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MLB: April 24th 2012 Picks


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18-18 +0.13 units (50.00%) Indians -131 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes When a team goes on a losing streak like this I like to continue betting on them till they finally lose Mets +104 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes After last weeks disastrous start I expect Johan to come back strong tonight

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Re: MLB: April 24th 2012 Picks Cleveland - Kansas over 8.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Both pitchers have been hit of late and like them to continue to get hit here. Lowe won his first two starts as he allowed jsut 5 hits in the win over Toronto, and then 3 runs on 11 hits in the win over Kansas, but then allowed 4 runs on 8 hits and 6 walks in the 4-1 loss to Seattle. He has gone 4-5 with a 4.76 ERA against Kansas so they have hit in the past, and with Kansas having lost 11 straight games, they will be looking to finally get a win here. Sanchez pitches for Kansas and he has not lasted past the 5th innings of any of this first 3 starts where he has gone 1-0 but with a 6.39 ERA. It includes allowing 5 runs on 6 hits and 4 walks in the 11-9 loss at home to Cleveland, and can see their bats hitting him again. Like ther look of runs in this game Baltimore - Toronto over 9.5 @ 2.09 pinnacle Hunter is 1-1, with a 5.79 ERA, who allowed jsut 6 hits in the win over Minnesota but has since allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in the loss at Toronto and 8 runs on 9 hits and 4 walks in the 8-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox. He has gone 1-3 with a 6.65 ERA against Toronto, and after already being hit hard by them earlier this month, then can see them doing more damage here. Alcarez is 0-1, with a 4.66 ERA as he allowed 1 run on 4 hits against Boston, then 3 runs on 6 hits when opposing Hunter, and is now coming off 6 runs on 6 hits in the 9-4 loss to Tampa Bay. Having already seen him, then like the Orioles to have even more success against him. Baltimore have scored 4+ runs in 4 of their 6 home games while they have allowed 5+ runs in their last 3 home games. Toronto have scored 4+ runs in 9 of their last 10 games, including 6 of their 7 road games, while allowing 4+ runs in 4 of these 7 games. All three meetings between these two teams this season has seen 10+ runs scored in each game, and can see this happening again here. Tampa Bay - LA Angels over 8.5 @ 2.19 pinnacle Price is 2-1, with a 4.20 ERA and though he allowed 3 runs or less in his first three starts, the concern is that he has also allowed 17 runs and 9 walks in these games. He is 2-2 with a 4.37 ERA in 6 starts against the LA Angels, so they have had some success against him, and like them to score a few runs here. Santana is 0-3, with a 6.75 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in each of his first three starts, and has gone 5-5 with a 5.23 ERA against Tampa Bay. TB have scored 4+ runs in their last 5 matches, as well as in 5 of their 6 home games. LA Angels have been hitting much better on the road than at home, where they have scored 5+ runs in 5 of their 6 road games, compared to scoring 3 runs or less in 6 of their 10 home games. Like both teams to score here to send it over. Chicago Cubs - St Louis over 7.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Samardzija is 2-1, but with a high 5.71 ERA as he has allowed runs in each of his last two starts, giving up 5 runs on 10 hits in the 9-5 win at St Louis when opposing Wainwright, as well as 5 runs on 8 hits and 5 walks in the 5-3 loss at Miami. St Louis have Wainwright on the moound once again to pitch against Samardzija, and he has gone 0-3 with a very high 9.88 ERA, as he has allowed 3 runs on 4 hits in Milwaukee, 8 runs on 7 hits in the loss to St Louis and 4 runs on 7 hits in the loss to Cincinnati. Though he has pitched well in Chicago before, he is not he same player here as he was then, as the surgery he had last year on his elbow seems to be playing on his mind. The Cubs have scored 3+ runs in their last 3 games, as well as in 9 of their 11 home games, while giving up 4+ runs in 8 of their last 10 games, as well as in 5 of their 11 home games. The Cardinals have scored 3+ runs in 13 of their 17 games, including in 8 of their 11 road games. Like both teams to play their part with some runs here to send it over. Houston @ 2.28 pinnacle Norris is 1-0, with a 4.26 ERA as he allowed 4 runs on 10 hits in the 11-4 win over Washington, and though he is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in last 2 starts against Milwaukee, the Astros are a side that have been hanging in there against teams and can see them giving him more run support here. Wolf is 0-2, with a 8.80 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his 3 starts (total of 15 runs) and at least 7 hits in these starts (total of 25 hits). Though he has a very good recent record against Houston, going 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in 3 matchups last season, and is 4-0 with a 0.94 ERA in 4 home starts against them, recent form suggests they may get to him here. Houston just missed out last night against Milwaukee, but if Wolf continues to give up hits, and then run, then the Astros should give Norris enough run support to win this one Washington -1.5 @ 2.35 pinnacle Gonzalez is 1-0, with a 2.04 ERA as he has not allowed a run in either of his last two starts against Cincinnati and Houston, and allowed just two hits in each of these games. This is his first start against San Diego, and like him to do well here, as they are 1-6 this year against left handed pitchers, and have scored 2 runs or less in 5 of their last 7 home games, while the Washington pitchers have allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of their last 12 games. Richard is 1-1, with a 5.89 ERA as he 4 runs on 6 hits to the LA Dodgers and 8 runs on 10 hits in Colorado. He is 1-2 with a 3.48 ERA in 5 starts against Washington, who have averaged 4 runs in their 6 road games this season, and can see them doing enough here against Richard to cover the run line. Atlanta -1.5 @ 2.46 pinnacle Minor is 2-1, with a 3.10 ERA as he has allowed 1 runs and 7 hits in winning his last two starts. He has faced the Dodgers once before, where he allowed just the one run against them, and like his bats to give him some support here, as they have scored 4+ runs in 5 of their last 7 starts, as well as in 5 of their last 7 road starts. Harang is 1-1, with a 5.40 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his three starts this season, and is 1-3 with a 4.53 ERA against them. Like the Braves here to square the series here, as Harang has been hit quite well by several of the Braves batters in the past Record: 30-41 (+0.79)

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Re: MLB: April 24th 2012 Picks We're all in the positive :loon Phillies/Dbacks (Under 8 runs) 1pt @ 2.70 Bet365 Dbacks may have had 16 hits and 9 runs yesterday, butt hat shouldn't mask the fact they hit just .196 over their previous 6. They come up against Vance Worley, who went 11-3 with an ERA of just over 3 last season, and has started this season similarly well, 1-1 with an ERA of 2.37, and a season best last time allowing just 4 hits in 7 innings of a 2-0 win over the Padres. Taking the mound for the Dbacks, Collmenter has had an awful start to the season, but was more than adequate last season with an ERA of 3.38. He faces a pretty limp-performing Phillies offense tonight, and the game looks ripe for a low-scoring affair to me.

2012 record: 13-23 (+0.99)

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Re: MLB: April 24th 2012 Picks

We're all in the positive :loon Phillies/Dbacks (Under 8 runs) 1pt @ 2.70 Bet365

I'm not in the positive any more! Were just about on target after 6, but again the dangers of Unders betting - you can be screwed by 1 crazy inning, by a bullpen not on their game etc etc. I think I was seduced by it again, with the couple of good winners earlier in the month, when really I am against it. Never mind. Onwards and upwards

2012 record: 13-24 (-0.01)

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Re: MLB: April 24th 2012 Picks

Cleveland - Kansas over 8.5 @ 2.00 :( Baltimore - Toronto over 9.5 @ 2.09 :( Tampa Bay - LA Angels over 8.5 @ 2.19 :( Chicago Cubs - St Louis over 7.5 @ 2.02 :( Houston @ 2.28 :( Washington -1.5 @ 2.35 ;) Atlanta -1.5 @ 2.46 :( Needed another run
Can't seem to hit these totals Record: 31-47 (-3.86)
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