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Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September


ultravires
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Tuesday 20 September 2011 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Novara v Internazionale (19:45 BST) 7.07 7.5 1.66 87.48 %
Wednesday 21 September 2011 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif AC Milan v Udinese (19:45 BST) 1.75 3.8 5.9 100.41 %
maximize.gif Cesena v Lazio (19:45 BST) 3.68 3.29 2.3 101.05 %
maximize.gif Chievo v Napoli (19:45 BST) 4.12 3.35 2.15 100.63 %
maximize.gif Fiorentina v Parma (19:45 BST) 1.92 3.5 4.88 101.15 %
maximize.gif Genoa v Catania (19:45 BST) 1.88 3.5 5.2 100.99 %
maximize.gif Juventus v Bologna (19:45 BST) 1.46 4.5 9 101.69 %
maximize.gif Lecce v Atalanta (19:45 BST) 2.69 3.24 3 101.37 %
maximize.gif Palermo v Cagliari (19:45 BST) 2.02 3.6 4.4 100.01 %
Thursday 22 September 2011 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif AS Roma v Siena (19:45 BST) 1.62 4 8 99.04 %
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Lecce - Atalanta Nice odds for Lecce team. I believe Atalanta are overpriced after two wins in a row, while Lecce also prefromed well and had beaten Bologna in away game I see this game as equal teams, both have some good individuals that can point to the win, but Lecce on home is good and after Udines lost game they are able to win first game in new season at home Odds are value in this case as i can not believe Atalanta can get three wins in row Both teams with no problems of injury or suspensions and Lecce have better depth in team, which will be crucial for midweek round Lecce 0 @ 1.87 sbobet --- Novara - Inter Not impressed by Inter so far, but the last 20 minutes of Roma game Gasperini finally realised that Sneijder is made for role of playing in behind the strikers, and since that point Inter was better team. So i believe, Inter should get a vital win in this game, not sure if 4 man defence will be played, but overall quality is on Inter side and it is time for them to get a first win Novara not bad, but still relegation candidate and in this game against wounded Inter i see them having no chance at all. Inter -0.75 @ 1.95 sbobet

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

I am also not at all impressed by Catania so Genoa could be a look at home. 1.80 doesn't scream value though.
I was having a look at Genoa but I don't really know much about them this season. As I understand they have had a fairly high turnover of personnel in the summer? Certainly the result in the Lazio game went against the general consensus and may help to explain why they are priced slightly short against Catania. I'm a bit reluctant to get involved in Serie A this early on as I'm still trying to build up my picture of the teams and wait for some results to bed in. Be great if you have any additional info on Genoa in any case.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September I don't have an in-depth read on them to be honest. Which is why in the end I'd probably swerve it. They have had a lot of changes as usual but they have a decent core. Beating Lazio away seems impressive but they have been up and down themselves - playing well for 45 mins, then atrocious for 45 mins. I'd probably leave it in truth, despite my impression of Catania. I'd feel safer backing Fiorentina. EDIT - One thing I will say for Catania is that they pressed the ball and defended well for most of the match against Cesena. Genoa are a different team but Catania will do the same and try to counter.

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

I don't have an in-depth read on them to be honest. Which is why in the end I'd probably swerve it. They have had a lot of changes as usual but they have a decent core. Beating Lazio away seems impressive but they have been up and down themselves - playing well for 45 mins, then atrocious for 45 mins. I'd probably leave it in truth, despite my impression of Catania. I'd feel safer backing Fiorentina. EDIT - One thing I will say for Catania is that they pressed the ball and defended well for most of the match against Cesena. Genoa are a different team but Catania will do the same and try to counter.
I think avoiding Genoa is probably sound advice as clearly our knowledge of them is not up to scratch just yet. This coupon is probably a little too early to commence my Serie A campaign for this year but I am definately going to try and watch a game or two this week and take some notes.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Milan - Udinese Milan are hungry now. After Cavani humiliation they are on their toes. They are still looking for the first win and Udinese are another speedy opponent stepping on their way. They did hold the possession well against Napoli scored a goal through Aquilani, but their weakness has always been good counter attacking, wich Udinese are known specialists for. Last season they played out a thrilling 4-4 draw, Milan are still without many key players, while Udinese sold very important members too, but still are top of the table. This should be very entertaining with few goals too. Over 2.5 goals 1.85 @ Pinnacle 3pts 2-2 FT 17.0 @ Triobet 0.5pts

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Novara - Inter Not impressed by Inter so far, but the last 20 minutes of Roma game Gasperini finally realised that Sneijder is made for role of playing in behind the strikers, and since that point Inter was better team. So i believe, Inter should get a vital win in this game, not sure if 4 man defence will be played, but overall quality is on Inter side and it is time for them to get a first win Novara not bad, but still relegation candidate and in this game against wounded Inter i see them having no chance at all. Inter -0.75 @ 1.95 sbobet Agree with you here. Do you think Novara's artificial pitch could cause trouble for Inter at all. In B last year they had a tremendous home record and I think the pitch was the biggest factor there. Goodluck :ok

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

I think avoiding Genoa is probably sound advice as clearly our knowledge of them is not up to scratch just yet. This coupon is probably a little too early to commence my Serie A campaign for this year but I am definately going to try and watch a game or two this week and take some notes.
Like this discussion a lot. I will only add that both Genoa and Fiorentina are most likely teams in my book that will lack consistnecy at the start of the season, Genoa as ultra said, again a lot of changes. Palermo can be added there aswell. One more thing is cronical lack of value in this round. about Novara, I think that last season succes was mainly due to having almost same team from Serie C, not the pitch, which should not be the deciding factor here. Odds for Inter went down a lot (1.82) so not much value there now.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

Like this discussion a lot. I will only add that both Genoa and Fiorentina are most likely teams in my book that will lack consistnecy at the start of the season, Genoa as ultra said, again a lot of changes. Palermo can be added there aswell. One more thing is cronical lack of value in this round. about Novara, I think that last season succes was mainly due to having almost same team from Serie C, not the pitch, which should not be the deciding factor here. Odds for Inter went down a lot (1.82) so not much value there now.
Having same team means togetherness but Serie A is just not about it. There must be some changes :loon
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

No talk about Juventus and Napoli? :P Both Bologna and Chievo look weak' date=' especially at the back, while Napoli is in form, more quality players, and Juve should be a force at home this year.[/quote'] Juventus hcp is huge and not worth risking money on. Aswell Bologna is not a bad team, i believe they are better than last season and have more complete team. A big plus for Juve is depth they have this season and this is important in midweek games. Napoli is a question, while i see them as one of three teams to go for the title, question is what changes will Mazzari make. If Cavani will be on bench, there is no value in these odds. Hope that answers your questions.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

Hey! :clap I've just heard, Raggi and Loria (backs) are out from Bologna. Why would be Cavani on the bench?
That is good information for Juve, If Raggi is out it means Bologna wil have problems on RB place - Pepe showed good form on LW for Juve. Loria out means Anontonson should be in CD place. I now might take a look into this game as i scrapped it initially from my card. :ok Cavani on bench might be because of Napoli playing third game in one week (Man City, Milan and now Chievo), also some other players might rotate.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

Btw I am also thinking about Milan - Udinese BTS @ 1.72. Milan midfield is very slow' date= on the other hand Udinese is good on counterattacks.
This game is of my interest aswell and your statement is completely true. Seedorf and Van Bommel in midfield will mean trouble for defence. I need more accurate information about the players to bet on this game, but yes your prediction is near to be true.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Cesena - Lazio My first goals bet in this season. And it is loaded wih value. Cesena started season with two losses, in opener they lost to Napoli and in second round they failed to break defensive system of Catania. Lazio with Cisse and Klose have a good reliable goalscorers. Both teams play with 4 players that are always a big danger to opponents goal. Cesena has Candreva, Eder, Mutu and Martinez (or Ghezzal or Bogdani), so great cover for such a small club. Lazio with Hernanes and Sculli behind strikers and Klose - Cisse attack - not to forget last season revelation Kozak a big guy. Both in defence not the best and i am sure, both teams will play to win, Cesena after two defeats need points and Lazio need to compensate Genoa home defeat. I expect open game and both teams in offensive formations. Over 2.5 @ 2.17 sbobet

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

Cesena - Lazio My first goals bet in this season. And it is loaded wih value. Cesena started season with two losses, in opener they lost to Napoli and in second round they failed to break defensive system of Catania. Lazio with Cisse and Klose have a good reliable goalscorers. Both teams play with 4 players that are always a big danger to opponents goal. Cesena has Candreva, Eder, Mutu and Martinez (or Ghezzal or Bogdani), so great cover for such a small club. Lazio with Hernanes and Sculli behind strikers and Klose - Cisse attack - not to forget last season revelation Kozak a big guy. Both in defence not the best and i am sure, both teams will play to win, Cesena after two defeats need points and Lazio need to compensate Genoa home defeat. I expect open game and both teams in offensive formations. Over 2.5 @ 2.17 sbobet
also Antonioli - first goalkeeper Cesena is out injured.
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Novara vs Inter Novara is the most pleasant surprise in Italy in recent years. This will be their first game in front of their fans on artificial pitch, which can be a problem for this season unconvincing Inter. This will be a historic match for Novara that will play the first Seria A home game after 55 years. They have sold two best strikers from last season, but have brought several experienced players. The biggest changes at Inter are Eto'o's departure and arrival of coach Gasperini. He's under pressure cause of poor results, but will try with his attacking style to win tonight and thus returns confidence. Away side will again be without injured Stankovic, Maicon and Motta, but Chivu probably returns to the field. Inter's victory has no value in this case, but goals are an excellent valued. Novara (4-3-1-2): Ujkani; Dellafiore, Lisuzzo, Paci, Gemiti; Porcari, Radovanovic, Rigoni; Mazzarani; Meggiorini, Morimoto. INTER (3-5-2): Julio Cesar, Lucio, Ranocchia, Chivu; Nagatomo, Zanetti, Cambiasso, Sneijder, Obi; Pazzini, Forlan. over 2,5 @1.95 3/10

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Palermo - Cagliari 1 (@2.03) 3 points I take Palermo for this round, cause this team at home is really hard to beat, they play offensive football and rhythm are really high, Cagliari have 2 wins in 2 matches but aganinst Novara and Roma (which still has some difficulties). I think Palermo odds has a value. Lecce - Atalanta 1 (dnb) (@1.84) sbo 2 points Match against 2 teams which will fight for relegation, Lecce after the first match against Udinese impressed a lot winning in Bologna, Atalanta is plaiyng really good to avoid penalization, Lecce last year reach permanence in Serie A thanks to good resulsts at home and I think can win this match. For the rest of this round, I will take Napoli, but I think odds will rise tomorrow cause Mr. Mazzarri will rest some regulars for turnover Inter this evening is a risk, maybe they will win but it's an hard game according to me, and the moment of the team is not good, Lazio will go to cesena with Mr. Reja which tend his resignation and president Lotito reject them, so it's really hard game to predict, Juventus and Rome should win, but odds are really low Fiorentina without Gilardino loose the only man who actually score, Genoa find a Catania which in 2 matches show a great defense. Milan has showed against Napoli not a good shape, Udinese players impressed a lot in cunterattack, I think Milan risk a lot tomorrow.

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Novara v Inter (2) At the time being Inter are playing awful football...they havent got a system yet after Gasperini took charge. The choice of manager opted for a manager who always played with 3 at the back whilst Inter always used to play with a different system and their sqaud doesnt fit a 3-4-3 system. However Novara as their manager admitted will find it very difficult in the top flight and they are on paper the worst team in the division. If Inter dont win this one I beleive Gasperini will face immediate sacking. Inter should win this game, not because I trust them but because large difference in quality of players will prevail. Expect Inter to win tonight but wont surely make a good run after this. Bet: Away win

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Lecce - Atalanta (X) Atalanta travel to Lecce in their quest to earn points asap as they started the season with a 6 point deduction They had a good start to the season with a draw away to genoa and a win against palermo. Up front they found immediate form with Moralez and Denis both finding the net. On the other hand after loosing to Udinese at home Lecce, dominated against Bologna ( a team that is in all sorts of trouble). I beleive that Lecce could well face relegation this season and I rate Atalanta a bit higher. Both teams cannot loose as Lecce aim to gain the most points they could at home, and Atalanta to drop out their -2 point deficit in the table. I guess that a draw is written all over this match Bet : X

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Juventus - Bologna (1) Juventus had an entusiastic start to the season...new stadium, 2 wins, good performances...and the player are understanding what Conte wants from them. On the opposite Bologna lost the first two matches quote easily. Unrest is reported as fans contested their new manager Bisoli after the loss at home against Lecce. Their side is a pretty strong one with Di Vaio, Ramirez and Diamanti deserving respect but nothing is yet working out for them...and tomorrow they will be trashed by a side whose expectations are rising Take Juventus to win easily Bet : Juventus to win by more than 1 goal Chievo - Napoli (X) This is a difficult match to guess. Napoli's morale is flying high after the win against Milan but they should keep their feet on the ground. They had 2 difficult matches in 4 days, playing with the same 11 its a matter of time to become exhausted. Also Lavezzi, Camapagnaro and Dossena will all be missing for sure..+ Mazzarri might put on some new fresh legs. Napoli have a first class first eleven but when it comes to subs they lack options. Chievo have not started pretty well but are always a pretty hard nut to crack at Bentegodi. If Chievo defend well and dont give spaces for Napoli's counter attack I wont be surprised if they gain a point from the match I expect few goals in this match. Napoli could perhaps win with the least of margins but A draw is very likely in my opinion Bet: Draw / Under 2.5 / X2

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September Chivu in a back 3 is suicide. I haven't watched a single second of Novara so I have no idea if they are capable of harassing Inter. Sneijder in CM again. Gasperini is basically asking to be sacked if Inter don't win tonight. I really want to fade them, but I'm not going to.

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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September

Chivu in a back 3 is suicide. I haven't watched a single second of Novara so I have no idea if they are capable of harassing Inter. Sneijder in CM again. Gasperini is basically asking to be sacked if Inter don't win tonight. I really want to fade them' date=' but I'm not going to.[/quote'] could be worse....last time Javier Zanetti played as a centre back
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Re: Italy - Serie A - 20-22 September I just lost an admittedly slightly too long write-up so I'll give the brief version. AS ROMA vs. siena Roma will persist with their new wave formation in this one. DDR looked sick in his new role but everyone else has a lot of room for improvement. So far 180 minutes of play has resulted in lots of possession but nothing else. Cicinho and Angel will help at getting forward. None of the midfielders that could join DDR look at ease. Pjanic and Pizarro are the only ones that can pass anyway. Totti is too slow (ideally) for trequartista and none of Borriello/Osvaldo/Borini/Bojan look comfortable wide. There is a lot of fancy talk about Totti being a 'fake' striker and such, but essentially they start wide and don't look good there. It is pointless to predict which two will play, though I expect Osvaldo to be dropped. They are building, but it will take a lot of time. Meanwhile Siena have got their game plan down. They form two banks of four and dig in with grit. It has worked great so far and they could have earned a draw against Juve. They'll do the same here and I think it will work well. They wont create bundles of chances but they'll sit deep and fight hard. Cagliari did it very well against Roma and Siena should follow their lead. I'm hoping Roma have progressed a little bit so as to not concede two sloppy goals this time round. I foresee a lot of possession, and ultimately frustration for Roma. I hope they grab the win, so long as it falls within this line. Under 2.5 goals - 2.040 - 4 points - Pinnacle I'm also taking Udinese +0.75 and shall return with some words.

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