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Tennis - Wimbledon

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

Stepanek vs Verdasco - Verdasco 4/6 - Wimbledon Round 1 - Strength 10/10 - Massive stakes - Paddy Power

Need I give much reasoning? Stepanek's best surface is grass admittedly but listen, the guy's in his 30s, he can barely last out through a best 3 set match, there is hardly any likelyhood he'll last out a best of 5 set one. Verdasco has been some-what impressive in his lead up to Wimbledon on the grass, he dispatched with Mahut quite easily @ Queens so there's proof he can deal with the serve and volley types which is what Stepanek tends to be. Yes Stepanek took a set of Nadal and beat a tiresome Tsonga, but both player's were tired and both didn't really have an upmost desire to win. If this was a best of 3 set match I'd be somewhat weary of backing Fernando here, but over the course of a 5 set match, there is no way Stepanek wins, howmany 5 set matches has steps won? Not many. His not renownd for winning 5 setters and I cannot see him straight setting Fernando, not a chance. A nice cover would be small stake on Stepanek 3 sets to 1 but its not really neccessery tbh, never been so confident.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

Feliciano Lopez vs Michael Berrer - Wimbledon Round 1 - Feliciano Lopez 3-0 - 13/8 - Moderately large stakes - Strength 8/10 - Paddy Power

Lopez, probably the most reliable player when it comes to dispatching with distinctly average player's he should be beating. His serve on grass is clutch magic and he's hardly ever broken... He was broken by Roddick @ Queens only twice in the last set when he choked just after breaking. The bloke is probably the best volleyier in the World for me. Extremely solid, possesses great approach shots on grass, the chip and charge for him works brilliantly on this surface. Berrer is up and down, you don't know what your going to get with the bloke, one moment he'll look like a solid top 30 player and the next an ageing veteren lingering in amongst the top 70-100. I believe Lopez will sustain any good periods of good play from Berrer and then capitalize on his moments of "wtf was that?" ness ... and eek out a 3 sets to love win with a break in every set.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

Treble - Wimbledon Round 1 - Strength 3/10 - 29/1 - Paddy Power

Verdasco 3-0 vs Stepanek Gasguet 3-0 vs Girlado F Lopez 3-0 vs Berrer

29 / 1 odds

Treble - Wimbledon Round 1 - Strength 2/10 - 24/1 - Paddy Power

Verdasco 3-1 vs Stepanek Gasguet 3-0 vs Giraldo F Lopez 3-0 vs Berrer

24 / 1 odds

Small stakes for both Stepanek has capiculated on many occasions this season and his traditional style of play isn't as effective anymore as most opponents know how to deal with it, Verdasco has shown he can deal with player's reminscent to Stepanek when beating Mahut comprehensively @ queens. Gasguet meets challenger Giraldo, very much an unknown quantity on grass, what is for sure is clay is the better of his surfaces, leading me in to the assumption he isn't the best @ dealing with slice balls. Lopez as mentioned above in my earlier tip.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon I.Andreev to bt T. Gabashvili 4/5 Paddy Power Gabashvili is not in good form coming into Wimbledon. He had lost 6 of his last 7 ATP matches coming into Eastbourne. Although he did win a couple of matches in Eastbourne these were against poor opposition in Marti and Kravchuk and when he came up against a decent player he was not up to it. His best result at Wimbledon is the 2nd round last year, grass isn't his favourite surface. Andreev on the other hand is in decent form, accomplished on grass and a better all round player. It may not be over in 3 sets but I have to back Andreev to take this.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon I apologise for that spat with SayYesMoreInLife. It evidently pulled the quality of the thread down even further but considering the number of people who have been irked by him, I felt it had to be done. Wishing you all the best for Wimbledon 2011 :ok

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

I apologise for that spat with SayYesMoreInLife. It evidently pulled the quality of the thread down even further but considering the number of people who have been irked by him' date=' I felt it had to be done. Wishing you all the best for Wimbledon 2011 :ok[/quote'] Finally! thx

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon After all the unwanted trash has been put out for recycling, let's hope we see some of the regulars back and also a few more newer faces to the forum, ahead of what should be a cracking couple of weeks. I've taken a couple of pre-tournament bets ahead of the handicaps and what not which should be out tomorrow. Here's to a profitable slam for the forum :hope Gael Monfils to reach the last 16- 11/10 Sportingbet- (4/10) Viktor Troicki to reach the last 16- 6/4 Sportingbet- (4/10) I took a similiar bet on with Almagro at the French Open but he fell in the first round after that massive choke against Kubot but that hasn't put me off backing Monfils or Troicki to win their first 3 matches and reach the last 16. I'll firstly talk about the Frenchman who although being unpredictable at times, has a pretty decent draw this year. Monfils' possible route to the last 16 is Bachinger, Kendrick and then possibly Tipsarevic. This doesn't look too taxing for Monfils at all in my opinion. Bachinger is a guy who travels round the challenger tour, occassionally making the first round of an ATP event but this is his first appearence in the main draw at Wimbledon so Monfils shouldn't have too many problems there. After that it's probably Robert Kendrick I'd imagine who is certainly no mug on the quicker surfaces but Monfils has already beaten him this year, and won the last 3 in total, Not particularly easily I might add, but he has got the job done and I'd expect him to do the same if they do meet in the second round. The final round for the bet will pit him against Tipsarevic if the seedings are to believed but the Serb has got a trickier draw than Monfils, which will see him play Karlovic and then possibly Clement before he would play the Frenchman. Both Karlovic and Clement are potential banana skin opponents for Tipsarevic who could quite easily slip up against either one. Especially given the fact he still has a possible two matches to play today in Eastbourne so his preparation won't exactly be perfect given his busy schedule. Monfils has beaten Tipsarevic in 3 of the last 4 meetings including at the US open last year, and Davis Cup right at the end of last season. Watched Monfils over in Halle last week and he seemed to be playing pretty decent tennis on the grass until he came across an inspired Kohlschreiber who looked a different player last week. His draw this week looks pretty tasty though in the early stages, and although he's never going to do things the easy way, I do fancy him to get to the fourth round at Wimbledon for the first time in his career. Troicki is another guy who looks to high here to reach the last 16. Granted his draw isn't as favourable as Monfils' is on paper, but nonetheless I think he has a pretty good chance of meeting Djokovic in the fourth round. The Serb's route will be Maximo Gonzalez, then either Lu or Robredo, probably Lu given Robredo's lack of court time due to injury, and then probably Llodra if his injury from last week isn't too serious. Gonzalez is a clay courter through and through so no worries for Troicki there you'd imagine, then despite Lu's heroics last year, I wouldn't fancy him against a much improved Troicki from last year. Lu's lost to Kukushkin and Mayer in the past couple of weeks so I'd fancy Troicki to be comfortable there as well. If Llodra is indeed fit, he's got a pretty attractive couple of first matches. James Ward and then Ricardo Mello should probably await him, a draw that probably the Frenchman couldn't have picked himself. Regardless of Ward's run at Queen's, whether he could step it up at Wimbledon and prove it wasn't a fluke, I'm not so sure. If it is a Troicki-Llodra affair, you'd have to fancy the Serb though. A 2-0 lead in the H2H, including one at Indian Wells earlier on in the season, I'd be more than happy to be on Troicki at 6/4 to beat Llodra, who has never progressed past the second round at SW19. Troicki's been beaten by Melzer and Murray in the past couple of years, however given his seeding he won't face that kind of quality until Djokovic if he gets there, so like Monfils, I'll take him at odds against to make his first fourth round draw at Wimbledon.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

I apologise for that spat with SayYesMoreInLife. It evidently pulled the quality of the thread down even further but considering the number of people who have been irked by him' date=' I felt it had to be done. Wishing you all the best for Wimbledon 2011 :ok[/quote'] I don't post much but I do read the forum a lot, you're 100% in the right imo. Disliked his posts immensely, anyhow, onto the best grand slam of the year!

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Going to dabble into the outrights first and foremost. Looking for a women's antepost to follow for the week too, let's see what you guys come up with ... - Wimbledon outright - Roger Federer @ 3.35 with Betfair 4pts The Federer we saw at Roland Garros was the Swiss back to his very best, and I think he'll come to SW19 refreshed and pumped for an assault at the title he rightfully sees as his. No need to question his grass credentials, the green stuff suits his game well, especially now that under Annacone, he's coming to the net more and more. Quite like his draw because it'll get him fine-tuned for the latter stages. Kukushkin shouldn't be a tricky R1 opponent. In R2 I've got him down to play Mannarino, who has talent but a powderpuff serve. I find it hard to see the Frenchman causing him great angst. Nalbandian-Isner-Tsonga is then my projected route to the semis. All capable players on grass but all lack five-set stamina, in particular the first two who are still searching for full fitness after injury. Federer also has Tsonga's number on the H2H. Djokovic most likely in the semi-final ... just not totally convinced by the Serb on grass, a lot of improvement needed. He's undoubtedly got the ability to be a success on this surface but unlike Federer he has to prove it. In the final, as you'll see below, I'm tipping Murray, but by that point I can decide whether to trade out or let the bet run. Bags of potential IMO in backing Federer - I think this could be a great chance for him to win his favourite tournament. - Wimbledon outright - Andy Murray @ 6.00 each way (1/2, 1, 2) with Stan James 2pts Could this be Andy's year? Well, I think the Scot is playing better than ever on the grass right now. Queen's performance was scintillating, especially considering he beat some tidy opponents for a 250 in Malisse, Tipsarevic, Roddick and Tsonga. His serve's functioning well, the backhand is majestic as always and he seemed to be moving very well, at the baseline and at the net. Ankle injury appears to have healed and he is a man who doesn't get massively fazed by the big expectations of playing in the UK. His draw is kind too - he plays guys he matches up well against on this surface. Really can't see Gimeno-Traver causing huge issues considering he's barely won a match this year, while Kamke, my projected R2 foe, doesn't have the weapons to take him out. Cilic is more dangerous but has question marks over his fitness and is erratic, while he's beaten both Wawrinka and Gasquet here before. Roddick, if he gets as far as the quarters, is a shadow of the man he used to be, and anyway, Murray scorched him last week. Nadal's the probable semi-final opponet, and although it's a massive ask for Murray to dethrone him, I've seen a few weaknesses in Rafa's game this year. He's not streets ahead of the rest in comparison to last year and I feel winning the French took an awful lot out of him. He laboured in a number of his matches and emotionally and physically, there's a chance he's still recovering. Obviously a tough ask for Murray to do it but I believe he's playing very tidy tennis on the grass, and has a decent chance to pull off what every Brit wants him to do.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon i must admit that guy who everyone hated did have some pretty good picks but as everyone says he just had something annoying about him! cant wait for this to all kick off had some good times at wimbledon over the years hopefully federer or murray will make it a happy one again :) did them outright before french open and got some nice prices.. federer at 4.5's murray at 8's surely both will get to semis at least then maybe lay depending on their form/opponents also did two in womens even though i dont think anyone knows what will happen in that sharapova at 6.5 azarenka at 18 again they should get reasonably far. and i can see maria having a very good run here as she does love the tournament and was playing pretty well so should be able to go far. need to look at the draw really see where the williams sisters might come into it as i still feel they have the 'balls' when it comes to big tournaments compared to say wozniacki and azarenka etc

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Two early bets for me in the R1 matches ... - John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Under 45.5 games @ 1.75 with Unibet 6pts I think this particular bookie is overreacting to the match last year. The 70-68 match was a freak that I can never see happening again, certainly not between these two. I can imagine Mahut probably went and smashed up a racket when he heard his draw. Could well be a tie-break somewhere but even then, 46 games is a big ask. Mahut, mentally, will not enjoy this, especially if he falls behind to Isner. The Frenchman was a totally broken man after the match last year and to be honest, he's not been very impressive since. He was poor at Queen's and s'Hertogenbosch and has been carrying an injury. Isner has also been out with a knock but has the better serve and more off the deck. The chasm between these two is quite big in the rankings and that's because Mahut's game deconstructs quicker than Isner's. Just feel with all the hype about this rematch, it could be over quicker than everyone imagines. They met at the Hopman Cup this year and Isner won 6-3 7-6 - and I'd back this one to go under what appears to me a pretty ridiculous line. - Florent Serra v Andreas Haider-Maurer - Andreas Haider-Maurer @ 1.909 with Pinnacle 5pts I think this is a nice offer on the Austrian. This brings together two men going in different directions. Serra's fallen off the tennis map for a good nine months now. His game has crumbled and away from his favourite clay, he's been abject. Lost to compatriot Walter in the qualies last week and has been beaten by lower-ranked players consistently this term. Haider-Maurer is by no means a world beater but comes here with enough form on grass to make a case for. He's an aggressive, powerful player who comes to the net and should be able to hit through the Frenchman. His rise up the rankings in the past year has been impressive and he should be, IMO, lower odds to see off a man who has done nothing of note on the Tour for a while.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon @ DonnieDarko, SYMIL or whatever moniker you create next ... give it up, you'll always get banned. If ever you had a slim chance of being allowed back, you are eroding it each time you return as a different user.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Irina falconi to beat stephanie dubois at 5-6 williamhills 2 points Expected Falconi to be favourite here! She is a young player who is moving in the right direction career-wise and has made big steps forward over the last 12 months! she raced through qualifying making light work of all her opponents groenefeld (6-36-0) elena bogdan, (6-2,6-2) and namigata (6-3,6-2). It's worth noting that this was one of the easier routes to the main draw but the manner in which she achieved her victories is very impressive and she must be full of confidence from it! In fact, over the last 12 months or so she has qualified for all the grand slams and has been unlucky to find herslef up against tough opponents in the first round (pennetta, kleybanova and dulko) though she was comfortably beaten in all these games! I'm not saying that she is a world beater...but i think she has what it takes to beat dubois! their head to head record is 2 matches each but dubois won her matches in 2007 and 2009 while falconi won her games in 2010 the year she made so much progress! the last victory was a comfortable rout of dubois in the Us open final round of qualifiers last year 3 and 1! I think she will have the psychological edge in this one, especially if it gets tight! Dubois is capable playerr with great wheels and has been in decent form of late but she has a tendancy for choking on the big occasion....she was hammering llagostees vives in the final round of french open qualifying (which in itself is an impressive feat). She was a set and 5-3 up but somehow lost the match! In fact she has fallen at the final hurdle of grand slam qualifying the last 4 times and is only here in the main draw as a lucky loser after being hammered by diatchenko who is far from a grass court specialist! I don't think she'll have the same belief as the confident falconi if things get tight...she does tend to get very passive, play deep behind the baseline and just try and get balls back and wait for mistakes! apparently diatchenko drop shotted her lost ( as well as vives) taking advantage of dubois's tendancy to play so deep behind the baseline....obviously not a good tactic on grass! Falconi has lovely hands and can play beautiful drop shots as wozniacki could confirm! Of course this is only a miner point ....overall there probably isn't much difference between the two talent wise...dubois is actually a good battler...it's just that she does tense up in important moments...she's al;so probably more solid from the baseline...falconi's backhand is a bit dodgy and she is prone to mistakes! however, I just feel that Faalconi is the more confident of the two, her forehand is a bigger weapon and i think she will take the game to dubois and will ultimately have more bottle! Not guaranteed....but I just can't resist this price...think it's the more likely outcome!

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon J. Isner vs N. Mahut 2.5/5pts Under 45.5 games - 5/6 with William Hill Like Atko, i think this line is a massive overreaction to last years match between these 2. I think Isner will come through this once again, but a bit easier than last year! His serve will cause Mahut problems and i feel that in the longer exchanges between the pair the American come out on top the majority of the time. As i have said before, Mahut struggles against the more complete, higher ranked players and with Isner having a solid serve he will find it hard to break him down. Even if this match see's it end after 4 close sets the number of games this line is set at gives us a chance of the bet still coming in.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Men's Single's Outright 1pt E/W Andy Murray to win Championship - 6/1 with Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2) Murray comes here with a great chance to pick up his first Grand Slam title and i think the odds with Betfred are good enough to get involved with. Over the last 5 tournaments Murray has reached 3 semi finals and won one, Considering 4 of those were on arguably his least preferred surface (clay), he is coming into this event in fine form. At Roland Garros i thought he played a lot better than a straight sets defeat suggests he did versus Nadal and in the matches prior to that he showed strong form. At Queen's he was maybe expected to win the tournament after Nadal was knocked out but he did it playing at a good level. He annihilated Roddick before battling back to beat Tsonga when he could just as easily have folded in that 2nd set under some heavy pressure. We all know the Scot can beat anyone in the world on his day, he has proved it, so it is just a case of turning up in the right frame of mind in the semi's and (hopefully) final. His quarter has some good players in it but i can still see him coming through it comfortably enough.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Nicolas Almagro - Jarkko Nieminen - OVER 38.5 GAMES @5/6 Strength 7/10 BET 365 Can't see anything other than a marathon here. Nieminen simply isn't playing well enough to see off a player of Almagro's calibre in straights - and has been beaten quite handily by Almagro in their last two meetings - however Almagro struggles to put away players on grass and every victory he's had at Wimby has been a long drawn out struggle. Nieminen for me is the more established grass player here and that should bridge the slight gap in class between the two which their previous encounters indicate exists, so I can see a to-and-fro battle which covers the line.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon One for me so far. (3/10) T.Bellucci to bt. R.Schuettler @ 1.80 with Pinnacle In best-of-five, I think that Bellucci is the right call. He is very talented and I fancy him here despite the fact that grass isn't his favourite surface. Mainly, I feel that Schuettler would have to finish this rather quickly, as he will surely struggle if this goes to the distance. Not much else to say I think.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Have three early ones. Most likely will decide some other matches later on for Monday, maybe not... 1) Kaia Kanepi > Sara Errani. 1.75 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Odds for this match make no sense whatsoever. On paper it looks pretty much one-sided thing. It will be all about Kanepi. If she gets going Errani has no chance. And I mean, no chance. Kanepi has got no brain but she can hit just about everybody off the court and Errani quite obviously lacks power so it will be very hard for the Italian to respond. Kanepi made 1/4finals here last year and really should have been in the semies. She wasted 5 match points and failed to close it out from 4-0 up in the 3rd set against Kvitova. That was one hella match. Lots of points to defend and with Errani being vulnerable against big hitters can not pass this one. Should be a win for the Estonian number one. 2) Petra Martic > Vania King. 1.86 @ Pinnacle (4/10) Neither with good Slam record but looking at match-ups have to back Martic. She's got solid serve and can hit some massive blows with forehand. King basically lacks power and is playing percenteges and is better in doubles than singles. Martic can win a match despite tons of unforced errors. She produces huge amount of winners and that will be the key factor here. I think grass as a faster surface will suit her more than King and Petra is going to win this one. 3) Blaz Kavcic +3.5 vs Tobias Kamke. 1.80 @ Bet365 (5/10) Tobias Kamke should be having an advantage here because he can serve which is not the case with Kavcic but the Slovenian player enjoys long rallies and that will annoy Kamke big time. Saw their last match and Kamke was never really in it. He's a very pathetic player and I would not be surprised if he checked out of this one if he lost the first set or got behing at some point in the match. So Kavcic on a handicap for me.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Right let the tennis begin then. Really hard to find much value about with some odds on the handicaps a joke. Doesn't help matters when Bet365 are back to their lazy ways of not putting all the additional markets up for all of the matches. Still haven't done the Roddick or Murray matches which were 2 that I was interested in taking. Anyways I've taken 3 for now, may take more tomorrow and it involves a couple of the men's matches and one women's. The write-ups won't be brilliant due to the time and I'm knackered but blame Bet365 for that. Feliciano Lopez vs Michael Berrer- Berrer +6.5 handicap- 8/11 Bet365- (5/10) Couple of big servers here who aren't the best on return which leads me to believe this will be a tight one in which the Spaniard should prevail in. Both have had fairly similiar seasons in terms of results. Lopez is coming off a good clay season whilst Berrer enjoyed some good results on the quicker courts early on. Despite being well and truly played off the court by Tsonga at Queen's a couple of weeks back, Berrer will take some confidence into tomorrows match following his win over Almagro last week in Holland whilst Lopez took the week off. I fancy Berrer to keep this pretty tight for the duration of the match and could even pinch a set with his power and decent serve, Lopez won't find it particularly easy to break serve. Should be a serve fest like it was in their only meeting last year where Lopez won 7-6 7-5. Fancy Berrer to push Lopez here so the handicap looks good to me. Fabio Fognini vs Milos Raonic- Tie Break in match- 5/6 Bet365- (4/10) Was always going to either back the overs or tie break in this one but in the end plumped for the tie break due to the more appealing price of the two. Despite Fognini not playing since the French Open, I still feel he will be able to hold his own and force a couple of tight sets and hopefully a tie break amongst them. Granted he isn't the best player on the quicker courts, but he can hit winners, and with Raonic not being the greatest defensive player in the world, he should win his fair share of points. Raonic as we know has one of the best serves in the game with a killer forehand. Fognini won't get many oppotunities to break in the match so it will all rely on how the Italian serves. There were 3 tie breaks in total in his opening two matches at Wimbledon last year so he is no stranger to the breakers. Given Raonic's defensive qualities, I do fancy Fognini to hold his serve enough in at least one set so I'll take the tie break here at 5/6 with the price a shade lower around the other bookies. One for the women then. Vera Dushevina vs Roberta Vinci- Over 20.5 games- 4/5 Bet365- (4/10) Have to take the overs in this one given the history of these two. All 5 meetings between the two have gone to a deciding third set, with the Russian shading the H2H 3-2. Vinci has been in the better form by far this season, winning the title in Holland last week so she's in good form but could be a tad jaded after only a day or two in London. Dushevina, no matter what form she's in is never an easy draw to get. She beat Schiavone here last year in the first round, and despite having a poor season, she can always turn it on and be a threat. She also does have a tendancy to have some lengthy matches up her sleeve and I'll hope she pulls one of those out tomorrow and make it 6/6 that have gone the distance.

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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

SportTennis
EventKamke v Kavcic
SelectionKavcic
Strength10/10
Date20/06/2011
Bookmaker/PriceSportingbet @ 2.40
ReasoningSee this as a very close match. Neither serves big, so this should be more of a baseline game. Kavcic is higher ranked and has 2-0 H2H both on clay. Kamke enjoyed an excellent year last year but has struggled to back it up. whenever I've seen him this year he's been average. Neither has much form coming in. The only difference seems to be Kamke reaching the 3rd round here last year, but I don't think that justifies him being so short here - in fact it could just be that bit more pressure, as a loss here and he might drop out the top 100.

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