NFL week 13

[vitalyo]

First game is on Thursday . photo sharing NFL 2012/13 15 win - 1 lost +107.31

[kevshat]

Re: NFL week 13 Thursday night preview: 4pts New Orleans to beat Atlanta 33/20 Ladbrokes Atlanta have won in each of the last two weeks but they haven’t been convincing about it. Matt Ryan has thrown six picks in those two matches and he can’t afford to keep throwing interceptions and expecting to win. With the way the Saints can put up the points if Ryan throws a couple of picks in this match it could be catastrophic to their chances. The Saints are going to go into this all guns blazing knowing their season is on the line and they could just upset the Falcons for a second time this season. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/new-orleans--atlanta-betting-saints-can-keep-their-season-alive-by-completing-a-double-of-wins-over-falcons

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL week 13 Atlanta - New Orleans over 58.5 @ 2.09 sportsbet Atlanta - New Orleans over 68.5 @ 4.40 sportsbet Atlanta - New Orleans over 76.5 @ 9.20 sportsbet Two very good teams with the ball and are up against average defences, so liking to be a very high scoring game. Both QBs have the ability to pass the ball and drive down the field pretty quickly, and are not likely to be happy to settle just for field goals given what the other QB can do. Atlanta's QB Ryan will be looking to make up for a poor performance in his last home game which was against Arizona where he threw 5 INTs but they still managed to win 23-19. He also had 1 TD and 1 INT in the 24-23 win at Tampa Bay last week, so they are putting up points even though Ryan has been average. He will look to go back to his early season form where he threw 13 TDs in his first five games. Earlier this month, he threw for 411 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT in the 31-28 loss at NO, and given that they have allowed 2 or more passing TDs in 4 of their last 6 games as well as allowing 27+ points in 4 of their last 6 games, then like Atlanta to do well here. New Orleans have their very good QB Brees who has for at least two TDs in 11 of his 12 games, and at least three TDs in 8 of these games. Atlanta allowed 298 passing yards, with 3 TDs and 1 INT in the loss to Brees, and can see home posting some yards and scores here as he has had success against them in the past. The ground game for both sides is average but their rush defence is even worse as Atlanta has allowed 116+ rushing yards in 8 of their last 11 games while NO have given up 117+ yards in 8 of their 11 games. Expect some quick scores and hoping for a 42-35 finish Record: 26-61 (-13.70)

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13 2 wagers 29 Nov -20:25 EST New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons 1) Matt Ryan Total Passing Yards Over (324.5) @ 1.91 willhill 10 units bwin odds Over 325,5 @ 1.85 bet365 320,5 @1.74 Matt Ryan last 3 games vs New Orleans 11/11/12 ATL 27 - NO 31 Matt Ryan 34/52 411 12/26/11 ATL 16 - NO 45 Matt Ryan 34/52 373 11/13/11 NO 26 - ATL 23 Matt Ryan 29/52 351 Ironically he had 52 pass attempts in each game . Atlanta rush offense ranked 28th and basically doesn't exist .I know how important running game is , but in this game you don't really need one ATLANTA PASS OFFENSE RANK 2 NEW ORLEANS PASS DEFENSE RANK 30 Saints are coming off a loss to a very physical 49ers team, and only had 3 days to heal and prepare for this match .While Atl had all week . Ryan is just gonna light up Saints banged up secondarys for 350+ yards. Both teams need to win .Atlanta to win Division Championship and home field advantage through out the playoffs.Saints if they lose this game there season is over. Saints will keep it close for 2-3 Q then the luck of rest will catch up them . Falcons have to many weapons Tony Gonzalez , Roddy White , Julio Jones. Atl 10-1 Atl 5-0 at home Ryan 31-4 at the Georgia Dome. In NFL 3 points are given for home field advantage. LOL then according to the books these teams are even . No no no ! I have Atl to win this game by 8+ points 2) Atlanta Falcons ( -2 points) @ 1.70 willhill 10 units -2 because they don't offer -3 nor -2,5 (pinny -3 pays 1.72). The value is with willhill ,these are the best odds could find at the moment . If you are betting ATL you might wanna wait for better price/New Orleans money to come in ,because this line is gonna bounce all day. Cheers GL . PS I was hoping for Atlanta -3 @1.90 . I cannot see on how i can lose both wagers . NFL 2012/13 15 win - 1 lost +107.31

[thegeneral55]

Re: NFL week 13 Great analysis , thanks man , think Matty Ice will have to go in my Fanduel team

[thegeneral55]

Re: NFL week 13 Total passing attempts for Matt Ryan Over 38.5 @ 1.8 on bovada is surely a value bet with a lack of a running game and targets like Roddy Julio and Gonzalez to aim for , plus his last 3 games hes had 52 passing attempts each game.

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13

2 wagers 1) Matt Ryan Total Passing Yards Over (324.5) @ 1.91 willhill 10 units Lost M. Ryan 18/33 165 yards 2) Atlanta Falcons ( -2 points) @ 1.70 willhill 10 units Win New Orleans 13, Atlanta 23

Next picks are on sunday ,an hour prior to the game . NFL 2012/13 16 win - 2 lost +104.31

[thegeneral55]

Re: NFL week 13 i feel sick !

[thegeneral55]

Re: NFL week 13 http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000103413/article/kansas-city-chiefs-player-fatally-shoots-himself-police-say

[kevshat]

Re: NFL week 13 4pts Chicago (-3) to beat Seattle 5/6 BetVictor I like Seattle and actually think they match up relatively well to the Bears but their away form is a massive concern and it’s for that reason that I’ll take the Bears -3 in this match. There aren’t too many weaknesses in the Bears game at the minute and although they were exposed in San Francisco a couple of weeks ago they are much more secure in their home surroundings and I think that home advantage can lead them to the win in a hard fought game. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/seattle--chicago-betting-chicago-can-win-a-hard-fought-battle-at-soldier-field

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL week 13

Atlanta - New Orleans over 58.5 @ 2.09 :( Atlanta - New Orleans over 68.5 @ 4.40 :( Atlanta - New Orleans over 76.5 @ 9.20 :(

Buffalo Bills v Jacksonville Jaguars over 51.5 @ 3.40 sportsbet Buffalo prefer to run the ball as they average 140 yards per game while Jacksonville allow 137 yards per game. Should be able to get plenty of yards and points here on the ground. Jacksonville have found some life in the passing game with Henne at QB and like them to torch this secondary that allows 233 passing yards per game. Two pretty poor defences that give up points, and like this to be a high scoring game Seattle -3.5 @ 3.24 sportsbet Two very similar teams who prefer to run the ball rather than pass it, while their defences are very good in stopping the pass and run. Value is on Seattle to win this as Chicago has picked up some injuries, and trust Wilson more than Cutler to direct the offence Indy -2.5 @ 4.05 sportsbet Season is over for Detroit while Indy has plenty to play for. Two very good QBs with average running games, and decent defences, but the Colts have momentum and reason to play for Green Bay Packers v Minnesota Vikings over 56.5 @ 4.00 sportsbet Green Bay should bounce back after their loss to the Giants last week. If Jennings plays then Rodgers gets another very good target to aim for and like them to score plenty of points on Minnesota. However with the injuries they have on defence, and how they have struggled to stop the run game of Peterson, then expect him to run all over this defence. Both sides should score some points here New England -15.5 @ 3.46 sportsbet New England's balanced offence should be too much for this Miami defence to handle while NE's defence has improved and doubt that Miami can stay with Brady given the form he is in San Francisco -15.5 @ 3.14 sportsbet San Francisco have a very good run game and an excellent defence but with the addition of Kaepernick at QB, not only do they have a good passer of the ball, but he also has the ability to run it too. Hard to see St Louis stopping the 49ers balanced offence while SF should be able to stop their offence from getting any sort of momentum Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans over 55.5 @ 3.42 sportsbet Houston should not have too many problems passing and running on this Titans defence as a win here will lock up another playoff berth but the problem has been the injuries they have sustained on defence which has allowed teams in recent weeks to score plenty of points on them. Like this to once again be another high scoring game Denver -13.5 @ 2.51 sportsbet Denver are hard to beat at home at altitude and with Manning leading the way, expect him to torch this secondary while their defence should do well even though this TB offence has improved, but playing in cold conditions is much different to the warmer conditions where they have come from Cincinnati -6.5 @ 3.30 sportsbet Cincinnati are the better team coming into this game as they have the more reliable QB, a better run game while their defence has been doing enough to win this game. San Diego look like they have had enough for the year, so the Bengals should be too strong for them here Record: 26-64 (-16.70)

[AGurv]

Re: NFL week 13 NFL 2012-2013 Overall 27W-33L-3P -9.00 units (45.00%) Im not having a very good year... Rams +7.5 (-115) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Lions -6.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Dolphins +7.5 (-115) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Browns -2 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Steelers +7.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Eagles +10.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Giants -3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[kevshat]

Re: NFL week 13 4pts Baltimore vs Pittsburgh - Under 37pts 20/23 Bet365 You sense this won’t be a night for offense. It rarely is when these two meet. The game ended 13-10 at Heinz Field a couple of weeks ago and I would imagine a similar scoreline here too. I think Baltimore will win the game, they are a better side at home than away but I still expect it to be low scoring so I’m happy enough to take under 37pts in this one. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/pittsburgh--baltimore-betting-big-afc-north-rivals-can-play-out-another-low-scoring-match

[thegeneral55]

Re: NFL week 13 Detroit - 5.5 @ 8u , TB/Denv Over 51 points @ 8u and Houston -6.5 @ 8u Although Detroit 4-7 take on Indy 7-4 Detoit really are the better team and on their home patch i would expect them to win by probably a TD at least . Think Mikel LeShore could go really well in this game and as always Stafford and Johnson are very dangerous. TB cannot defend against the pass and when you have Peyton throwing to DT and ED then youre gonna be in trouble , but they have weap[ons of their own and i think there could be a real shootout here and 51 poits is very reachable. Houston -6.5 i expected this to be around -9 or 10 so just taking it because of ther gulf between the two teams and i think its priced up wrong.

[kevshat]

Re: NFL week 13 4pts Philadelphia (+10.5) to beat Dallas 10/11 William Hill Dallas are widely expected to win this match and even with their record with the season end in sight it would be a massive surprise if they don’t go on and win this match but given that their season is on the line here I think it could be asking a bit much to cover a 10.5pt head start. Make no mistake about it Philadelphia have been rotten this season but Bryce Brown showed they have a bit of depth to their roster last week and between him and the Eagles defence they could just make enough plays to stay within 10pts here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/philadelphia--dallas-betting-struggling-eagles-still-have-enough-about-them-to-stay-close-to-dallas

[thegeneral55]

Re: NFL week 13 M.Lynch Under 91 yards rushing CJ Spiller Over 85.5 yards rushing Miles Austin Under 59.5 yards receiving Peyton Over 310 yards passing

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NFL week 13 Cardinals (m/l) 2pts @ 3.25 Bet365 Bears (-6.5) 3pts @ 2.30 Bet365 Pats/Fins (over 55.5) 2pts @ 2.45 Bet365

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13 4 picks 16:15 EST Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens 1) Total Receptions – Anquan Boldin (BAL) Over 4 @ 1.85 bodog 8 units Flacco loves targeting Boldin against this Steeler secondary who had 8 receptions in week 11 and had 7 last year as well. 2)best bet Total QB Sacks in the game Over Sacks 4½ @ 1.77 bodog 10 units Batch may push this number over himself. Flacco always good for a couple sacks per contest . 16:15 EST Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders 3)Total Passing Yards – Brandon Weeden (CLE) Under 215½ @1.87 bodog 6 units 100% chance of in this game today. Weeden has been cleared to practice, since suffering a concussion in Week 12, and is expected to play in Sunday's game against the Raiders.Browns are Cleveland 3-8 done fore the season , with 100% chance of rain i can see them running a lot and if anything goes wrong they may take Weeden out half way trough the game. He is averaging 223 yards per game 16:15 EST Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Diego Chargers 4)How many passing yards will Philip Rivers (SD) record? Under 270,5 @ 1.60 bwin 8 units This is a value bet bodog has him at 240,5 bet 365 at 254,5 Next picks around 19:00 est for PHI vs DAL game Cheers Gl. NFL 2012/13 16 win - 2 lost +104.31 units NCAAF 2012/13 0W-1L -10 units

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13 20:30 EST Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys 5 )Total Receiving Yards – Jason Witten (DAL) Over57½ @ 1.80 bodog 10 units Eagles season is over, the players know it ,Dallas on the other hand has basically win their remaining 5 games if they want to grab a Wildcard spot . Witten is without a question QB Romo's go-to target averaging 64,5 yards per game (that's what bet365 has him 64.5 O/U) willhill 60.5 ,bwin 62,5 Witten should have no problem rolling Over57½ .o/u on the # of reception tells you so (PHI vs DAL) Total Receptions – Jason Witten (DAL) bodog Over 7 (1.95)o (1.80)u Cheers GL. NFL 2012/13 16 win - 2 lost +104.31 units NCAAF 2012/13 0W-1L -10 units

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13

4 picks 16:15 EST Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens 1) Total Receptions – Anquan Boldin (BAL) Over 4 @ 1.85 Bodog 8 units 5 receptions 2)best bet Total QB Sacks in the game Over Sacks 4½ @ 1.77 Bodog 10 units 5 sacks 16:15 EST Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders 3)Total Passing Yards – Brandon Weeden (CLE) Under 215½ @1.87 Bodog 6 units 16:15 EST Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Diego Chargers 4)How many passing yards will Philip Rivers (SD) record? Under 270,5 @ 1.60 Bwin 8 units 5 )Total Receiving Yards – Jason Witten (DAL) Over57½ @ 1.80 bodog 10 units it's a half time Witten 5 catches for 72 yards

3W-2L + 8.66 NFL 2012/13 19 win - 4 lost +112.97 units NCAAF 2012/13 0W-1L -10 units

[kevshat]

Re: NFL week 13 4pts New York Giants (-2.5) to beat Washington 10/11 Coral I think the Giants pass rushers will enjoy the prospect of bringing the rookie quarterback on the opposite side down a peg or two here and I think they can hunt him down like they hunted Aaron Rodgers last week. If the likes of Justin Tuck can get to RG3 then this should be a win for the Giants because it is hard to see Eli not filling his boots in this match. The G men match up well to their divisional rivals and I think they’ll win this. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/new-york-giants--washington-betting-giants-can-extend-their-lead-at-the-top-of-the-division-on-monday-night

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL week 13

Buffalo Bills v Jacksonville Jaguars over 51.5 @ 3.40 :D Seattle -3.5 @ 3.24 :D Indy -2.5 @ 4.05 :( Green Bay Packers v Minnesota Vikings over 56.5 @ 4.00 :( New England -15.5 @ 3.46 :( San Francisco -15.5 @ 3.14 :( Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans over 55.5 @ 3.42 :( Denver -13.5 @ 2.51 :( Cincinnati -6.5 @ 3.30 :D

Record: 29-70(-15.76)

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL week 13 Washington -5.5 @ 3.40 sportsbet Washington are 5-6 and need to win here and beat the division leaders if they are to have a chance to go to the playoffs this year. Like their QB RG3 to do well on the Giants as he completed 20 of 28 passes for 258 yards and 2 TDs while also running for 89 yards on 9 carries, so expect him to do better here, at home, then that effort where Washington fell sort, losing 27-23 away in NY. They also have Morris who has been running the ball well, and they have ran for an average of 164 rushing yards in their games. Conversely, Washington allows 89 rushing yards per game and have only three times allowed teams to rush for 100+ yards. This means that they will look to Manning to beat them, but they have allowed 230 passing yards or less in 3 of their last 4 games, and though Manning threw for 3 TDs and 249 yards against Green Bay, that was against a team decimated by injuries. He has thrown for less than 250 yards in his last four games, while RG3 has thrown for 4 TDs in each of his last two games. Like the Redskins here as they have the better running game and defence, while too much will be expected of Manning who has not been that consisten this year Record: 29-70 (-15.76)

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13 2 wages 20:30 EST N.Y. Giants at Washington Total Rushing Yards – Eli Manning (NYG) Over ½ @ 2.10 bodog 10 units Recent Meetings H2H last 4 games 10/21/12 WAS 23 - NYG 27 Eli Manning 2ATT 4YDS 12/18/11 WAS 23 - NYG 10 Eli Manning 0ATT 0YDS 09/11/11 NYG 14 - WAS 28 Eli Manning 1ATT 2YDS 01/02/11 NYG 17 - WAS 14 Eli Manning 4ATT 11YDS 3W-1L last 4 games 11/25/12 GB W 38-10 E. Manning 2 ATT 12YDS 11/11/12 @CIN L 13-31 E. Manning 1 ATT 1 YDS 11/04/12 PIT L 20-24 E. Manning 0 ATT 0 YDS 10/28/12 @DAL W 29-24 E. Manning 1 ATT 3 YDS 3W-1L 6W-2L overall and we get + odds . I'll take this bet every time i get a chance at max wager . Total Rushing Yards – Robert Griffin III (WAS) Under 56½ @ 1.91 willhill 8 units bodog 55,5 bet365 55,5 bwin 53,5 last 4 games 11/22/12 @DAL W 38-31 R. Griffin III 7ATT 29YDS 11/18/12 PHI W 31-6 R. Griffin III 12 ATT 84YDS 11/04/12 CAR L 13-21 R.Griffin III 11 ATT 53 YDS 10/28/12 @PIT L 12-27 R. Griffin III 6 ATT 8 YDS 3W-1L VS Giants 10/21/12 WAS 23 - NYG 27 Robert Griffin III 9 ATT 89 YDS (1 rush for 28 yards) 0W-1L He had a monstrous game on the grounds , i highly doubt that he will have same performance again . NY GIANTS RUSH DEFENSE RANK 13 with an average of 114.00 yards allowed per game (so he would have to rush for half of this yards) Giants D will not let this happen again. After all he is a QB . Cheers GL. NFL 2012/13 19 win - 4 lost +112.97 units NCAAF 2012/13 0W-1L -10 units

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13 bodog dropped the odds on Total Rushing Yards – Eli Manning (NYG) Over ½ to 1.83 GL. NFL 2012/13 19 win - 4 lost +112.97 units NCAAF 2012/13 0W-1L -10 units

[vitalyo]

Re: NFL week 13

2 wages 20:30 EST N.Y. Giants at Washington Total Rushing Yards – Eli Manning (NYG) Over ½ @ 2.10 Bodog 10 units WON 1ATT 5YDS Total Rushing Yards – Robert Griffin III (WAS) Under 56½ @ 1.91 willhill 8 units Lost R. Griffin III 5ATT 72YDS (long 46). Griffin broke for 46 yards run

1W-1L Small profit +3 units Next picks are on Thursday NFL 2012/13 20 win - 5 lost +115.97 units NCAAF 2012/13 0W-1L -10 units

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL week 13

Washington -5.5 @ 3.40 :(

That fumble by Morris was at least a 6 point difference, and then they ran out of time at the end to increase their margin of victory Record: 29-71 (-16.76)