NCAAF: Week Three Picks

[AGurv]

College Football 2012-2013 Overall 6W -7L -1.70 units 46.15% Not a good week last week...hopefully i can bounce back Maryland +2.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes USC -9 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks Tennessee -3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Notre Dame +6 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks South Florida -7.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle South Florida came from behind to beat Nevada 32-32 last week as QB Daniels threw for 363 yards and 3 TDs and ran for another 53 yards. Like them to do well as they have a good offence that can run the ball as well, while they have some good protection up front from 3 returning OL. Rutger's defence was good last year, and so far, it has maintained that very good form. They have 3 LBs and 2 more in the secondary who have returned and will keep SF honest but not sure that they can hold out Daniels as they are thin up front, where they did not get enough sacks last year from this unit. SF's defence had problems with Nevada's pistol offence, and they were down 21-6 after the first quarter but once they got a good read on it, they were able to allow just 10 points in the next three quarters. Rutger's offence has two returning OL to protect an inexperienced QB up against a good SF defence that returns 2 DL, 3 LBs and and two more in the secondary. Doubt that they can stop the SF pass rush and expect them to get to Rutger's QB. Expect Rutger's defence to do well but so will South Florida's defence, but with Rutger's unable to move the ball, then believe that SF will eventually be bale to move the ball on them as the defence begins to tire Record: 9-14 (-4.80)

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks FAU +41.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks

South Florida -7.5 @ 1.98 :eyes Too many interceptions especially when the ball bounces off their hands into the defences hands

Washington State -9.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Coach Leach has tried to put into place his focus on airing the ball and though he is without regualr QB Tuel, his replacement should still be able to gind a very talented WR in Wilson. They will look to get their running game that was poor last year and is not much better this year, but with 3 returning starters on the OL, they should get time to implement their passing as well as running game here. UNLV's defence have 2 DL, 2 LB and just one more in the secondary returning and given that Washington State likes to air the ball, then like them to expose the inexperience there with Wilson. Though UNLV get back 5 returning starters on the OL, they struggled last year to move the ball in the air, while on the ground they were OK. They are up against a good secondary which will force them to run the ball as doubt that they get much through the air. Up until now, they have not shown enough to suggest that they will even trouble them on the ground. On defence Washington State they are inexperienced at LB but should be much stronger in the secondary with 4 returning starters there, to go with the two up front, like them to contain this UNLV offence. Record: 9-15 (-5.80)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks

Washington State -9.5 @ 2.03 :eyes gave up a late TD to win by only 8

Florida State -27.5 @ 1.95 pinnacle With QB Manuel back, as well as RB Freeman, several WRs and 4 along the OL, FSU look very good here to score some points on a Wake Forest defence that though they returned 2 DL, 3 LBs and 2 more in the secondary, they do give up points, as they allowed North Carolina to pass for 271 yards and run for another 157 yards in the 28-27 win over them. This FSU offence is much better and can see them posting better numbers here. On defence, FSU look very good up front with 4 DL back and their pass rush with Jenkins and Werner is a standout. With 2 more LBs and another 3 in the seoncdary, their defence is loaded with talent and experience, and should well here to contain Wake Forest. WF have QB Price back and WR Campanero and just one on the OL, so expect FSU to get to the QB quite regularly as they do not have much of a run game. They had 362 passing yards and 64 rushing yards in the win over North Carolina, and expect FSU to take away the pass which means the running game will be stuffed too Ohio State -17.5 @ 2.11 pinnacle Ohio State will look to QB Miller to lead their offence once again and with RB Hyde out, expect him to run the ball more here, especially with the average run defence that California has. The yhave just 1 DL and 2 LBs who returned this year and they were exposed by Nevada in the 31-24 loss to them, as they allowed 230 passing yards and 220 rushing yards in that game, and can see Miller and co having even better numbers than that here. On defence, Ohio State is loaded with talent and experience, with 4 DL, 2 LBs and 4 more in the secondary, do not like the chances of California's offence to do much here. Their QB Maynard is wayward, and their only key player, WR Allen, expect him to have a couple of defenders to cover him and negate this threat. They had 255 passing yards and 110 rushing yards against Nevada but expect this Ohio State defence to shut them down. Long road trip for California, going from the west coast to the east, and playing at an earlier time, it will disrupt their rhythm, as will this Ohio State defence Virginia Tech -10.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Virginia Tech will rely on QB Thomas to get them moving the ball, but given the Pittsburgh defence allowed Cincinnati QB Legaux to pass for 205 yards and run for another 117 yards (of the 259 rushing yards) in the 34-10 loss to them, then like Thomas, who can pass and run the ball to have a similar outing here. Pittsburgh have only 4 starters who returned on defence and that showed in that loss, and can see them having more problems containing Vtech heree. VTech's defence returns 7 starters and they were very good last year, especially against the run, and like them to do well here yet again. Pittsburgh's QB Sunseri was erratic while RB Graham tried for his 103 yards to get his team going but they were outclassed. VTech's defence will put plenty of pressure on them and like them to get to Sunseri. VTech look much better on both sides of the ball her TCU -20.5 @ 1.90 pinnacle TCU have QB Pachall to link up with WR Boyce as well as several good RBs to move the chains for this offence. Kansas' defence allowed 44 points per game based on 278 passing yards and 239 rushing yards per game and with 6 starters back from last year, then can see them giving more yards and points here, as they allowed 236 passing yards and 167 rusing yards in the 25-24 loss to Rice. TCU is much better on offence and like them to get even better numbers here. On defence, TCU was solid last year, and with 5 returning starters they look to be solid against the run yet again. Kansas is pretty thin on offence with no recognised talents in the skill positions while they have only 3 OL who have returned. They had 144 passing yards and 195 rushing yards against Rice and doubt that they get similar numbers here, especially in the run game against this very good TCU defence. Arkansas - Alabama under 51.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle Arkansas will have a tough time for the home clash with the top ranked Alabama side as they are without their QB Wilson, and hard to see them doing much with the ball as they will look to run it more with RB Davis but he has a very good rush defence to get through. They only allowed 200 passing yards and 69 rushing yards to Michigan while Arkansas had 281 passing yards and 96 rushing yards in the loss to Lousiana Monroe. Arkansas gets 6 starters back on defence, with two each on the DL, as LBs and in the secondary so there is some experience to hold off an Alabama offence that has been clicking. They strolled through beating Western Kentucky last week, winning 35-0 and disposed of Michigan 41-14 as they had 199 passing yards and 232 rushing yards in that game. Expect them to establish the run here and wear down this Arkansas side, but had to see them blowing them out, as they will look to take a comfortable lead and then go through the motions liek they did last week. Like them to win well but stay below the total Boise State -21.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Boise State is back on their home turf after their spirited performance in going down to Michigan State 17-13 in the opening week. They have lost most of their offence and defence from last year but showed in this game that they have found capable replacements that will make them competitive this year. They had only 169 passing yards and 37 rushing yards in that game but expect them to be more productive here as Miami's defence is nowhere as good. Miami allowed Ohio State to pass for 244 yards and run for 294 yards, and though this Boise State offence is rebuilding, and doubt they get the same numbers here, they can still do very well on this porous defence. On defence, Boise State allowed 248 passing yards and 213 rushing yards to Michigane State but they managed 4 turnovers in that game and with 3 returning starters in the secondary, they should be able to pick up the Miami WRs. Miami prefer to pass the ball rather than running it, with QB Dysert connecting with several WRs who have returned this year, as well as 4 OL. However they lack a RB which makes them one-dimensional here, and they managed 313 passing yards while they were -1 in rushing yards in the 54-10 loss to Ohio State. Also Miami allowed 47 sacks last year, so like them to get to Dysert here. Tennessee -3.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Tennessee's offence looks very good this year with QB Bray, and WRs Hunter and Rodgers protected by 4 returning OL and this was evident in the 35-21 road win over North Carolina State as they passed for 333 yards and ran for another 191 yards. Florida's defence will test them as they have 7 returning starters as they allowed 200 passing yards and 134 rushing yards in the 20-17 road win over Texas A&M. However they have injuries to LBs Jenkins and Powell who are both out as is CB Riggs. Like Tennessee to take advantage of this. On defence, Tennessee returns 7 starters that was one of the better pass defence sides last year. They allowed 288 passing yards and 119 rushing yards to North Carolina State and like them to do well against Florida who had just 165 passing yards and 142 rushing yards in the win over TAM, but allowed QB Driskel to get sacked 8 times. Tennessee look like they have the edge on both sides of the ball here Record: 9-15 (-5.80)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks

Florida State -27.5 @ 1.95 :) Ohio State -17.5 @ 2.11 :eyes Virginia Tech -10.5 @ 2.02 :eyes TCU -20.5 @ 1.90 :eyes

Arkansas - Alabama under 51.5 @ 2.05 Boise State -21.5 @ 2.00 Tennessee -3.5 @ 2.07 South Carolina - UAB over 54.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle South Carolina are the bettter side and should win this one, as they should have no problem moving the ball with RB Lattimore on the ground and new QB Thompson finding his WRs like he did last week as he passed for 330 yards in the 48-10 win over East Carolina. UAB is light in experience in the secondary so they should have no problems scorign on them here. However their own defence did give up 333 passing yards to East Carolina and UAB does have some decent players on offence, and like their QB Perry to find his WRs Williams and Adams to also get some points here, as SC is light in the CB position Missouri - Arizona State over 59.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Missouri went down to Georgia 41-20 last week in a game riddled with mistakes but like them to be much better here as their QB Franklin should have some success passing and running the ball here, as this Arizona State defence is not as good as Georgia's. They have just 4 returning starters on defence as they allowed 101 passing yards and 231 rushing yards in the 45-14 win over Illinois. Like Arizona State's offence to do well here, as they passed for 318 yards and ran for 192 yards against Illinois and this Missouri defence does give up points as they too lack some talent in the backfield. Both teams should be able to move the ball on the other and can see points being score by both sides USC -8.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle USC have been very good in winning both of their games with QB Barkley finding his WRs Woods and Lee, as they had 187 passing yards and ran for 258 yards in the 42-29 win over Syracuse. Like them to do well on this Stanford defence that stops the run well but struggles against the pass as they allowed 363 passing yardst to Duke and Barkley should have his way with them. On defence, USC are light up front, they are experienced at LB and CB and saftey positions, and though they allowed 322 passing yards and 133 rushing yards to Syracuse, this Stanford offence is not as good as last years one, without Luck guiding them. Without an experienced QB, doubt that they can keep pace with this USC offence Wisconsin -14.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Expect Wisconsin to bounce back after their upset 10-7 loss to Oregon State on the road. They had just 172 passing yards and 35 rushing yards in that game but expect RB Ball to do well here. Utah State beat Utah 27-20 as they allowed 229 passing yards and 96 rushing yards but this will be a big step up for them, and expect a prety angry Wisconsin offence to move the ball on them. Wisconsin allowed 276 passing yards and 78 rushing yards to Oregon State, and they have plenty of good players there with 7 returning starters back from last year. They did their job last week and expect them to do it again, as Utah State do have a good QB in Keeton who passed for 216 yards last week while they ran for another 164 yards, but this is a much better defence that will test their OL, and how quickly they can respond to the pass rush. Believe Wisconsin are better on both sides of the ball here and like them to win this one well LSU -42 @ 1.91 pinnacle LSU have won their opening two games, beating North texas 41-14 and Washington 41-3. Should have no trouble beating Idaho here who lost 21-13 to Bowling Green last week, as they allowed them to pass for 283 yards and ran for 90 yards in the loss. Idaho lack experience in the secondary, and LSU should do well here, as even though they dropped some catchable balls last week, they can make make up for it here against an ordinary pass defence. On offence, Idaho did get 352 passing yards and just 6 rushing yards themselves, but with this swarming defence, doubt that they score here, and believe they will be pegged in their own half for most of the game. Record: 10-18 (-7.85)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks

Arkansas - Alabama under 51.5 @ 2.05 :eyes Boise State -21.5 @ 2.00 :D Tennessee -3.5 @ 2.07 :eyes South Carolina - UAB over 54.5 @ 2.05 :D Missouri - Arizona State over 59.5 @ 1.99 :eyes USC -8.5 @ 2.00 :eyes Wisconsin -14.5 @ 1.99 :eyes LSU -42 @ 1.91 :D

Record: 13-23 (-9.89)

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NCAAF: Week Three Picks Wisconsin look anaemic offensively so far this year. Beilema really missing Chryst as OC, and no Wilson of course