NCAAF Week Twelve Picks

[AGurv]

College Football 2011-2012 Overall 32W-18L-1P +12.05 units (64.00%) Disappointing week last week...went 3-3 but expected better Iowa -2.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Think you are getting good value here with a team that is 0-3 on the road, but Purdue coming off a biggish win, I think they come out sluggish and Iowa easily wins.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Northern Illinois -19.5 @ 2.14 pinnacle Northern Illinois did it easily last week against Bowling Green as they won 45-14 at Bowling Green. Their offence averages 236 passing yards and 250 rushing yards per game and have scored 40+ points in 7 of their 9 games. Ball State allows 281 passing yards and 210 rushing yards per game and have allowed 31+ points in their 4 road games. Though NI struggle on defence, believe they will do enough to make a few stops on a Ball State offence that averages 233 passing yards and 143 rushing yards per game. Doubt that Ball State can keep up with this potent NI offence and can see a good win by the home side here as they look to stay on top of their division Record: 74-78 (-2.89)

[Stribs]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks .

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Maryland +10.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes The team is just 2-8, but I dont see any justification for why this line would be so high. I think Maryland is gonna be hanging on this game and we could see an upset.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Northern Illinois -19.5 @ 2.14 :@ Over 300 yards more of offence and they just end up winning. That fumble return for a TD when they were driving toward Ball State's line was telling as it was a 14 point turnaround and they were always chasing from then on. Record: 74-79 (-3.89) Miami (Ohio) - Western Michigan over 60.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Miami averages 280 passing yards but just 77 yards on the ground, as they have scored 35+ points in their last 3 home games. They beat Army 35-28 on 342 passing yards and 181 rushing yards; beat Buffalo 41-13 on 313 passing yards and 128 rushing yards; and beat Akron 35-3 on 215 passing yards and 168 rushing yars per game. Western Michigan's defence allows an averge of 212 passing yards and 237 rushing yards per game as they allowed 385 passing yards and 419 rushing yards in the 63-60 loss at Toledo last week and allowed 335 passing yards and 220 rushing yards in the 45-35 win against Ball State the week before, so their defence does give up plenty of yards, and have allowed 35+ points in 43 of their last 4 games. On offence, WMU average 318 passing yards and 125 rushing yards per game, as they have scored 108 points in their last two games, with 548 passing yards and 87 rushing yards on Toledo and 465 passing yards and 145 rushing yards on Ball State. Miami's defence allows 171 passing yards and 175 rushing yards per game, and while they have played well in their last 3 games, they are up against a very good QB who will be throwing the ball all game, and Miami did allow 228 passing yards and 269 rushing yards in the 49-28 loss at Toledo, so they will have a tough time against this pass happy offence. Two good QBs go at it here and should be some quick scoring leading to a high scoring game Ohio -7.5 @ 2.11 pinnacle Ohio's balanced offence averages 261 passing yards and 203 passing yards per game, as they have scored 35+ points in winning their 3 last games and they have also scored 37+ points in their last 3 road games. Ohio had 218 passing yards and 309 rushing yards in the 43-28 win at Central Michigan last week, 281 passing yards and 240 rushing yards in the 35-31 home win over Temple in the week before and then 344 passing yards and 212 rushing yards in the 37-20 win in Akron three weeks ago. Bowling Green allows 208 passing yards and 200 rushign yards, and like Northern Illinois's offence who had 340 passing yards and 283 rushing yards in the 45-14 win over BG last week, like Ohio to have similar numbers here. Ohio's defence allows 212 passing yards and 131 rushing yards per game, as they allowed 362 passing yards and just 62 rushing yards to CMU, 129 passing yards and 308 rushing yards to Temple, allowed 168 passing yards and 81 rushing yards to Akron. BG's offence averages 267 passing yards and 124 rushing yards per game, and had 255 passing yards and 79 rushing yards against NI last week, and doubt that they will do much better this week against this Ohio defence. Ohio look better on both sides of the ball.

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Gonna pile in to the >99.5 on the Toledo @ C Mich game bc? :lol

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Miami (Ohio) - Western Michigan over 60.5 @ 1.98 :( Ohio -7.5 @ 2.11 :( These MAC games are crazy. Harder to pick than a broken nose. SS: would not be surprised that the Toledo game goes under 20 points with the way these games are going against the pattern of their recent games Record: 74-81 (-5.89) Virginia Tech -10.5 @ 2.09 pinnacle Expect VTech to do the job here as they could clinh the Coastal division with a win, otherwise they have to play Virginia next week to decide who goes to the ACC Championship gamel. Their balanced offence averages 226 passing yards and 207 rushing yards per game, and have scored 30+ points in 4 of their last 5 games. North Carolina allows 248 passing yards and 108 rushing yards per game, and have lost 3 of their 4 road games, losing by 13+ in their last two road games. Not much to play for here, and like VTech to do the job on them, as their own defence looks much better than what NC have, and like them to hold the NC offence. Southern Mississippi -23.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Southern Mississippi average 259 passing yards and 199 rushing yards per game, and hard to see UAB stopping them when they allow 293 passing yards and 195 rushing yards per game. SM have scored 30+ points in 6 of their last 7 games while UAB's defence have allowed 150 in their last 3 games. This looks similar to the Houston game for UAB, as they allowed 488 passing yards and 166 rushing yards in the 56-13 home loss to them, and while SM will probably have a more balanced passing and running game, they should still get similar total yardage here. UAB averages 239 passing yards and 117 rushing yards and face a good SM defence that allows 224 passing yards and 121 rushing yards per game. They had 154 passing yards and 115 rushing yards against Houston, but SM has an even better defence, so like them to do well on both sides of the ball in a blowout game for them. Staying away from the Marshall - Memphis game

[Delmarva]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Can contribute now... posting some system data been good in past... 1 or 2 unit plays only Sat 19-Nov-11 1 ~ Northwestern, Purdue, MichiganState, Connecticut, FloridaState, Kentucky,Wyoming, Washington, Stanford, EastCarolina, Cincinnati, Houston, Arkansas, 2 ~ NotreDame, SanJoseState, SouthFlorida, USC, SanDiegoState NCF Friday 18-Nov-11 1~IowaSt NCF Thurs 17-Nov-11 2~VaTck 1~So.Miss NFL Pass If I should be in own thread, thats fine too, someone just let me know how it works best here...

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Virginia Tech -10.5 @ 2.09 :@ Up by 17 points with 3 minutes to go and looking comfortable and then give up 2 TDs Southern Mississippi -23.5 @ 1.99 :( Record: 74-83 (-7.89) Central Michigan +14.5 @ 1.94 pinnacle CMU average 278 passing yards and only 116 rushing yards per game, as they have scored between 21 and 28 points in their last 6 games. Toledo's secondary is bad, as they have allowed 279 passing yards while only allowing 129 rushing yards per game. But they have allowed 63 points in each of their last two games, and go on the road where they have lost 3 of their 4 road games. They allowed Western Michigan to pass for 548 yards (and run for only 87 yards last week) so expect another heavy does of passing from CMU on this porous secondary. Toledo averages 272 passing yards and 218 rushing yards per game, and should have no problems in getting yards and points on this CMU defnece that allows 238 passing yards and 184 rushing yards per game. Toledo had 385 passing yards and 419 rushing yards against Western Michigan but they have had problems in looking after the ball and would not be surprised that CMU does get a turnover or two here. While Toledo has more to play for and should win this, like CMU to do enough to keep this close Oklahoma State -27.5 @ 2.01 pinnacle The number two ranked Oklahoma State have a bye ater this game, and with two weeks to prepare for their big game with OKlahoma, then doubt that they will hold back here. They average 394 passing yards per game and run for 144 yards per game, and like them to do well on this Iowa State defence that allows 217 passing yards and 203 rushing yards per game. OkState have scored 50+ points in their last 3 games, so their offence is clicking right now, and this is the best offence that Iowa State will have seen this year. Iowa State averages 210 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game, and they average 24 points per game. Though OkState's defence allows 256 passing yards and 186 rushing yards per game, they have allowed 24 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games. Iowa State have only once scored more than 17 points in their last 4 games, and in order to stay with Ok State, they will have to do much better than that. Hard to see them do that, and like Ok State to run away with this game.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks

If I should be in own thread' date=' thats fine too, someone just let me know how it works best here...[/quote'] Easier to keep it all in one thread. GL :cheers

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Central Michigan +14.5 @ 1.94 :( Oklahoma State -27.5 @ 2.01 :@ Not getting much right this week. Record: 74-85 (-9.89) Wisconsin -14.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Wisconsin averages 249 passing yards and 250 rushing yards per game, as they have scored 42+ points in 7 of their 10 games. Though Illinois has a good defence that allows 173 passing yards and 115 rushing yards per game, they have allowed 31+ points in 2 of their last 3 home games as Michigan last week had 139 passing yards and 223 rushing yards in the 31-14 win over them. Wisconsin's defence has been good this year as they have allowed 17 points or less in 8 of their 10 games. They face a struggling Illinois defence that has scored 14 points or less in their last 4 games. They had just 177 pasing yards and 37 rushing yards in the loss to Michigan, and like Wisconsin to contain them here Michigan - Nebraska under 49.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Michigan averages 190 passing yards and 231 passing yards per game, though they have scored 31+ points in 5 of their 6 home games, they face a very good Nebraska defence that allows 191 passing yards and 161 rushing yard per game. They have allowed 14 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games, as well as 3 of their last 4 road games, so they do tend to keep it close. Nebraska averages 171 passing yards and and 233 rushing yrads per game but they have scored 25 points or less in their last 3 games. They facea good Michigan defence that has allowed 14 points or less in 5 of their 6 home games, as well as 24 points or less in 8 of their 10 games overall. With both teams liking to run the ball, then expect them to chew up the clock, but they also face two good defences with plenty at stake as they look to win and improve their chances of playing in the Big Ten Championship. Georgia -31.5 @ 2.08 pinnacle Georgia averages 250 passing yards and 188 rushing yards per game as they have scored 45+ points in their last two home games. Kentucky allows 195 passing yards and 198 rushing yards per game as they have allowed 35+ points in their last 3 away games. Georgia's defence allows just 186 passing yards and 87 rushing yards per game, as they have allowed 20 points or less in 5 of their last 6 games. They should not have too many problems with this Kentucky offence that averages 147 passing yards and 127 rushing yards per game, and have scored 8 points or less in their last 3 road games. With a win here, Georgia wraps up a spot in the SEC Championship, and like them to continue their dominant form of their last few weeks. Houston -20.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Houston have averaged 456 passing yards and 173 rushing yards per game, as they have scored 56+ points in 6 of their last 7 games, which includes their last 4 home games. They are up against a Southern Methodist defence that has allowed 216 passing yards and 129 rushing yards per game, and have allowed 24+ points in their last 4 games but they are up against a very good defence that should be able to score freely here. SMU's offence averages 292 passing yards and 121 rushing yards per game but they have managed to score just 17 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games, and they face a Houston defence that has allowed 17 points or less in 4 of their last 7 games. While SMU may get some points on this defence, hard to see them keeping up with this Houston offence, given that Oklahoma State's defeat yesterday gives them a sniff of a National Championship game Arkansas - Mississippi State under 51.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Arkansas average 311 passing yards and 144 rushing yards per game as they have scored 38+ points in their 7 home games, and this being their last home game of the regular season, they will be looking to finish it off in style once again. They face a Mississippi State defence that has allowed 186 passing yards and 167 rushing yards per game, as well as only once allowing more than 24 points in their 10 games this season. On defence, Arkansas allows 203 passing yards and 172 rushing yards per game as they have allowed 28 points or less in their last 5 games. Doubt that this MissState side will score anywhere near that amount as they have scored 21 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games, as they average 204 passing yards and 170 rushing yards per game. Expect Arkansas to tune up for next weeks game with LSU by dominating this game on both sides of the ball, but doubt it will be a high scoring game. Tulsa -14.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Tulsa's offence averages 252 passing yards and 209 rushing yards per game, as they have scored 37+ points in 5 of their last 6 games. They face a UTEP defence that allows 251 passing yards and 183 passing yards per game, and have allowed 31+ points in recent losses to Southern Mississippi and Rice. Tulsa defence allows 273 passing yards and 133 passing yards per game. They have not allowed more than 20 points in their last 5 games, and like them to contain a UTEP offence that averages 219 passing yards and 163 passing yards per game as they have scored 22 and 13 points in their last two home games. Like Tulsa to win the battle on both sides of the ball Missouri - Texas Tech over 67.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Missouri averages 248 passing yards and 235 rushing yards per game, as they have scored 38+ points in 3 of their last 5 games. They face a Texas Tech defence that allows 229 passing yards and 242 rushing yards per game, and have allowed 34+ points in their last 8 games. Texas Tech averages 343 passing yards and 132 passing yards per game as they have scored 34+ points in 7 of their 10 games. They facea Missouri defence that has allowed 258 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game, and has given up 31+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. Missouri's last 4 of 5 games have gone over this total, while TT have gone over this total in 8 of their last 9 games, so can see this being a high scoring game.

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Just real quick... Tennessee -1 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Washington -1 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes PSU +7 (-120) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes South Florida -1 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes USC +15 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Wisconsin -14.5 @ 1.99 :( Michigan - Nebraska under 49.5 @ 2.02 :( Georgia -31.5 @ 2.08 :( Houston -20.5 @ 2.00:D Arkansas - Mississippi State under 51.5 @ 2.02 :( Tulsa -14.5 @ 2.07 :D Missouri - Texas Tech over 67.5 @ 2.03 :( Record: 76-90 (-12.82) Stanford -17.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Expect Stanford to bounce back here as their balanced offence that averages 279 passing yards and 215 rushing yards per game, will do well here, as they have scored 37+ points in 9 of their 10 games. While California allows 199 passing yards and 120 rushing yards per game, they have allowed 31+ points in their 4 road games, while they have only scored no more than 15 points in their last two road games. Though California averages 250 passing yards and 167 rushing yards, expect this Stanford defence to stand up here as they have allowed 21 points or less in 8 of their 10 games BYU - New Mexico State over 61.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle BYU averages 234 passing yards and 165 rushing yards per game as they take on a New Mexico State defence that allows 259 passing yards and 208 rusing yards per game. BYU has scored 38+ points in 3 of their last 4 games while NMSt has allowed 45+ points in their last 4 games. However NMSt have shown that they can score too as they have scored 31+ points in 5 of their last 6 games as they average 302 passing yards and 123 rushing yards per game, while BYU allows 194 passing yards and 132 passing yards per game. While BYU should dominate this game, like NMSt to play their part to send this over Hawaii - Fresno State over 64.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Hawaii averages 313 passing yards and 104 rushing yrds per game as they have scored 31+ points in their last 4 home games. Fresno State allows 262 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game, as they have allowed 36+ points in 7 of their 10 games which includes 4 of their 5 road games. FStU averages 266 passing yards and 137 rushing yards per game, as they have scored 31+ points in 3 of their last 4 games, as well as their last 3 road games. Hawaii allows 245 passing yards and 128 rushing yards per game as they have 28+ points in 4 of their last 5 games, allowed 34+ in their last 2 home games. Expect both teams to throw this ball around and score in the 30's to send this one over

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Stanford -17.5 @ 1.98 BYU - New Mexico State over 61.5 @ 1.98 :( Hawaii - Fresno State over 64.5 @ 1.99 :( Awful this week :$ Record: 76-93 (-15.82)

[JohnnyGG]

Re: NCAAF Week Twelve Picks Been really a tough week, really. Just below .500