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Dylan

Tennis - 25-31 July

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Plenty of mens and womens action this week The men have three tournaments on the go in ; Croatia (Umag) - on clay Switzerland (Gaastad) - on clay LA - on hard The women have two tournaments stateside in; Stanford - on hard Washington - on hard Good luck to all this week, and I hope mods don't mind me starting this thread off.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July I had a pretty bad week last week, but had a couple of days away to refresh and rethink so hopefully can get some results this week. Not much going for me in todays matches except for one in Stanford. Elena Baltacha vs Yaroslava Shvedova - Shevdova +3.5 games 1.80 at bet365 (3/10 units) Shevdova has had a bit of a slump down the rankings in the last year, but this time in 2010 she was a top 30 player who had reached the last 16 at Miami a couple of months earlier, as well as having a few other successful runs at other WTA and ITF hard court events since 2009. With a decent record like that I’m happy to back her on a + games handicap against Baltacha who is rarely seen producing a convincing win, and struggled on the hard surfaces of Baku last week. :hope I'm also having a think about a few outrights this week and so far i've taken; Juan Carlos Ferrero – to win Umag ATP outright 6.5 at BetFred (1/10 units) Ferrero has slowly been progressing back up the rankings mainly thanks to strong showings at clay events, with a qtr final in Barcelona back in April and a winners trophy in Stuttgart two weeks ago. He was also the winner in Umag last year, so will have the added incentive of wanting hold onto the title. I don’t believe this is too strong of a field so he has a good chance of doing just that. Good luck to all the have a bet today.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Plenty of mens and womens action this week The men have three tournaments on the go in ; Croatia (Umag) - on clay Switzerland (Gaastad) - on clay LA - on hard The women have two tournaments stateside in; Stanford - on hard Washington - on hard Good luck to all this week, and I hope mods don't mind me starting this thread off.
Not at all mate :ok

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Some decent fields this week so hopefully everyone can pick a few winners and end it in profit. Robby Ginepri vs Yen-Hsun Lu 2/5pts R. Ginepri to beat Y-H. Lu - 23/20 with SportingBet Slight bit of value on the American here as i think both of these should be 10/11 for the win. Last week Lu didn't impress me much. He made far too many unforced errors and looked vunerable on serve in every match. He made a total of 19 double faults over the 3 matches he played so was giving too many points away without a rally even starting. His first serve percentage was low all week so that enabled his opponents to get stuck in when returning. Ginepri hasn't played much this year due to a biking accident in 2010 but has had a few matches over the last month or so. He recorded a win over Tommy Haas at Atlanta before running into an in-form Muller where i expected him to be beaten - and he was in 3 sets. He played to an ok standard, nothing special, but that standard is still enough to compete here. He can be inconsistent in matches but had he not had that injury he would be comfortably in the top 100 has he undoubtedly has talent. For me, he's one of those players where he could play any shot at any given moment and that makes him a tricky customer when on-song. This should be a close match, similar to the only other meeting between the two when Lu came through in 3 sets. I will side with the American as i feel he will get plenty of opportunities to get stuck into Lu's serve. Small stakes though.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Umag Croatia: Dodig to bt Ramos-Vinolas @1,781 Pinnacle Odds are too high for Dodig, probably reflecting the fact that in last two tournaments Dodig was playing total nothing, while Ramos-Vinolas made it to R2 in Hamburg and is a clay specialist. They have not played with each other so far. IMO it is hard to imagine that Dodig will lose against someone like Ramos in Umag. Dodig had good run on grass in s-Hertogenbosh 6 weeks ago (finalist), then lost in R1 in Wimbledon against Harrison, had 1 month pause and appeared last week in Hamburg where he lost in R1 against local player Knittel. But this week Dodig will want to deliver good performance on his home soil. He is capable to beat likes of Feliciano Lopez, Raonic and Soderling on clay (Barcelona this year), while Ramos, however specialized on clay he is, he is more a challenger level player and lacks results of this king. Adding the fact that this is played in Croatia - Ramos winning this one would be a BIG BIG surprise. GL :hope additional leans I did not pull the trigger yet: Gstaad Granollers to lose against Bohli - Granollers retired again last week, and this is always a sign that he should have problems next week. He already retired once this year in Rome, and lost all three rubber matches in Dusseldorf next week. Robredo losing early in Umag - Robredo is in main draw and playing against qualifier in R1. He injured his thigh in Monte-Carlo (week 15), and did not won a match since (lost in Wimb. R1 agains Lu, and retired two weeks ago in Bastad against Volandri). He is after surgery, and it looks like he is not at ready yet to last for a whole match on a clay. Expecting upset here unless bookies realize the same.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Agnieszka Radwanska -6 vs Barbora Zahlavova Strycova. 1.76 @ Pinnacle (7/10) Demolition on cards in this match for sure. Radwanska is very good in forcing errors and Strycova is one who makes tonns of errors in her matches. Should be straight forward win for Aga and unders is also good option. Radwanska dropped just one game in their last match which was in Miami, Radwanska won that one 6-1, 6-0 and it was unders and handicap (push) in their only other match as well. Radwanska beat her 6-4, 6-2 in a Challenger event in Czech Republic. That was in 2005, though. Radwanska different level back then. Misaki Doi > Virginie Razzano. 2.25 @ Bwin (5/5) Razzano should not be playing tennis right now. She needs a break for personal reasons which are not good. Don't want to talk about it but here mind clearly is not on tennis right now and won't be for months to come. Doi is a very good youngster and reached 3rd round in Wimbledon recently. Considering that Razzano won't be 100% focused on this match, Doi will have every opportunity to get a win in this one. Eleni Daniilidou > Heather Watson. 1.97 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Daniiilidou at almost evens is extremely good offer. She's definitely better player than Watson who can serve really good but there are weaknesses in her game that Daniilidou can exploit. The Greek player will be fresh and that is always important as far as she's concerned as she's usually having fitness problems. This is a first round match, so no problems in that aspect. She beat Watson last year in Copenhagen and should win today as well. Rebecca Marino vs Coco Vandeweghe. Over 20.5 games. 1.92 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Both are very good on serve and that should make this match very close and I'm not ruling out a 3-setter. By the looks of it there has to be at least on tie-break in this match. The had one in their only H2H meeting which was earlier this year in Memphis. Marino won that one 6-1, 7-6. Vandeweghe should not lose a set to 6-1 again, I guess, so overs can be achieved even in a two set match. Somdev Devvarman > Ryan Sweeting. 1.85 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Devvarman beat Swetting last week in Atlanta. Should not lose to same guy whom he has just beaten. Simple as that, not much to add. Olivier Rochus > Sergey Stakhovsky. 2.00 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Have said this before. I really hate what Stakhovsky is doing on clay. He really can't play on this surface, not against decent opponents anyway. Rochus very good on slower surfaces, will absolutely love to move Stakho around the court. He beat him on grass couple years ago and should be better suited do get rid off him on clay.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Somdev Devvarman > Ryan Sweeting. 1.85 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Devvarman beat Swetting last week in Atlanta. Should not lose to same guy whom he has just beaten. Simple as that, not much to add. Olivier Rochus > Sergey Stakhovsky. 2.00 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Have said this before. I really hate what Stakhovsky is doing on clay. He really can't play on this surface, not against decent opponents anyway. Rochus very good on slower surfaces, will absolutely love to move Stakho around the court. He beat him on grass couple years ago and should be better suited do get rid off him on clay.
I LOVE these 2 picks for pretty much the same reasons! Watched the Dev match last week and had the measure of Sweeting from start to finish.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July no one else feeling gilles muller v young american steve johnson as an opportunity? first time ive ever heard of johnson and obviously muller is a monster on serve so im pretty happy to take the 2-0 score line at 1.46. bit of a punt having not seen johnson play but his stats are minimal and one game one los on atp circuit. hopefully muller will be good on serve and happy days agree with the olivier rochus call too. sergey is a strange one but definately one to oppose at the moment.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Poor start to the Dev/Sweeting match, 3-1 down. Still confident Dev will grow into this match and take it down. Geez, if he could just hold his serve, he will cruise this. Sweeting is also serving like a clown. Def there for the taking.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July These opening days look like cagey affairs so just the one from me for tomorrow's clay tournaments..... Victor Hanescu vs Jarkko Nieminen 2.5/5pts Over 22 games AH - 10/11 with Pinnacle Nice odds here and the reasoning is pretty simple. Both of these players have shown that they have ability on clay over the years and these days are closely matched in almost every department. If pushed i would slightly favour Nieminen but at the same time Hanescu can hold serve well as when it's firing he will serve down bomb after bomb.....after bomb. The head to head is 2-1 in favour of the Finn but all the matches have been closely fought and all were on clay. I think there is plenty of potential for a tie break or 7-5 either way and also for it to go 3 sets so at nice odds i will go for it with the back-up of the push being available too.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July ATP Tuesday Steve Darcis > Daniel Gimeno-Traver. 1.86 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Was not it for Golubev who has got just 4 wins all year long Traver would have been a legit contender for the worst player on tour (from Top 100). Darcis had really good French Open and won a Challenger on clay couple weeks ago. He's got 2-0 record against poor Traver, both wins on clay, both in straight sets. At odds like this, I feel Darcis is a must bet. Richard Berankis > Ryan Harrison. 2.30 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Harrison as always overrated. He's not that good, talent is there but brains - no. I don't like his serve and he has won lot of matches lately because his opponents have been poor and not interested in winning. It's completely opposite with Berankis. He has had some rough time lately so the desire will be there. He's destroyed Harrison all three times they've played and is 6-0 in sets against the American. 2.30 is overpriced without a doubt. Fabio Fognini -3 vs Rui Machado. 1.86 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Machado won a Challenger tournament in Poland last week and should be a bit tired and that's where I feel Fognini will have an advantage. He beat Machado 6-4, 6-2 in Santiago on clay last year and in current circumstances should be able to cover the handicap line. Fernando Gonzalez -3 vs Igor Kunitsyn. 1.85 @ Pinnacle (4/10) Gonzalez has not played a lot of tennis lately but Kunitsyn is opponent whom he really can take apart even not being 100%. Kunitsyn can go missing very quickly and playing against Gonzalez that is going to happen sooner or later. I think 3 games spread is more than doable in this match.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Poor start to the Dev/Sweeting match, 3-1 down. Still confident Dev will grow into this match and take it down. Geez, if he could just hold his serve, he will cruise this. Sweeting is also serving like a clown. Def there for the taking.
No, Devvarman clearly did not want to win this one (have to say it again, but this was a classic). It was a horrible performance by the Indian player. I don't think there was a single attempt to hit a winner by the towel head in the first set. Serving for the 2nd set, throws it a way. The tie-break was another horror show. Real WTA stuff. The commentator even said that it's a disadvantage to serve. Quote of the week surely :lol

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

No' date=' Devvarman clearly did not want to win this one (have to say it again, but this was a classic). It was a horrible performance by the Indian player. I don't think there was a single attempt to hit a winner by the towel head in the first set. Serving for the 2nd set, throws it a way. The tie-break was another horror show. Real WTA stuff. The commentator even said that it's a disadvantage to serve. Quote of the week surely :lol[/quote'] LOL, Yeh truly insipid performance; Sweeting wasn't much better tbh but he didn't have to do much to overcome Dev's pathetic showing.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Elena Baltacha vs Yaroslava Shvedova - Shevdova +3.5 games 1.80 at bet365 (3/10 units)
:\ Baltacha came out the blocks well in the first set which pretty much ruined this bet for me. Oh well, hopefully more luck today with the following punts; -3 units for the week. Keothavong vs Brianti – Keothavong to win 2.0 at skybet (3/10 stake) Keothavong has a 2-0 H2H record against Brianti, both on a hard surface (indoors) which is the main reason for this bet. Both ladies are pretty inconsistent on this surface, so I can’t see either making too much of an impact overall at this tournament but the H2H suggest that Keothavong should have the game to beat Brianti here. Hopefully she will also take some advice from fellow Brits Heather Watson and Elena Baltacha who have beaten Brianti 3 times between them already this year. Alison Riske vs Eugenie Bouchard – Riske -3.5 games 1.83 at bet365 (3/10 stake) Bouchard who is currently ranked no 376 is not a name known to me but she will be known to Riske as they have already met once, in autumn last year when Riske won 6-2 6-4. Judging by that score and the difference in rankings I will have a go with this handicap for Riske. Serena Williams vs Anastacia Rodionova – Williams -5.5 games 1.85 at Victor Chandler (3/10 stakes) Serena is still in the early days of her comeback into tennis following illness but I’m hoping Wimbledon has whet the appetite for more tennis and that she embraces this easy opportunity to progress (she is lucky not to have had a much tougher draw). This is a surface that Serena likes and has had much success on in the past, whereas for Rodionova, particularly this year it has caused her problems and she has only won 2/10 games on the hard this season and has struggled against the better players inc Li Na and Shuai Peng. The two h2h’s have also beaten this handicap so signs are good I feel. Ryan Harrison vs Richard Berankis – Berankis +2.5 games 1.83 at Victor Chandler (3/10 stakes) I think these two are very closely matched players at the moment, and this could be a tight game, certainly a lot tighter than the 3 previous meetings which Berankis has won with ease. I still fancy Berankis to make it 4-0 in the head to head, but the odds are quite generous in this match I feel so have taken the slighty less risky option and gone with a + games handicap. :hope

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Robby Ginepri vs Yen-Hsun Lu 2/5pts R. Ginepri to beat Y-H. Lu - 23/20 with SportingBet
Loser. Never watched the match but looked at the stats and saw there was an incredible 14 breaks of serve! Not too fussed about the loss as i think some of the reasoning was correct.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Umag Croatia: Dodig to bt Ramos-Vinolas @1,781 Pinnacle LOSS
Unbelievable - Both Veic and Dodig lost in the opening round in Umag. I did not see the match, but either Dodig is an utter clown, or there are some health issues I am not aware of.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Unbelievable - Both Veic and Dodig lost in the opening round in Umag. I did not see the match, but either Dodig is an utter clown, or there are some health issues I am not aware of.
Ramos played great for most of the time, overpowering him. Ivan had no variety in his shots. Also very low first serve percentage, pretty bad serving from Dodig. Dodig called medical in third set at 3:0 for Ramos, ankle. From that point his movement was limited.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Thanks for the info, I marked Dodig the "keep away" mark. Anyway, going today for Bohli to bt Granollers @3,110 Pinnacle Bohli local Swiss wildcard playing against injured Granollers. Normally Marc should destroy Bohli as he is class above, but having only one arm (right shoulder gone), he should have problems. Low stakes Ramirez-Hidalgo to bt Robredo @2,960 Pinnacle This bet is based on the fact that Robredo is after serious injury and did not won a match since week #15 this year. See my previous post.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Few in women today Jovanovski to beat rampre 2-0 at 1.75 betfair Youngster jova on the rise in tennis and rampre is like 31 yes old not alot of wins in career and always seems to fall to opponents in the 200 world ranking positions in tournaments this year. Little bit hoping jova is on song but she is defo the better player in my eyes Also Ivanovic to beat Morita 2-0 at 1.66 again betfair Again ana is clearly the better player and could tear merit apart 6-0, 6-0 with ease. She has the power and serve to do this I feel so odds are appealing Also muller to beat Johnson and juan Carlos ferrero to beat Gonzalez and Lopez to beat lammer all 2-0 works out to nearly 3/1 so happy with that. All are better players with more experience and will want to go far in respective tournaments. Hopefully!

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Need to take a break myself. Too many lame performances lately. If Devvarman's no-show wasn't enough then Darcis 'superb' performance says it all. The idiot deserved to lose in straight sets but Traver would not accept gifts. Until 3rd set that is. I mean Darcis had break points in just about every return game in the final set but did not even bother trying to convert them. The only break he got was when Traver smashed the ball into the net from couple yards :D That's enough for me surely.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July Hi guys, 2 picks for tonight events in USA: WTA WASHINGTON CZINK TO DEFEAT BRENGLE BY 2:0 SETS @ 2.5 on willhill ATP LOS ANGELES BOGOMOLOV TO DEFEAT JONES @ 1.36 on willhill Czink is a much better player than Brengle. She was struggling with injuries for 2010 but now she looks to be back to her best form by winning a lot of matches this year, and at her best she was a top 30 - top 50 player just an year ago. Jones has big serve but nothing much else. Bogomolov with great return of serve and much better baseline game.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July

Need to take a break myself. Too many lame performances lately. If Devvarman's no-show wasn't enough then Darcis 'superb' performance says it all. The idiot deserved to lose in straight sets but Traver would not accept gifts. Until 3rd set that is. I mean Darcis had break points in just about every return game in the final set but did not even bother trying to convert them. The only break he got was when Traver smashed the ball into the net from couple yards :D That's enough for me surely. Gimeno traver always drops a set in most of his games even against lesser opponents check his record you will see he loses at least 1 set.

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Re: Tennis - 25-31 July hello! guys i'm thinking on high stake bet Muller G.-Johnson S 2 : 0 , Lammer M.-Lopez F 0:2 any input? i will add genk win and make it a triple

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