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Tennis 25 April - 1 May


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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Anyone looking to take any outrights this week in the 3 events? Had a look at the draw and it looks tricky. Two leans at the minute are Cilic and Montanes, but haven't been impressed by either when watching them this year.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Two bets for me in tomorrow's action ... Jeremy Chardy v Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino +3.5 games @ 2.06 with Pinnacle 4pts Two out-of-form Frenchies meet in Estoril but I'm more than happy to gobble up the generous plus on Mannarino. Chardy's in pieces at the moment. He can't buy a win and is in a dispute with his former coach over money. Seems like he was all over the shop against Thomas Schoorel in the Challengers last week, serving nine double faults. He's freely admitted that his confidence is shot to pieces and in these instances, it's very difficult for players to see out matches. Mannarino's gone awfully quiet after a good start to the year. He's not an experienced clay courter but he's full of talent and capable of keeping this close, simply due to the fact that Chardy's in such a rut right now. Chardy won their only meeting a few years ago but I see this one being a lot tighter than the handicap suggestes. Mannarino has a decent chance. Robert Kendrick v Horacio Zeballos Robert Kendrick +4.5 games @ 2.06 with Pinnacle 4pts Another generous line, IMO. Zeballos is really living off his name at the minute. The Argentine has been gash for a good while now and comes into the 'suspect' category of players these days. This is his first match in Europe for some time and I wonder if Kendrick might catch him cold. The American was in Barcelona last week and played well enough in defeat to Simon Greul. Kendrick's not one to come to Europe on a whim - he's here to win matches. Decent serve and big forehand should be enough to keep him competitive against an opponent who is hugely erratic. He's got the ability to skoosh it but he hasn't shown decent form for quite some time now. With that in mind, I'm happy to chance my arm on the Kendrick line. :hope

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Well, a few do stand out. But I will be taking just one tomorrow. (4/10) K.Anderson to bt. T.De Bakker @ 1.89 at Pinnacle I really don't know why we get such a price on Anderson, but I have to take it. De Bakker played SEVEN matches this season and won only against Petzschner and Marchenko. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, more than a month ago. Anderson has been playing quite well meanwhile and even beat Pablo Cuevas in Barcelona, which is a good achievement on clay. Perhaps I will stand corrected, but this looks to good to ignore.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May De Bakker @ 2.03 Unibet - I fancy the young dutchman here despite he isn't in some special form. He's a claycourter unlike Andeson and quality wise there's not much difference between them. De Bakker's attributes are more suitable for the claycourts so he should be the slight favourite here. Good luck. Hanescu -3 @ 2.03 Pinnacle - Hanescu is overall the better player. Portuguese is a challenger calibre and also his form is far from being impressive. Hanescu also didn't showed too much lately but he's better player, more experienced and has enough weapons to beat Machado. Don't undrstand why are odds on the romanian rising but this line i will take and reccomend you to do the same thing. Good luck. Bennetau @ 2.08 Pinnacle - Both players far from their best but Baghdatis seems to bit in a bit worse situation. Also, the frenchman's qualities on clay seem to be more suitable than Baghdatis' so i don't really understand why is the cypriot slight favourite. Should be the other way around. This one should be very close but i fancy Bennetau who already beat Baggy once on clay in 2 straight sets. Good luck.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May

Hanescu -3 @ 2.03 Pinnacle - Hanescu is overall the better player. Portuguese is a challenger calibre and also his form is far from being impressive. Hanescu also didn't showed too much lately but he's better player, more experienced and has enough weapons to beat Machado. Don't undrstand why are odds on the romanian rising but this line i will take and reccomend you to do the same thing. Good luck.
I would always worry when there's an odds rise on Hanescu against a poorer player. Agree with your sentiments on the match totally in terms of the quality of both players but the Romanian is one of the more questionable men on the Tour.
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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Tobias Kamke v Blaz Kavcic. Under 21.5 games. 1.80 @ Bet365 (5/10) These two played last week in Barcelona. Kavcic destroyed Kamke 6-2, 6-3 and generally speaking is much better player on clay whilst Kamke plays his best tennis on hard, hates long rallies etc. This Kavcic should be able to get an easy win today. Mikhail Youzhny v Matthias Bachinger. Under 20.5 games. 2.07 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Youzhny has been fooling around lately and even decided to lose against Rochus in Miami which was huge shame for him to do. He went on to lose to Florian Mayer in Monte Carlo which does not sound great either. I belive he will be up for this one though. He is a defending champion and generally plays very well in this tournament having been in the final in the past two years. Lost to Berdych in 2009 final after being 5-1 up in the final set tie-break... Bachinger with little experience on clay should struggle against Youzhny and 20.5 games looks a bit too much for him to survive.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Whatever the end result will be, I must say that I overestimated Anderson. De Bakker is poor, but Anderson is not brilliant on clay either and I do not know how he was able to beat Cuevas. Hopefully he does the job in the third though. Edit: Anderson won 5-7 6-3 6-2.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Good start, especially considering that it's a Monday - day for addicts. Have couple early selections for tomorrow. ATP Belgrade Illya Marchenko +5.5 AH vs Ernests Gulbis. 2.16 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Marchenko without a decent form for ages but feel like he has got a decent chance to avoid heavy crushing in this match. Gulbis can be his own worst enemy at times. He was not planning to play in tournaments until Madrid but chose to come here to get more match practice before French Open. He was asking for a wild card in other events for this week but got only from Belgrade as he's very good friends with Djokovic whose parents own this tournament. He was not planning to come here in the first place, so this will be nothing more than a practice match for the Latvian player. Besides it's scheduled to start at noon local time which is not the best time for Gulbis who goes to sleep at 4 or 5 am. It was very windy in Belgrade on Monday, if the same conditions are also on Tuesday he might struggle. Marchenko beat him last year in Washington but Gulbis was ill that day. Anyway, don't think he will destroy Marchenko today and I would not put my money on him to win by 6 games or more. Mikhail Kukushkin +3 AH vs Somdev Devvarman. 1.99 @ Pinnacle (6/10) Don't think I can agree with bookies on this one. Devvarman had one lucky tournament on hard and now he's made an automatic favorite in every other match against players of his level. Silly... Kukushkin has got more experience on clay and has got some understanding how to play on this surface. Devvarman has played very little tennis on clay lately and without decent results beating only players Challenger level players and also losing to some 'talents' like Nick Lindahl and Yuri Schukin. Rubbish stats. Actually fancy Kukushkin to win this one but will play safe and have just handicap which looks good as well at 3 games.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Three more and that will be if for Tuesday, I guess... ATP Belgrade John Isner 2-0 vs Ricardo Mello. 1.80 @ Gamebookers (6/10) Isner was in the final of this tournament last year, lost to Querrey although should have won. He was serving for the match in the 2nd set but failed and then lost in three sets. He is one of the few big guys who actually can play on clay. Taking Djokovic to five sets on clay in Davis Cup speaks volumes. For today's match against Mello I have decided to go with straight sets win for the American. Mello in awful form lately and was playing back in Brazil last week, now he's back in Europe, not sure he'll be 100% up for this one. They met just recently in Indian Wells on hard courts, Isner won 6-3, 7-6(2) and did not face a single break point in that match. Should be a bit closer on clay perhaps but still can't see Mello past Isner and not even taking a set from big John. WTA Barcelona Tsvetana Pironkova to beat Alberta Brianti. 1.86 @ Pinnacle (4/10) Pironkova can afford to mess around but not for too long. Only until Wimbledon when she has to defend semifinal points. Normally I would not touch her but feel like the circumstances are right for her to win today even without 100% effort. Brianti won her first WTA title on Sunday in Fes. At the age of 31, unbelievable... Two days on and she has to recover mentally and play in another tournament. Will be very hard and I'm not sure she'll be there mentally as much as physically. They have split their H2H series with both matches going full distance and both taken place on clay but that is irrelevant today, I guess. Brianti should be too tired to even think about winning. Have to fancy Pironkova at odds like this, really. Virginie Razzano to beat Nuria Llagostera Vives. 1.85 @ Bwin (5/10) Obvious match-up problems for Vives. She plays very soft tennis, no real power and counting on opponent's mistakes. Razzano can hit the ball very hard and Vives won't be able to respond to that more often than not. They have played once before, Razzano crushed Vives 6-2, 6-1 in a Challenger tournament in France. One other piece of info here is that Vives of course really not a singles specialist and is better suited to doubles tennis.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May

Adrian Mannarino +3.5 games @ 2.06 with Pinnacle 4pts LOSS Robert Kendrick +4.5 games @ 2.06 with Pinnacle 4pts WIN
The tiniest bit of profit, but that'll do. Not a bad day for the thread. Loads of games tomorrow, but a lot of the odds aren't up yet. Will reconvene in the morning.
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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May One for me today, completely agree with Psycho. And LOL @ Gulbis. (4/10) V.Razzano to bt. N.Llagostera Vives @ 1.82 at Pinnacle Should be a bigger fav in my opinion. As Psycho mentioned, Razzano has the advantage in the match-up, as she can outhit Vives from the baseline. I have seen Razzano against Martinez and she was not bad at all despite the result. Vives is quite average these days and I do not believe that she can change that today.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Good stuff on Kukushkin mate. Went with it last night aswell when the price tipped 2.07. The Marchenko line looked huge but I had no confidence in him looking at his form. Always count on Ernie messing up though, what a waste of talent.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May

One for me today, completely agree with Psycho. And LOL @ Gulbis. (4/10) V.Razzano to bt. N.Llagostera Vives @ 1.82 at Pinnacle Should be a bigger fav in my opinion. As Psycho mentioned, Razzano has the advantage in the match-up, as she can outhit Vives from the baseline. I have seen Razzano against Martinez and she was not bad at all despite the result. Vives is quite average these days and I do not believe that she can change that today.
Was considering this bet as well and have decided to follow based on you and Psycho's information. :hope
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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May

Was considering this bet as well and have decided to follow based on you and Psycho's information. :hope
7-5, 6-4, Cheers guys. Was a bit of an odd match. Vives was 4-0 up in the first and 3-0 up in the second (2 breaks in each) and threw both leads away!
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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Leon Challenger 03:10 CET Monroe (vs Ramirez) (-4) @ 1.8 (nordicbet) - stake 8/10 Monroe (vs Ramirez) (2:0) @ 1.65 (nordicbet) - stake 8/10 Very weak field on this challenger, most of clay guys are in Europe or Sarasota, so in Mexico there are couple of low ranked guys and bunch of futures players. Haven't seen Ramirez play but he had some nice results on futures fields in last half year, but going against player who has more experience on this level and has defeated better players not so long ago should be too much for him. Also Ramirez due to injury hasn't played for 3 months, great players can't easily cope with that, let alone kid who's tryin to make a way. Monroe is just a journeyman, but here he should get the job done quite easily. GL!

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Very few odds up atm, so only couple selections but have a few more in my mind for Wednesday. ATP Belgrade Novak Djokovic vs Adrian Ungur. Under 18.5 games. 1.73 @ Bwin (8/10) Have absolutely no idea how you can up with 18.5 games in this one. I'm pretty sure it will drop and the line should be 18 games at most and still would look too big to me. This 18.5 games allows Djokovic to win 6-3, 6-3 or 6-4, 6-2 and still win the bet. In all honesty can't see Ungur winning more than 4-5 games. He's good on clay and plays only on this surface but let's be fair to him here. He has no chance and not even with Djokovic playing his first clay match of the year. Challenger player against best player in the world. Should be a hammering especially with Djoko playing at home which will add more pressure on Ungur who lacks experience at this level. WTA Barcelona Virginie Razzano 2bt Magdalena Rybarikova. 1.80 @ Bwin (5/10) Backing Razzano for the 2nd consecutive match in Barcelona. She had an interesting match against Vives in round one coming from double break down in both sets (0-4, 0-3) to win 7-5, 6-4. Rybarikova beat Bartoli quite surprisingly but both players had nightmare serving performances. Rybarikova not much of a clay court player and prefers faster surfaces. Razzano beat her in their only match which was also on clay in Rome 2009. Razzano winning in three sets back then and should be close one this time again as neither is in top form. Still have to fancy Razzano on clay against one dimensional player like Rybarikova who like I said, plays very few matches on this surface.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May ATP Munich Mikhail Youzhny -2.5 AH vs Philipp Petzschner. 1.93 @ Bwin (6/10) Youzhny got off to a slow start and was 5-2 down against Bachinger in round one and even saved a set point against the German player. Once Miha got going he won easily in the 2nd set. Petzschner without any doubts should be tougher to beat but I'm confident Youzhny will get rid of him. They last played here a year ago, Youzhny won 7-5, 7-6 in the semifinals and I back him to win again. Having handicap for this one which is just 2.5 games. WTA Estoril Kristina Barrois 2bt Elena Vesnina. 2.55 @ Bwin (4/10) Here we got two players only one of whom likes clay. Barrois had very good tournament in Stuttgart last week reaching the 3rd round there. She's basically good only on clay whilst Vesnina loves hard courts and grass. She has had some nice results on clay as well but mostly in USA tournaments like Charleston and Ponte Vedra Beach. Both are very fast clay surfaces, so there's an advantage for Vesnina. European clay has not been happy hunting place for the Russian and I think she might find it very hard today with Barroi's variation of tennis. She plays with lots of slices and dropshots. Vesnina is only a ball basher and I think she will struggle against persistent change of pace by the German player. The have played once before and funny enough Barrois beat Vesnina 4 and 3 on grass (Hertogenbosch '09) which should suit Vesnina more. Both players with easy wins in the first round. Vesnina beat local player Luz but I was more impressed with Barrois who crushed Arvidsson 6-3, 6-1. Arvidsson had beaten her two times before so this win will be a massive confidence booster for Barrois.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May I'll take two tomorrow to kick off my tennis for this week. Can't see anything for the women, and was planning on taking handicaps on Montanes and Roger-Vasselin but price is too short. Anyways just these two for me. Potito Starace vs Sergiy Stakhovsky- Starace -3.5 handicap- 10/11 Bet365- (5/10) Starace has been a bit hit and miss recently but I'd fancy him to still take care of the Ukranian on clay. Stakhovsky has barely had any practice on the clay this season. He lost easily to Gil last week in Monte-Carlo, and practically got a walkover today as Istomin retired in the first set. On the hard courts he is a competitive and competant player, but on the clay thinking back to last year, at times he looked a bit lost on the courts, not being able to adapt to the slower conditions and losing to distinctly average challenger players. Starace is at home on the clay and it's where he plays most of his tennis. He made the final in Casablanca a few weeks back and although losing to Riba in Monte-Carlo and retiring last week against Gimeno-Traver, he got back to winning ways today against Hajek, who is arguably better than Stakhovsky on clay. The 2 met last year on clay, where Starace won in 3 sets, but the 2 sets he won were extremely comfortable. Just feel that the lack of court practice might catch up to Stakhovsky in this one, and Starace will eventually pull through and the handicap looks reasonable enough for the Italian to cover. Teymuraz Gabashvili vs Florian Mayer- Mayer -3.5 handicap- 8/11 Bet365- (5/10) Think the price has shortened a touch in the past half hour but I'd still fancy Mayer to take this in comfortable fashion. The Russian has been poor of late with some really abject performances. Montanes crushed him last week, and the veteran Schuettler had chances against him today. Mayer will be a step up and will frustrate the life out of Gabashvili with his clever returns, and eventually something will have to give, and this will more than likely be the downfall of the Russian. He just has those tendancies to go missing and eventually beat himself up on court, making it easy for his opponents to pick him off. Mayer is one of those players, who is clever enough to do that and he's picked up some decent wins recently to have some confidence on the clay. Gabashvili leads the H2H 3-1 in fact, but given the current circumstances, Mayer should be able to take care of this one in similiar fashion to his match against against Darcis today. Have to back the German here on form and the quality should prevail.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Well, the line has droped to 16.5 in Novak's game, Now it leaves me nothing else than stay away from it. i'm thinking about Belucci handycap, but he's blacklisted in my papers, like Almagro too :D Probbaly won't bet today, anyway gl with your bets. :hope

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May One more from Belgrade at smaller stakes Fernando Gonzalez 2bt Feliciano Lopez. 2.80 @ Pinnacle (4/10) I know it's only the 2nd match after long period out for Gonzalez but he has got past the first round here and that will give him confidence that he needed. For the first match he was ok. His style of play is very erratic but that's the best thing about him. Lopez for me is really not to be trusted at odds like this (below 1.50), not against player whom he has never beaten in four tries. I think despite Gonza being short on match practise he can outhit Lopez who really is all about serve and can be a mess at the net and like I said can not be trusted.

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Re: Tennis 25 April - 1 May Hi guys, 3 picks for the WTA tournaments today: BARCELONA: BRIANTI TO DEFEAT LEPCHENKO @ 1.55 pinnaclesports BARCELONA: HERCOG TO DEFEAT LUCIC @ 1.4 pinnaclesports ESTORIL: MEDINA TO DEFEAT ARN @ 1.45 pinnaclesports Brianti is in great form after winning a title last week and after an easy win yesterday over Pironkova. Lepchenko is not a clay courter. Hercog had some injury issues this year, otherwise the odds would be 1.2-1.3. Hercog is a great clay courter, Lucic was a good player some 10 years ago, not now. Medina is a great clay court player who plays very long rallies and relies on opponent errors when she is in form it is hard to get winners against her. Arn does not have any power to go through Medina on a slow clay surface.

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