Ashtee Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Townsville certainly seemed to get a flat Bendigo off the big game win over Dandenong. Adelaide were much the same, off strong form plus missing Batkovic. Townsville did open +11.5 for this, which interested me but I'm likely to leave it (+8.5) now. I haven't ruled out trying them SU though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 agree with Ashtee about Townsville v Adelaide and Bendigo, don't have much of an opinion on this one. like the over in adelaide and maybe adelaide as well. adelaide have been stomping teams at home and get the impression from last week that sydney have had enough for the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Sydney +16 Notwithstanding any desire to maintain strong form leading into finals I feel there is a chance Adelaide could be a little off the boil tonight. Sydney should be geared to make a statement off last week's disappointment. Of course, Sydney may spread some minutes but I've still marked the handicap at 9.5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 ^ value sucked of Fire as a play now, line down to -7.5 with heavy juice on tsv side... That's the trouble with pinnacle - their limits are so low for WNBL as it is and especially when these lines first go up... Early value can be lost so quickly.. Not playing that game now as -7.5 for dander ing is right where I marked it. Looking at nbl Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I marked the Townsville line 7.5 too and obviously subject of a plunge - I wonder if there could a big out to add to Phillips that we don't know of yet or simply just a case of they've won last five at home including big scalps as mentioned above??? SU I thought I'd see higher than 5.75 openers, then was OK with TAB opening with 5.00 but in no time it was gone too, so I'll settle for no action at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Yet another great example of why no punter should EVER accept an inferior line if a better one existed previously - just pass on the game and move on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Played: Sydney -8.5 1u Sydney under 143 1u Bendigo over 140 1.5u Since mid season when Sydney got their squad together they have pretty much handled the sides outside the top 4 fairly comfortably and been handled comfortably by the top sides most of the time. Looks a decent spot for WC with Sydney on back to back in what could be tough conditions in Alice Springs. However, WC have been so terrible without Deanna Smith playing lately in particular the last two weeks I think Sydney should cover. Think Bendigo will come to play after being smashed last week and they have scored 80 or more in four of their last five home games. Canberra are missing players but have still been putting some points on the board. Bendigo may shut them down but more likely they score over 60 which will be more than enough to push it over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I hope any followers took binomial's advice on Adelaide-Sydney and not mine :$. Tonight; Sydney -8.5 They were awful last night albeit to an ominous looking opposition. Sarah Graham shot just 1/10 :loon not to mention a number of missed easy layups by the team. Sometimes hard to fully turn around focus overnight but any good look in the mirror should be enough to cover in this. Bendigo - Canberra OVER 137.5 @ 1.81 Same reasons as binomial. They are 10-5 since Griffin and 7-1 the last eight, their games really are not like an eighth ranked TOTALS team that whole season figures may suggest. Canberra are 12-9 overall, so this isn't at all high for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Bendigo - Canberra OVER 137.5 @ 1.81 Gotta love the 8pts piled on in the last minute :eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Gotta love the 8pts piled on in the last minute :eyes that's brutal mate, 17 points in the final quarter ? the kind of bad beat that only women's basketball can deliver Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Very typical of Bendigo games this season, actually. Sunday; Dandenong -12.5 Logan are unlikely to have the depth to hold them out IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 looking into the total for that late game tomorrow ... the ave ppg in Dandenong's four weekend road back-enders this season 150 .. Logan Metro a bit of a bermuda triangle for offence with the ave score in that gym this season 130 ... also has the feel of a flat spot for both teams in terms of the schedule... Logan's season is done and Dandenong no doubt with an eye on getting home and preparing for Adelaide next weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 brutally short turnaround here for canberra, about 14 hours after a bed shet performance, cant see them showing much in this spot. bulleen only have 9 wins for the season but four of them have been by 20+. betting they handle Canberra easily. Bulleen -15 1.5u Bulleen under 145.5 1.5u don't mind that under dogs although average for Dandenong at Logan this season is 183. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 10, 2013 Author Share Posted February 10, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 57-55 Bulleen ahead at 3QT Be interesting to see how this ends, I was set have something on Canberra at 10.00 (didn't like the dog h'cap) until Cosier was an out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Tonight; Adelaide -5 Townsville -2.5 I feel bookies have over stated 'save themselves' factors in both games. Both opponents are only just scraping together enough fit players. Currently at -5.5 & -4 respectively these two are still excellent deals IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 yes you got nice prices there. i only just got around to having a look but pretty happy to play the current odds. Adelaide over was the other one i liked, although not as much as the two you are playing. GL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I played: Townsville -4 2u Adelaide -5.5 1.5u Adelaide over 150 1.5u - this was at $1.99 so liked it a bit more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 much as I hate laying points on the road, am rolling with both road faves tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Looks like Adelaide has taken the night off.. As I said, hate backing road chalk.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 The eye was obviously off the ball given the stellar form and probably thinking more about tomorrow night but Bulleen starters did have an overload of minutes which thankfully seemed to help the result cruise home after HT. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Tricky games tonight as I see it. Tend to think Adelaide wont be too fatigued not having to travel too far and having a full squad to choose from, assuming no injuries last night. They got crushed in the second game of back to backs a couple of times earlier in the season but were missing key players. On the other hand Dandenong may be much more motivated for this. Playing WC at home when they are back to back looks the easiest game you could ask for. Sydney have only won one game by 18+ all season but they beat WC last week by 14 neutral venue, with most players looking to have played pretty ordinary on the back to back. Having lost their last home game in double overtime they could come to play to finish off in front of the home fans on a high note or having beaten WC handily last week may just go thru the motions. I lean to the former. WC could ride a wave of momentum after slaying the mighty canberra, or they could play poorly like they usually do. I see this one 80 odd to 50 odd and think there is a bit of value in what i initially though was an inflated line. Townsville face a tougher road trip and could play poorly because of it. Despite this think the over is value, but no opinion on the side at this stage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Trying to find word on Suzy Batkovic's status for tonight .... given her fitness issues doesn't make much sense for Adelaide to put her on the floor tonight - there's no back to backs in the finals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 she had a neck injury agravated by plane travel as i understood it, no plane travel between bulleen and Dandenong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 ^ she's had issues with her back for a while, something she's had to manage Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 16, 2013 Author Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I think the injury is pretty good now? Adelaide don't need to prove anything whereas you'd think Dandenong do, so Adelaide resting players wouldn't surprise at all. I actually fancy the SU price on Adelaide a bit but am inclined to wait on teams ... or maybe won't touch it at all. I felt Sydney were shabby on the road when they beat WCW 14 after trailing 5QT, so I'm inclined to think they'll be better prepared here. On the other hand WCW look to be having an strong road weekend (although didn't really beat much - Cosier soft contribution). I've marked the line 17.5, same as bookies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 16, 2013 Author Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Sydney - West Coast Under 145.5 @ 1.88 West Coast pride themselves on making it as hard as possible to score. So even for a Sydney team in good form (Sarah Graham had shooting horrors LW to the point she played a non shooting role v WCW) this number should take some topping. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 west coast on a 21-0 run :rollin sydney scoreless for 7 mins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Sydney never looked like covering until the last few minutes so can't feel too bad but this is an ugly last two minutes: [TABLE=width: 359] [TR] [TD]0:01[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:02[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:03[/TD] [TD]5, J. Kennedy, shot 2pt blocked[/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:13[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:15[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:19[/TD] [TD]14, T. Tupaea, turnover badpass[/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:20[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:32[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:35[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, turnover badpass[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, rebound defensive[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:51[/TD] [TD]31, T. Roberts, turnover badpass[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:55[/TD] [TD]31, T. Roberts, rebound offensive[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:56[/TD] [TD]11, M. Joy, shot 2pt missed[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:15[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:24[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD]11, M. Joy, substitution in[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD]21, S. Graham, substitution out[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, foul personal[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:26[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:30[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:34[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:34[/TD] [TD]14, T. Tupaea, foul personal[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:37[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:38[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, shot 3pt missed[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD]21, S. Graham, foul personal[/TD] [TD]76-52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:01[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, turnover ballhandling[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted February 16, 2013 Author Share Posted February 16, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I'm certainly hearing you, binomial. Nasty when bets fall over that way! No way Adelaide would have got up had I taken the 4.50 either ;). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 i thought about playing that myself after i saw your post, but ended up having a unit at +8 $2. i was looking at the odds to win it and thought Adelaide looked the value at $4. then i reflected you could get $4+ for them winning one game last weekend. it is a tough ask for them, but on last few weeks form i would make them equal with Bendigo and Dandenong at least. if you make an adjustment for back to back, you could say they have handled Dandenong twice and they beat Bendigo by 20 at home. Adelaide to Melbourne trip two weeks in a row is not really that big a deal.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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