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Tennis - 12-18 September


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No tournaments on ATP side this week with just 2 lesser WTA tournaments (Quebec and Tashkent). 1 pick for the WTA Quebec for me: ERAKOVIC TO DEFEAT GARCIA @ 1.5 on ladbrokes Garcia is a very talented young French player. She hits the ball very hard and has a good serve but she is not on the same top 50 level as Erakovic is right now. Easy win for Erakovic over Garcia just a couple of months ago. Additionally, just yesterday night Garcia played in the finals of US Open juniors tournament losing a close match and she must be tired and unable to practice on different court surface (Carpet court) in Quebec.

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Sport Tennis Event Radwanska - Cepelova Selection Under 20.5 Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 1.85 Reasoning Radwanska win without any problems. Ula is better one or two class above Cepelova in this moment. Cepelova never been in TOP270, Ula been in TOP70. This is big difference. Ula is three years older and player over 100 matches more on hard courts. Ula form is good. Ula is better server and better returner. Ula have good motivation, want make good result here and back to the TOP100. Ula take this match easy, 6-3, 6-1 Sport Tennis Event Krunic - Farhad Selection Under 18 Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.88 Reasoning I don't see any other result than fast win for Krunic Krunic is on the 254 position on the world. Feel good on this courts and take practice because played in Q - won three matches, concended one set, against better ranked Sirotkina in final Q match. Farhad is out of the TOP1000(!). In this season played in three main draw matches: Istanbul lost against Bizarnescu 0-6, 0-6, Caceres lost against Papamichail 0-6, 1-6 and in Baku lost against Rezai 0-6, 2-6 Krunic 6-1, 6-2

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Sport Tennis Event Radwanska - Cepelova Selection Under 20.5 Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 1.85 Reasoning Radwanska win without any problems. Ula is better one or two class above Cepelova in this moment. Cepelova never been in TOP270, Ula been in TOP70. This is big difference. Ula is three years older and player over 100 matches more on hard courts. Ula form is good. Ula is better server and better returner. Ula have good motivation, want make good result here and back to the TOP100. Ula take this match easy, 6-3, 6-1 Sport Tennis Event Krunic - Farhad Selection Under 18 Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.88 Reasoning I don't see any other result than fast win for Krunic Krunic is on the 254 position on the world. Feel good on this courts and take practice because played in Q - won three matches, concended one set, against better ranked Sirotkina in final Q match. Farhad is out of the TOP1000(!). In this season played in three main draw matches: Istanbul lost against Bizarnescu 0-6, 0-6, Caceres lost against Papamichail 0-6, 1-6 and in Baku lost against Rezai 0-6, 2-6 Krunic 6-1, 6-2
2 fast wins:gimme
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Sport Tennis Event Coin - Tatishvili Selection Coin +3.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.90 Reasoning Coin for me is favourite of this match, wrong odds, wrong line. Coin played in Q before this main draw game and show very impressive stuff here. In first match of Q lost one set, but in next two won 2-0 two times and not concended a single serve game. Surface is good for Coin style of play. Tatishvili is unexperience on this surface and this is key to win for Coin. Tatishvili not played on Carpet in last two seasons in a row. First match can be very hard.

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Sport Tennis Event Coin - Tatishvili Selection Coin +3.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.90 Reasoning Coin for me is favourite of this match, wrong odds, wrong line. Coin played in Q before this main draw game and show very impressive stuff here. In first match of Q lost one set, but in next two won 2-0 two times and not concended a single serve game. Surface is good for Coin style of play. Tatishvili is unexperience on this surface and this is key to win for Coin. Tatishvili not played on Carpet in last two seasons in a row. First match can be very hard.
:beer Sport Tennis Event Kudryavtseva - Diatchenko Selection Kudryavtseva Strength 10/10 Date 14/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.00 Reasoning For me Kudryavtseva is clear favourite of this match. Kudryavtseva in Tashkent defending title from last season, when in final beat Vesnina in two sets. Motivation must be high. In first round beat good Dolonts in two sets - 6:2, 7:5. Kudryavtseva look good. Diatchenko is young player without big experience on this level, in first round beat Olga Govortsova from Belarus in three sets, but this match not been on the highest level. If Kudra keep normal level take this match without big problems
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

:beer Sport Tennis Event Kudryavtseva - Diatchenko Selection Kudryavtseva Strength 10/10 Date 14/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.00 Reasoning For me Kudryavtseva is clear favourite of this match. Kudryavtseva in Tashkent defending title from last season, when in final beat Vesnina in two sets. Motivation must be high. In first round beat good Dolonts in two sets - 6:2, 7:5. Kudryavtseva look good. Diatchenko is young player without big experience on this level, in first round beat Olga Govortsova from Belarus in three sets, but this match not been on the highest level. If Kudra keep normal level take this match without big problems
:nana Sport Tennis Event Marino-Wozniak Selection Marino +3.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 15/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95 Reasoning For me wrong player is favourite in this pair. Marino is TOP50 player, Wozniak is out of TOP100. Both players are from Canada, but Marino is local hero. Marino defending semifinal from last year. Marino in first round beat other Canadia player Dubois 2-0. Wozniak played in last night against Broadsky, win 2-0, but Broadsky not have skills to play on this level. Close match
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September One more:drums Sport Tennis Event Larierre - Pervak Selection Larierre +6 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 15/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95 Reasoning Larierre is be able to make big suprise here.. Larierre is young gun from France, two the biggest weapons - forehand and first serve, similar big talent like Caroline Garcia, but with better movement on the court. Yesterday beat Rybarikova in two sets! Pervak too is from 1991, but have more experience, TOP50 in this moment. Won two matches here, both with exactly 6 games. I don't see with more games today. Go Victoria!

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

:nana Sport Tennis Event Marino-Wozniak Selection Marino +3.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 15/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95 Reasoning For me wrong player is favourite in this pair. Marino is TOP50 player, Wozniak is out of TOP100. Both players are from Canada, but Marino is local hero. Marino defending semifinal from last year. Marino in first round beat other Canadia player Dubois 2-0. Wozniak played in last night against Broadsky, win 2-0, but Broadsky not have skills to play on this level. Close match
:cow:cow:cow 7/7 in this month, all picks from this thread are won.. Sport Tennis Event Lucic - Zahlavova S Selection Lucic +3 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 15/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95 Reasoning Wrong favourite in this match, Lucic have more chances to win. Why? Lucic have more stable serve and can hit stronger shots from the baseline, this is not clay, movement is not the most important part of tennis. Lucic is natural hard couter, Zahlavova born on clay surface. Lucic in first round won 6-2, 6-4 against Hampton, Barbora beat out of form Shuai Zhang. For me in first round player from Croatia look better. 3 sets for Lucic
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Tashkent semifinals Pervak -2.5 vs Radwanska. 1.85 @ Bwin (6/10) Think bookies are overrating Radwanska's chances in this one. She's played couple 3-setters in las two rounds and that will be a key factor here. Double faults are huge part of her game and being tired won't help. Pervak will be fresh as she's beaten every of her 3 opponents easily. She was leading Rawdwanska 5-0 prior to the Pole retiring in New Haven earlier this year. -2.5 games looks short for me condisering everything said above. Kudryavtseva -4 vs Birnerova. 1.88 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Kudryavtseva is a defending champion here which means she will be up for this one, besides it's semifinals anyway. Couple reasons why I'm going with a handicap here as I naturally believe that Birnerova won't be a match for the Rusisan. First of all, she's more like a doubles players and secondly she prefers clay. Reaching semifinal in a main tour event in singles is something she's achieved for the very first time, I believe. Overall, Kudryavtseva is a better player in singles and should win comfortably. :hope

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Quebec City, Friday Paszek > Watson. 2.20 @ Pinnacle (4/10) Not sure I can agree with Watson being rated as favorite in this match. Paszek is a defending champion and I really like her fighting qualities. She's playing too many 3-set matches which is a negative thing but her fitness is quite good. Her defense is a bit better than that of Watson's and I don't think Watson will take a lot of encouragement from their only H2H match which was in Estoril this year. Watson managed to win just 3 games going down without much of a chance (0-6, 3-6). Hantuchova -4 vs Erakovic. 1.95 @ Pinnacle (5/10) What is Erakovic doing in this part of the world at this time of year I have no idea. She has not impressed in her opening two matches either and will struggle against Hantuchova who can overpower her with ease. Erakovic managed to win just 4 games in their recent meeting in Wimbledon. That was on grass which is favorite surface of Erakovic.

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Quebec City, Friday Paszek > Watson. 2.20 @ Pinnacle (4/10) Not sure I can agree with Watson being rated as favorite in this match. Paszek is a defending champion and I really like her fighting qualities. She's playing too many 3-set matches which is a negative thing but her fitness is quite good. Her defense is a bit better than that of Watson's and I don't think Watson will take a lot of encouragement from their only H2H match which was in Estoril this year. Watson managed to win just 3 games going down without much of a chance (0-6, 3-6).
Paszek is slightly injured on her stomach mucle, maybe thats the reason for watson being favorite. http://www.tennisnet.com/oesterreich/welttennis/damen/Matchbaelle-abgewehrt-Paszek-erkaempft-zehnten-Quebec-Sieg-in-Serie/2780312 for those of you who are familiar with german
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Sport Tennis
Event Novak Djokovic - David Nalbandian
Selection David Nalbandian
Strength 1/10
Date 16/09/2011
Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 8.50
Reasoning Novak Djokovic should be a big favorite in this match. He is playing fantastic tennis this year. What is the reason I think he will lose - he won US Open a few days ago and I'm sure that he feels very tired. Besides, he has got health problems. David Nalbandian is in good shape. I watched him against Rafa Nadal at US Open and he showed really good tennis. Novak Djokovic leads 4-1 in head-to-head series so we can see that David Nalbandian is able to defeat Djokovic. The last match they played at Cincinnati in the last year and Novak Djokovic won in two sets (second after tie-break). Nalbandian likes play on this surface. I think he can beat Novak. Odd at bwin is fantastic, I see value here.
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Sport Tennis
Event Daniela Hantuchova - Marina Erakovic
Selection Daniela Hantuchova
Strength 5/10
Date 16/09/2011
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.51
Reasoning In my opinion Daniela Hantuchova can win this tournament. She will play against Marina Erakovic in the next round and probably she will win in two sets. Daniela Hantuchova leads 1-0 in head-to-head series. They played at Wimbledon this year and Daniela won without any problems - in two sets. The match lasted 73 minutes and Marina Erakovic had no chances. She had 1 break point but Daniela saved it. Daniela likes play against players like Erakovic. Daniela Hantuchova lost in the first match at US Open against Pauline Parmentier so she has a chance to show her best tennis. She defeated Czink in the last match in three sets. I give more chances for her.
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Sport Tennis
Event Novak Djokovic - David Nalbandian
Selection David Nalbandian
Strength 1/10
Date 16/09/2011
Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 8.50
Reasoning Novak Djokovic should be a big favorite in this match. He is playing fantastic tennis this year. What is the reason I think he will lose - he won US Open a few days ago and I'm sure that he feels very tired. Besides, he has got health problems. David Nalbandian is in good shape. I watched him against Rafa Nadal at US Open and he showed really good tennis. Novak Djokovic leads 4-1 in head-to-head series so we can see that David Nalbandian is able to defeat Djokovic. The last match they played at Cincinnati in the last year and Novak Djokovic won in two sets (second after tie-break). Nalbandian likes play on this surface. I think he can beat Novak. Odd at bwin is fantastic, I see value here.
Pinnacle has Nalbandian at 12.00, but even that is hardly what i would call value... I mean it's a Davis Cup match in Belgrade, come on... But i agree with you on Hantuchova, i took her also.
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Hantuchova vs Erakovic: over 20.5 games @evens local bookie Hantuchova did not impress me in her R1 and R2 matches - she did struggle in two three-setters against Tomljanovic and Czink, who both are challenger players from the second WTA hundred and should have been easily crushed by Daniela. OK, Czink did show some skills at Wimbledon by beating Sam Stosur and going to round 3, but that was an exception. Erakovic plays in solid form in Quebec, has quite good service game, quick indoor hard is a surface she is good on, and IMO should not collapse in two easy sets. GL :hope

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September

Tashkent semifinals Paszek > Watson. 2.20 @ Pinnacle (4/10) :ok Pervak -2.5 vs Radwanska. 1.85 @ Bwin (6/10) :ok Hantuchova -4 vs Erakovic. 1.95 @ Pinnacle (5/10) :@ Kudryavtseva -4 vs Birnerova. 1.88 @ Pinnacle (5/10) VOID
Really disgusted with Hantuchova. Don't want to use the word fix here, but what on earth was that? No desire to win, no effort whatsoever. What's the point playing? Kudryavtseva was looking like an easy winner, had to pull a hamstring few games from the finish line...
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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Sport Tennis Event Krajicek - Zahlavova S Selection Krajicek Strength 10/10 Date 18/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.75 Reasoning I see Krajicek win here Krajicek lead before this game 2-0 in H2H against Zahlavova Strycova, two times played on hard surface. Krajicek game style is perfect for surace like this - very good serve, great technique on the net and powerfull returns. Zahlavova-Strycova have bad serve, typicall pusher from clay surface. Zahlavova-Strycova have many lucky in this tournament, two very close matches against Lucic and Hlavackova. Perfect moment to lose. Krajicek in 2

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Re: Tennis - 12-18 September Sport Tennis Event Dudi Sela v Milos Raonic Selection Dudi Sela Strength 10/10 Date 18/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 1.90 Reasoning Interesting match with both players losing on Friday, Sela in 5 sets and Raonic in 4. Raonic is playing for the first time since Wimbledon and looked very poor on Friday against an average opponent. Sela was no so bad, and I think should be considered a favourite here. Isreal are 2-1 behind and with home crowd behind him I think Sela can make it 2-2. Sport Tennis Event David Nalbandian v Janko Tipsarevic Selection David Nalbandian Strength 10/10 Date 18/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Titanbet @ 1.74 Reasoning Expect Djokovic to come in for the 4th rubber and make it 2-2, leaving Nalbandian and Tipsarevic to decide the tie. I was very impressed with Nalbandian on Friday, he should a high level and physically looked good. He's got an excellent Davis Cup record and always gets up for these occasions. Tipsarevic has shown great heart in Davis Cup before and won big matches, but today I will be siding with Nalbandian. Sport Tennis Event Marina Erakovic v Barbora Zahlavova Strycova Selection Marina Erakovic Strength 10/10 Date 18/09/2011 Bookmaker/Price Victor Chandler @ 1.72 Reasoning Stand out price I feel is worth taking. Erakovic has been very good this week, she's had some tough battles but come through very well against good players. Courts really suit her aggressive game and that could be the difference in the final. Zahlavova Strycova has done well but has had much the easier draw and I think Erakovic will have too much in the final.

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