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Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan


RussP
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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Off to Qatar for the 2nd leg of the Desert Swing, an event won last year by Paul Lawrie in a 54 hole event. Normally this event is affected by strong winds so it could pay to look at somebody comfortable when it's blowing; however, the forecast is for much calmer weather this week. What I would say though is that the first morning is forecast to be calmer than the afternoon and all 3 selections have early tee times in the hope we get off to a flying start. I'm opposing the 3 market leaders; I really don't fancy Oosthuizen to win back to back whilst Rose's inability to finish off last week makes single figure odds too short. It's already been said that these greens don't suit Kaymer and his biggest chance of a win on the Desert Swing came last week. Statistically, it's a course that favours the same players year on year so a good finish in the last few years is quite a strong trends, whilst hitting the greens here is absolutely key. That, for me, is the key trend with distance and putting average the other 2 attributes you'd like to have on your side. One last thing is that there's yet to be an English winner in over 10 years of this event! I really struggled to find outsiders with solid chances so 2 of my 3 this week are very well fancied with 1 slightly more speculative selection. Stan James are paying 6 places so I've backed with him even at the risk of slightly worse odds. P.Hanson to win Qatar Masters, 3pts EW @ 14/1 Stan James (1/4 odds 1-6) Peter Hanson is now turning into a real class act. 2 wins and 3 further top 10's in his last 10 events underline that point, the 2 wins coming in the KLM Open and the BMW Masters. Has started the season pretty well, finishing midfield at the Volvo Champions but followed up with a top 10 last week. That looks even better after his opening 36 of +1. Rounds of 66 and 69 to finish off show him at the top of his game. Has not particularly had a love affair with Doha until last year when he finished tied 2nd, behind Paul Lawrie. He will take loads of confidence from that too. Statistically, his game is perfectly suited to this course; he's pretty long and normally very good with his irons but his strength now is his putting. One of the very best out there, he looks to have a top chance this week. So much so that I'd have him favourite for this. S.Garcia to win Qatar Masters, 3pts EW @ 12/1 Stan James (1/4 odds 1-6) Sergio's season debut, which is the only concern, in an otherwise perfect profile for this week's event. 4 top 10's in his last 5 visits here make him the real Doha form horse although he's yet to enter the winners enclosure there. However, his game really has hit top form again and he's learnt how to win, backed by 2 in his last 7 at the Wyndham and Johor. His putting has improved lots in the last 12 months whilst his driving continues to be one his strong points. With question marks over many of the other market leaders and his terrific course form, I think Sergio will be there or thereabouts come Saturday. R.Cabrera-Bello to win Qatar Masters, 1.5pts EW @ 45/1 Stan James (1/4 odds 1-6) The longshot of my trio, Rafa is my 2nd Spaniard this week. Is one of the very best with his irons and that's a massive plus where I actually think the performance on the tough Par 3's could prove decisive. His putting is the one area that will make or break his week; has struggled for consistency on the short stuff but that's not to say he can't hole them when in contention. He can. Was 2nd 2 years ago here after hitting a 5 over 77 in the first round. A reproduction of the final 3 rounds there will almost certainly see him in the winners enclosure here. Did win in the desert 12 months ago, albeit at the Dubai Desert Classic, so he'll be hopeful he can add to that tally. 9th and 23rd in his 2 starts this year prove he's striking the ball well so I'm happy at the price to get involved on Cabrera-Bello.

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Top Spaniard Player 2pts Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 5/1 BetVictor http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/qatar-masters/commercial-bank-qatar-masters/top-spaniard I really fancy a Spanish win here for some reason so hope that at least 2 of RP's selections go well. Of the others i like Fernandez-Castano, he looked good last week and has done well here before. His last two performances are actually better than the bare figures suggest with a bad first round in the Champions and an average last round at Abu Dhabi costing him stacks of Euro's. He has looked more consistent over the last six months and this year could see him add to his tally. Top South African Player 0.50pts EW Jbe Kruger 25/1 Skybet (1/4 odds 1,2,3) (only 1/5th odds elsewhere) http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/qatar-masters/commercial-bank-qatar-masters/top-south-african Going for a real long shot here, dont worry i'm not going crazy i just think he's far too big at the prices and worth a small each way bet. Jbe Kruger has been going through a poor patch and been inconsistent, but i watched him last week and he looked much more settled and thought to myself he can figure pretty soon. In fact his last three performances have been fairly solid without being in contention and worth a bet in a tricky week i reckon.

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Tournament preview: 1pt ew D.Howell to win Qatar Masters 80/1 Stan James (1/4 1-6) One man who I think can go well this week at a bigger price is David Howell. Howell appears to be playing some good golf again after a couple of years in the wilderness and that is good to see. He was tied for sixth in Abu Dhabi last week and was in the top 12 in the Alfred Dunhill Championship just prior to Christmas. Howell has five top 10’s in this tournament in his career and with his form showing signs of coming back to prominence and his good memories here he is worth supporting at 80/1. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/qatar-masters-betting-david-howell-can-continue-his-good-form-in-the-second-leg-of-the-desert-swing

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Tournament preview: 2pt win Peter Lawrie to be top Irish player 15/8 - Ladbrokes Only 5 in this group which include - Damien Mcgrane, Gareth Maybin, Michael Hoey & Paul McGinley. I think we can take out McGinley who is the rag in this group at 11/2 who has only made one cut in the last 6 tournaments he has played in. Mcgrane also not made a cut since October in the Portugal masters. Hoey and Maybin both got a bit more recent form with making recent cuts this year but just think Lawrie will have to much in his locker for any of these 4 to beat him in this 3 day event. Good luck all Joe

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Ridiculous odds on Jbe in the top SA market. Think he has a top chance & wouldn't surprise me to see Aiken be up there too. Good luck with that, Graham :ok I'd love to see David Howell have another good week. Whilst I backed Rose last week and, at the time Howell was the main challenger, I was genuinely gutted for him when he 4-putted from 5 feet. Good luck DH (& Kev) :ok

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Underated Lawrie may storm in again. I really do think Lawrie underared by some but he playing some good golf at the moment and his got a very good chance. decent price aswell. Sergio Garcia should be there or thereabout at the top come the end and again in with a great chance along with Henrik Stenson. 1 man who could win=Thongchai who a very good golfer and if he starts well will be there or thereabout. he could easy shake things up. Paul Lawrie looks the bet tho. good luck all.

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Update - Peter Lawrie made the cut (just) he is currently -1 Update on the others - Mcginley +4 missed the cut Maybin -1 McGrane -4 Hoey -5 As you can see Lawrie has a lot to do - but i just think he is still in a shout with this bet - he is getting plenty of birdies so if he can just cut out the errors getting him the bogies he can do it for me. Reckon Hoey or McGrane are due a bad round hopefully both of them - will just have to wait and see - fingers crossed. Joe

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Looks like Garcia is going to deny my Spanish bet, hope he goes on and wins it now! Another decent effort by Castano though. JB Kruger is lying second to Brendan Grace as we speak but still about 5 SA players in with a shout in that market. So many rags doing well in these golf events nowadays, the outright markets are a nightmare to me. Good luck with Lawrie Joe and Garcia for Russ!

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Re: Qatar Masters 23rd-26th Jan Damn that 72nd hole for the 2nd week on the spin! Sergio finishes 1 shot back to land my 3rd EW payout in as many weeks. Let's hope we can go one better next week! Unlucky with the Gonzo bet, Graham but well done on the EW payout on 25/1 Kruger in the top SA market. Shame he tied it with Aiken but, still, it's profit all the same. Good stuff. Last leg of the Desert Swing coming up next week :ok

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