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Atko

Tennis - 3-9 October

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October After a day of inactivity, I'll get involved with this one ... - Juan Carlos Ferrero -2.5 games (v Marcel Granollers in Beijing) @ 1.877 with Pinnacle 6pts I backed Ferrero to dispose of Thomaz Bellucci easily enough and I think the experienced Spaniard will repeat the handicap trick here against his compatriot Granollers. Granted, I expect Granollers to put up a little more fight than Bellucci did, but I still think he's another player who is best on clay and struggles to deal with Ferrero's court craft. Moreso, Ferrero didn't lose his serve once to Bellucci yesterday, which shows that facet of his game is in decent nick. Granollers won the clay event in Kitzbuhel a few weeks ago and his win over Gilles Simon in the last round implies he's playing decent tennis. Simon, however, is prone to these shonky results, so I'm reluctant to go overboard on that result. Of more significance is the 4-0 H2H record in Ferrero's favour. The last one came at the US Open, where Granollers retired, although Ferrero was in total control of the contest at that point. A lot of the younger Spanish players struggle with Ferrero because when they were all growing up, they looked up to him. Pablo Andujar, who admits Ferrero was his idol, has been skelped twice by the mosquito this year, and I wonder if Granollers has that same issue - he affords too much respect to him. Whatever the reasons for his defeats to Ferrero in the past, I reckon he'll toil again. The former French Open champion is in good condition, has the form book on his side and is looking to climb the rankings. I fancy him again here. I also expect the price to collapse, so if you're looking to follow, now is the time.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October On Ferrero too and nothing more to add to what masters Atko and Psycho wrote. Ferrero served very well against belluci by winning 100% first serves in! -2.5 at Bet365 @ 1.90 - 5/10 good luck

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October

After a day of inactivity, I'll get involved with this one ... - Juan Carlos Ferrero -2.5 games (v Marcel Granollers in Beijing) @ 1.877 with Pinnacle 6pts I backed Ferrero to dispose of Thomaz Bellucci easily enough and I think the experienced Spaniard will repeat the handicap trick here against his compatriot Granollers. Granted, I expect Granollers to put up a little more fight than Bellucci did, but I still think he's another player who is best on clay and struggles to deal with Ferrero's court craft. Moreso, Ferrero didn't lose his serve once to Bellucci yesterday, which shows that facet of his game is in decent nick. Granollers won the clay event in Kitzbuhel a few weeks ago and his win over Gilles Simon in the last round implies he's playing decent tennis. Simon, however, is prone to these shonky results, so I'm reluctant to go overboard on that result. Of more significance is the 4-0 H2H record in Ferrero's favour. The last one came at the US Open, where Granollers retired, although Ferrero was in total control of the contest at that point. A lot of the younger Spanish players struggle with Ferrero because when they were all growing up, they looked up to him. Pablo Andujar, who admits Ferrero was his idol, has been skelped twice by the mosquito this year, and I wonder if Granollers has that same issue - he affords too much respect to him. Whatever the reasons for his defeats to Ferrero in the past, I reckon he'll toil again. The former French Open champion is in good condition, has the form book on his side and is looking to climb the rankings. I fancy him again here. I also expect the price to collapse, so if you're looking to follow, now is the time.
Ferrero d. Granollers 6-4 6-4 - :cheers The mosquito didn't lose his serve once and played what appears to be a pretty solid match. Glad a few others were on it too - the line, predictably, got smashed to bits.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October

Ferrero -2.5 vs Granollers. 1.92 @ Pinnacle (7/10) :ok Wozniacki vs Kanepi. Over 20.5 games. 1.85 @ Nordicbet (6/10) :ok Paszek +4.5 vs Kirilenko. 1.85 @ Nordicbet (5/10) :@
Huge escape from Kanepi to get overs which means + for the day.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October 1 pick for tomorrow for ATP Challenger Mons. A big Challenger event here with relatively big prize money and really solid field. SEPPI TO DEFEAT DARCIS @ 1.67 on stanjames Seppi was struggling with an injury this year but when he is healthy he is a much better player than Darcis. I saw actually both matches Seppi played this week and he looked great very consistent and powerful from the baseline, no signs of injury as well, winning by 6:1 6:0 and 6:1 6:1

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October

(7/10) Kevin Anderson vs Albert Montañes U. 21.5 @pinnacle 1.917
LOSS Never expected Anderson to be broken 3 times... maybe one but not that much. However he managed to win in straight sets but he has turned on my alarm... Maybe just a bad day on serve.. we will see...

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October Fish M. - Tomic B. Selection + 5.5 Tomic B. (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 06/10/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 1.50 In my opininon Mardy is here a overwhelmed favourite.Young talentadet Tomic is a big Australian hope and i believe that he has plenty to show at least he can provide a great resistance here.In first round he defeated Troicki and after that Ito also felt down.Based on that what i saw i can say that on the other side Mardy is i believe slightly in downtrend he is not in perfect condition so thers a big chance for Tomic in this match. So my choice for this clash is hendicep on Tomic.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October 3 for tomorrow Berdych -3 vs Verdasco. 1.75 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Berdo still with a chance to qualify for London and that is a huge incentive for him. Veradsco was poor against Cipolla in the last round dropping the first set against the Italian. The Spaniard has only once beaten Berdych on hard courts (6 meetings on this surface) and that was back in 2005. I think Berdych has got more to offer on return whilst both guys can serve pretty good. Verdasco not with the greatest motivation these days so can not expect 100% from him. Ljubicic > Youzhny. 1.78 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Ljbucic is 7-1 against Youzhny and that is the main reason I'm backing him. He beat the Russian in Beijing last week. Serve is definitely an advantage for Ljubicic, besides he can hit some cracking backhands as well, not as good as Youzhny but decent ones. Youzhny blew away double break lead against Lopez in the final set of his last round match and that is pretty poor for a confidence booster. Lopez made too many double faults in the end which killed him. Hope Ljubo serves just a little bit better. Ivanovic > Radwanska. 2.10 @ Bet365 (4/10) On Ana here. She's playing her best tennis for 3 years for sure. Totally destroyed Zvonareva and she did not play badly, before that she hammered Kuznetsova as well. The forehand looks fantastic for Ivanovic, needs to improve on serve and she will be challenging for the biggest prizes for sure. She has lost 3 consecutive matches against Aga but that was during the time she was out of form. She had lost 3 in a row against Zvonareva prior to beating her couple days ago. She was owning Radwanska in the earlier part of her career and now being back to her best she should be within a chance. Besides Radwanska is playing for 2nd consecutive week (won in Tokyo last week) and fatigue has to set in sooner rather than later. :hope

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October Once again I'm not seeing a great deal from the bookies, will have to give tomorrow a miss and as I'm on holiday for two weeks, I'll see you all upon my return. All the best for the rest of this week and for Shanghai in the next one :ok

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October I have gone for youzhny in that match dont know why just a feel. cant believe 2/9 for wozniacki against penetta that way too short for wozniacki who has been very unconvincing.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October

Berdych -3 vs Verdasco. 1.75 @ Pinnacle (6/10) :ok Ljubicic > Youzhny. 1.78 @ Pinnacle (5/10) :ok Ivanovic > Radwanska. 2.10 @ Bet365 (4/10) VOID
Disgusted for having to spend nearly 3 hrs watching such a low quality match between Ljubo and Youzhny. Ivan got there in the end, although neither really wanted to win. Mikha wanted less and that's good. :cheers

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October Huber/Raymond > Dulko Pennetta. 1.72 @ Bet365 (7/10) Don't normally play doubles, but feel like there is some nice money to be made in this match. I'm not sure Pennetta will be up for this mentally. She was serving for the match against Wozniacki but failed to close it out. Now she has to pick her up to play doubles against in-form pairing of Huber/Raymond who have won 12 matches in a row. Dulko and Pennetta has lost both times against Huber/Raymond with both matches being played this year.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October I actually like a lot from this card, let's hope it goes well. (3/10) Ivan Ljubicic to beat Marin Cilic @ 2.20 with Pinnacle I would have Ljubicic even at evens, so I like this price a lot. He has been more impressive so far imo, Youzhny had no chance against him, while Anderson gifted the third set to Cilic after poor display from both. Neither player at the top of his game, but I would fancy the more experienced guy here. He can surely make the H2H 3-0 today. (3/10) Andy Murray (-4) to beat David Ferrer @ 1.90 with Pinnacle Andy is not losing this...not on this surface. Serve actually matters here and Ferrer's serve just isn't up to par. Murray showing no signs of fatigue yesterday and I expect him to cruise through this match. Great match-up for him, he can spar from the back easily and he has a way to win points easily, Ferrer does not. (3/10) Flavia Pennetta Over 11 games (against Agnieszka Radwanska) @ 1.90 with Pinnacle I was surprised by the Italian yesterday, she played solid stuff against Wozniacki and deserved the win imo. She has the skill to even win this, especially with Radwanska's fatigue perhaps coming into play. Radwanska would have problems against Ivanovic, but she had problems with her back and could not play that well. 11 games is not beyond her ability and that is what I am going for here.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October Two more (3/10) Tomas Berdych (-2.5) to beat J.W.Tsonga @ 2.50 with Paddy Power Both cruising through, but I liked Berdych a little bit more so far. He is a little bit better on return imo and that should be the key here really. On faster surface I would go with Tsonga, this one is pretty slow and Berdych can get closer to the ATP Finals with a victory here. (3/10) Lindstedt/Tecau to beat Cilic/Ljubicic @ 1.82 with Pinnacle Basing this on Cilic/Ljubicic. Ljubicic looked tired imo and I am not sure that he will be up for this. There is a big tournament in Shanghai next week and he needs all the rest he can get. No such concerns on the other side of the net though.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October After seeing Pennetta, I am going to oppose her in the doubles. Do not really understand the drop in price. (3/10) Peschke/Srebotnik to beat Dulko/Pennetta @ 2.23 with Pinnacle Two basically equal pairs, so this looks like value. Pennetta had a medical timeout against Radwanska and did not play well, so that migh translate into problems here. It did not work yesterday, but she is not coming here on the back of a victory and that might bring her down.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October Radwanska -3 vs Petkovic. 1.78 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Have to favour Radwanska here. She's in the best form of her life and it's nice to see her finally play real tennis and hit some hard shots as well not only defend all the time. She owns Petkovic 4-0, two of the wins have been recorded this year. Petkovic could not even beat Radwanska in Carlsbad when Aga had a shoulder injury. Now she's fit and on a 10 match winning run. Radwanska has got the advantafe of a better defense and from what I've seen in those two matches against Petkovic this past summer, she's ready to take on the German and get involved in baseline slug-fest. Only one winner in this one for me.

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Re: Tennis - 3-9 October Nadal in crisis :eek (3/10) Andrea Petkovic to beat Agnieszka Radwanska @ 2.83 with Pinnacle Wanted to play Radwanska from the start, but I started to doubt it more and more and this is the result. First of all, the H2H seems a little bit misleading - only the last two matches are relevant imo - and one saw Petkovic being sick. And, if you consider everything, this price looks a little bit big. Radwanska simply has to be tired - Pennetta was trying to get the momentum in the second and failed, but I think that she would have taken the third. And based on quality, this is just 60/40 imo.

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