NCAAB (2011/2012)

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Do you follow the NBA? (If they were to ever start their season)

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

Do you follow the NBA? (If they were to ever start their season)

I watch it but I don't bet on it :) I can only use livebet for some games as I watch them , but I never bet before the game starts. Because I can never know before the game who will play 100% and who will not. They are going to start on 25th I think...

[quote]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Charleston :wall

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

Charleston :wall

They could not rebound , everything else was ok :(

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Unlucky on the selection today. Tomorrow will be a winning day!!! :)

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I sure hope so . By the way stribs , great pick on boise state , thanks :clap I'm finishing a web site and I need people to test it with me , so if anyone is interested just send me an email , thanks.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) LBS +9.5 , 2.50 bet365 , 10units ( Kansas : Long Beach State ) - points per game 73:74 ; FG% 47:48 ; 3FG% 34:34 ; rebounds per game 38:35 ; turnovers per game 14:15. Kansas is weaker than last season but they do play well. They are just lacking that little bit extra to be a top team. Long Beach State Already played two similar teams. They won by 10 at Pittsburgh and lost by 13 at Louisville. Now the reasoning here is quite simple. Right now Kansas is not stronger than Louisville and not weaker than Pittsburgh so I have to take LBS not to lose in double digits. Also Kansas won by 10+ only once in three games against LBS.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Marquette -14AH , 3.10 bet365 , 10units ( Marquette : Washington ) - points per game 84:81 ; FG% 51:47 ; 3FG% 37:43 ; rebounds per game 39:43 ; turnovers per game 13:16. I'm basing this bet on two things. I watched Washington's previous game where they lost in OT but should've won by 10. They make too many TOs and don't have bench depth so if any of their top players gets into foul trouble they can't keep the pace , and if they want to get a result today they have to play strong defense so someone will foul out. Marquette can play good defense and they force lots of TOs and against a TO prone team that means at least 20 easy points. Marquette have better defense and that will decide the winner here as Washington will have their % well below their average and Marquette wins big at home. I'll double my stake on this one as I'm really confident Washington can not keep the pace defensively.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I'm leaving America today so won't be able to follow the basketball. So I have followed you strongly on Marquette -13.5! Good luck and i'll see you on the other side of the pond!

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

I'm leaving America today so won't be able to follow the basketball. So I have followed you strongly on Marquette -13.5! Good luck and i'll see you on the other side of the pond!

Welcome to Europe ! What's the occasion ?

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Iona -6.5 , 3.00 bet365 , 10units ( Denver : Iona ) - points per game 64:92 ; FG% 48:50 ; 3FG% 40:34 ; rebounds per game 25:37 ; turnovers per game 12:13. To be honest , once again I have no idea why the spread is set this low. Iona scored 89+ in 7 of their 8 games and they keep their opponents to 65-70 if the opponent is weaker and they allow 80-85 to stronger opponents. I consider Denver to be a weaker opponent. Denver does have good defensive record but they faced a tough opponent once and they broke ( lost by 21 at Carolina ). The only advantage I give Denver is home crowd but still I expect Iona to win in double digits. Xavier -9.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Butler : Xavier ) - points per game 68:74 ; FG% 41:48 ; 3FG% 32:43 ; rebounds per game 36:42 ; turnovers per game 13:15. Butler lost by 16 to Louisville and Indiana. Xavier won by 12 after OT at Vanderbilt. I expect Xavier to be dominant in the paint tonight and as a result they should limit Butler to shoot from midd and long range so they should score below their average. Also as a result of that dominance Xavier should shoot quite a few FTs. So as long as Butler don't go and shoot 50% and Xavier 30% this is a clear win for Xavier.

[JohnnyGG]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

Iona -6.5 ' date= 3.00 bet365 , 10units ( Denver : Iona ) - points per game 64:92 ; FG% 48:50 ; 3FG% 40:34 ; rebounds per game 25:37 ; turnovers per game 12:13. To be honest , once again I have no idea why the spread is set this low. Iona scored 89+ in 7 of their 8 games and they keep their opponents to 65-70 if the opponent is weaker and they allow 80-85 to stronger opponents. I consider Denver to be a weaker opponent. Denver does have good defensive record but they faced a tough opponent once and they broke ( lost by 21 at Carolina ). The only advantage I give Denver is home crowd but still I expect Iona to win in double digits. Xavier -9.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Butler : Xavier ) - points per game 68:74 ; FG% 41:48 ; 3FG% 32:43 ; rebounds per game 36:42 ; turnovers per game 13:15. Butler lost by 16 to Louisville and Indiana. Xavier won by 12 after OT at Vanderbilt. I expect Xavier to be dominant in the paint tonight and as a result they should limit Butler to shoot from midd and long range so they should score below their average. Also as a result of that dominance Xavier should shoot quite a few FTs. So as long as Butler don't go and shoot 50% and Xavier 30% this is a clear win for Xavier.

I see where those came from. I definitely agree with you.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Well Iona blew defensively and Xavier almost let it go in the end , so a bit lucky this time.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I'm from the UK, I have an American girlfriend so spend a lot of time there. It was much better screaming and shouting at ESPN when the basketball teams are losing. Marquette screwed me pretty hard, so i'll wait for one of your wonder picks again to get involved!

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) M -19.5 , 3.00 bet365 , 10units ( Massachusetts : Siena ) - points per game 76:58 ; FG% 42:40 ; 3FG% 32:30 ; rebounds per game 42:35 ; turnovers per game 15:14. I expect Massachusetts to win big tonight. They are good at home , they score 80+ points most the time. Siena rarely scores over 60 points in a game. Siena lost by 28 at Georgia Tech and there is not much difference between them and Massachusetts. At least 10 points more from the paint for Massachusetts should be enough of "bonus" points to win by 20+ F -33AH , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Florida : Rider ) - points per game 86:68 ; FG% 48:42 ; 3FG% 40:34 ; rebounds per game 42:28 ; turnovers per game 12:16. Florida has enough quality to win the first half by 40+ if they want to. Huge advantage in the paint and one thing that I like , they like to win by 30+ at home against weaker teams and Rider is a weak team. Not much to say , it's simple , Florida is way better team than Rider is this season.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) OS -19.5 , 3.00 bet365 , 10units ( Oregon State - Idaho ) - points per game 80:71 ; FG% 49:49 ; 3FG% 32:42 ; rebounds per game 32:34 ; turnovers per game 15:13. I saw Oregon state vs Vanderbilt and they played some top level basketball. So I'm confident they can dominate against an average Idaho team. Also Oregon State won by 25 against Montana and Idaho lost by 5 against Montana. Idaho is yet to lose by 20+ on road this season but their shooting stats are unreal so I expect them to lose big tonight because OS can play good defense.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) GS -16.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Georgia St - Rhode Island ) - points per game 70:70 ; FG% 43:41 ; 3FG% 31:28 ; rebounds per game 40:39 ; turnovers per game 12:16. Georgia State simply is the better ot the two. Rhode Island won just one game so far and it looks they are not getting any better as the season goes on. Georgia State played some tough games and did good so I have to pick them to blowout Rhode Island. BYU -27.5 , 2.55 bet365 , 10units ( Georgia St - Rhode Island ) - points per game 70:70 ; FG% 43:41 ; 3FG% 31:28 ; rebounds per game 40:39 ; turnovers per game 12:16. Georgia State simply is the better ot the two. Rhode Island won just one game so far and it looks they are not getting any better as the season goes on. Georgia State played some tough games and did good so I have to pick them to blowout Rhode Island. WC moneyline , 4.20 bet365 , 10units ( W Carolina - Kent St ) - points per game 67:70 ; FG% 41:46 ; 3FG% 33:37 ; rebounds per game 34:34 ; turnovers per game 14:17. I already lost once betting on W Caroline but I really think they have a good chance to win this game. Kent St has some good wins so far but they are not stronger than Purdue that's for sure. W Carolina had a good game against Purdue and came close to winning that one. Home side improved a lot since I last watched them , and they are now a good defending team and can make any game a close one. Kent St would be the favourites on their home ground but not on road. A moneyline , 3.20 bet365 , 10units ( Oklahoma - Arkansas ) - points per game 78:81 ; FG% 46:45 ; 3FG% 41:36 ; rebounds per game 40:40 ; turnovers per game 13:13. One main reason for this bet. Oklahoma have not been tested many times so far this season , while Arkansas played some of the toughest games possible this season and did fine. They lost on road to Connecticut by 13 and won against Oakland by 23. Close game but because of more tough games I pick Arkansas to edge this one. P -29.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Purdue - E Michigan ) - points per game 76:58 ; FG% 45:38 ; 3FG% 37:27 ; rebounds per game 36:33 ; turnovers per game 10:14. No questions who is the beter team here. Purdue underperformed a few nights ago so I expect them to be better than their average tonight. E Michigan lost by 30+ against both strong teams they played so this game has good chances of being a 30+ win. IC -16.5 , 3.30 bet365 , 10units ( Illinois Chicago - N Illinois ) - points per game 66:54 ; FG% 40:35 ; 3FG% 33:29 ; rebounds per game 42:37 ; turnovers per game 18:18. To be honest both teams suck. But N Illinois really suuuucks. They lost all of their road games in double digits this season. IC at least make a few of their defeats close games. One class better team wins tonight and that is IC. MT -25.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Mid Tennessee - Tennessee Martin ) - points per game 78:58 ; FG% 53:40 ; 3FG% 44:29 ; rebounds per game 37:34 ; turnovers per game 16:18. My bet of the day. MT wins by 15-20 points most the games they are favourites to win. But TM is just much weaker than most of those teams so 30+ win is likely here. I'm going to watch some local basketball now , and when I come back I will post more picks

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) NM -7.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( USC - New Mexico ) - points per game 55:73 ; FG% 43:44 ; 3FG% 29:37 ; rebounds per game 29:40 ; turnovers per game 13:15. USC does not have enough players to use in rotation and that is the only reason they are this bad. New Mexico can rest some players for the final of this game and I see this as their easy win. USC rarely scores more than 60 and NM is regularly over 70. N -5.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( TCU - Nebraska ) - points per game 73:67 ; FG% 44:45 ; 3FG% 31:36 ; rebounds per game 34:36 ; turnovers per game 17:14. Nebraska has the edge in every category so I will choose them over TCU. Both teams played some tough games and did well. But I have to admit I like Nebraska better since they played well against Creighton and Oregon. WK moneyline , 3.60 bet365 , 10units ( IUPUI - Western Kentucky ) - points per game 71:58 ; FG% 41:37 ; 3FG% 32:27 ; rebounds per game 36:36 ; turnovers per game 12:19. Another close one that can swing either way. I bet on IUPUI a couple of times ad both times they played awful , could not defend once and could not make any clear shooting positions , so I learned my lesson with them. WK have played good basketball recently , especially in defense. WK by 5-10. SF -16.5 , 3.30 bet365 , 10units ( San Francisco - Pacific ) - points per game 72:63 ; FG% 46:40 ; 3FG% 35:30 ; rebounds per game 37:34 ; turnovers per game 15:15. SF plays fast paced basketball so they should not have trouble winning by 15+ against a weaker team like Pacific. SF played quite a few close games but those were games they were mostly expected to lose. Pacific lost by 20+ a few times and to slightly stronger teams than SF , so 15 points is about right for this one. M -25.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Marquette - Green Bay ) - points per game 84:60 ; FG% 50:39 ; 3FG% 37:27 ; rebounds per game 38:38 ; turnovers per game 12:14. Marquette is one of the best shooting teams and one of the best defenses as well. Last time I said that they had the worst defensive game this season , so I hope they make it right this time. Green Bay lost by 25+ to all strong teams they played so far and there is no reason why not to lose by 25+ tonight. T -25.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Texas A&m - Louisiana Monroe ) - points per game 64:63 ; FG% 47:44 ; 3FG% 29:40 ; rebounds per game 42:30 ; turnovers per game 15:12. If Texas A&M scores 60+ points tonight chances are they will cover the spread because they rarely allow their opponents to score over 50 points in a game. UL Monroe is a weak team and they will not allow the spread to go much over the one I set but I really believe they will not cover it tonight. S -23.5 , 2.50 bet365 , 10units ( Syracuse - George Washington ) - points per game 80:63 ; FG% 47:43 ; 3FG% 35:42 ; rebounds per game 39:35 ; turnovers per game 12:15. Syracuse is the best team after Ohio State I watched this season. The spread for this game is set very low and Syracuse will cover without any problems , maybe in the first half alone. GW is and average team and they lost by 20+ against weaker teams than Syracuse.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) SC ml , 3.15 bet365 , 10units ( Washington St - Santa Clara ) - points per game 71:73 ; FG% 47:40 ; 3FG% 34:36 ; rebounds per game 35:39 ; turnovers per game 16:13. There is not much difference between these two teams. Both teams lost to stronger teams but Santa Calra is just a tiny bit better than washington State. They can rebound better in offense and they make fewer mistakes in general so I pick them to win tonight. Davis +6.5 , 2.50 bet365 , 10units ( Hawaii - UC Davis ) - points per game 68:67 ; FG% 42:44 ; 3FG% 30:36 ; rebounds per game 36:29 ; turnovers per game 16:16. Most teams that play at Hawaii are enjoying Hawaii and not focusing 100% on basketball , and can you blame them :) UC Davis lost by 20 points to most good teams they played so far , and Hawaii is definitely not as strong so a closer game is probable and it would not be surprising if Davis won this one. Alabama -18.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Alabama - Detroit ) - points per game 67:76 ; FG% 45:47 ; 3FG% 27:29 ; rebounds per game 38:36 ; turnovers per game 12:13. Alabama won against some really good teams by 8-17 so they are a quality team. I watched thema couple of times and they are a quality side. They lost last two games so the spread is set lower for this one and I'll take it gladly. Detroit is nothing special. They lose against stronger teams by 6+. Alabama is their toughest challenge yet and I do believe Alabama wins by 20-25 Riverside ml , 3.15 bet365 , 10units ( Montana State - Riverside ) - points per game 81:53 ; FG% 47:38 ; 3FG% 37:29 ; rebounds per game 36:33 ; turnovers per game 12:13. Montana State has better stats because they played quite a few lower division teams so they were dominant in those games and had a lot of easy shots. Riverside on the other hand did not have many easy game and they did lose a lot of their games but they have rarely allowed over 60 points in a game and I think that in a low scoring game they have better chance tonight. Iona -4.5 , 3.00 bet365 , 10units ( Marshall - Iona ) - points per game 68:91 ; FG% 42:51 ; 3FG% 25:35 ; rebounds per game 42:36 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Iona is simply a much better team here. They lost only to Purdue in their opening game this season. Marshall also have some good wins and they lost by only 6 at Syracuse but That was Syracuse's worst offensive performance this season. Iona can Outscore Marshall and is the reason for this bet.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) W -17AH , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Milwaukee - Wisconsin ) - points per game 65:68 ; FG% 43:45 ; 3FG% 34:40 ; rebounds per game 37:37 ; turnovers per game 13:9. Wisconsin is now the best defensive team. Their points allowed average is amazing. They should dominate this game for a few reasons. First there is that famous defense and the fact that they rarely allow teams to score over 50 points so Milwaukee could have their worst shooting performance of the season. Also Wisconsin makes very few turnovers and shoot the threes very well. Milwaukee played against two slightly stronger teams than the teams they usualy play against and they lost by 13 and 16. Wisconsin is better than those two teams. The only thing I'm a bit worried about is the fact that this will be Wisconsin's road game and their only previous road game came against North Caroline. But based on that game there will not be much difference from their normal performance so they should cover the spread.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) unlv -24AH , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( unlv - utep ) - points per game 80:59 ; FG% 47:44 ; 3FG% 36:32 ; rebounds per game 39:32 ; turnovers per game 13:15. I don't have much to say about this game. UNLV scores a lot of points in most of their home games and UTEP does not on their road games. UNLV won against #1 team at home by 10 so I really can not find a single reason no matter how hard I try to why they shouldn't win by 20+ in this game. UTEP has few players in rotation so if they get into foul trouble early this could be even a 35-40 win for the home side.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) W -31.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Wisconsin - Savannah State ) - points per game 67:61 ; FG% 45:42 ; 3FG% 40:33 ; rebounds per game 37:34 ; turnovers per game 8:16. Wisconsin is now the best defensive team. Their points allowed average is amazing. They should dominate this game for a few reasons. First there is that famous defense and the fact that they rarely allow teams to score over 50 points. Also Wisconsin makes very few turnovers and shoot the threes very well. These two teams met just once and Wisconsin won by 47 , and Savannah State lost by 37 on average against all ranked teams they played so far.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Couldn't find the UNLV game so got on Wisconsin -25 as well. Great result! :cigar Find me your pick of the day and ill try and make some money of your better odds.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

Couldn't find the UNLV game so got on Wisconsin -25 as well. Great result! :cigar Find me your pick of the day and ill try and make some money of your better odds.

I would suggest you parlay : California -10AH (ncaab) , Hamburg -1AH (football). That's around 3.00 so I reckon that's the best choice for tomorrow and I will bet that. Maybe add Chelsea , they should win as well but it's up to you. Good luck ! ;)

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) C -23AH , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( California - Weber St ) - points per game 72:80 ; FG% 48:44 ; 3FG% 43:39 ; rebounds per game 38:39 ; turnovers per game 13:12. When I look at the stats it looks like Weber St should win this game. But then I look at these two teams' results and it's clear that California is huge favourite here. Weber St can not hold their lead because they have poor defensive play and no matter how good their shooting is they just suck at the back. California improved their defense and is capable of holding WS under 70 which should be enough to win by 15 at least because WS already lost against two teams of similar quality as C by 20+ on average.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Where did you go.... I'm having to pick winners myself!

[bookiebasher]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Yes Stribs..i wondering the same thing on the whereabouts of Weakestlink...since i got E.S.P.N. put on my cable in Oxfordshire i frequently stay up watching the collage hoops and having a bet...i often followed Weakestlinks tips but i would normally tease the handicaps a bit to be more sure of collecting...to good effect i might add...anyways..wherever you are Weakestlink hope all is cool with you and look forward to seeing your tips again soon :clap

[Deksii]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) WeakestLink,do you have some bet for tonight?

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Hes probably enjoying the festive season! :beer

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Hi everybody :clap Sorry I was busy analysing my bets. I will change my style so you should not expect more than 3 picks on any given night any more. Also I was testing my website I'll be launching it around Jan 10, 2012. You'll all receive invitations of course. Let's make some profit :drums