valuepunter Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Not sure what the protocol is on making threads so sorry if I'm stepping on any toes but didn't see a suitable thread for tonight picks. So let's get to it: NO Hornets @ ORL Magic Magic -2.5 @ 1.88 - 1 unit Simple pick here, the Hornets are on an 11 game losing streak, and even blew a 22 point lead at home vs Indiana on saturday. They don't look capable of finishing games strongly and although the stats have this game close, I fully expect Orlando to cover this line. MIA Heat @ CHA Bobcats MIA Heat HT/FT @ 1.5 - 1 unit The Heat are deservedly big faves here, and I find myself in the annoying spot of wanting to back them but not being comfortable with a 10 point handicap. Miami should win and should do it comfortably, I'm just not a fan of backing faves on big handicaps, so I'll take them HF/FT. Some first half stats: Miami average 52.6 1H this season, 50.6 away, 53 in last 3 games Charlotte average 46.9 1H this season, 47.4 home, 47 in last 3 games Miami allow 50.4 1H this season, 50.8 away, 44.3 in last 3 games Charlotte allow 54 1H this season, 52.4 home, 62 in last 3 games NY Knicks @ Phoenix Suns Knicks -2 @ 1.91 - 2 units HOU Rockets @ MIN Timberwolves Rockets +5.5 @ 2 - 2 units This line feels like a gift, Rockets are averaging 106 PPG vs MIN's 95.5, and although Timberwolves have a strong home defense I can't see them holding Houston back enough to get the win, let alone cover the -5.5. Houston are also coming off a nice 4 streak, winning by 20+ points in 3 of those games, and are certainly the team with the momentum right now. LA Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Under 214.5 @ 1.91 - 1 unit Lakers +3.5 @ 1.99 - 1 unit Lakers are the better team IMO, and with Nash coming back to join the ranks they've got a certain spring in their step, and always looked like they were going to snatch a tight win despite trailing for most of the game vs the Knicks. Expect another big game from Kobe and Metta and the Lakers to outscore them on 3 pointers by a good margin. Unders is too high. Cavaliers @ Wizards Cavaliers Win 1st Quarter @2.1 - 1 unit Crazy line, Cavs should be fave here as far as I'm concerned and the stats point towards a 25-20ish win. Cleveland average 24.2 Q1, 25.4 away, 22.3 in last 3 games Washington average 20.1 Q1, 21.1 home, 17.7 in last 3 games OPP POINTS SCORED Cleveland allow 24.7, 25.6 away, 23.0 in last 3 Washington allow 25.8, 25.8 home, 26 in last 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valuepunter Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 Re: NBA: Boxing Day Picks Cavaliers @ Wizards Cavaliers Win 1st Quarter @2.1 - 1 unit :( Disappointing start. Wizards came out strong, Cavs were creating chances and forcing turnovers but couldn't find the net, hitting the rim repeatedly on easy layups and 2 fouls not called. Still think there was value in the bet, Wizards just overperformed while Cavs screwed up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valuepunter Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 Re: NBA: Boxing Day Picks NO Hornets @ ORL Magic Magic -2.5 @ 1.88 - 1 unit :( -1u MIA Heat @ CHA Bobcats MIA Heat HT/FT @ 1.5 - 1 unit :D +0.5u NY Knicks @ Phoenix Suns Knicks -2 @ 1.91 - 2 units (PUSH - Knicks won by 2) +0u HOU Rockets @ MIN Timberwolves Rockets +5.5 @ 2 - 2 units :D +2u LA Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Under 214.5 @ 1.91 - 1 unit :( -1u Lakers +3.5 @ 1.99 - 1 unit :( -1u Cavaliers @ Wizards Cavaliers Win 1st Quarter @2.1 - 1 unit :( -1u Overall - 2W-4L-1P / -1.5u Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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