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Xtc12

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On 12/7/2020 at 10:43 PM, Xtc12 said:

Little River Bay 14.38 Fontwell 13 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 - chased leader, pulled into lead 4th, wandered under pressure approaching last, drifted left flat, stayed on

Bushypark 12.25 Hexham 13 Pts WIn @ 1\3 (bog)

Successful on Irish point debut in January and landed huge gamble when making most over C&D last month. Made light of a 15 lb rise at Haydock last week so can't be opposed from same mark here. 

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On 12/8/2020 at 11:52 PM, Xtc12 said:

Bushypark 12.25 Hexham 13 Pts WIn @ 1\3 (bog)

1st @ 1\3 - Jumped well, made all, set steady pace, went clear going easily before last, canter

Chef De Troupe 12.07 Taunton 13 Pts WIn @ 5\4 (bog)

Improved to win handicap at Perth and claimer at Huntingdon (both 2m). Sent off odds-on to complete the hat-trick at Leicester a fortnight ago but was disappointing behind Paricolor. 

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13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Chef De Troupe 12.07 Taunton 13 Pts WIn @ 5\4 (bog)

3rd -  chased leader, pressed leader briefly after 3 out, soon ridden and outpaced in 2nd, kept on but no match for the winner and lost 2nd after the last

Robin Gold 14.05 Bangor 14 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Quirky ex-Irish mare who is thriving for new yard and gained third win in 23f Ascot handicap last time, leading near finish. Has plenty more to offer so she should prove hard to beat despite 8 lb rise 

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On 12/10/2020 at 11:38 PM, Xtc12 said:

Robin Gold 14.05 Bangor 14 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

1st @ 6\5 -  held up in rear, went 3rd after 4 out, cruised into 2nd after 3 out, nudged after 2 out, hit front last, pushed clear

Monmiral 14.40 Doncaster 13 Pts Win @ 8\15 (bog)

Won 15-runner newcomers' race at Auteuil before making the perfect start for new connections at Exeter, going clear in convincing style. Plenty to like about his chances. 

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15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Monmiral 14.40 Doncaster 13 Pts Win @ 8\15 (bog)

1st @ 8\15 -  led chasing group, close up 4 out, almost upsides travelling strongly 3 out, eased into lead 2 out where mistake, ridden clear before last, pushed out flat, comfortably

Sextant 12.00 Carlisle 13 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

Smart on Flat, stays 12.5f, creditable effort when third on stable debut last time. Should outclass these if taking to hurdling. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Sextant 12.00 Carlisle 13 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 10\11 - held up in rear, niggled along and headway before 2 out, always going well, led before last, ran on flat, easily

Acey Milan 12.48 Plumpton 13 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Stepped up on any of his hurdle efforts when landing 25f Aintree novice handicap on chase debut/reappearance. Tailed off in Newbury Grade 2 since but probably the one to beat with sights lowered. 

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On 12/13/2020 at 10:17 PM, Xtc12 said:

Acey Milan 12.48 Plumpton 13 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

2nd -  chased leader, pushed along after 14th, ridden after 3 out, weakened before last, eased down flat

Airgead Suas 14.25 Catterick 14 Pts Win @ Evens (bog)

Arrives on a hat-trick after handicap wins at Exeter and over C&D, benefiting from the step up in trip when gutsy scorer last time. Up 7 lb but remains unexposed at staying trips so good claims.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Airgead Suas 14.25 Catterick 14 Pts Win @ Evens (bog)

3rd -  chased leader, shoved along before 4 out, soon outpaced, rallied after 2 out, nothing extra after last

Magic of Light 13.45 newbury 15 Pts WIn @ 4\11 (bog)

Has won this for the last 2 years (both small-field affairs) and ripe for the hat-trick with cheekpieces re-fitted after a Punchestown pipe-opener over hurdles 31 days ago. 

Update :

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Strike Rate is terrible, a continuation of last year :$, need to get it up to about 62% although did make a profit from 59.26% two years ago.

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On 12/15/2020 at 10:54 PM, Xtc12 said:

Magic of Light 13.45 newbury 15 Pts WIn @ 4\11 (bog)

1st @ 1\2 -  jumped well and travelled strongly throughout, clear 4 out, stayed on strongly, unchallenged

Keep Rolling 12.25 Hereford 15 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Fairly useful bumper winner who has improved in each run over hurdles, third of 13 in novice at Southwell (15.7f, heavy) when last seen 12 months ago. The one to beat upped in trip.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Keep Rolling 12.25 Hereford 15 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

1st @ 10\11 -  made all, soon clear, unchallenged

Bob Olinger 13.00 Navan 15 pts WIn @ 1\7 (bog)

Promising individual. Second of 15 in novice hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy, 7/4) on hurdles bow 28 days ago. Up in trip and chance is there for all to see. 

 

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On 12/17/2020 at 10:43 PM, Xtc12 said:

Bob Olinger 13.00 Navan 15 pts WIn @ 1\7 (bog)

1st @ 1\7 - made all, not fluent at 1st, clear when not fluent 2 out and at last, stayed on strongly run-in, not extended, very easily

Another Theatre 14.15 Newcastle 15 Pts Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promise initially over hurdles for Henry Oliver and cast aside a poor spell chasing when an easy winner at Southwell last week. Has to be respected under a penalty back up in trip. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Another Theatre 14.15 Newcastle 15 Pts Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd -  led, not fluent 3 out, ridden and headed before 2 out, kept on one pace to take second close home

Gauloise 14.00 Thurles 16 Pts Win @ Evens (bog)

Ex-French bumper winner who impressively landed the odds on yard/hurdling debut in 2m novice here (heavy) 24 days ago, always travelling and jumping well. Highly promising so looks the one to beat.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Gauloise 14.00 Thurles 16 Pts Win @ Evens (bog)

1st @ Evens -  tracked leaders, 5th halfway, good headway early straight and led after 2 out, pushed along approaching last where edged right, ridden and kept on well run-in 

Alright Sunshine 12.15 Musselburgh 15 Pts WIn @ 8\11 (bog)

Useful in bumpers, winning 3 of his 4 starts, and is just as good on the Flat, competing in major staying handicaps in 2020. Interesting hurdling debutant. 

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Non Runner yesterday

Camprond 12.25 Sedgefield 15 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

Useful on Flat in France in 2019 and made a highly promising start to his hurdle career when second at Huntingdon last month. Can improve and go one better now. Hood he wore in France refitted. 

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On 12/22/2020 at 11:46 AM, Xtc12 said:

Camprond 12.25 Sedgefield 15 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

3rd - never fluent, bit keen tracking leader, hit 2nd and next, mistake 5th, pushed along and lost 2nd before 2 out, no extra in 3rd

Epatante 14.25 Kempton 16 Pts Win @ 2\9 (bog)

High-class hurdler with a sharp turn of foot, running out a decisive winner of this race a year ago prior to Champion Hurdle glory. Fighting Fifth triumph confirms she's the standard bearer.

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On 12/26/2020 at 9:17 AM, Xtc12 said:

Epatante 14.25 Kempton 16 Pts Win @ 2\9 (bog

2nd -  hit 1st, tracked leaders on inside, tracked winner after next until before 3rd, 2nd again before 4 out, mistake next, pushed along before 2 out, ridden and tried to close between last 2, over 2 lengths down and no impression last

Shishkin 13.20 Kempton 17 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

Winner of the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in March and looks destined for the top in this sphere, too, judged on flawless chase debut success here last month. The one to beat. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Shishkin 13.20 Kempton 17 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

1st @ 1\3 - chased leader, not fluent 3rd, led before 3 out, shaken up and went clear before last, readily

Ciel De Neige 11.55 Limerick 17 Pts WIn @ 1\5 (bog)

Useful hurdler. 13/2, good fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 29 days ago. Hard to beat. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Ciel De Neige 11.55 Limerick 17 Pts WIn @ 1\5 (bog)

1st @ 1\5 - chased leaders, soon moderate 3rd, took closer order from 6th, on terms travelling smoothly straight, led approaching 2 out, stayed on well run-in, easily

Monkfish 13.50 Leopardstown 17 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)

Edged out Latest Exhibition when winning Albert Bartlett at Cheltenham Festival in March. Impressive start over fences at Fairyhouse last month and likely to prove hard to beat again.

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On 12/28/2020 at 11:14 PM, Xtc12 said:

Monkfish 13.50 Leopardstown 17 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 1\2 -  led narrowly, headed before 3rd, not fluent at 4th, closed at 7th, jumped right and bumped rival at 9th, led at 10th, 2 lengths clear 3 out, pressed 2 out, ridden and kept on best run-in

Staker Wallace 13.55 Limerick 17 Pts WIn @ 8\13 (bog)

Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 15/2, respectable fourth of 21 in hunter chase at Cheltenham (26.3f, good to soft) in March and twice second in points recently. Sets a good standard.

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On 12/30/2020 at 8:15 AM, Xtc12 said:

Staker Wallace 13.55 Limerick 17 Pts WIn @ 8\13 (bog)

1st @ 8\13 -  tracked leader, on terms halfway, led 8th, travelling well before 2 out, 4 length lead last, kept on well under hands and heels run-in, reduced margin close home, not extended

Shearer 15.25 Warwick 17 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Expensive Flemensfirth gelding who shaped well when narrowly denied by another above-average sort at Hereford on debut a couple of months ago. Probably won't need to improve to go one better. 

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On 12/31/2020 at 8:24 AM, Xtc12 said:

Shearer 15.25 Warwick 17 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

1st @ 8\13 -  prominent, led 4f out, ridden over 2f out, ran green, clear final 100 yards, stayed on

Al Boum Photo 14.37 Tramore 17 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog)

Dual Cheltenham Gold Cup winner who has also landed past two runnings of this contest. Makes his seasonal return here and top-class chaser is sure to prove very hard to beat. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Al Boum Photo 14.37 Tramore 17 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog)

1st @ 1\4 - settled 3rd, closer at 11th, 2nd next, challenged 2 out, soon led, pushed out to assert before last, kept on strongly run-in, comfortably

Wetlands 12.20 Ayr 17 Pts WIn @ 1\7 (bog)

Newcastle bumper winner who completed a simple to ask to open his hurdle account over C&D 19 days ago, hard held. Remains open to improvement and has been found another good opening.

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NR yesterday

State Crown 13.20 Plumpton 17 Pts WIn @ 6\4 (bog)

Fairly useful maiden on Flat and quickly reached a similar level over hurdles, going down only narrowly at Newcastle (good) 36 days ago. Further progress hard to rule out but soft ground an unknown. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

State Crown 13.20 Plumpton 17 Pts WIn @ 6\4 (bog)

3rd - chased leaders, left 2nd at 5th, led home turn, headed before 2 out, chased winner until between last 2, no extra in 3rd

Episode 13.55 Fakenham 18 Pts Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Maiden who is proving more competitive as her mark falls, second to idling winner in C&D handicap chase last time (Achy Breaky Heart in behind). Player now fitted with tongue tie. 

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Protektorat 14.05 Wincanton 18 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

Useful hurdler who has made perfect start to chasing career with impressive all-the-way wins at Carlisle (2m) and Cheltenham (2½m), jumping boldly. Looks destined for big things in this sphere.

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On 1/9/2021 at 8:22 AM, Xtc12 said:

Protektorat 14.05 Wincanton 18 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

'2nd -  tracked leader, narrowly led 5th, pushed along 13th, outpaced after 4 out, went second before 2 out, kept on after last but no match for easy winner

Karl Philipe 13.40 Exeter 19 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Won heavy-ground bumpers at Hereford and Carlisle 11 months apart. Shaped encouragingly on his first try hurdling when runner-up over C&D last month and he's a leading player with progress likely. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Karl Philipe 13.40 Exeter 19 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

2nd -  headway chasing leaders before 2nd, close 3rd 4 out, led next, narrow lead when awkward last, headed run-in, rallied, just held

Stratagem 13.35 Doncaster 20 Pts Win @ 10\11 (bog)

Disappointed on Cheltenham return but quickly back on track when switched to fences at Warwick, caught only close home. Got no further than the first at Plumpton since but well worth another chance. 

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