Xtc12

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A Little Chaos 13.45 Fakenham 15 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Ex-pointer who left previous efforts behind when making all in a C&D novice in December but may have to pull out a bit more if she's to defy a penalty, acknowledging she really only has one to beat. 

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On 1/30/2019 at 10:44 PM, Xtc12 said:

A Little Chaos 13.45 Fakenham 15 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Non Runner

On 2/2/2019 at 11:17 AM, Xtc12 said:

Buveur D'Air 13.50 Sandown 15 pts win @ 1/8 (bog)

1st @ 1\5 -  tracked leader 1st, left in lead on long run before 3rd, steadied into 2nd place 3 out, led on bit 2 out, quickened clear from the last, not extended

On 2/3/2019 at 12:44 AM, Xtc12 said:

Delta Work 15.00 Leopardstown 15 pts win @ 13/8 (bog)

Non Runner

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Southfield Stone 13.45 Taunton 15 pts win @ 3/10 (bog)

2nd - led, joined last, headed and unable to quicken run-in, kept on for clear 2nd

Quantum of Solace 14.20 Market Rasen 16 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)

In good form over hurdles this season and left previous chase starts behind when runner-up at Huntingdon and Ffos Las last 2 starts. Remains of interest. 

 

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On 2/4/2019 at 11:52 PM, Xtc12 said:

Quantum of Solace 14.20 Market Rasen 16 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)

In good form over hurdles this season and left previous chase starts behind when runner-up at Huntingdon and Ffos Las last 2 starts. Remains of interest. 

2nd -  held up off the pace in 6th, closer approaching 8th, tracked leaders next, 2nd before 3 out, challenged next, went left last, ridden to lead briefly and hung left run-in, soon no extra

Galvin 14.00 Ayr 17 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Unbeaten in 3 starts during the summer, namely 2 bumpers and maiden hurdle, and took form to a new level when landing a good-quality 4-runner novice at Navan last month. Will take some stopping. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Galvin 14.00 Ayr 17 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

1st @ 4\11 -  tracked leader, challenged going well after 3 out, led narrowly between last 2, hard pressed when driven and hung left flat, kept on towards finish

Arvica Bleu 13.15 Thurles 17 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Useful chaser. 5/2, very good third of 7 in handicap chase at Naas (16f, good to soft) 32 days ago, travelling strongly. Looks competitive on form. 

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15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Arvica Bleu 13.15 Thurles 17 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Fell - chased leader, hampered 1st, slightly bumped 4th, 3rd halfway, improved to lead and dispute at 5th, ridden in lead after 2 out, joined again last when fell

Well the last four days have been a disaster and the Horse Flu is another hindrance. At the moment the pessimist in me says it will be tough to make a profit this year. 

Edited by Xtc12
add a word

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On 2/9/2019 at 8:57 AM, Xtc12 said:

City Island 12.40 Naas 18 pts win @ 1/5 (bog)

1st @ 1\5 - tracked leader, 2nd halfway, headway to lead after 2 out and soon asserted, stayed on well run-in, very easily

On 2/10/2019 at 8:48 AM, Xtc12 said:

Josies Orders 13.45 Punchestown 18 pts win @ 13/8 (bog)

1st @ 13\8 - always prominent, improved to dispute lead 7 out, headed 3 out, ridden to lead after 2 out, stayed on well under pressure run-in

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Poperinghe Ginger 14.20 Musselburgh 16 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Showed ability in bumpers and took a step forward from hurdling debut when close second in maiden event at Huntingdon (20.7f) last month, running on late. Hard to beat. 

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On 2/12/2019 at 10:57 PM, Xtc12 said:

Poperinghe Ginger 14.20 Musselburgh 16 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

2nd - led, not fluent 2nd, soon headed, led again after next, headed 2 out, hung left and no extra closing stages

Definitly Red 15.00 Kelso 17 Pts Win @ 1\7 (bog)

Has looked as good as ever this term, supplementing his Charlie Hall success in the Grade 2 Many Clouds Chase at Aintree in December. Disappointing if he can't win this match. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Definitly Red 15.00 Kelso 17 Pts Win @ 1\7 (bog)

2nd - led, pushed along after 3 out, joined next, soon headed, switched right before last, edged left flat, unable to get back on terms

This is like a yo-yo this season , get a good winner then followed by a couple of losers. Hard to call this year.

Update:

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Kalashnikov 13.50 Sandown 18 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

Smart hurdler who made a promising start over fences this term, winning small-field events at Warwick and Plumpton. No disgrace in going down to Dynamite Dollars last time and sets the standard here.

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On 2/16/2019 at 9:51 PM, Xtc12 said:

Chosen Path 15.50 Market Rasen 19 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog)

2nd -  led, went right and pecked 1st, not fluent 4th, went right 6th and 4 out where brushed wing, ridden and went right 2 out, pressed when went right last, soon hung right and headed, no extra

Two two horse races recently and I have managed to pick the loser in each. Tomorrows pick I think will make or break the system for this year.

Dominateur 15.15 Lingfield 20 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Fairly useful form when placed in strong Chepstow events on his last 2 starts. The one to beat.

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Coolanly 14.55 Wetherby 19 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

Fell on reappearance but back on the up with victory in 21f Grade 2 event at Cheltenham. Done for speed in the Grade 1 Challow at Newbury since but sets clear standard here. 

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On 2/18/2019 at 8:17 PM, Xtc12 said:

Coolanly 14.55 Wetherby 19 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

2nd - led until approaching 5th, remained well there, led again before 3 out, ridden and headed run-in, kept on

Azzerti 14.25 Ludlow 20 Pts Win @ 1\8 (bog)

Useful hurdler/chaser. Hampered when falling at Cheltenham last month. Clear round is all that is needed in this company. 

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • Stefanos Tsitsipas to beat (-4.5) Sergiy Stakhovsky at 2.04 with Unibet Should be an easy win for Stefanos. Sergiy has been riding his luck to get to the quarterfinal and it's where it ends most likely with a loss by more than five games margin. Something like 6-2 6-4. What I seek here is the doublebreak by Stefanos and that is very possible that he can achieve, he's after all ranked 12 and Sergiy 100+ nowadays and it was a long long time ago since Sergiy even won a challenger title.
    • LIPPY LADY----2.25---LINGFIELD 14/1----SKYBET---WIN
    • Andrey Rublev to win ATP Marseille at 7.00 with Unibet I like how Andrey has been playing this week and he's already won his first title on clay two seasons ago and now he's experienced enough to make to the final of Marseille. There's just a problem along the way. He will have to beat Mikhail Kukushkin whom he's never beaten without a retirement from Mikhail. Mikhail has beaten Andrey on indoor hardcourts three times already so there's this pretty huge risk that Mikhail will beat Andrey in the quarter. Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Andrey Rublev at 2.04 with Unibet So if Andrey doesn't win the tournament it's because he got beaten by Mikhail in the quarter.
    • Dundalk leave us down in the first game of the season. For the weekend: Bohs away to UCD @ 7\10 Bray away to Cabinteely Double Chance @ 2\7 5 Pt Win returns 10.92
    • Dundalk, 17:30, Aussie Valentine, 7/4 WH
    • 16.20 Exeter - Cobo Lobo - 1 Pt Win @ 7\1 Paddy Power
    • Back Felix Auger Aliassime to beat Jaume Munar at 2.40 with Expekt As expected the clay court specialist Spanish guy moved to South America after the AO, rather than "wasting" his time on indoor tournaments. His results were quite good by reaching the quarter-final both in Cordoba and Buenos Aires. During this period he played 5 three-setters, so I would expect him to show signs of tiredness once again in the QF. Moreover, in the form of Auger Aliassime, he will face a difficult opponent. After easily eliminating Fognini in the first round, the young Canadian prodigy took revenge on Garin yesterday, who defeated him in Buenos Aires a week ago. Albeit losing to Munar twice last season (both time on clay), I really fancy his chances in this matchup and I consider the odds favorable as well.
    • 1st @ 10\11 -  tracked leaders, disputed 2nd after 7th, not fluent next and 9th, challenged 2 out, led between last 2, ridden and edged left before last, kept on under pressure flat Epatante 14.40 Exeter 20 Pts Win @ 2\9 (bog) Grade 1 bumper winner in France and bright start for new connections when landing 2m Kempton novice hurdle in November. Open to considerable improvement and can't oppose. 
    • Printing Dollars 13.30 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog) Point/bumper winner who made it third time lucky in this sphere in a C&D maiden (soft) last month, staying on well. Remains with potential now venturing into handicaps (unexposed as a stayer).  Crest of a Wave 19.00 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog) Promising sort. Excellent second of 14 in handicap at this C&D (25/1) 28 days ago, nearest finish. Open to further improvement and one to be interested in. 
    • 1st @ 5\4 - chased leaders, went 2nd 2f out, ridden to lead well inside final furlong, ran on 1st @ Evs -  soon led, disputed at times, slight mistake 5th, headed 8th, back on terms from 4 out, led again from next, asserted and stayed on well from last 
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