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kevshat

World Championship - April 21st - May 7th

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Re: World Championship - April 21st - May 7th Great call by all those on Carter and well done Russ for some eye-popping profit for the fortnight. :clap:clap Well, I lost my 2nd and final outright with the demise of Maguire yesterday. I had hoped that Mags' would have learned from past mistakes by now but alas he allowed Carter's gameplan to frustrate him and even admitted that he'd underestimated his opponent prior to the match. It seems some people never learn and I have my doubts whether he'll ever have a better opportunity to reach a world final in the future. On the plus side, Ronnie saw off a spirited Matthew Stevens and covered the handicap in doing so, leaving me +16.17 for the tournament now. Just the one for the final for me and, rather worryingly, I'm going against the majority view on here: 4pts - R O'Sullivan (-6.5 frames) to beat A Carter @ 2.25 with Paddy Power Fair play to Ali Carter, he got his tactics spot on against Maguire in the semi finals, frustrating his opponent with cautious (at times negative) safety play and waiting for the mistakes to come. It worked a treat and was, no doubt, partly the brain child of his mentor Peter Ebdon. The question is, will he adopt the same approach for the final and, if so, will it have the same effect on Ronnie? I'd suggest that the answer to the first part of the question is yes. If something is working, then why change it and, with a head to head record in major/televised tournaments that reads O'Sullivan 12-0 Carter, it's obvious that Ali's usual attacking gameplan has never been successful against the Rocket. As for the second part of the question, unfortunately for Ali, I think the answer will be no. Tactical players have bogged O'Sullivan down in the past, but rarely when he's playing at or close to his best, which he certainly has been over the last fortnight. The Rocket has been prepared to showcase his very underrated safety play when necessary and , bar the odd flash of petulance, he hasn't allowed himself to become frustrated and lose focus when things aren't going his way. With such a dominant head to head record against his opponent, I see no reason why that should change for the final, and I fully expect O'Sullivan to pull away from the Captain with a decisive run of frames at some point as he has done in every match he's played so far (he's recorded at least a 6 frame winning burst in all 4 rounds so far). That being the case, I'm happy to take an odds against punt on Ronnie winning this final no worse than 18-11. Good luck everyone and thanks to all the contributors to this thread over the last 2 weeks for a hugely enjoyable (and profitable!) read. :clap:clap

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Re: World Championship - April 21st - May 7th Ronnie O Sullivan vs Ali Carter under 30.5 frames 10/11 skybet under 5.5 50 breaks first session 4/5 skybet Ronnie O Sullivan first four frames 4/1 skybet well he is really the best snooker since his last world title so it is going to tough for his opponent i expect he will be nervous at first where Ronnie will be able to capitalize and win some quick frames with not many high breaks in the match

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Re: World Championship - April 21st - May 7th Last piece of housekeeping for me with the -6.5 frames handicap on the final coming in on the nose, it means I finish the tournament at +21.17 pts. Very happy with that considering just how unpredictable it turned out to be. Not a classic World Championship for me as, despite 71 centuries, I felt the standard wasn't as high as it's been in previous years, but nevertheless a thoroughly enjoyable fortnight. Once again, many thanks to all who contributed to this thread and congratulations to those who finished in profit. :ok

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Re: World Championship - April 21st - May 7th A poor final for me with both bets losing, missing out on the 25/1 Carter outright and Ronnie hitting a 141 that denies me a EW payout on a 50/1 shot. That said, I still finished at +29.11pts which I'm delighted about. Well done to everyone else who finished in profit, especially Western Skies with over 20pts profit and Kevshat who landed the EW spoils on a terrific 100/1 high break bet in Jamie Jones :ok

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