Flat Racing Tuesday 18th of October

[Aidymac]

I am doing a Lucky 15 tomorrow, 2 are over the jumps and 2 on the flat but ill just put it into the flat section and section it. Lucky 15 (1) Kailani - Yarmouth 1:50 Frankie Dettori has 2 rides tomorrow in the first 2 races at Yarmouth and both are on newcomers that look the part on paper. Its dam won the 1000 Guineas and the Oaks, Al Zarooni is in good form with 1 winner and 6 places from their last 9 runners. However he has yet to have a winner at Yarmouth from 15 attempts but has been knocking on the door. The Dettori/Al Zarooni combo have teamed up at Yarmouth twice and have come 2nd on both occasions, time to go one better. (2) Morrow - Yarmouth 2:20 Similar situation here as the first race, i think both newcomers have a good opportunity to win, and Frankie i feel can seal a double with this animal. Again riding for Al Zarooni it looks the part on paper and Al Zarooni has been known to get plenty of first time out winners. Must have a big chance in whats a winnable maiden. (3) McCauley - Exeter 3:10 Richard Johnson has an incredible amount of wins at Exeter with 113 wins from 486 rides there, and his nearest pursuer there is Andrew Thornton who only has 23 wins, so its fair to say it pays to follow Johnson at Exeter. This horse was cruising last time out only for unseating under a careless Mr Matthew Hampton and now with Johnson on board it must hold every chance. Is only up 3 pounds in a 5 runner affair here and holds every chance (4) Megans Motivator - Exeter 5:10 Again im backing Johnson in the bumper, who is on a very interesting horse, as Andrew Balding has this animal on the flat. The trainer has had 1 winner from 9 runners in bumpers since 2004 but the trainer is in fantastic form and he pulled off a gamble today on the flat with Discoteca. He has had 2 winners and 2 seconds from his last 4 runners so i am going to side with this animal tomorrow in this national hunt flat race. Lucky 15 @ SP Also doing an E/W Fourfold! :hope

[chris34]

Re: Flat Racing Tuesday 18th of October 5.30 Lingfield Good looking sprint handicap with plenty of usual AW horses in the lineup and some look a bit overpriced in my opinion! Go Nani Go has had a good late summer campaign with finally another win but has struggled from his new mark probably found soft ground too much last time out, but overall strike rate is off putting now and also only had 1 AW run and was down the field. Lord Of The Reins goes well at Kempton but cashed in on much lower turf mark on penultimate start and could go well again if in that sort of form, but he is handicapped probably to just about his best on the AW 6lb higher than last win although has won off higher in the past and has 2 wins from 5 runs around here and is a worthy saver in my opinion from a good draw. Absa Lutte is a sort that could go well if in the mood but has rapidly become frustrating and is probably worth opposing again. Chjimes is usually competitive around here but doesnt have the best record fresh and tends to go better when having several runs on the bounce and yard also struggling for winners at the moment. Boogie Waltzer is a consistent sort and a credit for connections with a decent strike rate but is probably handicapped to his best now, last winning at Southwell off a mark of 69 runs off 70 today and has generally struggled off higher marks although signs of a return to form last time out but nothing to really suggest he is a winner waiting to happen fading in the finish on soft ground which is disappointing considering he has stamina over further and plenty of form on soft ground. There only appears to be one front runner in this field and he isnt exactly confirmed and that is Boogie Waltzer which puts me off the short priced favourite Rebecca Romero who clearly needs a strong pace to chase and also Estonia would have been a lot of interest had there been presence of more front runners as she has shown more of her old spark finishing well recently on last 2 starts on the AW but needs them to go hard up front which is unlikely here. Therefore looking at the race itself its gonna pay to race handy I feel from a good draw and therefore what looked like a saver bet looks the main bet now, Lord Of The Reins should go well at a good E/W price for a yard going well right now! 2pt e/w Lord Of The Reins 8/1 hills