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Xtc12

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On 2/16/2021 at 8:17 AM, Xtc12 said:

Jack Valentine 13.15 Catterick 27 Pts Win @ 11\10 (bog)

3rd - chased leaders, outpaced 11th, well beaten when not fluent 3 out, left in distant 3rd 2 out, kept on

Chantry House 13.05 Wetherby 28 Pts WIn @ 8\11 (bog)

Third in Supreme Novice at Cheltenham last March. Winning start over fences at Ascot (19f) in November and perhaps best not judged too harshly on Cheltenham defeat since. Remains smart prospect. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Chantry House 13.05 Wetherby 28 Pts WIn @ 8\11 (bog)

1st @ 4\5 - always prominent, led 3 out, nudged along flat, readily

Chameron 15.15 Leicester 28 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)

Useful before going the wrong way for Paul Nicholls but back on track when easily landing a couple of points early last year. Makes plenty of appeal starting out in hunters. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Chameron 15.15 Leicester 28 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)

1st @ 10\11 -  chased leaders, led 10th, not fluent and headed 3 out, challenged last, soon edged left and led, stayed on

Protektorat 13.50 Kelso 28 Pts WIn @ 4\11 (bog)

Useful hurdler who has made excellent start chasing, impressive winner at Carlisle and Cheltenham before runner-up in Dipper Chase at Wincanton (2m4f). Should stay this longer trip, and one to beat. 

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On 2/19/2021 at 7:58 AM, Xtc12 said:

Protektorat 13.50 Kelso 28 Pts WIn @ 4\11 (bog)

2nd -  jumped right, made most until 10th, struggling when mistake 4 out, landed awkwardly and well beaten from 3 out

Hell Red 13.38 Wincanton 29 Pts WIn @  4\9 (bog)

Second at Auteuil (for Guillaume Macaire) and easily went one better in a Chepstow juvenile. Reportedly made a noise when pulled up in Grade 2 next time and has since had a wind op. Also tongue tied. 

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**Took a bad hit the last two days just as I was getting back on track to make a profit.

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Hell Red 13.38 Wincanton 29 Pts WIn @  4\9 (bog)

3rd - prominent, pushed along before 2 out, 3rd and held when not fluent last, no extra flat

Ginto 17.10 Navan 30 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)

Promising individual. 4/9, second of 8 in bumper at Fairyhouse (16.5f, heavy) on NH debut 49 days ago, unsuited by emphasis on speed. Likely to go one better. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Ginto 17.10 Navan 30 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)

1st @ 5\6 -  disputed lead, headed before halfway and soon off pace disputing 2nd, disputed moderate 4th approaching straight, soon closed, led over 2f out, asserted and stayed on well final furlong

Fortunes Melody 14.50 Southwell 30 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Useful ex-French hurdler who was runner-up in Grade 2 company at Auteuil (17.9f, soft) when last seen in November. Providing all is well, she will take plenty of stopping on debut for new yard here. 

 

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On 2/22/2021 at 8:21 AM, Xtc12 said:

Fortunes Melody 14.50 Southwell 30 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

2nd - raced wide prominent, led approaching 2 out, ridden and found nil soon after and headed, left poor 2nd at last

The Widdow Maker 13.30 Taunton 31 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

Much improved when third under positive tactics in a novice at Wincanton last time and boasts excellent claims of opening his account against lesser opposition in a first-time hood. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

The Widdow Maker 13.30 Taunton 31 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 13\8 - raced out wide, made all, clear from 3 out, stayed on well, unchallenged

Robinshill 16.45 Ludlow 29 Pts WIn @ 11\10 (bog)

Superbly prepared back from 10 months off, winning all 3 starts in the autumn (2 here) over hurdles and fences. Lower mark over these obstacles is justified but still demands respect.

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On 2/23/2021 at 11:20 PM, Xtc12 said:

Robinshill 16.45 Ludlow 29 Pts WIn @ 11\10 (bog)

4th @ 5\1 :eek - led until before 4th, led 5th, headed approaching 3 out, weakened flat

Eamon An Cnoic 13.55 Chepstow 30 Pts WIn @ 10\11 (bog)

Capable of useful form over fences and confirmed the promise of his runner-up effort over 19.5f at this track when a wide-margin winner at Sandown a week ago. Escapes a penalty for that.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Eamon An Cnoic 13.55 Chepstow 30 Pts WIn @ 10\11 (bog)

2nd -  led, edged right 2nd, ridden and headed before not fluent last, held flat, stayed on

Jay Bee Why 14.10 Warwick 31 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

Irish point winner who has taken really well to hurdles, emphatic winner of 2m5f maiden here before excellent fifth in Grade 2 returned here last month. Sure to progress further, so rates big player. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Jay Bee Why 14.10 Warwick 31 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

1st @ 2\5 - held up, went 2nd 6th, challenged 4 out, led next, ridden clear flat, stayed on well

Teahupoo 13.10 Fairyhouse 31 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Promising type. First run since leaving Gabriel Leenders when won 8-runner juvenile hurdle (4/1) at this C&D (heavy) on IRE debut 42 days ago. Obvious claims. 

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On 2/27/2021 at 8:07 AM, Xtc12 said:

Teahupoo 13.10 Fairyhouse 31 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

1st @ 4\6 -  prominent, on terms before 4th, led after 2 out, asserted and stayed on well run-in, comfortably

Cilaos Emery 14.00 Naas 31 Pts WIn @ 4\7 (bog)

Top-class chaser. Fourth in Champion Hurdle in March and ran well back chasing when 5½ lengths second of 5 to Bachasson in Clonmel Oil Chase at Clonmel (20.2f) in November. Obvious claims.

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On 2/28/2021 at 8:28 AM, Xtc12 said:

Cilaos Emery 14.00 Naas 31 Pts WIn @ 4\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 - made all, went clear travelling well 2 out, stayed on strongly run-in, not extended, easily

Papal Lodge 14.50 Punchestown 31 Pts WIn @ 4\7 (bog)

Fair in bumpers and similar form over hurdles, back on track when second of 19 in maiden hurdle (11/2) at Naas (16f, heavy) 77 days ago. Better to come still, so leading claims. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Papal Lodge 14.50 Punchestown 31 Pts WIn @ 4\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\5 -  prominent, soon chased leader in 2nd, took closer order 4th, not fluent 6th, on terms straight, led approaching last, asserted and stayed on well run-in

Cat Tiger 16.40 Leicester 31 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

Smart chaser in France ad achieved useful form for this yard having retained novice status over hurdles in 2019/20, winning 3 times. Had a wind p since last seen and a fascinating hunter debutant. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Cat Tiger 16.40 Leicester 31 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 -  made all, good jump to assert 2 out, stayed on strongly, unchallenged

**81 bets  :$ before I made a profit thanks to Cat Tiger bringing up a 5 timer today !

Update

image.png.f6461db1ff08f182bf67832ed05cae18.png

17 days left , hopefully I can hold onto a profit.

 

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Captain Bucks 16.35 Musselburgh 3 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Fairly useful handicap chaser for Paul Nicholls who has won between the flags since joining current stable. Only third in that sphere last time but should outclass this field. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Captain Bucks 16.35 Musselburgh 3 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

1st @ 10\11 -  held up, headway approaching 5th, led before 4 out, headed 3 out, led going well 2 out, asserting when left well clear last

Saint Benedict 17.05 Clonmel 3 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Fairly useful form. 10/1 and blinkered for 1st time, good second of 14 in hunter chase over C&D (heavy) 44 days ago. The one to beat. 

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On 3/3/2021 at 11:36 PM, Xtc12 said:

Saint Benedict 17.05 Clonmel 3 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

2nd  - chased leaders and 4th from halfway, improved to dispute lead before 4 out, mistake 2 out and soon headed, ridden in 2nd before last, no impression on winner and kept on same pace run-in 

Old Town Garde 16.20 Fairyhouse 2 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)

Promising sort. 9/1, sixth of 18 in hurdle at Naas (19f, heavy) on NH debut 33 days ago, looking like finishing closer most of the way. Type to improve and he's a player in race lacking depth.

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On 3/4/2021 at 11:42 PM, Xtc12 said:

Old Town Garde 16.20 Fairyhouse 2 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 4\6 -  chased leaders, not fluent at times, 4th from halfway, took closer order from 3 out and led before next, ridden run-in and reduced advantage close home, always holding runner-up 

Hitman 15.40 Newbury 1 Pt Win @ 1\8 (bog)

Impressive on British/chase debut at Ffos Las prior to chasing home smart novice Allmankind in Sandown Grade 1. Fell last time, but his jumping is generally sound and he's very hard to oppose here. 

 

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Hitman 15.40 Newbury 1 Pt Win @ 1\8 (bog)

1st @ 1\8 -  mostly jumped well, led and soon clear, steadied pace 11th, reduced lead when hit 4 out, good jump to go clear again next, unchallenged

French Dynamite 14.45 Leopardstown 4 Pts Win @ 1\6 (bog)

Useful hurdler. 8/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, 10 lengths fifth of 7 to Flooring Porter in Christmas Hurdle at this course (24f, soft) 69 days ago. Down in trip. 

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15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

French Dynamite 14.45 Leopardstown 4 Pts Win @ 1\6 (bog)

1st @ 1\6 - chased leader in 2nd, slight mistake 5 out, improved to lead before 2 out, mistake 2 out, asserted entering straight, shaken up briefly before last, easily

Hunny Moon 15.15 Wetherby 5 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog)

Fair bumper winner who has finished runner-up all 3 starts over hurdles, latest at Warwick (19f) last month. Clearly the one to beat. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Hunny Moon 15.15 Wetherby 5 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 -  keen early, prominent, led 3 out, clear last, eased, comfortable

Three By Two 15.00 Clonmel 3 Pts WIn @ 1\4 (bog)

Promising sort. Third of 14 in novice hurdle (10/3) at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) on NH debut 15 days ago, not knocked about. Difficult to oppose in a race with no depth. 

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On 3/8/2021 at 10:59 PM, Xtc12 said:

Three By Two 15.00 Clonmel 3 Pts WIn @ 1\4 (bog)

9th -  prominent and led approaching 2nd, headed 4 out, disputed briefly entering straight, soon pushed along and 4th when blundered 2 out, no extra, not fluent last

Ballymoy 15.40 Catterick 2 Pts Win @ 1\14 (bog)

Smart hurdler in 2018/19 but not at quite same level over fences but his latest third in a Newbury handicap (23.4f) was a solid enough display. This rates an excellent opportunity to get off the mark. 

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On 3/9/2021 at 11:30 PM, Xtc12 said:

Ballymoy 15.40 Catterick 2 Pts Win @ 1\14 (bog)

1st @ 1\12 - tracked leader, chased leader in 2nd after the 9th, not fluent 12th, cruised to the lead 4 out, led going easy 3 out and not extended closing stages, easy

Mister Watson 15.15 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 4\7 (bog)

Showed ability only start in bumpers and easily best effort over hurdles back from 9 weeks off when second in 2m Sandown novice 3 weeks ago. The one to beat judged on that. 

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12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Mister Watson 15.15 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 4\7 (bog)

4th -  slight lead until headed on long run before 2 out, soon weakened and lost 2nd between last 2, lost 3rd run-in

Journey With Me 17.35 Gowran Park 4 Pts WIn @ 4\9 (bog)

Mahler gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Yorkist. Impressive winner of sole start in points so most interesting newcomer for yard that has won past two runnings. 

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On 3/11/2021 at 9:15 PM, Xtc12 said:

Journey With Me 17.35 Gowran Park 4 Pts WIn @ 4\9 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 -  made all, clear travelling well 5f out, stayed on strongly from 2f out, unchallenged, impressive

Tamar Bridge 16.20 Ayr 5 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

€60,000 Jeremy gelding who made a successful debut in 5-runner bumper at Haydock in December. Promising start over hurdles when third at Wetherby (19.7f) last month and seems sure to do better. 

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11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Tamar Bridge 16.20 Ayr 5 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

1st @ 2\5 - soon led, headed 3rd, led after 5th, headed 4 out, led before not fluent 3 out, went left last, easily drew away from sole rival flat

Update : 6 Days to go, hopefully can hold on for a profit

image.png.6e108197cd90b4bdf35e0e69acdeae61.png

Average Stake : 16.85

Scarlet and Dove 14.45 Limerick 3 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

Useful chaser. 2 wins from 5 runs this season. Didn't need to improve to win 8-runner minor event chase at Navan (16f, soft, 6/5) 8 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Difficult to oppose. 

 

 

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On 3/13/2021 at 9:37 PM, Xtc12 said:

Scarlet and Dove 14.45 Limerick 3 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 8\11 - made all, not fluent 8th and bad mistake next, pushed along from 2 out and soon went clear, eased close home

Powerstown Park 16.25 Plumpton 3 Pts WIn @ 4\7 (bog)

From a yard enjoying a very good season and he was an improved winner of 17f Exeter handicap hurdle last week. 7 lb penalty doesn't look enough to stop him if in similar form. 

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On 3/14/2021 at 10:56 PM, Xtc12 said:

Powerstown Park 16.25 Plumpton 3 Pts WIn @ 4\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 - tracked leader, led 2 out, comfortable

** That win today guarantees a profit for this season, as small as it may be. :)

Shishkin 13.55 Cheltenham 3 Pts WIn @ 4/9 (bog)

Won the Supreme last year and has quickly made up into Timeform's highest-rated novice chaser, easily winning all 3 starts this term, the latest a Doncaster Grade 2. Can't oppose. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Shishkin 13.55 Cheltenham 3 Pts WIn @ 4/9 (bog)

1st @ 4\9 -  tracked leader until settled off the pace in 3rd place at 2nd, closer at 5th, travelling strongly before challenged 3 out, soon led, clear before next, 10 lengths ahead last, impressive

Monkfish 13.55 Cheltenham 3 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Albert Bartlett winner who has continued progress over fences this season, winning all 3 starts, notably Grade 1 events at Leopardstown the last twice. Most exciting and will prove very hard to beat. 

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