AGurv Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 College Football 2012-2013 Overall 21W -18L +2.20 units (53.84%) Finally got into the + with a 4-1 weekend in Week 7 Oregon -9.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Northwestern +5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Good stuff last week, Alex :ok Ragin' Cajuns (-9.5) 2pts @ 2.40 Bet365 Like Lou-Laf to win this quite easily tonight, the Mean Greens have struggled to put points on the board and rank 108th on pts scored. They've only put up >21 on one occasion, and that was against Southern Texas. Their last home game was a desperately limp and disappointing defeat to Conference rivals, Troy, by 7 to 14. Troy had previously faced the Ragin' Cajuns at home and went down 24-37. UL-Lafayette can put the points up - they've scored 40, 37, 48 and 41 in their 4 wins so far, and like them to be able to put up enough points to take this match by a couple of TDs, and remain a contender for the Sun Belt honours this season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Ragin' Cajuns (-9.5) 2pts @ 2.40 Bet365 20-6 up shortly into the 2nd half and cruising, then throw it all away and more! 2012 record: -2.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted October 17, 2012 Author Share Posted October 17, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks damn i didnt even know there was a game last night lol Kentucky +27.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes V. Tech +8.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Houston -10.5 @ 2.60 bet365 Southern Methodist - Houston over 66.5 @ 2.60 bet365 Southern Methodist averages 253 passing yards and 115 rushing yards per game while Houston allows 289 passing yards and 179 rushing yards per game. Houston averages 350 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game while SMU allows 289 passing yards and 120 rushing yards per game. Neither defence is good and expect both teams to pass the ball quite a bit to expose the porous secondary's. Can see this being a high scoring game both prefer to pass the ball rather than running it. However Houston does have a more balanced offence, and though SMU will contribute to the scoring, doubt that they keep it close Oregon -13.5 @ 2.50 bet365 Under 61.5 @ 2.70 bet365 Oregon know how to move the ball well as they average 239 passing yards and 32 rushing yards per game. Though Arizona State are very good defensively, allowing just 144 passing yards and 129 rushing yards per game but they are up against one of the best offences in the country, and hard to see them scoring alot of points here, especially as they are fresh off a bye. On defence, Oregon has improved and allow 233 passing yards and 137 rushing yards per game, and they will have a tough test here as ASU averages 292 passing yards 188 rushing yards per game. Doubt that ASU can stop Oregon from scoring but like the Oregon defence to make a few stops here Record: 35-51 (-13.14) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Houston -10.5 @ 2.60 bet365 :( Southern Methodist - Houston over 66.5 @ 2.60 bet365 :) Oregon -13.5 @ 2.50 bet365 :) Under 61.5 @ 2.70 bet365 :( Did not look good at half time but when Oregon started resting their starters in the 3rd quarter and no points were scored, then the under was looking good. Two cheap TDs by Arizona State which included an INT return chanegd all that as they totaled 64 points in the game. Syracuse -6.5 @ 2.13 pinnacle Syracuse does well in passing the ball as they average 318 passing yards per game though their run game manages just 128 yards per game. They will face a tough test moving the ball on this Connecticut defence that allows just 162 passing yards and 99 rushing yards per game, but they did face another good defence in Rutgers where they managed 356 passing yards and 62 rushing yards against them in the 23-15 road loss to them, and Rutgers returned a TD from a blocked field goal. This Syracuse defence is not bad and allowed just 152 passing yards and 85 rushing yards to Rutgers. Connecticut have had their own problems moving the ball as they average 220 passing yards and 100 rushing yards per game and are up against a Rutgers defence that allows 199 passing yards and 136 rushing yards per game. Conneticut lost 19-3 at Rutgers, allowing 157 passing yards and 123 rushing yards while gaining just 191 passing yards and 53 rushing yards. Syracuse has the advantage at QB and believe that Nassib will do enough to get the team in scoring position to put points on the board. Record: 37-53 (-12.04) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted October 20, 2012 Author Share Posted October 20, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks BYU +12.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Arizona -7.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes LSU -3 (-127) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes South Carolina +3.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes WVU -2.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Syracuse -6.5 @ 2.13 :) Clemson -8.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle Clemson has a very good offence that has averaged 325 passing yards and 201 rushing yards per game. They are up against a Virginia Tech defence that allows 210 passing yards ands 172 rushing yards per game. On defence, Clemson allows 243 passing yards and 203 rushing yards per game while VTech averages 247 passing yards and 151 rushing yards per game. Clemson has managed to score at least 37 points against the likes of Florida State, Boston College and Virginia Tech, as they had 290 passing yards and 136 rushing yards in the 49-37 loss at Florida State while allowing 380 passing yards and 287 rushing yards. That is their one common opponent as VTech were beaten 51-0 on the road at Florida State, and they managed just 83 passing yards and 43 rushing yards while allowing 227 passing yards and 385 rushing yards in that game. Clemson has a very good balanced offence to manage 500+ total yards in this game, and though they will concede, doubt that Vtech can keep up with them Ohio State -18.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Ohio State's offence averages 189 passing yards and 264 rushing yards per game as they have managed to score 115 points in their last two games, and with Purdue allowing 213 passing yards and 199 rushing yards per game, they should be able to pile on the points as the away side has allowed 38+ points in its last three games. Purdue allowed 178 passing yards and 467 rushing yards in the 38-14 home loss to Wisconsin last week and allowed 105 passing yards and 305 rushing yards in the 44-13 home loss to Michigan. They cannot stop the run and expect Ohio State to run all over them. Ohio State's defence has given up yards and points through the air, but Purdue have not beeing able to get much on offence, with just 27 points in both of these games, and like Ohio State's defence is be much better here Wisconsin -17.5 @ 2.11 pinnacle Expect Wisconsin to pound the ball on the ground as they average 181 rushing yards per game and Minnesota has allowed Northwestern to rush for 208 yards in the 21-13 home loss to them and Iowa had 182 rushing yards in the 31-13 road loss to them. Wisconsin have become much better on both sides of the ball after their poor start to the season as they have allowed jsut 14 points in their last two wins over Purdue and Illinois Record: 38-53 (-10.91) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Clemson -8.5 @ 2.06 Ohio State -18.5 @ 2.00 Wisconsin -17.5 @ 2.11 Stanford -2.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Stanford average 213 passing yards and 153 rushing yards per game and should be able to move the ball as California allows 270 passing yards and 148 rushing yards per game. While California should have some success passing the ball as they average 222 passing yards and Stanford allows 280 passing yards per game, Stanford has a very good rush defence that allows just 89 yards per game. Stanford beat USC 21-14 at home as they had 215 passing yards and 202 rushing yards while they allowed 254 passing yards and just 26 rushing yards in the win. California lost 27-9 to USC on the road as they allowed 192 passing yards and 296 rushing yards while they gained just 173 passing yards and 77 rushing yards themselves. Stanford unlucky to miss out to Notrew Dame last week but like them to make up for it here Louisville -6.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Louisville average 242 passing yards and 167 rushing yards per game and should do well on offence against South Florida that allows 28 points per game on 217 passing yards and 174 rushing yards per game. On defence, Louisville allows 21 points per game on 217 passing yards and 114 rushing yards per game while SF averages 254 passing yards and 148 rushing yards per game. They will like their chances of forcing some turnovers as SF have been guilty of doing so while in possession. Louisville look to extend their 6-0 record and they did beat them 34-24 last year on the road Boise State -28.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Boise State averages 208 passing yards and 163 rushing yards per game and should do well on offence as UNLV allows 36 points per game on 263 passing yards and 215 rushing yards per game. They allowed Nevada to pass for 167 yards and 329 rushing yards in the 42-37 loss to them last week, and this Boise State offence is capable of putting up similar numbers here. UNLV averages 253 passing yards and 161 rushing yards per game and had 243 passing yards and 193 rushing yards against Nevada but they face a pretty good Boise State defence that allows just 173 passing yards and 161 rushing yards per game and has created turnovers that keep them in the game. Notre Dame -13.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle Notre Dame averages 207 passing yards and 187 rushing yards per game while BYU allows 193 passing yards and 68 rushing yards per game. They did allow Oregon State to pass for 332 yards and rush for 118 yards in the 42-24 home loss to them last week, and will have problems with this balanced ND offence if it continues to play like that. On defence, ND allows just 9 points per game on 174 passing yards and 114 rushing yards per game and BYU averages 223 passing yards and 174 rushing yards per game. ND look too good on both sides of the ball and have played much better teams that what BYU has faced, so like them to win this one Record: 38-53 (-10.91) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Gators (-6.5) 3pts @ 2.20 Bet365 The Gamecocks saw their unbeaten run come to an end against LSU last week, as the LSU front seven really dominated their opponents. Lattimore, so prolific this season, was held to just 35 yards on 13 carries. Reports suggest Lattimore will not start tonight due to injury, with Kenny Miles getting the start. Whatever, the Gator Front 7 is arguably more formidable than LSU's, so Shaw's going to have the air the ball more again this week than is usually the case. He threw just his 3rd multi-INT game in 24 starts for the Gamecocks last week, and another could well be on the cards tonight. The Gators aren't exactly explosive on the offense, but they are ranked #2 in the initial BCS poll, and will look to run on the Gamecocks, especially with Quarles suspended on the visitor's Defense. QB Driskel ran for 177 yards (the most by a Gator QB) and 3 TDs last week at Vanderbilt, and I think he and Gillislee will have success on the ground, and maintain their unbeaten start by something in the region of 27-14 Crimson Tide (-23.5) 2pts @ 2.25 Bet365 The Vols are giving up 43pts a game on average against ranked opponents this season, and just 20pts in other games. With Alabama averaging over 40 themselves, I'm very much envisaging the Tide to be able to put upwards of 40 on Tennessee. The Tide's D, meanwhile, is even stingier than last season when they won the BCS title giving up an average of just 8.2pts a game - they're giving up just 7.5 so far this season. The Vols have a good offense, but they're going to struggle to put up enough points on this Tide D to keep things interesting. I'm thinking a Bama win something in the region of 45-16 Hoosiers (-4.5) 2pts @ 2.90 Bet365 Indiana aren't going to do any damage in the Big10 this season, they've already started 0-3, albeit the losses to Mich St and #8 Ohio St were close, 1 score games. These are the matches they really need to pick up to ensure the best possible W total come the end of the season. The Midshipmen have won their last couple, but have struggled offensively whenever they come up against a half decent team - indeed it's 1979 since their last win v a Big10 team. Indiana won't lose if they put up 49pts this week like they did last, and while I don't think they'll quite hit that tally, I see this as a Hoosier win in the region of 34-24 2012 record: 5-7 (-0.30) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Clemson -8.5 @ 2.06 :) Ohio State -18.5 @ 2.00 :( Wisconsin -17.5 @ 2.11 :) Stanford -2.5 @ 1.99 :) Louisville -6.5 @ 2.07 :( Give up 21-10 lead in the 4th quarter as they allow 2 TDs. Boise State -28.5 @ 2.03 :(Lead 32-0 and allow a fumble return for TD to win by only 25 Notre Dame -13.5 @ 2.05 :( Record: 38-53 (-11.75) Georgia -27.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Kentucky has quite a few injuries and ae going to find it very tough against a Georgia side that is rested after coming off a bye abd looking for some redemption after being smashed by South Carolina prior to the bye. Georgia has a balanced offence that averages 258 passing yards and 227 rushing yards and with a Kentucky defence that allows 232 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game, they should be able to score on them like Arkansas did, who had 372 passing yards and 161 rushing yards in the rain-shortened 49-7 win over them. On defence, Georgia allows 212 passing yards and 162 rushing yards per game and like them to be too quick for this Kentucky offence that gains just 200 passing yards and 107 rushing yards per game, and had just 104 passing yards and 66 rushing yards against Arkansas Alabama -20.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Alabama averages 206 passing yards and 216 rushing yards per game and their balanced offence should have no problems carving up this Tennessee defence that allows 251 passing yards and 179 rushing yards per game. Alabama's defence that has allowed 9 points per game and given up 126 passing yards and 55 rushing yards per game. Though Tennessee can move the ball, they have not faced a defence like this and doubt that they do much. The closest team that Tennessee has faced that resembles Alabama is Florida who managed 219 passing yards and 336 rushing yards in the 37-20 home loss to them, and Tennessee managed 257 passing yards and 83 rushing yards in that game. Alabama's defence will not allow those kind of figures Oklahoma -34.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Oklahoma's balanced offence averages 285 passing yards and 221 rushing yards per game, as they have scored a and should have no problems scoring on a defence that allows 231 passing yards and 2-1 rushing yards per game. On defence, Oklahoma allows 171 passing yards and 129 rushing yards per game and should be able to contain this Kansas offence that passes for 198 yards and rushes for 179 yards. Oklahoma had 334 passing yards and 343 rushing yards in the 63-21 win over Texas last week while allowing just 215 passing yards and 74 rushing yards. Hard to see Kansas staying close here and Oklahoma should have too much on both sides of the ball for them Kansas State @ 2.26 pinnacle Like Kansas State to do what Texas Tech did last week to West Virginia as they will look to run the ball, where they average 249 yards per game and give their defence time to rest and then get prepared to defence West Virginia's passing game. West Virginia allows 345 passing yards per game so Kansas State should have opportunities to move the ball through the air as well. On defence, Kansas State have not allowed more than 21 points in their games, and have allowed just 116 rushing yards per game, so they will likely drop their safety's back for extra protection as WVU does not have much of a run game. Like Kansas State, with the better defence, and more balanced offence to edge this Florida State -20.5 @ 1.95 pinnacle Florida State bounced back from their loss to North Carolina State with a 51-7 demolition of Boston College. They average 297 passing yards and 233 rushing yards and like them to repeat the score as Miami allows 243 passing yards and 244 rushing yards per game. On defence, FSU allows just 147 passing yards and 75 rushing yards per game while Miami averages 297 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game. expect FSU to wear down this Miami defence while the speed of the FSU defence to put pressure on the Miami QB Morris and force him into mistakes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted October 21, 2012 Share Posted October 21, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Gators (-6.5) 3pts @ 2.20 Bet365 Hoosiers (-4.5) 2pts @ 2.90 Bet365 Gators got it done with ease. Their defense and special team bossed the first half, the their offense rolled out and dominated the second. The Hoosiers loss is a tough one to stomach - they were up and ahead of the line for the majority of the game, and were still 30-21 up with less than 6 mins to go. Held Navy to a FG from a 1st & goal scenario to keep the lead at 6, then went 3 and out on their next series, punted the ball back to the opp and allowed them to march downfield and score the game-winning TD + PAT!! 2012 record: 6-8 (+1.30) Crimson Tide (-23.5) 2pts @ 2.25 Bet365 ---------- Beavers (win by 13-18) 1pt @ 5.00 Bet365 Beavers (win by 19-24) 1pt @ 6.00 Bet365 Oregon St lost their QB, Sean Mannion, to a Week 4 injury, but 2nd-in-line, Junior, Cody Vaz stepped into the breach last weekend throwing for 332yds and 3 TDs in a road victory at BYU. The Beavers won that one 42-24, and given BYU gave Notre Dame an almighty scare earlier today, you'd have to favour the Beavers can roll to a comfortable victory over Utah. The Utes don't have a stand out for a QB, Travis Wilson has only thrown for 318 yds and a solitary TD, whilst the Beavers' DLine put plenty of pressure on oppo QBs, with 9 sacks and 9 INTs over their last 3 games. If the Utes turn to RB John White, who ran for over 200yds against the Beavers last season, then that should not make much more upside to their offense, given the Beavers rank 4th in stopping the run this season. Think the Utes struggle to move the chains in this one, allowing the Beavers to improve to 4-0 in Conference play with a cosy enough victory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 21, 2012 Share Posted October 21, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Georgia -27.5 @ 2.12 Alabama -20.5 @ 2.00 Oklahoma -34.5 @ 1.98 Kansas State @ 2.26 Florida State -20.5 @ 1.95 Washington +7.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Arizona averages 363 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game but they face a decent Washington defence that allows 173 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game. Washington averages 187 passing yards and 131 passing yards while Arizona allows 297 passing yards and 182 rushing yards per game. Arizona has the better offence while Washington has the better defence so whoever wins this battle will decide the outcome of this game. However like Washington to keep it close as they had 145 passing yards and 208 rushing yards while allowing 198 passing yards and 299 rushing yards in the 52-21 loss in Oregon while Arizona had 243 passing yards and 89 rusing yards while allowing 267 passing yards and 228 rushing yards in the 49-0 loss in Oregon. Against Stanford, Washington had 177 passing yards and 136 rushing yards as the defence did well, allowing 170 passing yards and just 65 rushing yards in the 17-13 home win over them while Arizona had 491 passing yards and 126 rushing yards while allowing 360 passing yards and 257 rushing yards in the 54-48 overtime loss at Stanford last week. Like Washington to do enough to keep it within a TD. Fresno State -17.5 @ 2.20 pinnacle Like Fresno State to bounce back after their loss to Boise State last week as their offence should have a much easier time of it against this Wyoming defence. They average 35 points per game on308 passing yards and 161 rushing yards per game and scored 69 points on Colorado and 52 points on San Diego State in their last two home games, while Wyoming allows 33 points per game on 229 passing yards and 228 rushing yards per game. Defensively, like Fresno State to hold them out as they allow 23 points per game on 178 passing yards and 160 rushing yards per game, while Wyoming averages 28 points on 252 passing yards and 146 rushing yards per game. Record: 38-53 (-11.75) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted October 21, 2012 Share Posted October 21, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Crimson Tide (-23.5) 2pts @ 2.25 Bet365 ---------- Beavers (win by 13-18) 1pt @ 5.00 Bet365 Beavers (win by 19-24) 1pt @ 6.00 Bet365 2012 record: 8-9 (+6.80) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted October 21, 2012 Share Posted October 21, 2012 Re: NCAAF - Week Eight Picks Georgia -27.5 @ 2.12 :( Alabama -20.5 @ 2.00 :D Oklahoma -34.5 @ 1.98 :D Kansas State @ 2.26 :D Florida State -20.5 @ 1.95 :( Washington +7.5 @ 2.04 :( Fresno State -17.5 @ 2.20 :D Record: 42-56 (-10.31) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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