Kroni's Betting Diary

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 6:50 Kempton 5pts e-w Bada Bing @ 20/1 Hills Liked the look of this 1 last night but was only 8/1 so didn't bother, now at 20/1 its worth chancing with afew points e-w, clearly needs to improve the form of her 2nd on seasonal debut looks poor but i thought she ran well enough last time when stepped up to 10f but just looked a non stayer so this drop back to a mile should suit. Still open to improvement and hopefully debut on this surface can bring that improvement needed.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 8:20 Kempton 20pts win Spin Cast @ 3/1 Ladbrokes Not the best of races to be taking a shortish price horse as anything can happen in these amatuer races but i like the chances of this 1 here. Interesting this horse steps up in trip on debut for this yard, handles polytrack surface, has gone well fresh in the past so 129 day break doesn't look an issue, Trainer Brian Ellison doesn't send many here to Kempton and amatuer jockey has a decent enough record overall and has ridden 3 winners for him.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 8:50 Kempton 20pts win Discoverer @ 5/2 Hills 7 furlong winner here early this year and that form looks decent as the 2nd won nto off 5lb higher and is now rated 91 on turf after winning twice more. Ran well over a mile on soft on return 15 days ago, so track and distance look sure to suit today and is open to plenty of improvement.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary Bit of a speculative one but had a lucky 15 on all 4 aswell, also didn't realise but most bookies offer double odds now for 1 winner in a lucky 15 so after the drift on Storm King yesterday the L15 reurned 11pts which wasn't so bad would of been 16pts with betfred though. 1pt lucky 15 - with hills Spin Cast 7/2 Discoverer 9/4 Bada Bing 20/1 Russian Ice 14/1

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary Good week apart from today which was terrible. 10pts e-w Willie Wag Tail @ 10/1 - Placed return: 35 10pts e-w Rio's Rosanna @ 16/1 - Lost -20 10pts e-w Cay Verde @ 14/1 - Placed return: 45 10pts e-w Mayfield Girl @ 33/1 - Lost -20 10pts e-w @ Cardinal Walter @ 7/1 - Placed return: 27.5 10pts e-w Dubawi Sound @ 14/1 - Placed return: 45 10pts e-w Simenon @ 14/1 - Lost -20 10pts e-w Camborne @ 8/1 - Lost -20 5pts e-w Blue Bajan @ 28/1 - Lost -10 5pts e-w Alkimos @ 20/1 - Lost -10 10pts e-w Arnold Lane @ 7/1 - Placed return: 27.5 20pts win Lay Time @ 7/2 - won @ 4/1 - return: 100 1pts lucky 15 @ Betvictor total 15pts - Won return: 133.06 2:45 Goodwood - BLUE SURF @ 7/2 3:20 Goodwood - PRODUCER @ 9/2 3:40 Yarmouth - GREEN HOWARD @ 11/8 3:45 Curragh - BIRDMAN @ 13/8 10pts e-w Judge And Jury @ 12/1 - Placed Dead Heat - return: 17 1pt lucky 15 - total 15 pts with Bet365 double odds for 1 winner Long Awaited @ 8/1 - return: 17 3:05 Epsom - Long Awaited @ 7/1 4:50 Epsom - Initiator @ 11/8 3:35 Ripon - Toto Skyllachy @ 9/2 5:45 Newcastle - Toby Tyler @ 5/1 1pt lucky 15 - total 15pts with Betfred trble odds 1 winner - Lost return: 13 Dundalk 17:45 - Lottie Dod @ 13/8 Epsom 17:25 - Maverik @ 4/1 Epsom 15:40 - Troopingthecolour @ 2/1 Warwick 17:05 - Balducci @ 9/4 10pts e-w Honour And Obey @ 25/1 BET365 - Lost -20 10pts e-w Orders From Rome @ 14/1 - Lost -20 10pts e-w Verse Of Love @ 12/1 - won return: 164 1pt Lucky 15 - Total 15pts with Bet365 won return: 23 5.20 Southwell - Poetic Verse @ 5/1 7.20 Southwell - Fauran @ 12/1 N/R 7.50 Southwell - My Boy Ginger @ 10/1 3.55 Epsom Downs - Verse Of Love @ 10/1 1pt lucky 15 - total 15pts with Betfred treble odds 1 winner - Lost return: 7 Ripon 16:15 - Kay Gee Bee @ 9/2 Ripon 16:45 - Rex Romanorum @ 9/2 Epsom 14:50 - Orders From Rome @ 12/1 Southwell 17:50 - Dubawi Island @ 2/1 10pts e-w Shamdarley @ 7/1 - Lost -20 20pts win Storm King @ 7/2 - won @ 5/1 return: 120 10pts e-w Royal Swain @ 15/2 - Lost -20 20pts win Mick Slates @ 11/2 - Lost -20 1pts lucky 15 - betvictor - Lost - return: 11 Mick Slates 11/2 Royal Swain 15/2 Storm King 3/1 Shamdarley 5/1 10pts e-w Russian Ice @ 12/1 - Lost -20 5pts e-w Bada Bing @ 20/1 - Lost -10 20pts win SPIN Cast @ 3/1 - Lost -20 20pts win Discoverer @ 5/2 - lost -20 1pt lucky 15 - with Hills - lost -15 SPIN Cast 7/2 Discoverer 9/4 Bada Bing 20/1 Russian Ice 14/1 555 Bets - 31 Profitable - 10 Staked - 555pts Returned - 785.06pts Profit/Loss +230.06pts Overall Bets - 284 Profitable - 80 Staked - 5640pts Returned - 6071.46pts Profit/Loss +431.46pts

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 6:20 Wolves 10pts e-w Perfect Outlook @ 14/1 Betfred Still unexposed as only had 5 starts all as 4yo, best effort coming last time over C&D when 6 length 5th. This looks a fairly weak race and the majority of runners have plenty to prove so looks worth chance an unexposed type to improve which is possible. 8:20 Wolves 20pts win Therenoneedfordat @ 7/2 Bet365 Fair form last 3 starts and probably would of won lto if hadn't been slowly away and not getting a run towards the finish. Missed the price now as was much bigger earlier but should have every chance if first time hood works on AW debut. 8:50 Wolves 10pts e-w King's Road @ 20/1 Hills Good effort here last time when staying on 3rd over 9 furlongs beat 6 lengths but form looks good with the winner winning again next time off 6lb higher and was 4 lengths clear of 4th. Step back up to this trip is sure to suit and is unexposed on the surface so could be more to come. He is inconsistant but is back on last winning mark and worth chancing at the price. 9:20 Wolves 10pts e-w Arte Del Calcio @ 14/1 PP Soft ground and 12 furlong maybe excuse for lastest effort, won previous start and is only 2lb higher, fair effort 3 starts back aswell. Ran well on only start here in january when 3rd on his first start as a 3 year old and looks to have a fair chance at a price. 1pts lucky 15 @ bet365 Perfect Outlook @ 12/1 Theresnoneedfordat @ 7/2 King's Road @ 16/1 Art Del Calcio @ 12/1

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary King's Road found the 1 too good which was gutting as he drifted to 33/1 and it would of been a good day, but still picked up place money and Theresnoneedfordat won so still a profit on the day. 2:15 Sandown 10pts win Edge Closer @ 6/1 PP 10pts win Piscean @ 8/1 Bet365 3:25 Sandown 10pts win Princess Of Orange @ 20/1 Bet365 10pts win Burkes Rock @ 12/1 PP

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 2:30 Chester 10pts win Rosslyn Castle @ 13/2 Bet365 10pts win Communicator @ 9/2 Bet365 4:15 Beverley 10pts e-w Free Zone @ 11/1 Bet365 3:05 Chester 10pts e-w Alejandro @ 10/1 Bet365

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 2:15 Sandown 10pts win Edge Closer @ 6/1 PP 10pts win Piscean @ 8/1 Bet365 Edge Closer has had much racing last couple of years and has dropped alot in the weights after being out of form. Showed he retains some ability in 2 starts this year for new yard, fair run last time over this distance on ground probably to soft for him, if better for that run and can find anything like his old form he could be hard to beat. Piscean has bounced back to form last 2 starts in the blinkers and still looks fairly treated on best form, won nicely last time over 6f drop to 5f a concern but if they go a good pace he can come from the back to win. 3:25 Sandown 10pts win Princess Of Orange @ 20/1 Bet365 10pts win Burkes Rock @ 12/1 PP Burke's Rock has clocked some fast times last twice and looks to be improving and could still have more to offer, wore cheekpieces for his win lto and they are on again here, didn't get the best of runs and still won with abit up his sleave imo. Princess Of Orange won nicely last time and was unlucky not to win 2 starts back, needs more here but the looks likely and could go well at a price.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 2:30 Chester 10pts win Rosslyn Castle @ 13/2 Bet365 10pts win Communicator @ 9/2 Bet365 Communicator Beat some decent sorts here last time by 9 lengths eased down, 9lb rise will make it tougher but has a great chance to win back to back. Rosslyn Castle is also a course winner back in my, did it nicely that day and form looks decent, poor last time but maybe the fast ground was against him and get suitable going here today. Bad draw today but he was drawn in the car park when he won here also so maybe not as bad as it looks for hold up tactics.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 4:15 Beverley 10pts e-w Free Zone @ 11/1 Bet365 Dissapointing last time but can be forgiven as testing ground and travel over to Ireland maybe against him, ran great 3rd time before that in group 3 and that would see him involved here. Still progressing and could still be more to come. 3:05 Chester 10pts e-w Alejandro @ 10/1 Bet365 Well drawn and was back to form last time out here at Chester when 3rd to some inform improving horses, reproduction of that should see him go close.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 4:00 Sandown 10pts e-w Prussian @ 10/1 Hills Holding his form well and can be forgiven for last time when not stay 12 furlong, Form of Goodwood 6th looks strong and if running to that form should be thereabouts.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary Abit of a nearly day yesterday with Prussian beaten by a head and Communicator beaten by a neck, gutting. Still had a 6/1 winner so not all bad. 1pt lucky 15 with Betfred Dundalk 15:20 - Washboard Sam @ 4/1 Form of his win last time looks decent with winners coming from the race including the 3rd who has won a listed event and a group 2. Stable has 2 runners here and this probably second string but can't have the other 1 at the prices. AW debut and open to improvent, plenty of unraced rivals here but hopefully the experience will work to his advantage and has a good chance. Dundalk 17:20 - Noverre Princess @ 4/1 First time cheekpieces seemed to bring out the best in this filly lto when 2nd over C&D on just her 6th career start. That is by far her best performance and hopefully can build on that today. Not much pace in this race so hopefully she can get more prominent than last time. Saint By Day wil be held up out the back and lack of pace won't suit him if thats the case, Atmosperic High could be dangerous, 6lb rise for his win last time looks harsh but he still could figure if he is up with the pace. Dundalk 17:50 - Rawnaq @ 5/2 In good form this year over hurdles and in 1 flat start and if he can transfer that form to this surface he should be hard to beat. Dundalk 14:50 - Leitir Mor @ EVENS Has some good form in top class races and will be dissapointing if he can't get off the mark here, the Mark Johnston runner is the danger but will be a suprised if he's good enough here, his debut 2nd looks nothing special he was 2nd again last time but nothing has raced since from that race so hard to judge that performance but he looks too short at 7/4 to oppose the selection.

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary i like this 1 and is still 4/1 with bv so i'll take that. 20pts win Noverre Princess @ 4/1 Betvictor

[kroni]

Re: Kroni's Betting Diary 6:00 Wolverhampton 20pts win Chambles @ 4/1 PP Improving 3 year old who is 2 from 2 at the track, once at this distance. Dissapointing last time but that was on turf and can be forgiven as he seems much better on this surface, being by Shamardal that is no suprise. 6lb higher today will make it tougher but there could still be more to come and 4/1 looks fair for his chance.