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NCAAF : Week One Picks

AGurv

By AGurv
in NFL Predictions

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blackcrow

blackcrow

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Re: NCAAF : Week One Picks South Carolina -6.5 @ 1.95 pinnacle While South Carolina have only two players returning on the offensive line, they do have QB Shaw and RB Lattimore, as well as two WRs in Moore and Sanders coming back, and if they get enough protection, than this offence is capable of putting up some points. Vanderbillt's defence get backs 6 starters with 2 on the DL, 2 LBs and a corner and a safety so they have some talent there for a defence that allowed 325 yards and 21 points per game last year. However they are up against a very good offence which should be able to score on them. On defence, SC were very good last year and and like this to continue here, considering they get back two players on the defensive line, two LBs and two safety's so they have experience all across their defence. Vanderbilt also get some good players back on offence, but they will not find it easy against this defence. SC have the players to score on this Vanderbilt defence but while their own defence can hold the Vanderbilt offence Ball State - East Michigan over 58.5 @ 1.95 pinnacle Ball State get QB Wenning and RB Edwards back and with 4 starters on the offensive line back, they should get time to make their plays here. With this experience, like this offence to cause plenty of problems for East Michigan, who have problems on defence as they have lost quite a few players there, in particularly along the defensive line, with just 4 starters returning. Hard to see them stopping Ball State throwing all over them, as their secondary is not that strong either. East Michigan had a very good running game last year and expect them to do well here, as they also get back all 5 starters on the offensive line. Ball State had a poor defence last year and with just 5 starters back, then it does not look any better for them here this year. With both sides lacking talent in the defence, and their respective offence's should be able to make some plays and score points here UCLA -16.5 @ 1.95 pinnacle UCLA have 3 starters on the offensive line back, while QB Prince will probably get the nod, and look to play in WR Evans and RB Franklin. Like them to score points on this Rice defence that allowed 462 yards and 33 points per game last year and with just one starter on the defensive line, to go with a LB and 3 players in the secondary, they will have problems stopping UCLA moving the ball. On defence, UCLA should overwhelm this Rice offence, that gets back just one starter on the offensive line. Though Rice has QB McHargue and WRs Moore and McDonald back, doubt that they will have the time to make an impact as UCLA's defence gets back 2 DE's, 3 LBs and 3 more in the secondary, and expect them blitz often. This defence should be able to create some turnovers and allow the offence to play with a shortened field

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blackcrow

blackcrow

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Re: NCAAF : Week One Picks

South Carolina -6.5 @ 1.95 :( Ball State - East Michigan over 58.5 @ 1.95 :D UCLA -16.5 @ 1.95 :D
North Carolina State @ 2.48 pinnacle NC State have a very good QB in Glennon to replace Wilson who has gone to the NFL and behind 4 of last year's 5 starting OL, he should get some time to find his RB Washington and WR Palmer who return from last year. Tennessee's defence was soid last year as t hey allowed 23 points per year and their secondary allowed just 179 yards per game, so they will not be easy to pass on given that they have a couple of players returning back there. With 2 DLs and 3 LBs back, there is plenty of experience in defence for Tennessee, but like NC State's OL to hold up, and with the Glennon calling the shots, like them to make a few plays as they have a more balanced offence here. Defensively, NC State return 3 DE's up front while they get back 4 starters in the secondary, which should help them to start well, but the concern is the loss of LBs, and though there are reports that they have some good young prospects there, they do lack experience. However they did make 38 sacks last year so they have the ability to get to the QB. Tennessee get back QB Bray as well as WRs Hunter and Rodgers but the loss of Rodgers for this game will hurt them, especially up against this very good NC State secondary. Though they have 4 starters back on the OL, the lack of an effective RB will hurt them, as doubt that these NC State's DE's allow Bray to make the plays while the NC State secondary should be able to deal with whatever comes their way. Michigan State - Boise State under 46.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Michigan State do not have much returning on the offensive side of the field, as QB Cousins has moved on while inexperienced QB Maxwell fills the void. Expect RB Bell to get alot of carries here, and with 4 players back on the OL, they will look to run the ball, given that they also do not have much at WR coming back either. Last year they did not do as well on offence as they did on defence, so like Boise State, who return 3 starters in the secondary to limit the passing game here. However with not much in the DL or LBs coming through, then expect Bell to do some damage here. Defensively, Michigan State were very good lasy year, and with 2 DE,s 3 LBs and 3 more in the secondary coming back, they have plenty of experience players there. Boise State have lost their very good QB Moore, with Southwick looking to replace him, as well as losing RB Martin and a couple of very good WRs. Expect them to use RB Harper quite a bit here to move the ball, as doubt that they have much success passing it. Still, there is some very good LBs to worry about, it doubt that they do much on offence. With both teams likely to run the ball, then this should chew plenty of time off the clock and can see a low scoring game here Stanford -24.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Stanford are without their top QB Luck who has gone onto the NFL, but they do have 3 very good OL back, and expect RB Taylor to have plenty of holes to run into. San Jose State allowed 204 rushing yards per game last year and with 2 DLs and a LB back, they will have problems stopping the run here again. Stanford were very good last year in stopping the run so with 2 DEs and 4 LBs coming back, they should do well to not only stop the run but get at the QB. They had some problems stpping the pass last year and with just one returning starter in the secondary, but with SJ State without an experienced QB, doubt that they can make the most of this. Their OL has two returning starters, but expect them to be overwhelmed by the blitzing Stanford defence. Stanford look too strong on both sides of the ball here Record: 2-1 (+0.90)
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Samba_SamPa

Samba_SamPa

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Re: NCAAF : Week One Picks Broncos @ Spartans - Spartans -9.5 1pt @ 2.10 Bet365 Think Mich St will expose the losses that Boise St have suffered since both won their Bowl games last season. Whilst both will have new starters under centre, the defensive losses in particular that BSU have incurred, with all 4 starting linemen plus their top 3 LBs having departed, I like the Spartans, and in particular, Le'Veon Bell, can have a big game to kick off their 2012 Bowl tilt

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blackcrow

blackcrow

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Re: NCAAF : Week One Picks

North Carolina State @ 2.48 :( Michigan State - Boise State under 46.5 @ 2.02 :D Stanford -24.5 @ 1.98 :(
Navy -14.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Like Notre Dame to win well here considering they have QB rees back who should be better for a season under his belt, as well as RBs, WRs and TEs coming back, they have the skill set to pass over this Navy defence that is rebuilding this year. They gave up points last year and struggled to stop the run and like the balance ND has on offence as this Navy defence looks porous. On defence ND return some of their LBs which should help them to stop Navy running the ball. Though they are light up front and in the secondary on experience, still like them to contain a Navy offence that has 3 starters on the OL returning and a couple of slot backs that will pount the ball all day. This game is being played in Dublin, Ireland so expect the Fighting Irish to have plenty of support in winning this game Record: 3-3 (-0.08)
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blackcrow

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Re: NCAAF : Week One Picks

Notre Dame -14.5 @ 2.00 :D
Oops sorry - should have read Notre Dame -14.5 not Navy California -11.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle California's offence should score some points here as they have good players in key positions backing up for another season. Expect QB Maynard to be more consistent this year and he connected well with WR Allen last year while RB Sofele should once again give them some very good yards in running the ball. With 3 OL back, they look well placed here to score points. Nevada have lost quite a few good players on defence and though they get back 2 DL and a LB as well as 3 more in the secondary, they do lose players who were responsible for making most of their plays last year. On defence, California are rebuidling as they have just one LB and a couple of CBs returning as starters so they will be very inexperienced up front. However Nevada themselves have not got much back on offence, as they have a QB who featured in limited plays last year, no recognised RBs while they have 3 OL to help support them. While there is opportunity to gain some yardage on this California defence, the alck of experience suggests that they may struggle to move the ball and like California to do enough to win this by the spread and more Tulsa -2.5 @ 1.92 pinnacle Tulsa have lost QB Kinne who has moved on but still has plenty of strikepower with three RBs to share the load moving the ball as well as a couple of good receivers, as well another two on the OL to give them some experience there. Iowa State's strength is in their two returning LBs as they have just one up front and two more in the secondary in a defensive unit that did give up over 400 yards per game early in the previous season. Tough they did improve in the second half of last season, the loss os several good players means it could take some time for the defence to gel once again, and like the balance Tulsa have to score some points here. On defence, Tulsa has some good players returning with 3 DLs, a LB and 3 more in the secondary who should do much better in stopping the pass as well as the run. They face a Iowa State offence that did not score many points last year per game, and though they return some decent players like RB White and WRs West and Lenz, they will need to step up there game to keep them in contention. Overall like the way this Tulsa side has been building their program and believe they will do enough to edge this here Nebraska -20.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Nebraska's offence is loaded with talent as QB Martinez looks very capable in not only passing the ball but running with it. With WR Bell and RB Burkhead behind 3 returning OL, they have a side that is capable of scoring points in the air or on the ground. Southern Mississippi's defence lacks experience with just 4 returning starters there that did well last year. Doubt that they can then contain some very good players that Nebraska has on offence. Nebraska's defence looks pretty good as they have 3 returning DL, 2 more LBs and another 3 in the secondary, they look good here to contain a USM offence that did well last year but have not got an experienced QB to replace Davis. They have some talent in the RBs as well as WRs, with 3 returning OL, but without direction from an experienced QB, expect Nebraska's defence to overwhelm them. Record: 4-3 (+0.92)
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blackcrow

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Re: NCAAF : Week One Picks

California -11.5 @ 2.00 :( Tulsa -2.5 @ 1.92 :( Nebraska -20.5 @ 1.98 :D
Texas -31.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle While Texas is not sure who will start at QB, whoever does will have the luxury of several returning WRs behind 4 starters on the OL, and a running game tipped to do well. Wyoming's rush defence allowed 232 yards per game last year and though they return 2 DLs, 2 LBs and 4 more in the secondary, they struggled last year to stop the run, and doubt that they do much better here On defence, Texas looks pretty solid with 2 DEs and a LB, as well as 3 more in the secondary returning this year. Wyoming's QB Smith returns as does his WRs so he will look to pass the ball but he is just as good as using his feet. However with just two players on the OL returning, doubt that they can match the speed of the Texas DL, which will blitz often against him, and negate his passing and throwing. Oklahoma -30.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle Okalohoma's QB Jones should have plenty of time behind a very good and experienced OL to find his targets while RB Finch should get some yards on the ground. UTEP allowed 190 rushing yards per game last year and with the loss of 7 starters in their defence, then it does not look god for them, as Oklahoma's balanced offence should be able to score points pretty easily here. On defence, Oklahoma get back to 2 DL and a LB, while the secondary should be strong with 4 returning back there. UTEP's QB Lamaison will look to air the ball but expect him to have problems there as these Oklahoma CBs and safety's are good. RB Jeffery should get some carries and yards but once again, trying to breach this Oklahoma defence will not be easy. Record: 5-5 (-0.10)
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