NCAAF Week Eleven Picks

[AGurv]

College Football 2011-2012 Overall 29W-15L-1P +12.45 units (65.90%) Virginia Tech -1 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Georgia Tech has fired off some pretty big duds this year. Both teams didnt play this weekend so they should be prepared. I think the big thing is V. tech is really flying under the radar this year , but they have had a great year defending the run. Which is obviously a big part of beating G. Tech

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Northern Illinois -6.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Northen Illinois' balanced offence averages 224 pasing yards and 247 rushing yards per game with QB Harnish is the main driving force as he is coming off throwing for 265 yards and 6 TDs as well as running for another 133 yards in the 63-60 win over Toledo. Bowling Green allows 193 passing yards and 191 rushing yards per game, and hard to see them being able to contain Harnish here, as especially the run game should be very productive. Bowling Green averages 268 passing yards and 129 rushing yards per game, while NI allows 248 passing yards and 203 rushing yards per game. You would expect BG to be able to get some yards on the ground and in the air on NI, but they have scored just 21 points or less in their last 4 MAC Conference games, which is not enough to stay with NI's offence. NI have scored 40+ points in 4 of their last 5 MAC games, and this offence should get similar production here. Toledo -13.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Toledo has a balanced offence that passes for 260 yards and runs for another 195 yards as they have scored at least 49 points in their 3 MAC games at home. They will look to rebound from their 63-60 loss to Northern Illinois last week, as they face a Western Michigan defece that allows 198 passing yards and 226 rushing yards per game. WMU lost 51-22 at Toledo, who as seen last week, are a similar side to Toledo, as they allowed 203 passing yards but a massive 494 rushing yards in that game. Like Toledo to run all over them here too. Toledo's defence allows 249 passing yards and 133 rushing yards per game while WMU's offence passes for 292 passing yards and rushes for only 129 rushing yards per game. As they struggle to run the ball, and with Toledo's good rush defence, then like them to be able to drop an extra player in coverage in the secondary, or even look to blitz an extra player to pressure the QB. WMU has just 233 passing yards and 91 rushing yards in the loss to NI, while Toledo had 325 passing yards and 265 rushing yards against NI, so a big difference on offence for Toledo, and though the Toledo defence allowed 265 passing yards and 267 rushing yards to NI, doubt that WMU has the offenve to produce similar numbers on this Toledo defence. Record: 68-69 (-0.22)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Northern Illinois -6.5 @ 2.07 :D Toledo -13.5 @ 2.07 :( Another crazy game involving Toledo. Record: 69-70 (-0.15) Temple - Miami (Ohio) under 43.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Temple prefers to run the ball as they avverage 258 yards per game while passing for just 133 yards per game. With Miami holding team to just 180 passing yards per game, expect them to load their defensive line and look to contain the Temple running game as they allow 170 yards per game. Temple allows 185 passing yards and and 107 rushing yards per game, and after their performance last week to Ohio where they gave up 281 passing yards and 240 rushing yards, expect their defence to come out more focused. Miami prefers to pass the ball as they air it for 275 yards per game while they only run for 79 yards per game, so you would expect Temple to drop an extra player in coverage to cover the WRs. Only Toledo and Ohio last week have scored more than 14 points on this Temple defence, after Toledo scored a 36-13 win over them at home, Temple bounced back to win at Ball State 42-0, and then beat Buffalo 34-0 at home. Miami may find it hard to pass the ball in the expected windy conditions at Temple, which means the running game becomes even more important. Like this to be a low scoring game.

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Joe Paterno fired

[Stribs]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks

Joe Paterno fired

Rightly so. Disgraceful!

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Well I am a Pitt fan and alumni so I've pretty muched hated PSU all my life. It looks like there riots in State college right now. There are enough PSU fans around me making excuses for this sad joke named Joe Paterno. He had some balls today saying he is retiring at the end of the year...LOL. So glad the Board of Trustree's said **** that and fired him tonight

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Illinois pick to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Not that Illinois is in anyway a power house, but this will probably be the 2nd toughest game that Michigan is gonna have to play this year considering it is on the road. Illinois seems to have some kind of compatible defense so I expect them to be able to do some damage against Robinson.

[Stribs]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Tailing on the Virginia Tech... :hope:hope:hope:hope:hope

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Temple - Miami (Ohio) under 43.5 @ 2.02 :( Nearly held them out to keep them under Record: 69-71 (-1.15) Ohio -9.5 @ 2.19 pinnacle Ohio have done well to get back to the top of the West division in the MAC Conference, and their win over Temple last week was huge for them. They have a balanced offence that averages 266 passing yards and 191 rushing yards per game, and they were able to gain 281 passing yards and 240 passing yards on one of the best defences in the MAC. Now they face a Central Michigan side that has struggled this year, as they have allowed 240 passing yards and 171 rushing yards per game. Like Ohio's offence to score here. On defence, Ohio allows 195 passing yards and 139 rusing yards per game, so they have done well, with 13 INTs and 6 fumble recoveries, their defence has done well for them this year. CMU's offence averages 270 passing yards andd only 121 rushing yards per game, so they will look to pass it on Ohio, but this Ohio defence has been opportunistic enough to be able to get some INTs, and with little to play for, like the more motivated and focused road team to win here. Houston -34.5 @ 1.93 pinnacle Houston has the number one ranked pass offence with 457 passing yards per game, nd though they rush for 160 yards per game, they will be throwing all over this Tulane secondary that allows 227 passing yards as well as 161 rushing yards per game. Tulane's defence allowed 322 passing yards and 131 rushing yards in the 45-21 loss to SMU; allowed 336 passing yards and 125 rushing yards in the 34-13 loss to Est Carolina so they will give up huge plays here. Houston's defence allows 216 passing yards and 184 rushing yards per game, while Tulane averages 237 passing yards and just 114 rushing yards in the game. They had 214 passing yards and 57 rushing yards against SMU and had 132 passing yards and 134 rushing yards against East Carolina who are two of the better sides in the C-USA Conference, but are outmatched against the top side here. Houston will be looking to record another big win to continue to gain votes and get themselves higher up in the rankings. Georgia Tech - Virginia Tech under 49.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle GTech will run the ball all day as they average 328 yards on the ground and just 147 yards through the air. VTech has a good rush defence that allows 86 yards per game (as well as 212 passing yards per game), this will be their toughest test, but still like them to do reasonably well, and if they can do that, doubt that they will get blown out by GTech. VTech's much more balanced offence averages 227 passing yards and 200 rushing yards per game, and they are up against a good G Tech pass defence that averages 185 passing yards per game, while they allow 162 yards per game, so can see them too, choosing to run the ball in this game. GTech have gone under this total in their last 4 games while VTech have done so in their last 2 games, and both team likely to run the ball, this will eat up the clock and like this to end up being a low scoring game.

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Texas A and M -5.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes I've seen this line go up a point in the last 24 hours. Texas A and M collapses are worrisome but I think they will over come it here. I see Kansas St coming out kind of as a dud. They've had 2 tough games in a row , and a heart breaker last week. But Tannehill is playing spectacularly and Kansas St has been getting raped through the air. I see this one being a complete blowout

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Ohio -9.5 @ 2.19 :D Houston -34.5 @ 1.93 :D Georgia Tech - Virginia Tech under 49.5 @ 1.99 :( Record: 71-72 (-0.03) South Florida -3.5 @ 2.10 pinnacle SF balanced offence averages 267 passing yards and 200 rushing yards per game while Syracuse allows 267 yards passing yards and 115 rushing yards per game, so like QB Daniels to do well here as they can pass on this secondary. On defence, they allow 238 passing yards and 108 rushing yards per game while Syracuse averages 223 passing yards and 116 rushing yards per game. Like SF to stop the run while Syracuse should get some yards through the air, they are not a team that scores much, and with the added pressure that comes from SF's pass rush, which averages 3.5 sacks per game, scoring points may be difficult for them.

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Miami +10 (-120) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Got it up half a point just to be on the safe side but I think Miami keeps this game decently close. Last year was the first time in a long time that the game ended with a double digit victory. Jacory Harris actually not having a bad year at all, only 4 INT's. Just there 4th road game this year, and they've put up a lot of points in all of them. I think Miami hangs in there against an underachieving FSU team. South Carolina -3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes USCe coming off a tough 3 game road stretch. Florida is pretty average this year. South Carolina demolished this team last year, I expect pretty much the same thing at home. Stanford -3 (-120) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Gut feeling, hopeful.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks South Florida -3.5 @ 2.10 :D Clemson -17.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Clemson are rested after coming off a bye and expect their balanced offence to do well here, as they average 304 passing yards and 170 rushing yards per game. They are up against a Wake Forest defence that allows 236 passing yards and 139 passing yards per game. They allowed 338 passing yards and 224 rushing yards in their last road game, which was a 49-24 loss at North Carolina, while Clemson, in their last home game, also against North Carolina, allowed 316 passing yards and 101 rushing yards, while passing for 373 yards and running for just 77 yards in the 59-28 win over them. Clemson's defence does give up some yards as they allow 192 passing yards and 193 rushing yards while Wake Forest passes for 266 yards but runs for just 105 yards per game. Can see a freshened Clemson defence have an extra player in coverage as they should be able to contain the WF run game, while their secondary does enough to contain the WF WR's. Ohio State -8.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle After a slow start to the season, Ohio State has won their last 3 games, and though they are two wins behind Penn State in the Big Ten Conference (Leaders division), a win here and next week against Penn State, and if they lose to Nebraska will see them go top of their division. They have their key players back, as they average 204 rushing yards per game and should be able to run all over the 98th ranked Purdue rush defence that allows 191 rushing yards per game. Wisconsin ran for 364 yards in the 62-17 win over Purdue last week while Ohio State only allowed 89 yards to them, and like this Ohio State defence, that allows 194 passing yards and 118 rushing yards per game, to contain this Purdue offence that passes for 187 yards and rushes for another 175 yards. Virginia -10.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Virginia's balanced offence averages 238 passing yards and 190 rushing yards per game, as they have won two very good game on the road, beating both Miami and Maryland, to give themselves still a chance of finishing first in their division. They are up against a Duke side that has allowed 249 passing yards and 161 rushing yards per game, and were smashed 49-14 by Miami last week, allowing 202 passing yards and 265 rushing yards in that game. Virginia's defence allows 205 passing yards and 126 rushing yards per game, and should be able to contain a Duke offence that passes for 270 yards and rushes for just 105 yards per game. They had 194 passing yards and 148 rushing yards in the loss to Miami, while Virginia were able to gain 263 passing yards and 207 yards in beating Miami, while allowing 347 passing yards and just 85 rushing yards. Expect Virginia to force them to throw, and drop an extra man in the secondary as they should not have too many problems with the Duke run game. Georgia -12.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle Georgia's balanced offence averages 35 points per game, as they pass for 252 yards and run for another 176 yards per game. Auburn has problems stopping the pass, allowing 215 yards per game, and the run, allowing 186 yards per game, as their defence has allowed at least 38 points in their 3 losses, out of 4, road games. Georgia's defence allows 20 points per game, as they allow 191 passing yards and 91 rushing yards per game, and with Auburn only passing for 163 yards per game, they rely on running the ball, where they average 191 rushing yards per game. But Georgia have managed to stuff the run pretty well this season, and hard to see Auburn doing much on offence here. Wisconsin -27.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Wisconsin averages 257 passing yards and 246 rushing yards per game, as they look to make for losing their last two road games at Michigan State and Ohio State. They are coming off pounding Purdue 62-17 where they had 241 passing yards and 361 rushing yards, and this is a much easier match up as Minnesota's defence allows 236 passing yards and 191 rushing yards per game,and allowed 155 passing yards and 217 rushing yards in their 45-17 loss at Purdue. Wisconsin's defence allows 157 passing yards and 137 passing yards, and allowed 164 passing yards and 120 rushing yards in the win over Purdue, while Minnesota averages 172 passing yards and 144 rushing yards per game. Like Wisconsin to contain this offence, that had just 113 passing yards and 100 rushing yards in the loss to Purdue Boise State -16.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Boise State's offence has only once scored less than 35 points this season as they average 296 passing yards and 183 rushing yards per game, and like them to do well against this TCU defence that allows 225 passing yards and 123 rushing yards per game. They lost 50-24 to Baylor at the start of the year, allowing 414 passing yards and 150 rushing yards to them, while they also lost 40-33 to Southern Methodist, as they allowed 349 passing yards and 112 rushing yards in that game, and like QB Moore to continue his very good form this year, and pass all over this secondary. On defence, BSU allows 163 passing yards and 140 rushing yards per game, as they have only once allowed more than 21 points (26 against Air Force). TCU's offence averages 224 passing yards and 228 rushing yards per game, but they face a very good defence that does not give away much on their blue turf. Stanford -3.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Stanford averages 281 passing yards and 225 rushing yards per game, as they have scored at lest 37 points in each of their games. Oregon allows 235 passing yards and 149 rushing yards per game, and have allowed at least 27 points in 4 of their 9 games this season, so teams like LSU, Arizona, Arizona State and Washington State have done well, but this Stanford offence is even better than all of them. Stanford's defence allows 245 passing yards and just 79 rushing yards per game, and will need to be at their best to stop an Oregon offence that averages 212 passing yards and 198 rushing yards per game, and have scored at least 34 points in winning their last 8 games. Stanford's defence has only once allowed more than 21 points, and that was in the 56-48 win at USC, who had 284 passing yards and 148 rushing yards on that Stanford defence, but it is the Stanford offence that continues to shine as QB Luck has shown that he is the best QB in the game. Stanford should do well on this Oregon defence, while their own defence should do enough to stop the Oregon run game Southern Mississippi -10.5 @ 2.13 pinnacle Southern Mississippi are ranked 25th and have made the top 25 in rankings for the first time in 15 years, so they will be looking to maintain their spot with another good performance here. Their balanced offence averages 244 passing yards and 207 rushing yards per game, as they have scored at least 27 points in winning their last 7 games. Central Florida allows 166 passing yards and 103 rushing yards per game, but they have allowed 203 passing yards and 251 rushing yards in the 24-17 loss at home to Tulsa, as well as in their last two road games, they allowed UAB to pass for 327 yards and run for 174 yards in the 26-24 loss to them, and allowed 358 passing yards and 82 rushing yards in the 28-17 loss at Southern Methodist. SMU's defence allows 214 passing yards and 129 rushing yards and have done enough for their offence to carry them team, as they have won by 18+ points in their last 5 games. UCF's offence averages 237 passing yards and 179 rushing yards, but they managed 226 passing yards and 155 yards in the loss to Tulsa, had 235 passing yards and 96 rushing yards in the loss to UAB, and 349 passing yards and 110 yards in the loss to SMU, so while their offence has done reasonably well in yardage, they have only scored 17 points in 5 of their last 7 games. Record: 72-72 (+1.07)

[Stribs]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Doubled up South Carolina -4 with Boise @ 1.15... Didn't think Boise would be the team struggling. Not dealing with TCU's Passing game well at all. Good luck us! :hope

[Stribs]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks

Doubled up South Carolina -4 with Boise @ 1.15... Didn't think Boise would be the team struggling. Not dealing with TCU's Passing game well at all. Good luck us! :hope

Misses a last minute field goal to lose the game. I feel sick. 72-2 record at home before this game.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF Week Eleven Picks Clemson -17.5 @ 2.12 :( Ohio State -8.5 @ 2.02 :( Virginia -10.5 @ 2.07 :( Missed it by a point Georgia -12.5 @ 2.05 :D Wisconsin -27.5 @ 1.99 :D Boise State -16.5 @ 1.98 :( Lose both of their CBs early on which allows TCU to bomb away with 3 huge TDs. End up losing the game when they could have won it with a FG, like last year against Nevada Stanford -3.5 @ 2.07 :( Too many turnovers Southern Mississippi -10.5 @ 2.13 :( Dogs barked loud today Record: 74-78 (-2.89)