Roger Johnsons defensive mistakes for their goals. They did not create much else apart from that. Barnsley DNB - 4.4 Coral Bristol City at Blackburn: Sean O'Driscoll has had a good start to life down in the west country with Bristol City. They have lifted themselves off the bottom with 2 straight wins on the bounce defeating two very in-form sides in Ipswich and Watford. Last time out however they defeated Watford comfortably who did not really threat the Robins goal. Blackburn are not the greatest side at home and seem to put in better performances away from Ewood Park, they have put in two disappointing performances at home of late. The attendances at Ewood Park are not great this season with many empty seats and that can give the away side a huge advantage. Colin Kazim-Richards has been re-called by parent club Galatarasay and with Nuno Gomes out injured, Rovers are light upfront. I think Bristol City can take advantage of all of this and nick a possible victory. Bristol City DNB - 4.4 Coral
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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb [h=1]Norwich sign Luciano Becchio and Steve Morison joins Leeds[/h] Norwich have signed striker Luciano Becchio from Leeds with forward Steve Morison heading to the Championship side in a swap deal. The 29-year-old joins the Canaries, who also receive an undisclosed fee, having spent five years at Elland Road. "I cannot wait to play my first game for Norwich," said Becchio, who has signed a three-and-a-half-year deal. Continue reading the main story

“Even before Luciano put in his transfer request we had enquired about Steve”

Neil WarnockLeeds manager "I am happy about having the chance to play in the Premier League. It is great for me personally and for my career." The Argentine, who still had a year and a half remaining on his Leeds deal, made more than 200 appearances and scored 86 times for the Yorkshire side. "I spoke to Robert Snodgrass and Jonny Howson [former Leeds team-mates] about Norwich and they both had really good things to say about the club and the city." Wales international Morison, 29, joined Norwich from Millwall in 2011. The former non-league striker scored 12 goals in 59 appearances for the Carrow Road outfit. "I'm absolutely delighted that we've been able to bring Steve in," said Leeds manager Neil Warnock. "Even before Luciano put in his transfer request we had enquired about Steve - he was at the top of my list in January to bring in - and I can't tell you how delighted I am." "Steve meets all the requirements of the striker we've been looking to bring in. For me, he is a player who has everything. He can score goals from anywhere - whether it's 25 yards or a tap-in - he has pace, and he has all the attributes you want."

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb Leicester - Wolves draw @ 4.58 over 2.5 goals @ 1.7 (5dimes) Championship matches where the dog is priced at 6.0 or better (Wolves are 7.5 currently) are seeing lots of goals (about two-thirds overs), and traditionally it's the weekday games where shocks happen. I expect a split here, but will welcome a Wolves goal, after which I can't lose both bets.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb I don'tlike odds under 1,90 for win in English divisions under Premier. I can't see value in this odds. For me best bet for this game is Leicester win to 0 2.37 bet365 but is tricky. I like this bet beacuse Wolves score only 3 times in last 5 meetings, they are in the bottom of the form table and are not very solid away from home. They have problems in their defence R.Johnson is suspended and Zubar goin to France, other injuries are:Razak Boukari, Stephen Hunt ,Steven Mouyokolo, Wayne Hennessey and George Elokobi. Stephen Ward is fit. On the other side Leicester are on the top of the form table, one of the best home teams (only Cardif are better) and their only injury concern is Anthony Knockaert (doubtful). Don't forget that Foxes are with best defence in Championship.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb One of these days I have to write a long post someplace about why "form" is a poor predictor...when you have one team of 4-1-0 form against another that is 0-1-4, say, it is easy to see that odds reflect this, but just as easy to see that it is like flipping a coin and getting four heads, and thus expecting heads again. So far this season, Championship underdogs of better than 4.0 are 39-27-70. Now, most of the upsets that occur are when the odds are 4.0 to 4.99, really, but taken in total, the huge favorites have only won 51% of these games so far this season. These are games that reflect difference in table position, current form, and so on, and that the market thinks the underdog should only win one in four or worse. There is just huge value to be had opposing favorites when such odds are on offer. Having said that, dogs of between 6.0 and 7.99 in Championship are just 35% so far (5-1-11). At better than 8.0, they're 1-1-1...the draw was Barnsley (9.64) 2 @ Leicester 2. The win was Cardiff 1 Petersborough (8.82) 2. The loss was Leicester 6 Huddersfield (8.95) 1.

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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb

So far this season' date=' Championship underdogs of better than 4.0 are 39-27-70. Now, most of the upsets that occur are when the odds are 4.0 to 4.99, really, but taken in total, the huge favorites have only won 51% of these games so far this season.[/quote'] att - I've seen your posts about this before and I know there is a lot in what you say. But I wish I was better at understanding the detail of your 'dogs' stats :unsure
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Re: Championship > 29th Jan - 2nd Feb

One of these days I have to write a long post someplace about why "form" is a poor predictor...when you have one team of 4-1-0 form against another that is 0-1-4, say, it is easy to see that odds reflect this, but just as easy to see that it is like flipping a coin and getting four heads, and thus expecting heads again. So far this season, Championship underdogs of better than 4.0 are 39-27-70. Now, most of the upsets that occur are when the odds are 4.0 to 4.99, really, but taken in total, the huge favorites have only won 51% of these games so far this season. These are games that reflect difference in table position, current form, and so on, and that the market thinks the underdog should only win one in four or worse. There is just huge value to be had opposing favorites when such odds are on offer. Having said that, dogs of between 6.0 and 7.99 in Championship are just 35% so far (5-1-11). At better than 8.0, they're 1-1-1...the draw was Barnsley (9.64) 2 @ Leicester 2. The win was Cardiff 1 Petersborough (8.82) 2. The loss was Leicester 6 Huddersfield (8.95) 1.
I support that opinion. I try to avoid to play for huge favorites in championship and lower english divisions. Im my prediction i write: "I don'tlike odds under 1,90 for win in English divisions under Premier. I can't see value in this odds." And for that reason i write that this prediction is tricky.
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One of these days I have to write a long post someplace about why "form" is a poor predictor...when you have one team of 4-1-0 form against another that is 0-1-4, say, it is easy to see that odds reflect this, but just as easy to see that it is like flipping a coin and getting four heads, and thus expecting heads again. So far this season, Championship underdogs of better than 4.0 are 39-27-70. Now, most of the upsets that occur are when the odds are 4.0 to 4.99, really, but taken in total, the huge favorites have only won 51% of these games so far this season. These are games that reflect difference in table position, current form, and so on, and that the market thinks the underdog should only win one in four or worse. There is just huge value to be had opposing favorites when such odds are on offer. Having said that, dogs of between 6.0 and 7.99 in Championship are just 35% so far (5-1-11). At better than 8.0, they're 1-1-1...the draw was Barnsley (9.64) 2 @ Leicester 2. The win was Cardiff 1 Petersborough (8.82) 2. The loss was Leicester 6 Huddersfield (8.95) 1.
Totally agree and look forward to reading it when you have the time :ok
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