MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks

[AGurv]

13-12 +0.77 units (52%) Indians -115 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Looking for Masterson to bounce back after getting shelled last week by the White Sox. Also the Indians offense looks to be firing on all cylinders Mets +103 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes Looks like a steal to me at these odds

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks Houston @ 2.56 pinnacle Rodriguez is 0-1, with 2.38 ERA as he allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in the 6-3 loss to Atlanta last week, but is 3-0 with a 4.11 ERA in 5 starts at Washington. Opposing him is Gonzalez, who is 0-0 with 3.38 ERA, as he allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in the 7-4 win at Chicago in his season debut, and then allowed 2 hits in the 3-2 win over Cincinnati. Like the Astros here as they have been hitting well, and getting runners in scoring positions, but just fail to get them in for some RBIs. However as long as they keep doing this, the runs will eventually flow, and they did hit Strasburg pretty well yesterday too. With Houston winning 7 of Rodriguez's last 9 starts against Washington, and 4 of his last 5 starts in Washington, as well as winning 6 straight games against left handed pitching, then plenty of value on Houston winning this game. Minnesota +1.5 @ 2.08 pinnacle Liriano has struggled in his first two starts, allowing 6 runs on 7 hits in the 10-9 win over the LA Angels, and is 0-2 with a 4.24 ERA in 3 starts in NY. Sabathia has not fared much better as he allowed 4 runs on 8 hits as his batters also came to his aid to give them a 6-4 win over Baltimore. Though he has pitched well against the Twins, neither pitcher is in good form, and with both bats hitting well, then this could go either way. The Twins showed last night that they can be competitive and like them to keep this game pretty close Toronto -1.5 @ 2.43 pinnacle Romero has gone 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA in his two starts, as he allowed just one run on 3 hits in 8.1 innings as they beat Boston 3-1. He has won 3 of his 5 starts against TB with a low 2.02 ERA to show for it, as the TB bats are not hitting all that well, then can see him limiting them here. Niemann is 0-1, with a 5.40 ERA as he allowed 3 runs in the 7-2 loss to Detroit, and had a 6.35 ERA in 3 starts against Toronto last season, with Lind in particular hitting him well. Niemann is 3-1 in 6 starts in Toronto but has a high 5.21 ERA to go with it, so he has been helped by his batters to record those wins. With them out of form, then like the Toronto bats, who are coming off 9 runs on 13 hits in the 9-2 win over Baltimore, to do well here, and give Romero some run support NY Mets @ 2.05 pinnacle Santana is 0-1 with a 0.90 ERA as he allowed 1 run on 5 hits in the 4-0 loss to Washington. He has gone 3-5 with a very low 1.99 ERA in 11 starts against Atlanta, and gave up just two hits in the 1-0 win over them on the opening day of the season. Since then, they have been hitting well, and though he has not recieved much run support in the past, like the form they are in, and can see him getting some runs here. Delgado allowed 2 runs in the 6-3 win over Houston in his opening start, and faces the Mets for the first time, but with the Mets having won all 4 games against the Braves, and with the better pitcher, then like the value on them to win this one yet again. Chicago Cubs @ 2.58 pinnacle Dempster is 0-1, with a 1.88 ERA as he is coming off allowing both runs on 5 hits in 6.2 innings in the 2-1 loss at Milwaukee. He will look to continue his good form against the Marlins, where he has gone 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA in 6 starts against them. Johnson is 0-2, with a 8.38 ERA as he gave up 3 runs on 10 hits in the 4-1 loss to St Louis and then allowed 6 runs on 11 hits in the 7-1 loss to Philadelphia. He can pitch better, but has struggled to keep the hits and runs down. It does not get better as he is 0-1 with a 6.57 ERA in 2 starts against the Cubs, and with the Cubs winning 8 of their last 11 games against the Marlins, plenty of value on them here to win again. Baltimore @ 2.15 pinnacle Chen allowed 2 runs in 5.2 innings in the 5-4 loss to the New York Yankees, and heas yet to face the White Sox. Danks has gone 1-1, with a 5.40 ERA as he allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and 5 walks in the 10-6 win over Cleveland. He has struggled against Baltimore in his last two starts against them last year, allowing 10 runs in these games, and like him to have problems again, as the Orioles have been hitting left handed pitching pretty well this season. St Louis -1.5 @ 2.86 pinnacle Lohse has a low 1.35 ERA in winning both of his starts. He also has a low 2.00 ERA in winning his last 5 starts against them, which includes allowing 1 run in the 3-1 win over them last Tuesday. He is opposed by Cueto, who is 1-0, with a 2.25 ERA, as he allowed 3 runs in just 5 innings in the 4-3 win over St Louis last Wednesday. Like the Cardinals to win this, as their batters have the better hitting record against Cueto, and it looks like that Lohse has started the season off slightly better than Cueto. St Louis has won 5 of its last 7 games while Cincinnati has lost 5 of its last 7 games, so go with the form team Arizona -1.5 @ 2.20 pinnacle Kennedy is 2-0, with a 2.84 ERA as he allowed 1 run and struck out 9 batters in 6 innings in the 3-1 win at San Diego. At home he is 9-0 with a 1.88 ERA in 12 starts, and has gone 1-0 with a very low 0.64 in 2 starts against Pittsburgh. Karstens pitches for Pittsburgh and he is 0-1, with a 3.27 as he gave up 3 runs on 7 hits in the 3-2 loss to the LA Dodgers. The Pirates have struggled to hit so like Kennedy to have success again, while the Diamondbacks have scored 22 runs in winning all 4 starts at home Cleveland -1.5 @ 2.43 pinnacle Masterson is 0-1, with a 2.77 ERA as he allowed 2 hits against Toronto before allowing 5 runs in the 10-6 loss to the Chicago White Sox. Like him to bounce back here against Seattle, as he has gone 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in 5 starts against them. Millwood is 0-0, with a 1.50 ERA as he allowed 1 run on 4 hits in the 4-3 win over Texas. He has gone 4-2 with a 3.86 ERA against Cleveland. Both teams are in form, but like the Indians here, as they have won 10 of the last 12 games in Seattle, and have average jsut over 6 runs per game in these 12 games there. Furthermore, they have won each of Mastersons's 3 starts in Seattle, and have won 6 his last 8 road starts Oakland @ 2.71 pinnacle Ross went 2-2 with a 2.61 ERA in 6 starts last season for the Oakland and s 0-1 with a 2.53 ERA in 2 starts against the LA Angels, both in Anaheim. He allowed 4 hits in 7 innings as they lost 2-1 in the 10th innings. Haren has struggled so far this year, going 0-1, with a 6.97 ERA, and has allowed 8 runs on 20 hit. He is 0-2 with a 3.98 ERA in 3 starts against Oakland, as the Angels have lost his last 3 starts against them, and they have won just 3 of his last 9 starts overall. Plenty of value on the A's here to win this one Record: 15-25 (-4.18)

[jpffc]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks Boston v Texas Under 8.5 2.05 B365 10/10/ Texas have gone 9 unders in the last 10 and Boston are coming off a duck egg. Were pretty warm with the bat before the 1-0 loss to Tampa Bay but I cant seem them scoring to high in this one. Off to a good to start and key batsmen with high RBI's to start the season but I think they might just enter a small low scoring phase against Texas.

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks Nationals (-1.5) 1pt @ 2.35 Bet365 Gonzalez was much better last time against the Reds, pitching 7 innings of no-run ball - K'ing 7 and walking none. He didn't receive the run support necessary to obtain a decision, but that can be rectified tonight against a struggling Astros offense. A few of the Nationals bats, particularly Zimmerman, have enjoyed facing Rodriguez, and the Nationals really should have enough for a 2+ run victory. Orioles (-1.5) 1pt @ 2.85 Bet365 Looking to the Orioles to ride the wave of the last 3 innings in Chicago last night and follow up the 10-4 victory in 10. Chen made a more than satisfactory MLB debut against the Yankees last week and looks to hold a decent chance of getting his first decision against a White Sox side fielding John Danks on the mound. Fortunate to get a W on the board at Cleveland last week, he started last season 0-8 over his first 11 starts - and a punishing home loss, 4-10, to the Orioles was included in that start. Orioles look underestimated as dogs in this. Dodgers 1.5pt @ 2.11 Bet365 Dodgers (-4.5) 0.5pt @ 9.50 Bet365 I am prone to the odd 'crazy' bet lol. I do think the Dodgers and Billingsley deserve to be supported at odds-against tonight, Billingsley's posted solid stats in going 2-0 for his first 2 starts of the season, showing a 0.63 ERA. Opposing him on the mound will be Yovani Gallardo who got the decision with a good display at the Cubs last time, but who is 0-3 in 4 starts v the Dodgers lifetime with an ERA of 7.66. Dodgers riding a crest at the moment, and a small stake on them breaking out to a big win tonight looks worth it at 17/2.

2012 record: 8-15 (-0.63)

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks Padres/Rockies (under 9 runs) 1pt @ 2.40 Another unders bet, which I don't really like, but as with yesterday's in Arizona I like the value on offer. Anthony Bass gets the start again for the Padres, and he won both his starts against Colorado last season in the process of amassing an ERA of 0.69 against them over 5 apps. Jamie Moyer's kicked off the season with a pair of Ls to his name, but was better last time against the Giants at Coors, like him to hold the Padres offensively. Between the pair of them, I fancy Bass and Moyer to keep the run total in single digits

2012 record: 8-15 (-0.63)

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks

Boston v Texas Under 8.5 2.05 B365 10/10/ Texas have gone 9 unders in the last 10 and Boston are coming off a duck egg. Were pretty warm with the bat before the 1-0 loss to Tampa Bay but I cant seem them scoring to high in this one. Off to a good to start and key batsmen with high RBI's to start the season but I think they might just enter a small low scoring phase against Texas.

Still a small chance this comes in, but Lester's been truly atrocious tonight!! Just about to be pulled with bases loaded and 0 outs, 2-4 down top of the 3rd!! :puke

[jpffc]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks

Boston v Texas Under 8.5 2.05 B365 10/10/ Texas have gone 9 unders in the last 10 and Boston are coming off a duck egg. Were pretty warm with the bat before the 1-0 loss to Tampa Bay but I cant seem them scoring to high in this one. Off to a good to start and key batsmen with high RBI's to start the season but I think they might just enter a small low scoring phase against Texas.

Mid 3rd and its all over haha. Think thats the quickest ever loss in baseball for me. Lester had a shocker. Oh well thats gambling ;)

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks

Nationals (-1.5) 1pt @ 2.35 Bet365 Gonzalez gets the win despite a non-existent run support. 1-0 Orioles (-1.5) 1pt @ 2.85 Bet365 Baltimore get the win, but just by a single run, like Washington. 3-2 Dodgers 1.5pt @ 2.11 Bet365 Dodgers (-4.5) 0.5pt @ 9.50 Bet365 Whilst the team I have taken just for the win, without giving up the extra run, enter the bottom of the 9th with the lead but fail to keep it!! 3-4

Padres/Rockies (under 9 runs) 1pt @ 2.40 Turns out 'Unders' bets are the nuts! lol

2012 record: 9-19 (-3.23)

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: April 17th 2012 Picks

Houston @ 2.56 :eyes Minnesota +1.5 @ 2.08 :eyes Toronto -1.5 @ 2.43 :D NY Mets @ 2.05 :eyes Chicago Cubs @ 2.58 :eyes Baltimore @ 2.15 :D St Louis -1.5 @ 2.86 :eyes Needed another run Arizona -1.5 @ 2.20 :eyes Cleveland -1.5 @ 2.43 :eyes Needed another run Oakland @ 2.71 :D

Record: 18-32 (-6.89)