MLB: July 5th Picks

[AGurv]

MLB Overall 2011 80-67 +5.61 units (54.42%) Atlanta -135 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Seattle -107 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[soitgoes]

Re: MLB: July 5th Picks Good luck tonight

[soitgoes]

Re: MLB: July 5th Picks LA Dodgers -125

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: July 5th Picks Philly -1.5 @ 2.15 pinnacleHamels is 9-4, with a 2.41 ERA and has allowed 2 runs or less in his last 7 starts (total of 8 runs) including just 5 runs in his last 3 road starts. He allowed 1 run on 3 hits in the 9-1 win over Florida last month, when pitching against Volstad. Volstad is 4-7, with a 5.01 ERA and has pitched well in allowing just 3 runs in his last 3 starts, but each of these starts have been on the road. Prior to that he allowed at least 3 runs in each of his 7 starts (28 runs) including 3 runs in each of his 3 home starts. He struggles at night where he has a 5.64 ERA compared to a 0.64 ERA during the day, and with many of the Phillies bats having good numbers against him, and as well as having won 20 of ther last 24 games in Miami, like Philly to win again here. Boston - Toronto over 9.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Lester is 10-4, with a 3.43 ERA and though he has allowed just 9 runs in his last 5 starts, only one of these have been at home. He allowed 3 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks to Milwaukee, and prior to that, allowed 7 runs on 8 hits to the Chicago White Sox, and 5 runs on 12 hits to the Chciago Cubs, so he does tend to get hit at home, where he has a 4.54 ERA compared to a 2.80 ERA on the road. Lester has a very good record against Toronto, where he is 6-1 with a 3.47 ERA in his last 8 starts against them, allowing 2 runs or less in 6 of these starts, and is 2-0 with a 3.26 ERA in 3 starts this season, but feel that Toronto have seen enough of him to get to him here. In his last start he gave up just 1 run but received plenty of run support in the 14-1 win over them last month, but with Toronto hitting well of late, and especially left handed pitching, like them to score a few off him here. Cecil is 1-3, with a 7.24 ERA and has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his 5 starts (total of 22 runs) including 8 runs in 2 road starts. He allowed 3 runs on 2 hits in the 7-6 win at Boston in April this year, and has won his last 3 starts there, but with a 4.82 ERA to show for it. They have played 10 games so far, with 7 of these seeing 10 runs or more scored, at an average of nearly 12 runs per game. Boston also tend to hit left handed pitcing well and like this game to see quite a few runs in it. St Louis -1.5 @ 2.62 pinnacle Garcia is 7-3, with a 3.33 ERA and has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts (total of 30 runs) which includes just 4 runs in his last 4 home starts. He is 4-1 with a very low 0.88 ERA in 7 home starts and he has won all 4 starts against Cincinnati with a 3.70 ERA. With the Rds bats not doing much of late, like him to contain them. Volquez is 5-3 with a 5.65 ERA and he has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 30 runs) but has given up 21 runs in his last 6 road starts. He is 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA in 5 starts against St Louis as he allowed all 3 runs in the 3-0 loss to them in St Louis in April this year. Walks have been a problem for him as he has given up at least 3 walks in 7 of his last 10 games (total of 34 walks) and with Puyols possibly returning for this game, then he could take advantage of the extra men on base, as could Berkman who his hit 4 home runs in his last 6 games. Minnesota @ 2.05 pinnacle Baker is 6-5, with a 3.15 ERA and is 4-0 with a 1.89 ERA in his last 5 starts, allowing just 8 runs in these starts, including just 1 run in his last 3 home starts. He is 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA in his last 3 starts against Tampa Bay and allowed 1 run on 4 hits in the 4-3 loss to them in TB. Minnesota have won 5 of their last 6 games, as well as 12 of their last 14 home games. and like them to enough to beat Tampa Bay here, as Shields is 8-5, with a 2.45 ERA, who has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 10 starts (total of 23 runs) including 13 runs in his last 5 road starts (1,3,7,0,2), so he is up and down on the road. He is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA in his last 3 starts against Minnesota and allowed 2 runs in the 4-3 win over in TB in April, but they have lost 4 of their last 7 games, and like the Twins to do enough to edge this. Detroit -1.5 @ 2.51 pinnacle Verlander is 11-3, with a 2.32 ERA and has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts, winning each of these 8 starts when he allows 2 runs or less (total of just 15 runs) including only 6 runs in his last 3 road starts. He has struggled against the Angels, going 3-3 with a 4.53 ERA in 9 starts against them, and is 2-0 with a high 8.62 ERA in 3 starts in Anaheim, so he manages to win on the back of some good run support. Haren is 8-5, with a 2.85 and has allowed at least 3 runs in 6 of his last 10 starts, but 5 of these have come in his last 6 starts (total of 27 runs), with just 10 runs in his last 4 home starts. He is gone 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 7 starts against Detroit. Both sets of bats have hit the opposing pitcher well, but believe that Verlander has the better recent form here, and like the Tigers bats to come out and win, in order to even the series. LA Dodgers - NY Mets over 7.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Lilly is 5-8, with a 4.97 ERA and has allowed at lest 3 runs in 6 of his last 10 starts, (total of 32 runs), but has allowed 17 runs (6,6,5) in his last 3 starts. He has allowed 17 runs in his last 4 home starts (6,5,2,4). Lilly is 2-1 with a 3.56 ERA in 5 starts against the NY Mets and with Paulino and Pagan in particular having good numbers hitting him. Pelfrey is 4-7, with a 4.92 ERA and he has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 10 starts (total of 31 runs) including 4 runs in each of his last 2 starts. He is 1-6 with a 6.75 ERA in 10 road starts and has allowed 20 runs in his last 6 road starts (4,4,2,2,5,3). Pelfrey is 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA in 3 starts against the LA Dodgers. With neither picher in very good form, like these bats to score a few runs off each of them, to send this over this low total. July picks: 4-10 (-5.09) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: July 5th Picks Philly -1.5 @ 2.15 :D Boston - Toronto over 9.5 @ 2.00 :( St Louis -1.5 @ 2.62 :D Minnesota @ 2.05 :D Detroit -1.5 @ 2.51 :( LA Dodgers - NY Mets over 7.5 @ 2.02 :( July picks: 7-13 (-4.27) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)