Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 [TABLE=class: couponTable]

[TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Friday 7 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Estoril-Praia v Vitória de Setúbal (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.15 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.12 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.08 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 8 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] FC Porto v Moreirense FC (20:30 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.08 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 9.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 26 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]106.68 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 9 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Gil Vicente v Beira-Mar (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.95 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.05 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Marítimo v Nacional da Madeira (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.37 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.12 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]106.36 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Rio Ave v Paços de Ferreira (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.12 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.74 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Vitoria de Guimaraes v Olhanense (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.12 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.2 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]107.69 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Monday 10 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Académica de Coimbra v Sporting de Braga (18:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.6 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]106.35 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Sporting CP v Benfica (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.9 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.3 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]106.53 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Sportsbts]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Portugal Primeira Liga - Injuries & suspensions Paços de Ferreira v Marítimo Paços de Ferreira: Poulson Marítimo: Heldon, Olberdami

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 [TABLE=class: couponTable]

[TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Friday 7 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Estoril-Praia v Vitória de Setúbal (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.08 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.06 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 8 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] FC Porto v Moreirense FC (20:30 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.14 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 9.8 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 29 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.37 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 9 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Gil Vicente v Beira-Mar (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.07 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.5 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.83 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Marítimo v Nacional da Madeira (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.67 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.48 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Rio Ave v Paços de Ferreira (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.35 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.29 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Vitoria de Guimaraes v Olhanense (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.6 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.67 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Monday 10 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Académica de Coimbra v Sporting de Braga (18:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.1 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.05 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.74 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Sporting CP v Benfica (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.15 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.67 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 ESTORIL - SETÚBAL Estoril (-0,5) AH @2,05 Bet 365 Estoril is doing a good season and they are currently placed in 6^th place of the table. In the last 3 matches they won brilliantly an away match at Academica (2-0), they run smoothly past Moreirense (2-0) at home and in the last fixture they lost in Madeira against Nacional (0-1) in a match which they should at least have got a point due to the innumerous scoring chances they had. Even Manuel Machado, the Nacional coach, said that “they were lucky” to have got the 3 points. They come in full force for this match with all the regulars available. Setúbal, despite having only one point less in league than Estoril, seems to me in worse shape. After a somehow deserved draw in Madeira against Maritimo 3 weeks ago, they were kicked off the Portuguese cup by Guimaraes at home and in the last match they lost at home with Rio Ave showing big defensive problems (final result was 3-5). They pretty much rely on experienced forward Meyong to solve their offensive problems but show several organizational flows in their defensive display. On top of this, two starting XI players are suspended for this match: Jorge Luiz (central defender) and Paulo Tavares (midfielder). I find Estoril to be a much more trustworthy and organized squad and with home advantage they should nick the victory here.

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 [TABLE=class: couponTable]

[TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Friday 14 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [TH] [/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Vitória de Setúbal v FC Porto (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 11 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.9 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.37 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.49 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 15 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [TH] [/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Beira-Mar v Rio Ave (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.15 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.15 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.56 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.55 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Olhanense v Gil Vicente (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.26 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.85 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.48 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Nacional da Madeira v Sporting CP (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.56 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Benfica v Marítimo (20:30 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.29 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 15 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.37 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 16 December 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [TH] [/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Moreirense FC v Académica de Coimbra (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.65 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.15 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.74 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Sporting de Braga v Estoril-Praia (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.52 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.15 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 7.9 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.54 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Paços de Ferreira v Vitoria de Guimaraes (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.65 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.61 %[/TD] [TD=class: tvListings][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 NACIONAL –SPORTING Nacional (0) AH @ 2,10 Bet365 Both teams are having a terrible year considering the usual performances they deliver in Portugal. They are currently placed in 10^th and 11^th of the table with only 11 points after 11 league games. Frankie Vercauteren is the third Sporting coach after the failures of Sá Pinto and Oceano and so far there haven't been any improvements in results, team organization or style of play. To make things worse a 3-1 defeat in capital's derby against Benfica contributed to undermine even more the morale of the players. To this terrible cocktail we can add that both regular central defenders (Boulahrouz and Rojo), important defensive midfielder (Rinaudo) and creative winger (Carrillo) were all served with a one match ban and they can't play this weekend. Nacional is not in great shape either. Manuel Machado is their second coach after the sacking of Caixinha and the benefits of this measure are yet to be seen. Last weekend Nacional suffered an important defeat in Madeira's derby against Marítimo (2-0) and they didn't show the ability or the willingness of spirit to deserve much more. However in the last home match they were able to defeat Estoril (1-0) and they normally are a very strong team at home. They would definitely need to make Choupana their fortress to start escalating positions. For this game Moreno (central midfielder) is ineligible because of suspension while Mihelic (midfielder) is doubtful. Sporting will have to make changes and adaptations in their team so we will probably see the likes of Eric Dier to play as a central defender along with Xandao while Cedric will be the right defender leaving the left side for Insua. Gelson Fernandes, the Swiss, will likely pair up with Elias in the defense midfield while Capel (left), Pranjic (middle) and Labyad (right) will play a more attacking role having the responsibility of providing chances for the only striker Wolkswinkel which is, along with keeper Rui Patricío, the more reliable players in the team. I don't expect many changes on Nacional's side. Goalkeeper Vladan and defenders Joao Aurélio (right), Marçal (left), Mexer and Manuel da Costa (Central) are very likely to play. In front of the defense both Claudemir and Revson will pair up as usual. The Brazilian creative midfielder Diego Barcellos when in good physical condition is one of the best players of the team and capable of creating scoring chances while speedy wingers Candeias and Mateus are tough problems to Sporting defense. Rondon should play up front and will definitely be trying to take advantage of the fact that Xandao and Dier never played together before as central defenders. Since the beginning of the season Sporting has played 10 away matches and they weren't able to win a single one. With a depleted side and morale touching rock bottom I feel that this trend will be continued this weekend.

[Fedar]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Drac Blau, I guess you are a Porto supporter? What are your expectations for tomorrow's game?! I smell some unders and possibly low motivation from Porto. Also, this long series of defeats for Setubal against Porto has got to end somewhere. Still, not brave enough to oppose Porto.

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

Drac Blau' date=' I guess you are a Porto supporter? What are your expectations for tomorrow's game?! I smell some unders and possibly low motivation from Porto. Also, this long series of defeats for Setubal against Porto has got to end somewhere. Still, not brave enough to oppose Porto.[/quote'] You are right, I'ma Porto supporter indeed. Although I will try not to be biased in myanswer to you. Porto's problemlately is that the team is a bit stretched. Apart from the startingeleven there are very few players with the necessary skills tomaintain the squad in top level. When Porto have to play severalmatches in a short period of time with a certain degree of difficultythe team suffers. That happened in the past few weeks with two veryhard matches away to Braga, away match with PSG and finally lastweekend home match against Moreirense (very negative approach fromthis team parking the bus and forcing Porto to 25 shots at goal and17 corners after finally achieving a narrow win 1-0). However I wouldn't advise to oppose Porto tomorrow for two main reasons:

1. Setúbal is one of the poorest Portuguese squads. There is a huge difference of potential, organization, quality both tactical and technical between players of both teams.
2. We have to keep in mind that there is ferocious competition between Benfica and Porto for the league title. There is a great rivalry and Benfica invested really hard to win this year's title and prevent Porto from winning 3 in a row. Currently both teams have the same points and almost exactly the same amount of goals for and against. There is only 2 rounds of the Portuguese league before the big match Benfica – Porto and none of the teams wants to loose points before this match in order to arrive at the strongest possible position.

So no lack ofmotivation here in my opinion. As for unders this could be apossibility. It's very unlikely tat Setúbal managed to score and ifPorto leads the game they should save some strength for next game(Tuesday the 19^th in Madeira against Nacional for leaguecup – last game before Christmas holiday). On the other hand ifPorto scores an early goal, Setúbal would be compelled to attack andwill leave spaces behind which should be heaven on earth for Jamesand Jackson. Take in consideration that this is what happened in thelast 3 years in Setúbal: 2012 - Portoscoring early goal (3') and over game 2011 – Portoscoring early goal (14´) and over game 2010 – Portoscoring early goal (12') and over game In the end of theday this is soccer and of course everything can happen but I'mobliged to say that the most probable outcome for tomorrow it's aPorto win by at least two goal difference.

[Fedar]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Drac Blau, that was one wonderful analysis! Hope you write more often in this thread!

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Match Setúbal - Porto will be delayed due to bad weather conditions. It will be played only in January.

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 BRAGA- ESTORIL Bothteams to score @ 1,80 Bet365 Bragais a very offensive team which is the clear image of Coach JosePeseiro. In the past, when he trained both Nacional and Sporting, histeams were know by playing a very attractive and offensive footballalbeit with some (frequent) defensive mistakes. This trend wastransported for Braga this year. After 11 matches they have scored 24goals third best after title contenders Porto and Benfica. On theother hand they've conceded already 15 goals which is a not so greatperformance if we take in consideration that last year with CoachJardim they've conceded 29 goals in 30 matches. This shows us thatthe Peseiro era in a much more prolific one concerning goals in bothends of the field. This season Braga played 9 games at home inPortuguese League and Champions League and conceded at least one goalin every match! They have enormous quality upfront with the everpresent striker Eder always dangerous in front of the goal andcreating spaces and chances for the second wave of attack personifiedby attacking midfielder Mossoro who is in great form (1 goal and 2assists against Academica last Monday), experienced winger Alan andtechnical midfielder Hugo Viana with great shooting skills from longrange and set pieces as well. Asof Estoril it's one of the good surprises in Portugal this year.Being just promoted from second division they managed to show a veryattractive style of play mixing some hard working midfielders such asDiogo Amado and Evandro with some very skillful and quick forwardssuch as Luis Leal and Licá. Estoril managed to score at least onegoal in every match this season except in the last one againstNacional despite having several chances to do so even hitting a post.Their last match they easily cruised past Setúbal at home winning3-0. In the match preview Coach Marco Silva said the Braga should beconsidered as favourites but that were going to “score goals”. Estorilarrives with full squad and Braga only misses Ruben Micael and withthe morale boost from last weekend victories against l I trulybelieve that we are going to witness a very entertaining match, witha lot of chances for both teams.

[malabgd]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Injuries and suspensions Paços de Ferreira v Vitória Guimarães Paços de Ferreira: Arturo Alvarez, Tony, Luís Carlos Vitória Guimarães: Defendi, Soudani, Gonçalves, Amorim, Dinis

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 [TABLE=class: couponTable]

[TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 5 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Gil Vicente v Vitoria de Guimaraes (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.7 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.9 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.29 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Rio Ave v Olhanense (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]103.57 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Sporting CP v Paços de Ferreira (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.7 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.6 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5.5 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]104.78 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] FC Porto v Nacional da Madeira (20:30 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 7 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 16 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]103.87 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 6 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Marítimo v Beira-Mar (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.1 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.85 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]103.90 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Académica de Coimbra v Vitória de Setúbal (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.9 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]105.05 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Sporting de Braga v Moreirense FC (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.33 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 10 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]103.37 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Estoril-Praia v Benfica (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 9 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.4 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]104.76 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 RIOAVE - OLHANENSE RioAve AH (-0,5) @ 1,90 Bet365 Olhanenseis a team facing several problems with players. Some are injured andwon't be fit for this match (Mauricio, Luis Filipe, Yontcha), someleft the club in the past few days (Rui Sampaio and Vitor Vinha),some joined their national team for the Africans Cup (Djaniny, DavidSilva and Babanco) and finally two others started training this weekafter recovering for injury and their condition is not optimal(Ivanildo and Yontcha). As a result last weekend instead of 18players, coach Conceiçao only had 16 for the match againstAcademica. Olhanense managed a goalless draw in Coimbra for Leaguecup but Academica played the last 30 minutes with only 10 players dueto Halliche being sent off. In the last 6 matches Olhanense lost 4and draw 2. Morale is rock bottom and they play very defensively astheir offensive power is very reduced due to players unavailability. RioAve is having a great season so far. They are in a comfortable 5^thposition at the table and despite having lost two matches in midDecember against Beira-Mar and Paços de Ferreira they cruised pastSporting (3-0) in the last match for league cup. Sporting had oneplayer sent off when the result was 0-0 but even before that Rio-Avewas pushing and dominating Sporting. Joao Tomás their main strikerwas due to leave in this transfer window (he didn't play againstSporting) but latest developments are that he might stay which isterrible news for Olhanense. They play a very positive soccer alwaystrying to find the goal and I feel that they will be too strong for adepleted Olhanense side.

[Simeon Borisof]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

RIOAVE - OLHANENSE RioAve AH (-0,5) @ 1,90 Bet365 Olhanenseis a team facing several problems with players. Some are injured andwon't be fit for this match (Mauricio, Luis Filipe, Yontcha), someleft the club in the past few days (Rui Sampaio and Vitor Vinha),some joined their national team for the Africans Cup (Djaniny, DavidSilva and Babanco) and finally two others started training this weekafter recovering for injury and their condition is not optimal(Ivanildo and Yontcha). As a result last weekend instead of 18players, coach Conceiçao only had 16 for the match againstAcademica. Olhanense managed a goalless draw in Coimbra for Leaguecup but Academica played the last 30 minutes with only 10 players dueto Halliche being sent off. In the last 6 matches Olhanense lost 4and draw 2. Morale is rock bottom and they play very defensively astheir offensive power is very reduced due to players unavailability. RioAve is having a great season so far. They are in a comfortable 5^thposition at the table and despite having lost two matches in midDecember against Beira-Mar and Paços de Ferreira they cruised pastSporting (3-0) in the last match for league cup. Sporting had oneplayer sent off when the result was 0-0 but even before that Rio-Avewas pushing and dominating Sporting. Joao Tomás their main strikerwas due to leave in this transfer window (he didn't play againstSporting) but latest developments are that he might stay which isterrible news for Olhanense. They play a very positive soccer alwaystrying to find the goal and I feel that they will be too strong for adepleted Olhanense side.

How come Yontcha is unavailable and at the same time is training but not in optimal condition?Do you mean that he won't be in the starting line-up but on the bench?Are these players confirmed missing?If so this game looks a decent bet given that Rio relies pretty much on their home games.They keep it very tight at the back and rarely concede more then 1 goal.Most of these Olhanense missing are forwards and midfielders so it makes me think that they won't have many chances to score especially when they have scored only 5 in 6 with their full squad.I prefer under 2.5 bet because Rio have scored 4 against 5 at home and given the Olhanense offence issues i cannot see more than 1-2 goals here.Gl

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

How come Yontcha is unavailable and at the same time is training but not in optimal condition?Do you mean that he won't be in the starting line-up but on the bench?Are these players confirmed missing?If so this game looks a decent bet given that Rio relies pretty much on their home games.They keep it very tight at the back and rarely concede more then 1 goal.Most of these Olhanense missing are forwards and midfielders so it makes me think that they won't have many chances to score especially when they have scored only 5 in 6 with their full squad.I prefer under 2.5 bet because Rio have scored 4 against 5 at home and given the Olhanense offence issues i cannot see more than 1-2 goals here.Gl

Olhanense released the list of players for match against Rio Ave and there is only 15 names in there! To make things worse 3 of the players listed have injuries and will be doubtful until the beginning of the match: Rui Duarte, Fernando Alexandre and Yontcha who resumed training like you said and could be fit. Here's the list: GK: Bracali e Ricardo; Defenders: Nuno Reis, Vasco Fernandes, André Micael e François D’Onófrio; Midfielders: Jander, Rui Duarte, Fernando Alexandre e Nuno Piloto; Forwards: Abdi, Ivanildo, Evandro Brandão, Targino e Yontcha. Concerning Rio Ave, finally Joao Tomás was transferred to Libolo in Angola and he won't play anymore for the club. Del Valle will play as striker. I agree that unders is also a good bet as the most probable result would be 1-0 or 2-0.

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 SPORTING– PAÇOS FERREIRA PaçosFerreira AH (+0,5) @ 2,15 Bet365 The offered odds can only be justified by history and name of the clubs. If current form, quality of play and morale were taken in consideration they should be the other way around. Sporting2012/2013 is a complete mess in every sense. Vercauteren is already the third coach since the beginning of the season and it's just a matter of time that he is replaced for Jesualdo Ferreira recently appointed as General Manager. The controversial administration board is just waiting for the best timing for the substitution. In the field things are even worse: Sporting is out of the Portuguese cup,Portuguese league cup and Europa League. Currently in the 10^thplace but only 2 points clear of relegation Sporting managed to win 2(!!!!) matches of last 15 in all competitions. They have no organization, leadership nor a game plan. Every player tries to fix problems by themselves and never within the team. Dier (suspended) and Schaars, Cedric and André Martins (injured) wil not play Onthe other side we have one of the most in-form team of PortugueseLeague: Paços de Ferreira. In the last 10 matches on the road for Portuguese competitions Paços won 6 and draw for. They have only one defeat in the whole season and that was with Benfica at home (1-2).They have a good and experienced goalkeeper (Cassio), the 3^rdbest defense of Portugal only behind Benfica and Porto, an aggressive and dominant midfielder in which Vitor is perhaps the major star and a terrific attack with striker Cicero and winger Hurtado. It is expected that Josue plays at 4^th midfielder instead of winger Manuel José in order to ensure a better and deeper ball possession. Paços is flying in the League (4^th place), is already in the cup quarter-finals and is n a very good position to reach the semifinals of the League cup. If they manage not to sell their most important players in this window transfer (specially their magic midfielder trio: André Leao, Luis Carlos and Vitor) I risk to say they are certainly strong candidates to reach a top five position by the end of the season.

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Some more news about Sporting: Cedric recovered and he will be likely to play. On the other hand Insua was suspended this afternoon for two games due to spitting to a Rio Ave player in last fixture. Pranjic will probably play as left-back.

[malabgd]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Injuries and suspensions Rio Ave v SC Olhanense Rio Ave: Pateiro (0/0 m), Filipe Augusto (12/0 m) SC Olhanense: Maurício (6/0 d), Luís Filipe (6/0 d), Babanco (11/0 m), David Silva (9/1 m), Djaniny (8/0 f) Académica Coimbra v Vitória Setúbal Académica Coimbra: Ogu (10/0 m), João Dias (7/0 d), Hélder Cabral (6/0 d), Marinho (11/2 f), Nivaldo (5/0 d), Halliche (1/0 d) Vitória Setúbal: Miguel Lourenço (9/0 d), José Pedro (3/0 m), Fonseca (0/0 g)

[Simeon Borisof]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

How come Yontcha is unavailable and at the same time is training but not in optimal condition?Do you mean that he won't be in the starting line-up but on the bench?Are these players confirmed missing?If so this game looks a decent bet given that Rio relies pretty much on their home games.They keep it very tight at the back and rarely concede more then 1 goal.Most of these Olhanense missing are forwards and midfielders so it makes me think that they won't have many chances to score especially when they have scored only 5 in 6 with their full squad.I prefer under 2.5 bet because Rio have scored 4 against 5 at home and given the Olhanense offence issues i cannot see more than 1-2 goals here.Gl

I am glad that i took under 2.5 got me some cash.This game is one of those cases when everything is against you but you just stand up at say "f**k it i'll win

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 [TABLE=class: couponTable]

[TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 12 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Vitoria de Guimaraes v Marítimo (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.55 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]99.88 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Nacional da Madeira v Sporting de Braga (20:30 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.8 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.16 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Sunday 13 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Gil Vicente v Rio Ave (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.66 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.96 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.63 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Paços de Ferreira v Académica de Coimbra (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.1 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.15 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Vitória de Setúbal v Moreirense FC (16:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.55 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.60 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Olhanense v Sporting CP (18:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.28 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.73 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Benfica v FC Porto (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.67 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Monday 14 January 2013[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Beira-Mar v Estoril-Praia (20:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.6 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.05 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.50 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Some thoughts on matches for this weekend (odds from Bet365) Guimaraes– Maritimo The missing list is extensive in both teams. Due to injuries, suspensions and selected players in African cup of Nations coaches Vitória and Martins had the need to enroll several B-team players in order to have 18 available ones. Guimaraes seems to be the most depleted sidewith 9 (!!!) players that started the season in the B team in the list and some of them will play as starters. However this is not new and today Rui Vitoria said that the youngsters are the ones “holding the team together”. They won 2-0 at home against Naval for the League cup midweek and they certainly deserved more than a draw last weekend at Gil Vicente. Maritimo are a big deception this season. The team is more or less the same as well as the coach but after 13 rounds they have a meager 14 points and 11 goals scored while at the same period last year they have achieved 22 points and scored 18 goals. In the last 5 games Guimaraes won 1 (against Naval from second division in the cup) and Maritimo none. I think they will concentrate more not to loose and it will be a very balanced match. For me it screams of a draw so I will go with: draw @3,20 Nacional– Braga Braga has some players missing in defense due to injury (Douglao, NunoAndré and Djamal) and Elderson (CAN) which means that Haas will,once again, pair up with Paulo Vinicius in the center of the defense.Apart from this, they arrive in full force having rested some important players such as Alan and Eder in midweek match for League cup against Beira – Mar (3-0). Naciona lmisses Mateus (also selected for CAN) and they also rested some players in the victory against Estoril on Wednesday (1-0). Despite this latest result, the team is not functioning very well and the mainstat is that in the 6 games they played at home this year Nacional have only one victory while in the past seasons it was considered one of the most difficult stadiums to play. Thereis a huge gap of quality and capacity between both teams and if nothing out of ordinary happens I expect a smooth victory of Braga (– 0,5)AH @2,05 GilVicente – Rio Ave The last Gil Vicente victory this season for the Portuguese league was against Nacional on the 7^th of October. This speaks volumes about the quality of this team. Last weekend after the draw at home against a Guimaraes full of youngsters and inexperienced players, coach Alves considered it a “very positive result”. I had the chance to watch the match and Gil Vicente defended during 80minutes and only took some risks on the last 10. Apart from their long term injuries they miss, due to suspension, important midfielder Luis Carlos and winger Pedro Pereira. To my surprise Rio Ave didn't manage to beat a depleted Olhanense side at home last weekend despite having 62% of possession, 25 shots and 12 corners. They are still mourning the loss of striker Joao Tomás. However they manage to beat Marítimo away in the midweek match for League cup with the goal being scored by Bebe recently arrived from Man United on loan. They miss due to suspension defenders Edimar,Nivaldo and midfielder Villas Boas. I think Rio Ave is a much more organized team and with a stronger attacking mentality which will probably lead to victory over Gil Vicente. However, taking the consideration the important missing of Nivaldo and Edimar, which will force coach Espirito Santo to change half of his defensive line, I would go with Rio Ave (0) AH @2,075 PaçosFerreira – Académica Paçosde Ferreira suffered a huge blow in midweek after loosing 1-0 toSporting. The goal was scored at 89 minutes and prevented them to go through to League cup semi-finals. They are doing a great season and for this match they will be in full force and hopefully with striker Cicero playing as a starter after a small injury that allowed him to play only some minutes in the second half of both matches against Sporting. On the other side Academica is slowly improving after a difficult start of the season with a great number of injuries. None of this mid-table Portuguese teams are prepared to play Europa League, Championship and both cups without having to face several problems. Same thing happened with Marítimo and I expect that Académica will improve now that they are out of League cup (they played a good game against Benfica last Wednesday despite having lost 3-2) and they have no more Europa league matches. They still have a long list of missings: Ogu, Flavio and Cleyton are injured, Reiner is suspended and Halliche and Nivaldo are with their national teams in CAN. Despite Académica being a tough nut to crack, I strongly believe that Paços will bounce back after their defeat on Wednesday against Sporting and will take the 3 points here. Paços(-0,5) AH @2,00 VitóriaSetúbal – Moreirense Very tough game to predict. Both are desperately needing points to avoid relegation and this could go either way. No bet Olhanense- Sporting Both teams have a new coach recently appointed. Olhanense as usual has alot of missing and its very likely that Manuel Cajuda will be forced to call up some players from the youth team to fill in in the bench.On the other side Sporting is immersed in a big institutional and administrative crisis. President of the board is being pressured to resign and the ambiance surrounding the team is terrible. No bet Benfica– Porto Gameof the season between the best teams by far of this league. Benfica is 3 points clear on the top but Porto have one game in hand (against Setúbal away). So they are practically even. Benfica is very strong at home applying a very high pressure to their opponents. Very aggressive and offensive mentality always looking to qickly attack the other team and we can see always several players inside of the opponent's box in an attempt to score. The defense is not very tight suffering for the lack of form from Maxi and the absence of Luisao (word is that Luisao will return for this match). Porto had a major blow last weekend: James Rodriguez was injured and he will be sidelined for 1 month. The connection James/Jackson is the almamatter of Porto's offensive power and there isn’t any player with the characteristics of James in Porto squad. Defour will play instead but he is a midfielder and Porto will loose much offensive power and creativity. Benfica will play with: Artur – Maxi, Luisao, Garay, Malgarejo – Matic,Enzo, Gaitan, Salvio – Lima, Cardozo. Porto will field: Helton – Danilo, Mangala, Otamendi, Alex Sandro –Fernando, Defour, Moutinho, Lucho – Varela, Jackson. By analyzing both starting XI and the rest of the squads we can ask ourseles one question : if things are going wrong to either way which team will have some weapons in the bench to change the game? the obvious answer is Benfica. Jorge Jesus have much more depth in his squad specially concerning offensive solutions: Rodrigo, Kardec, Ola John, Nolito, Aimar and Bruno Cesar are great quality players who can add terrific offensive options for the team. As of Porto apart from James, Kleber the other striker is also injured and wingers Atsu and Iturbe are away with their national teams. When we look at Porto's bench we can see several defensive options and apart from youngster Kelvin and Seba from theB-team the only real offensive gun is attacking midfielder Izmailov recently arrived from Sporting. Two great teams who are definitely going for the win on this one. However taking in consideration what I just explained, my bet will be Benfica(-0,5) AH @2,30 Beira-Mar – Estoril This one should be an entertaining game between two of the most positive teams of Portugal. Both have scored 19 goals so far and apart from the big three (Porto, Benfica, Braga) they are the most prolific ones. Both arrive with their most important players available and rested as they fielded some second choices in the midweek matches.The last 4 matches of Beira Mar at home went over (2-1;2-2;3-1;2-2)and the last 5 matches played among these teams in Aveiro went all over (3-1;3-2;3-1;3-1:1-3). Estoril is a more balanced team while Beira-Mar is weaker at the back. My guess is that Beira-Mar will takeEstoril to an over match so my bet would be over 2,5 @2,15 GL to all

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Impressive work, mate :notworthy:notworthy

[Fedar]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 I would like to add to Drac Blau's great review also some impression regarding Porto and particularly their last league game against Nacional. Of course, making a note that Porto did not play with more than 60% of their actual potential and effort since they were saving energy for Benfica. Nevertheless, it was obvious even in this circumstances what huge blow James injury is. Porto's brand football consists of three forwards and extensive usage of the two wings (Varela and James), whereas Moutinho and Lucho with their great vision and long passes (something like Xabi Alonso style) very quickly change between attack from left to right and the other way, thus causing complete havoc in defenses. However, now that one of the key wingers is out, and his substitution Defour is a relatively slow player who is not capable of charging defenders man-to-man, the whole philosophy of Porto is under question. The right flank does not cause much a threat any more, and this makes their game way more predictable and affects negatively the performance of Jackson, who has got much more attention on himself now. Unfortunately for Porto, young Ghanaian talent Atsu who is a great and fast dribbler, is out due to international duty, and they are left with no choices. Furthermore, I don't like much the attacking contribution of right full-back Danillo and unfortunately he is the one who should be supporting the right flank in James' absence. Nevertheless, I am still not sure I would take Benfica. From what I have seen, they are way too vulnerable in defense and make plenty of silly mistakes. I respect a lot their attacking power and the great diversity and skill they have up-front. But in my view, Porto is a smarter and more mature team, and definitely has got edge in defense, where Otamendi and Mangala are in top form. We see from recent history that Porto strongly dominates this rivalry, even in Lisbon. And if Benfica are to continue to give free gifts in defense, even without James, great players like Jackson and Varela may cause huge trouble for the Eagles. Maybe it is a better idea to have a look at the goal market. Over 2.5 at 2.00 seems a little too high, especially considering the history between these two teams, featuring plenty of goals. Yes, James is out and Porto might have reduced offensive capability, and the very close competition between these two teams might result in a more tactical approach to this derby. Nevertheless, I feel that the overs here should be more likely than the unders, despite what odds suggest. Benfica will more likely be very aggressive, because they will be looking to use the home match to get some advantage in this tight race, where dropping points happens rarely. In all honesty, I don't think that a draw here will be a good result for the Eagles, although it would still keep them in first place. It is extreme rarity when Porto drops points to lesser teams in Liga Sagres, even in meaningless games for the League Cup they somehow manage to sneak victory, and they already won their most challenging and difficult game besides the derby - 2:0 away in Braga. So, I think that Benfica will go firmly for the win from the start, thus increasing the chance for an early goal or at least a goal before half-time. And such a goal in my view will make "over 2.5" almost a certainty as it will open up the game a lot.

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

Olhanense- Sporting Both teams have a new coach recently appointed. Olhanense as usual has alot of missing and its very likely that Manuel Cajuda will be forced to call up some players from the youth team to fill in in the bench.On the other side Sporting is immersed in a big institutional and administrative crisis. President of the board is being pressured to resign and the ambiance surrounding the team is terrible. No bet

New coaches for both sides, it's true, but let's look a bit deeper. Olhanense have a solid season so far, but the poor financial condition (very low budget) is reason for Sergio Conçeicao leaving. On the other hand, Frank Vercauteren left Lisbon because of poor results and over. So I believe that Sportring have much better mood at the moment, looking at the reasons for the departure of both coaches. I know Manuel Cajuda is experienced coach who is precisely from Olhao and that's is only good for them. But new Sporting coach is Jesualdo Ferreira who had great success with Porto. Just think that's another advantage for the visitors. F. Alexandre, Babanco, Ivanildo, Djaniny, Mauricio, Luis Felipe and others are missings for Olhanense and I can see Sporting win in this encounter. Sporting @2.10 (Ladbrokes) low stake

[malabgd]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Injuries and suspensions Paços de Ferreira v Académica Coimbra Paços de Ferreira: - Académica Coimbra: Flávio Ferreira, Hélder Cabral (both doubtful), Reiner, Ogu SC Olhanense v Sporting Lisboa SC Olhanense: Fernando Alexandre, Ivanildo, Maurício, Abdi, Yontcha, Babanco, David Silva, Djaniny Sporting Lisboa: Schaars, André Martins

[Drac Blau]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Some more info on the two most important matches of the day in the Portuguese league: Benfica-Porto According to latest reports Luisao and Rodrigo are injured and out of the match. Benfica will only release the list of players later in the afternoon but it seems safe to say that these two are out. Moreover, there is also the possibility that Jorge Jesus will go for a more cautious approach and play with only one striker. Therefore Benfica's starting XI could be something like this: Artur– Maxi, Jardel, Garay, Melgarejo – Matic, Enzo, Ola John, Salvioand Gaitan – Cardozo (Lima). With this formation Gaitan would be the one playing behind Cardozo while Salvio would occupy the right wing and Ola John the left one. I guess that, as Porto will change hisformation due to the absence of James and will opt for a more dominant midfield, Jesus is trying to even things in the middle by changing also his formation. On the other hand Porto's team would certainly be the expected one and as predicted they will have a very depleted bench: Fabiano (GK); Ba(central defender), Castro (holding midfielder); Izmaylov (attacking midfielder signed from Sporting this week and with only 3 training sessions with the team); Toze (midfielder form the B team); Seba (forward from the B team) and Kelvin (winger from the B team). It's a very week and inexperienced bench and I think this could be a very decisive factor. Last year for instance, Porto was loosing 2-1 in the second half and coach Vitor Pereira had James on the bench, he was called to enter the match and after this move Porto managed to win 3-2 (James scored the equalizing goal). Anyway I hope we can witness an outstanding match between two teams with top European level. Olhanense- Sporting As predicted Manuel Cajuda had to call up 4 youngsters to have 18 names on the squad list for today's match. Also several of the players that he called had minor injuries and knocks during the week (FerandoAlexandre, Abdi, Jander) so I doubt if all 18 players are 100% fit for his match. Sporting will change both his back defenders in comparison with last two matches against Paços. Miguel Lopes, who arrived from Porto this weekas a exchange for Izmaylov, will deputize in the right back, while Insua returns to occupy the left back after being banned for two matches. Apparently Sporting should have the upper hand here but it's hard for me to bet on a team that didn't manage to win any of his 13 games on the road this season and have scored only 11 goals in the Portuguese league after 13 games (the worst team in this particular in Portugal) I will finish saying it was a pleasure reading the wonderful analysis from both Fedar and McNasara. They showed lots of knowledge and insight from the Portuguese league and I hope that this thread will became much more lively and benefit from your great contribution.

[Fedar]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

......... Maybe it is a better idea to have a look at the goal market. Over 2.5 at 2.00 seems a little too high, especially considering the history between these two teams, featuring plenty of goals. Yes, James is out and Porto might have reduced offensive capability, and the very close competition between these two teams might result in a more tactical approach to this derby. Nevertheless, I feel that the overs here should be more likely than the unders, despite what odds suggest. Benfica will more likely be very aggressive, because they will be looking to use the home match to get some advantage in this tight race, where dropping points happens rarely. In all honesty, I don't think that a draw here will be a good result for the Eagles, although it would still keep them in first place. It is extreme rarity when Porto drops points to lesser teams in Liga Sagres, even in meaningless games for the League Cup they somehow manage to sneak victory, and they already won their most challenging and difficult game besides the derby - 2:0 away in Braga. So, I think that Benfica will go firmly for the win from the start, thus increasing the chance for an early goal or at least a goal before half-time. And such a goal in my view will make "over 2.5" almost a certainty as it will open up the game a lot.

16th minute and it is already 2:2!!! What a crazy game and what a pleasant way to win your bet! This time bookies were clearly terribly wrong with their judgment after hugely over-inflating the prices for "unders" just because of one player missing.

[McNasara]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13

New coaches for both sides, it's true, but let's look a bit deeper. Olhanense have a solid season so far, but the poor financial condition (very low budget) is reason for Sergio Conçeicao leaving. On the other hand, Frank Vercauteren left Lisbon because of poor results and over. So I believe that Sportring have much better mood at the moment, looking at the reasons for the departure of both coaches. I know Manuel Cajuda is experienced coach who is precisely from Olhao and that's is only good for them. But new Sporting coach is Jesualdo Ferreira who had great success with Porto. Just think that's another advantage for the visitors. F. Alexandre, Babanco, Ivanildo, Djaniny, Mauricio, Luis Felipe and others are missings for Olhanense and I can see Sporting win in this encounter. Sporting @2.10 (Ladbrokes) low stake

2:0 for the Lions :cigar

[RIOT88]

Re: Portugal > Super Liga > 2012/13 Some info for today's game: Beira Mar - Estoril?