NCAAF Championship Week Picks

[AGurv]

College Football 2011-2012 Overall 36W-30L-1P +2.75 units (54.54%) Last week, was one of the worst weeks a person can possibly have. I might be worth a pretty serious fade. USF +2.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes I keep betting this team, and I keep losing that bet. Team has a ton of injuries. But once again, I feel that they will beat WVU. The home team usually wins in this series. I've managed to watch the last 4 WVU games, this team is not that good. They could have easily lost all 4 (they won 3).

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Championship Week Picks AG, now how you feel, had one of those weeks the week before :puke West Virginia -3.5 @ 2.18 pinnacle West Virginia averages 352 passing yards per game, and expect them to throw the ball over this SF secondary as they allow 245 passing yards per game, and allowed Louisville to pass for 241 yards and 3 TDs, so can see QB Smith playing even better here. Defensively, they are solid, allowing 20 and 21 points in their last two games, as they have allowed 197 passing yards and 138 rushing yards per game. South Florida have nothing to play for here, due to having lost 6 of their last 7 games, as they have had their problems on both sides of the ball. QB Daniels is likely to be out, as the offence has scored 24 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games, and while they have allowed less than 21 points in 4 of these games, they are being outplayed by the opposition. They have continued to have problems in turnovers and given the opposition to good field position to work with. Like the MOuntaineers to do enough here to win this game and give themselves a chance at a BCS bowl Record: 87-99 (-9.63)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Championship Week Picks West Virginia -3.5 @ 2.18 :( WVU wins by 3. Both AG and I lose Record: 87-100 (-10.63) Ohio @ 2.51 pinnacle Ohio averages 251 passing yards and 210 rushing yards per game as they have scored 29-43 in 4 of their last 4 of 5 games. They face a Northern Illinois defence that allows 240 passing yards and 182 rushing yards per game, and did allow 30 points to Buffalo, 60 points to Toledo and 38 points to Ball State so they do give up points. They have had their problems with teams who prefer to run the ball, and with Ohio looking to run it, with also the aim of giving their defence time to rest, than like their offence to do well here. Ohio's defence is pretty good in defending the run, as they allow124 rushing yards, as well as 227 passing yards per game. They have allowed 28 points or less in 9 of their 12 games, as well as in 4 of their last 5 games, so they will be primed for another good effort here, against the best offence in the MAC. NIU averages 233 passing yards and 255 rushing yards per game, as their balancd offence has scored 40+ points in 9 of their 12 games, as well as in 3 of their last 4 games. However they do face a very good defence, and with their own defence allowing teams to score on them, then like Ohio to keep pace with them. When a defensive stop is needed, putting my faith in Ohio to do that in the 4th quarter, and give them the opportunity to win the game for them. Oregon -32.5 @ 2.15 pinnacle Doubt that UCLA plays hard in this game. They got smacked 50-0 by USC last week, and now go to another tough place to play the best team in the PAC-12. With their coach also being fired from his job, hard to see him being motivated to do well in his last game for the team. Oregon should score at will, as they have averaged 220 passing yards and 291 rushing yards per game, and scored at least 41 points in 9 of their 12 games, which includes 6 of their last 7 at home. UCLA allows 234 passing yards and 178 rushing yards per game, and have allowed 38+ points in 4 of their last 6 road games. On the fliip side, UCLA have scored 19 points or less in their last 4 road games, while Oregon has allowed 21 points or less in 4 of their last 7 home games, but with a team that is looking like that it is done, then much like last weeks game, can see Oregon scoring, and winning easily here

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Championship Week Picks fade. Oklahoma +3.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Texas +3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Georgia +14 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes V. Tech -7 (+100) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes Wisconsin -9.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[Delmarva]

Re: NCAAF Championship Week Picks 1 ~ Syracuse, Wyoming, Baylor, BoiseSt, UtahSt, SanDiegoSt, LA-Monroe, Georgia, MichiganST 2 ~ Cincinnati,

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Championship Week Picks Ohio @ 2.51 :wall Gave up a 20 point lead at half time. Stupid play calling in the 4th quarter Oregon -32.5 @ 2.15 :@ Record: 87-102 (-12.63) Houston -13.5 @ 1.97 pinnacle Houston have scored at least 35 points in each of their 12 games as well as at least 48 points in 7 of their last 8 games. They have managed 445 passing yards and 164 rushing yards per game, as they have been far too good for the likes of Tulsa (48-16) and Southern Methodist (37-7) in the last two weeks. Southern Methodist could be in trouble here as they have allowed 28 points to East Carolina, 29 points to Central Florida, and 31 points to UAB in recent weeks. SM allow 221 passing yards and 117 rushing yards per game, but Houston have been demolishing teams all season and like them to score plenty of points here. SM average 262 passing yards and 208 rushing yards per game, and they will test this Houston defence, as they have scored at least 30 points in 9 of their 12 games, but they have scored 27-31 points in 4 of their last 6 games, and that may not be enough to stay with this Houston offence, that has been scoring quite easily. Also Houston's defence has improved of late as they have allowed 17 points or less in their last 4 games, so like Houston to do it on both sides of the ball. Wyoming -6.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Wyoming averages 216 passing yards and 182 rushing yards per game as they have scored at least 25 points in 4 of their last 6 games, and played reasonablly well last week against Boise State. This is a much easier game for them, as Colorado State have allowed at least 31 points in 7 of their last 8 games, giving up 179 passing yards but the real damage has been done on the ground, where they give up 235 rushing yards per game. On defence, Wyoming allows 208 passing yards and 227 rushing yards per game, but gave up 17 points Air Force to and 10 points to New Mexico prior to their loss to Boise State. Colorado State have struggled to score, as they have scored 21 points or less in 6 of their last 7 games, on 188 passing yards and 158 rushing yards per game. Not much for them to play for, and like Wyoming to continue their good form of late to win here Baylor -3.5 @ 2.10 pinnacle Baylor averages 360 passing yards and 217 rushing yards per game, as they have been very good at home, scoring at least 42 points in their 7 home games. Texas allows 203 passing yards and 96 rushing yards per game but in two games where their defence has been exposed, they did give up 55 points to Oklahoma and 38 points to Oklahoma State, and Baylor have shown that there is not much between them and these two teams on offence. On defence, while Baylor allows 272 passing yards and 199 rushing yards per game, and have given up 30-42 points in their last 4 games, their offence has won them the game. Texas averages 179 passing yards and 211 rushing yards per game, but have scored just 45 points in total in their last 3 games, and will need to score much more to get close to Baylor here - doubt that they do that. Boise State -48.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Boise State will look to end their home season on a big note as they face a very poor New Mexico defence that allows 232 passing yards and 256 rushing yards per game. They lost 52-3 at Arkansas, lost 49-7 at Nevada and lost 69-0 at TCU, so the better sides have run up a score on them. With Boise averaging 303 passing yards and 175 rushing yards per game, like QB Moore to pass all over this team. On defence, Boise State allow 200 passing yards and 126 rushing yards per game, and should be able to close down this NM offence that averages just 187 passing yards and 119 rushing yards per game. They have scored less than 14 points in 8 of their 11 games, while Boise State has allowed 21 points or less in 8 of their 11 games, but would not be surprised that Boise State shuts them out here. Virginia Tech -6.5 @ 1.91 pinnacle Virginia Tech have hit some form of late as their balanced offence averages 223 passing yards and 200 rushing yards per game, and have scored 30-38 points in 8 of their 11 games. Like them to do well here on Clemson who have allowed between 28 and 45 points in their last 6 games, as the wheels have started to fall off on their season. Clemson, after a very good start to the season, have lost 3 of their last 4 games, and scored 17 points or less in these 3 losses. They average 289 passing yards and 151 rushing yards per game but will have problems scoring on this VTech defence as they allow 203 passing yards and 99 rushing yards per game, and have given up 17 points or less in 8 of their 11 games. Clemson beat them 23-3 but now the form has reversed and VTech come into this game with the form. Like them to win this. Wisconsin -9.5 @ 1.96 pinnacle Wisconsin average 230 passing yards and 247 rushing yards per game, as they have scored between 35 and 62 points in 9 of their 12 games, and been winning quite easily in their last 4 games. Like them to get their revenge on Michigan State, who beat them 37-31 earlier in the year. Michigan State allows 164 passing yards and 103 rushing yards per game, and but Wisconsin (and Notre Dame) are the only teams to have score more than 31 points on this defence, and now that they have played them once, like them to be even more prepared to score on them. Michigan State averages 245 passing yards and 139 rushing yards per game, and have been scoring of late, getting between 31 and 55 points in 5 of their last 6 games. But Wisconsin allows 145 passing yards and and 134 rushing yards per game, and have not allowed more than 17 points in their last 4 games. Not much between them on defence, but Wisconsin's more balanced offence is good enough to win this one well.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Championship Week Picks Houston -13.5 @ 1.97 :@ Keenum shits the bed when the team really needed him Wyoming -6.5 @ 2.07 :( Baylor -3.5 @ 2.10 :D Boise State -48.5 @ 1.99 :( Won 45-0 and pulled QB Moore midway in the second half, which was the difference, especially when they were up 31-0 at half time. Virginia Tech -6.5 @ 1.91 :( From the early fumble that led to the TD, they were never in this game Wisconsin -9.5 @ 1.96 :( A bad week this week Record: 88-107 (-16.53)