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MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

AGurv

By AGurv
in MLB & Baseball Predictions

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AGurv

AGurv

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MLB Overall 2012 100-107 -13.79 units (48.30%) It's been a really ****ty year but I'm gonna give it a rip in the playoffs and see how i do. Rangers -1.5 (+110) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes The Orioles are some kind of anomaly but congrats to them they made it, I think they got the worst matchup they could possibly get. Rangers are in a free fall but this is the best team to cure it, they completely own the Orioles. Theres only been one 1 run game in the last 2 years between the teams, so I feel good on the RL. Cardinals +154 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

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blackcrow

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Tuesday 9th October Cincinnati -1.5 @ 2.48 pinnacle Cincinnati -2.5 @ 3.24 pinnacle Like Bailey to do well here as he faces a SF side that is struggling to score in the playoffs, having scored just 2 runs in the their two home games against the Reds. He has gone 3-1 with a 1.85 ERA in his last five starts and like him to continue this very good form. He should get some run support as Cinncinnati has scored 14 runs in winning the first two games of this series. These two pitchers faced off in April this year at Cincinnati where they won 6-5 as Bailey allowed 3 runs off 7 hits while Vogelsong allowed 4 runs off 7 hits but Bailey missed out on the win because the closer allowed a 3 run homer to lose the game for them. Doubt that this happens again and like the Reds to sweep SF here Oakland -1.5 @ 2.55 pinnacle Oakland -2.5 @ 3.32 pinnacle Anderson starts for Oakland and ahs pitched well when he came back from injury, and is looking to do the same as he is fresh from another injury. The rest should do him good and like him to keep Oakland alive in the playoffs, as Detroit have had their problems with left handed pitching on the road. As for their offence, they were hitting the ball really well in the second half of the season and at home, like them to continue that kind of scoring, even though they have not done well in Detroit. Sanchez has pitched well for them but he did allow 6 runs on 6 hits in the 12-4 loss to Oakland last month, so they have seen him before and like them to score off him again

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blackcrow

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Wednesday 10th October St Louis @ 2.06 pinnacle Carpenter has had three starts after coming off an injury and has allowed seven runs in these starts, Hiis playoff record is very good as he has gone 9-2 with a 3.05 ERA and like him to contain Washington here. Jackson has gone 10-11 with a 4.03 ERA and has a 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA record in the playoffs. he faced the Cardinals last month as he allowed 8 runs on 9 hits in the 12-2 loss to them. St Louis is hitting the ball pretty well and like them to score a few runs here

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blackcrow

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

Wednesday 10th October St Louis @ 2.06 :D
Baltimore -1.5 @ 3.42 pinnacle Gonzalez won his last 3 starts to end the season and like him to maintain that form here, as he has also had some success against NY, beating them twice. Kuroda also did well at the end of the regular season, winning 4 of his last 5 starts, as well as going 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA in two starts against Baltimore. In his last start against them, he allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in the 6-1 home loss to them on August 31, where he opposed Gonzalez, who pitched 7 shut out innings for just 4 hits. Baltimore won 6 of the 9 game played in NY during the regular season, so going there holds no fear for them Oakland -1.5 @ 2.88 pinnacle Griffin went 7-1 with a 3.06 ERA with the only loss coming against Detroit last month as he allowed 5 runs on 8 hits. Like him to bounce back from that as Oakland looks to stay alive in the playoffs. They have won 7 of his last 8 home starts and they have been hitting very well at home in the second half of the season and like them to get to Scherzer. Scherzer went 16-7 with a 3.74 ERA but has had problems with his shoulder and not confident that he is 100% for this.
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Thursday 11th October Cincinnati -1.5 @ 2.79 pinnacle Latos came on to relieve Cueto in Game 1 and allowed 1 run on 4 hits in 4 innings in the 5-2 road win over them. He has had success against San Francisco, posting a low 2.19 ERA against them in 11 starts. This year, he has beaten them twice, allowing just 4 hits in the 9-2 home win over them in April and then allowing 1 run on 2 hits in 9 innings in the 2-1 road win over them in June. Cain on the other hand, has struggled against Cincinnati this year, as he allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in the loss to them in Game 1. Also he allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in the 9-2 road loss to them in April and he allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in the 5-1 home loss to them in June. In each of these three games against the Reds he allowed 2 HRs so liking them to hit him hard once again St Louis -1.5 @ 2.50 pinnacle Lohse allowed 2 runs on 6 hits in the 6-3 wild card game win Atlanta last Friday and though he allowed 8 runs on 9 hits in the 10-9 road win over them last month and followed that up with 4 run on 8 hits in the 6-4 home loss to them, like him to come into this game much more confident after his good start over Atlanta. Opposing him is Detwiler and he too has been hit allowing 12 run in his last two starts which included allowing 7 runs on 4 hits and 5 balls in the 10-4 road loss to them. Neither pitcher has been doing that well but like the Cardinals bats to be the difference as they have been hitting the ball well, and have outscored the Nationals 22-7 so far in this series Baltimore @ 2.40 pinnacle Saunders allowed 1 run on 6 hits in the 5-1 in the wild card game win over Texas and now faces the Yankees once again, where he allowed 2 runs on 5 hits in the 5-4 home win over them last month. Like him to better Hughes who has gone 2-2 with a 4.76 ERA in four starts against Baltimore this year: allowing 4 runs on 4 hits in the 7-1 home loss to them in May, allowing 1 run on 9 hits in the 12-3 home win over them in August; allowing 5 runs on 8 hits in the 8-3 home loss to them last month and allowing 3 runs on 6 hits in the 8-5 road win over them. Baltimore has scored 5 HRs of the 35 HRs he has given up this year, and trust the Orioles bullpen much more than the Yankees one Oakland @ 2.31 pinnacle Parker allowed 3 runs on 7 hits in the 3-1 road loss to Detroit in Game 1 and he also allowed 2 runs on 6 hits in the 3-1 home loss to them in May this year. He has allowed just 14 runs in his last 7 starts with Oakland winning 4 of them as long as they give him at least 3 runs of support. Like him to pitch well at home where he has a 2.61 ERA compared to a 4.54 ERA on the road. Parker is opposite Verlander once again, who allowed 1 run on 3 hits in Game 1. He has won his other two starts against Oakland this year but like the A's to build on their momentum from winning last night as they have been clutch performers in the second half of the season

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Samba_SamPa

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Reds (-1.5) 1.5pt @ 2.80 Pinnacle Matt Cain maybe the Giants' 'ace', but he's struggled against the Reds this season, posting a 0-3 record, including losing game 1 of this series, with an ERA of 5.50. Jay Bruce lamped him for a homer last Saturday, and is 8/15 against him this season with 4 XBHs and 4 BBs; Brandon Phillips is seeing the ball well so far in post-season and he also homered against Cain last week; Ludwick has homered 3 times in 24 ABs against Cain. Mat Latos takes to the mound for the Reds, and he can see them to their first ever home post-season win in Great American. He relieved Johnny Cueto when he got injured in Game 1 and threw 4 solid innings, and reappears in his scheduled slot this afternoon off a normal rest. Latos has a stellar 2.19 ERA in 11 starts against the Giants, and though the majority of those were in a Padres uniform, he did throw 7 scoreless innings in a 9-2 win over them this season when opposing Cain. Nationals (-1.5) 2pts @ 3.10 Bet365 This looks a big price for the Nationals to win by 2+ at home. Admittedly they haven't got going in this series yet, but a win tonight and they're 2-2 with every chance of eliminating the WS holders. That they face Kyle Lohse can only be a boon to their hopes - Lohse faced the Nats twice in September and yielded an ERA of almost 7. Harper and Zimmerman were both 3/6 against him, whilst LaRoche was 3/5 with a homer. 2012 record: 86-111 (+45.795)

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Samba_SamPa

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

Reds (-1.5) 1.5pt @ 2.80 Pinnacle Nationals (-1.5) 2pts @ 3.10 Bet365
Frustrating couple of games. Cinci had more than enough opportunities, stranding 2+ baserunners in the 5th, 6th, 8th and 9th innings from memory - definitely 4 of the last 5 innings anyway. Then the Nationals winning, but the winning homer in the 9th coming with nobody on a base - still prefer the 21/10 for -1.5 than the 20/23 for the m/l win. 2012 record: 86-113 (+42.295)
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blackcrow

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Friday 12th October NY Yankees - Baltimore over 8.5 @ 2.45 pinnacle Sabathia allowed 2 runs on 8 hits in Game 1 of this series as the Yankees won 7-2 where he threw 120 pitches in that game, and he may lose some of his speed. Baltimore hit him for at least 4 runs in three regular season games before CC pitched really well in Game 1. Hammel allowed 2 runs on 7 hits in Game 1 opposite Sabathia and believe the Yanks come out and hit him hard. But he has also had 19 runs scored for him in his last two regular season starts so the Orioles did give him run support, and in a vital game here, like them to score for him again Washington - St Louis over 7.5 @ 2.45 bet365 Gonzalex allowed 2 runs on 1 hit despite also walking seven in the 3-2 win over St Louis in game 1. he has a good home record as he has not allowed a run in his last threee home starts which includes a complete game shutout of St Louis, as he allowed 5 hits in the 10-0 win over them. He has gotten some good run support with at least 4 runs in 15 of his last 19 starts, which includes 10 of his last 12 home starts. Wainwright allowed 1 run on 6 hits in Game 1 and also allowed just 2 runs in the 12-2 win over them at home in September, but in his only start in Washington, he allowed 6 runs on 9 hits, once again opposite Gonzalez. The Cardinals have scored 5+ runs in 4 of his last 5 road starts so like them to also score for him here

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Samba_SamPa

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Tigers (-1.5) 2.295pts @ 2.95 Bet365 About time I got rid of that .005 lol... anyhoo, I think Detroit are overpriced to get a win in the Bronx tonight against Pettitte. The Tigers knocked off the Yankees when it mattered last season, in the ALDS - winning the deciding game at Yankee Stadium, when they had none other than Doug Fister pitching, as they do today. Fister ceded just 1 run over 5 strong innings then, and he will face a somewhat out of sorts Yankees batting lineup this time around. A-Rod figures to likely be left out for the 2nd game in succession, with a RHP on the mound for the oppo, but it's just the highest salary in baseball that is struggling this post-season for the Yankees - Robi Cano is 2-22, Swisher is 2-18, whilst Granderson had a 2-hit game yesterday to up his stat to still just 3-19. Detroit can get to Pettitte with the likes of Prince Fielder, triple crown'er Miggy Cabrera and Delmon Young, and put the pressure right on Kuroda for tomorrow ahead of a 3-game stretch in Detroit. 2012 record: 86-113 (+42.295)

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

Friday 12th October NY Yankees - Baltimore over 8.5 @ 2.45 :( Washington - St Louis over 7.5 @ 2.45 :)
Monday 15th October St Louis @ 2.05 pinnacle Carpenter pitched well in Washington last week in allowing just 7 hits without allowing a run in the 8-0 win ove them. He tends to excel in the playoffs, with a 10-2 record and in San Francisco, he has gone 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA against them. Vogelsong allowed 1 run in the 2-1 win over Cincinnati last week, and though he allowed 3 hits in the 15-0 win over St Louis in August this year, he had gone 0-4 with a 9.00 ERA in five other starts. With the SF bats not hitting that well, and St Louis having the better pitcher on the mound, like them to add to the 8-3 record in road games in National League playoff games in the last two years
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Cardinals (-2.5) 1.77pts @ 4.10 Bet365 Like the pitching match-up here with the Cards fielding post-season ace Chris Carpenter against the Giants' Ryan Vogelsong. Carpenter accounted for 17 outs against the Reds in Game 3 without giving up any runs, that outing took his post-season ERA down to 2.88 and his record to 10-2 in 16 starts. Carpenter has a 4-1 record v the Giants in 8 starts, and has won both of his previous starts at AT&T. Combine Carpenter's stellar record with the Giants distinct lack of offense so far at home in this year's playoffs - they're batting .165 - then factor in Vogelsong's 9.00 ERA in 5 starts, prior to a 15-0 blowout Giants win this season, against the Cardinals and I arrive at a pretty healthy victory that enables the visitors to replicate what Detroit have done over in the AL and take a 2-0 lead home for their 3-game homestand. 2012 record: 87-113 (+46.77)

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

Monday 15th October St Louis @ 2.05 :(
Tuesday 16th October Detroit -1.5 @ 2.20 bet365 Detroit -2.5 @ 3.15 bet365 Detroit -3.5 @ 4.50 bet365 Yankees are not hitting for them to be backed with confidence and it does not look much better here as the Detroit pitchers are doing well for them. Verlander is off a complete game as he allowed just 4 hits in the win over Oakland. In August he allowed 2 runs on 9 hits in 8 innings as Detroit won 7-2 at home. Hughes allowed 1 run on 4 hits in the 2-1 loss to Baltimore last week and in his last start against Detroit in August, he allowed 4 runs off 8 hits in the 6-5 road loss to them and has lost 3 of his last 9 road starts, allowing 4 runs or more in 5 of these road starts. Going with the better pitcher while the lineup for Detroit is hitting but the same cannot be said for the Yankees
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

Cardinals (-2.5) 1.77pts @ 4.10 Bet365
2012 record: 87-114 (+45.00) Yankees (m/l) 2pts @ 2.66 Bet365 Yankees (-2.5) 1pt @ 5.50 Bet365 The Yankees are mired in a batting slump right now - Cano, Grandy, ARod and Swisher are hitting a combined .117 during the post-season. Girardi has swung the axe for tonight, once again on ARod with Swisher also hitting the dugout for the game, as he looks to find a formula that helps the Yankees out of a 0-2 hole. However they do have the talent to break out on any given day, they were ranked 2nd on runs and obp during the regular season, and ranked 1st on slugging pct, plus they have had success against Verlander this season, with a 5-1 win in Detroit, like tonight, with Hughes opposing Verlander on the mound, like tonight. I like the price available for the Yankees to halve the deficit to 1-2 tonight. The price is based on the Yankees' batters' current form, and I am putting my money with the Yankees' batters' potential form at a price that's a few ticks too big imo. I'd have Yankees 6/5, maybe 5/4 at most, so 13/8 looks good
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

Yankees (m/l) 2pts @ 2.66 Bet365 Yankees (-2.5) 1pt @ 5.50 Bet365
Despite Verlander's very best work, throwing 8 innings of no-run ball before Nunez's lead off homer in the ninth, the Yankees still nearly pulled the game out of the bag against closer Coke. With 2 runners on and Ibanez 3-1 up on the count, the Yankees just couldn't deliver the kind of blow he dealt on a pair of occasions to the A's in the ALDS 2012 record: 87-116 (+42.00)
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 St Louis - San Francisco over 7.5 @ 2.31 Add: Detroit - NY Yankees over 7.5 @ 2.43 pinnacle Detroit's Scherzer looks to put the Tigers into the World Series with a win here and looks good to do so as they have won 9 of his last 12 starts and they have given him some run support with at least 4 runs in 9 of these 12 games. In his last start against the Yankees, which was the only one this year, he allowed 3 runs on 7 hits in the 6-2 road loss to them back in April. Sabathia needs to pitch well to keep the Yankees alive in the series and he pitched well in his last two starts against Baltimore. He did not pitch as well in his last two starts against detroit which were both on the road, allowing 3 runs on 8 hits in the 12-8 win over them in August, and allowing 3 runs on 8 hits in the 9-4 win over them in June, with the bats coming in to help him get the wins in these games. They have given him some good run support with at least 4 runs in 16 of his last 21 starts, and they will need to fire up here, as if they continue their poor post-season form, then the Yankees are gone

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Yankees @ Tigers - Under 5.5 runs - 2.5pts @ 2.50 Bet365 Yankees to win 2-1 - 0.25pts @ 36.00 Hills 1-1 draw after 9 innings - 0.25pts @ 41.00 Bet365 CC Sabathia was 3 for 3 against the Tigers during the regular season, though he did average nigh on 9 runs of support per game on average - the chances of him receiving support like that appear to be negligible. As I said for yesterday's tip - the Yankees do have the potential to break out at any point, but at which point do you draw the line? They are batting just .158 in this series so far. They're without their figurehead, Jeter, and Rodriguez remains out of the lineup. Swisher returns to the lineup tonight, but at the expense of Granderson. Sabathia has played like the ace he is during the post-season so far, just 1 out short of 2 complete games, both wins, with an ERA of 1.53. Should he continue that form tonight, and there's no reason to doubt he will, then the chance of a decent amount of runs would be very slim indeed.

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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Price change for

Yankees @ Tigers - Under 5.5 runs - 2.5pts @ 2.45 Bet365 Yankees to win 2-1 - 0.25pts @ 36.00 Hills 1-1 draw after 9 innings - 0.25pts @ 41.00 Hills CC Sabathia was 3 for 3 against the Tigers during the regular season, though he did average nigh on 9 runs of support per game on average - the chances of him receiving support like that appear to be negligible. As I said for yesterday's tip - the Yankees do have the potential to break out at any point, but at which point do you draw the line? They are batting just .158 in this series so far. They're without their figurehead, Jeter, and Rodriguez remains out of the lineup. Swisher returns to the lineup tonight, but at the expense of Granderson. Sabathia has played like the ace he is during the post-season so far, just 1 out short of 2 complete games, both wins, with an ERA of 1.53. Should he continue that form tonight, and there's no reason to doubt he will, then the chance of a decent amount of runs would be very slim indeed.
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012

St Louis - San Francisco over 7.5 @ 2.31 :( Add: Detroit - NY Yankees over 7.5 @ 2.43 :( Game postponed. Should have played it the next day but didn't
Friday 19th October St Louis -1.5 @ 2.38 pinnacle St Louis -2.5 @ 3.13 pinnacle St Louis leads 3-1 in the series and a win here takes them to the World Series. Lynn starts for St Louis as he is coming off allowing 4 runs in 5 hits in the 6-4 road win last Sunday over San Francisco but like him to do better here as he has gone 8-3 with a 3.33 ERA in his 12 home during the season, and usually he gets some run support as he has gone 10-0 when he has received at least 5 runs of run support, and like the Cardinals bats to get to Zito here. He has gone 2-6 with a 4.89 ERA in 9 starts against St Louis ad doubt he gets much run support as they have score just 4 runs in their last two games in St Louis. Believe St Louis will do what they have to get through this game so they can move onto the World Series with Detroit
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Re: MLB: Playoff Picks 2012 Giants (m/l) 2.5pts @ 2.50 Ladbrokes Giants (-3.5) 0.5pts @ 6.75 Bet365 Very short reasoning guys sorry - my little girl's not well tonight so sitting with her watching Jake and the Neverland Pirates at almost 1am :p Zito went less than 3 innings against the Reds but only ceded 2 ERs so wasn't fatal, and he won his last 7 reg season games. He has the ability, former Cy Young winner, and this is a must-win for the Giants - I fancy Zito to have a quality game tonight. The Giants' bats can get to Lynn - they knocked him for 4 ERs in 11 outs earlier in the series, and I think with it all on the line tonight, they can rise to the occasion and take this to at least a 6th game. Plus the Cards don't like to do things the easy way lol 2012 record: 87-119 (+39.00)

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